CN104573840A - Pre-estimation medical consumable replenishment system and calculation method thereof - Google Patents
Pre-estimation medical consumable replenishment system and calculation method thereof Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The invention provides a pre-estimation medical consumable replenishment system and a calculation method thereof. The system can build a dynamic sample database according to an input operation name, a name of a surgeon, variety of consumables and specifications of the consumables and calculates the consumable demand forecasting probability to obtain the replenishment quantity of the medical consumables corresponding to the variety and the specifications of the consumables based on optimized replenishment cost. Therefore, the system can conclude and summarize the demand law of related medical consumables according to the characteristics of various clinical operations and preferences of different surgeons and obtains the replenishment quantity of a certain medical consumable specifically, so that a zero-inventory management manner can be realized more efficiently in a hospital, the efficiency of capital can be developed more efficiently, the medical department cost is reduced, the space of a storeroom is saved, the flexibility and the convenience of management of the consumables are improved, and the pre-estimation medical consumable replenishment system has a great significance in standardization of the management process of the medical consumables of a medical department, accurate pricing, effective tracking and better risk avoidance.
Description
Technical field
The present invention relates to a kind of medical disposable material and estimate the system of replenishing and computing method thereof.
Background technology
The high-value consumables that clinical operation uses not only expensive, of a great variety, specifications and models are complicated, and to it, professional and security has special requirement, and management also exists larger difficulty.In recent years, along with the progress of medical technology, the use amount of above-mentioned consumptive material sharply increases.Meanwhile, high-value consumables inappropriate uses and lack fine-grained management have been become and causes malpractice, adds heavy patient's financial burden and affect the key factor of Economic Benefit of Hospital, is the problem being worth showing great attention in hospital management.
Along with deepening continuously of information technology application and improving constantly of hospital information degree, digital bar code technology, radio RF recognition technology, data mining technology, intelligent monitoring technology and types of applications system are that hospital provides strong means to the demand analysis of high-value consumables, optimization purchases, stock control and usage monitoring general level, and thereby promote the deep reform of hospital equipment management mode.
At present, along with the continuous progress of medical skill and improving constantly of medical service level, the kind of medical disposable material and use amount increase year by year, especially the intervention consumptive material of implant into body.These are got involved consumptive material and are divided into low value to get involved consumptive material and high level intervention consumptive material according to the height of price.Wherein, low value intervention consumptive material is of a great variety, frequency of utilization is high, consumption is fast, in order to ensure the facility of use and prevent situation in short supply from occurring, generally all adopts the stock mode of high tank farm stock.The feature that high level gets involved consumptive material is expensive, require high, and the control of validity and security is strict to keeping.Because the expense getting involved consumptive material is just collected after patient uses, therefore, over the course for the treatment of; often various change can be there is to the demand getting involved consumptive material; if can not replenish in time, patient may be performed the operation in time, and the benefit of hospital also can be subject to corresponding impact.
For the ease of managing intervention consumptive material, a lot of hospital all adopts computer management system to manage medical disposable material.But, these computer management systems can only manage intervention consumptive material relevant information, can not predict accurately the service condition of medical disposable material, thus " zero inventory " management cannot be carried out to consumptive material stock timely and effectively, thus cause the low of fund usefulness, medical department cost cannot be reduced and a large amount of to exchange goods, accounting procedure of returning goods.The nimble property of saving warehouse space and increasing Item Management cannot be accomplished.Thus make section office specification high level cannot get involved consumptive material management process, accurate valuation cannot be accomplished, effectively follow the tracks of and avoid risk.And existing hospital consumable computer management system all lacks the Optimized model to cost, cannot the stock of consumptive material and stock cost be reduced to minimum.
Summary of the invention
For the problems referred to above, a kind of medical disposable material provided by the present invention estimates the system of replenishing and computing method thereof.
The present invention to achieve these goals, employs following structure or method:
The invention provides a kind of medical disposable material and estimate the system of replenishing, according to the operation names of user's input, operative doctor name, the operation quantity corresponding with operation names and operative doctor name, consumptive material kind, consumptive material specification and replenish to required medical disposable material with consumptive material kind and consumables cost corresponding to consumptive material specification and storage on hand respectively, it is characterized in that, comprise: surgical data storage part, store corresponding with operative doctor name for operation names, and generate the sample set be made up of operation names and operative doctor name; Consumptive material data store, is associated used for each sample set consumptive material kind, consumptive material specification and stores with corresponding sample set; Sample size calculating part, calculates the sample size of certain medical disposable material comprised in each sample set according to sample set, consumptive material kind corresponding to this sample set and consumptive material specification, and the total number of samples amount of all medical disposable materials comprised in each sample set; Probability calculation portion, calculates the consumptive material demand forecast probability of the medical disposable material corresponding with operation names, operative doctor name, consumptive material kind and consumptive material specification according to sample size and total number of samples gauge; And the quantity calculating part that replenishes, according to the operation quantity corresponding with each sample set, consumptive material demand forecast probability, consumables cost and storage on hand, the basis emergent time of delivery corresponding with consumptive material kind and consumptive material specification and medical disposable material are from determining to be used to the permission stand-by period that this medical disposable material is dispensed into operative site simultaneously, to replenishing, cost carries out optimization, thus obtains the quantity that replenishes of the medical disposable material corresponding with consumptive material kind and consumptive material specification.
In addition, medical disposable material involved in the present invention is estimated the system of replenishing and is also comprised: comparing section, for comparing emergent time of delivery and the length consuming time of permission stand-by period, wherein, the quantity that replenishes calculating part also comprises: demand forecast total quantity calculating section, for calculating the demand forecast total quantity of certain medical disposable material according to the average usage quantity of the medical disposable material of being correlated with consumptive material kind and consumptive material specification in the planning surgery quantity relevant with operative doctor name to operation names in nearest one week, consumptive material demand forecast probability, in the past 12 months; O/S quantity calculating section, calculates consumptive material O/S quantity according to the demand forecast total quantity of medical disposable material and storage on hand; Replenish pricing part, calculates the cost that replenishes of medical disposable material according to consumptive material O/S quantity and consumables cost; And automatic replenishing quantity calculating section, when the emergent time of delivery that comparing section compares medical disposable material is less than or equal to the permission stand-by period of consumptive material dispensing, according to consumptive material demand forecast probability and consumables cost, optimization computation is carried out to the cost that replenishes, thus obtain the quantity that replenishes of medical disposable material.
Further, medical disposable material involved in the present invention is estimated the system of replenishing and is also comprised: inventory information prompting part, for pointing out the consumptive material kind and the quantity that replenishes that need the medical disposable material replenished to user, wherein, when the emergent time of delivery that comparing section compares medical disposable material is greater than the permission stand-by period, the consumptive material kind of the medical disposable material needing to replenish and the quantity that replenishes are pointed out in inventory information prompting part to user.
Further, estimate in the system of replenishing at medical disposable material involved in the present invention, according to operation names and operative doctor name, the product to planning surgery quantity, consumptive material demand forecast probability and average usage quantity is sued for peace and is obtained the demand forecast total quantity of medical disposable material.
Further, estimate in the system of replenishing at medical disposable material involved in the present invention, suing for peace according to operation names and the operative doctor name product to consumptive material O/S quantity and consumables cost obtains the cost that replenishes of medical disposable material.
In addition, the present invention also provides a kind of medical disposable material to estimate the computing method that replenish, comprise the steps: to use surgical data storage part to store corresponding with operative doctor name for operation names, and generate the sample set be made up of operation names and operative doctor name; Use consumptive material data store, used for each sample set consumptive material kind, consumptive material specification are associated with corresponding sample set to be stored; Use sample size calculating part, calculate the sample size of certain medical disposable material comprised in each sample set according to sample set, consumptive material kind corresponding to this sample set and consumptive material specification, and the total number of samples amount of all medical disposable materials comprised in each sample set; Probability of use calculating part, calculates the consumptive material demand forecast probability of the medical disposable material corresponding with operation names, operative doctor name, consumptive material kind and consumptive material specification according to sample size in nearest 12 months and the percentages of total number of samples amount; User demand prediction total quantity calculating section calculates the demand forecast total quantity of certain medical disposable material according to the average usage quantity of the medical disposable material of being correlated with consumptive material kind and consumptive material specification in the planning surgery quantity relevant with operative doctor name to operation names in nearest one week, consumptive material demand forecast probability, in the past 12 months; O/S quantity calculating section is used to calculate consumptive material O/S quantity according to the demand forecast total quantity of medical disposable material and storage on hand; Use replenishes pricing part, calculates the cost that replenishes of medical disposable material according to consumptive material O/S quantity and consumables cost; Use comparing section, emergent time of delivery and the length consuming time of permission stand-by period are compared; When the emergent time of delivery that comparing section compares medical disposable material is less than or equal to the permission stand-by period, use automatic replenishing quantity calculating section, according to consumptive material demand forecast probability and consumables cost, optimization computation is carried out to the cost that replenishes, thus obtain the quantity that replenishes of medical disposable material; When the emergent time of delivery that comparing section compares medical disposable material is greater than the permission stand-by period, inventory information prompting part is used to send the medical consumptive material kind and the information that replenishes pointing out and need to replenish to user.
In addition, estimating at medical disposable material involved in the present invention replenishes in computing method, and demand forecast total quantity calculating section is sued for peace according to operation names and the operative doctor name product to planning surgery quantity, consumptive material demand forecast probability and average usage quantity and obtained the demand forecast total quantity of medical disposable material.
In addition, estimate replenish in computing method at medical disposable material involved in the present invention, the pricing part that replenishes is sued for peace according to operation names and the operative doctor name product to consumptive material O/S quantity and consumables cost and is obtained the cost that replenishes of medical disposable material.
The effect of invention and effect
Medical disposable material according to the present invention estimates the system of replenishing and computing method thereof, because adopt surgical data storage part to generate the sample set be made up of operation names and operative doctor name, sample size calculating part is adopted to calculate the sample size and total number of samples amount that comprise in each sample set, probability calculation portion is adopted to calculate consumptive material demand forecast probability, and adopt and replenish quantity calculating part according to the operation quantity corresponding with each sample set, consumptive material demand forecast probability, consumables cost and storage on hand obtain the quantity that replenishes of corresponding medical disposable material, so medical disposable material of the present invention estimates the system of replenishing and computing method can be based upon on the in-depth analysis basis to case of performing the operation in the past, conclude according to the feature of clinical all kinds of operation and the demand rule of preference to relevant medical disposable material of different doctor and sum up, draw the quantity that replenishes of certain medical disposable material targetedly, hospital is enable more efficiently to realize " zero inventory " way to manage, and more effectively play fund usefulness, contribute to reducing medical department cost, save warehouse space, increase the nimble property of consumptive material Item Management, also for the management process of the medical disposable material of specification section office, accomplish accurate valuation, effective tracking and avoiding risk better all has great importance.
On the other hand, owing to establishing the sample set with operation names and operative doctor name, calculate the prediction probability of consumptive material demand accordingly, and finally obtain replenish cost and the medical disposable material of quantity of replenishing with optimization and to replenish cost optimization model, therefore, can by the inventory on hand cost of medical disposable material being also reduced to least cost to the calculating of the cost optimization model that replenishes; Estimating due to medical disposable material the system of replenishing again can the information such as consumptive material kind and consumptive material specification that is associated with sample set of real-time storage, user can obtain the dynamic-change information of medical disposable material stock in time, is conducive to realizing the real-time management of user to medical disposable material stock.
Accompanying drawing explanation
Fig. 1 is that medical disposable material of the present invention estimates the system of replenishing block diagram in an embodiment;
Fig. 2 is the process flow diagram that medical disposable material of the present invention estimates the computing method dynamic consumptive material demand forecast probability model calculating in an embodiment that replenishes;
Fig. 3 is that medical disposable material of the present invention estimates the computing method process flow diagram that replenishes in an embodiment that replenishes.
Embodiment
Below in conjunction with accompanying drawing, detailed elaboration is done to a kind of preferred embodiment that the medical disposable material that the present invention relates to estimates the system of replenishing, but the present invention is not limited only to this embodiment.To have the present invention to make the public and understand thoroughly, in following the preferred embodiments of the present invention, describe detail in detail.
Fig. 1 is that medical disposable material of the present invention estimates the system of replenishing block diagram in an embodiment.
As shown in Figure 1, medical disposable material estimates the system of replenishing 100 for calculating the basis of consumptive material demand forecast probability with the cost that replenishes of optimization consumptive material, point out the consumptive material kind of medical disposable material and the quantity that replenishes that need to replenish to user, comprising: surgical data storage part 101, consumptive material data store 102, sample size calculating part 103, probability calculation portion 104, the quantity that replenishes calculating part 105, comparing section 106, inventory information prompting part 107 and carry out the control part 108 of action for controlling above-mentioned each portion.
Surgical data storage part 101 by operation names, operative doctor name is corresponding stores, and generates the sample set be made up of operation names and operative doctor name.
Consumptive material data store 102 is associated used for each sample set consumptive material kind, consumptive material specification and stores with corresponding sample set.
Sample size calculating part 103 calculates the sample size of certain medical disposable material comprised in each sample set according to sample set, consumptive material kind corresponding to this sample set and consumptive material specification, and the total number of samples amount of all medical disposable materials comprised in each sample set.
Probability calculation portion 104 calculates the consumptive material demand forecast probability of the medical disposable material corresponding with described operation names, described operative doctor name, described consumptive material kind and described consumptive material specification according to the percentages of sample size and total number of samples amount.
The quantity that replenishes calculating part 105 according to the operation quantity corresponding to each sample set, consumptive material demand forecast probability, consumables cost and storage on hand, and state medical disposable material from the result determined to be used to length consuming time that this medical disposable material is dispensed into the permission stand-by period of operative site and compare according to the emergent time of delivery corresponding with described consumptive material kind and described consumptive material specification of medical disposable material and this, to replenishing, cost carries out optimization, thus obtains the quantity that replenishes of the described medical disposable material corresponding with described consumptive material kind and described consumptive material specification.
The quantity that replenishes calculating part 105 also comprises: demand forecast total quantity calculating section 501, O/S quantity calculating section 502, the pricing part 503 that replenishes, automatic replenishing quantity calculating section 504.
Demand forecast total quantity calculating section 501, for calculating the demand forecast total quantity of certain medical disposable material according to the average usage quantity of the medical disposable material of being correlated with consumptive material kind and consumptive material specification in the planning surgery quantity relevant with operative doctor name to operation names in nearest one week, consumptive material demand forecast probability, in the past 12 months.Can realize dynamic, the real-time supervision of the medical disposable material in stock and estimating the medical disposable material that future will use like this, and possess according to different sample sets and achieve certain personalization preferences and intelligentized recommendation, increasing the nimble property of the Item Management of section office's layer on the whole.The preference of these personalizations and intelligentized recommendation are based on historical statistics and custom rule.Demand forecast total quantity calculating section 501 is sued for peace according to operation names and the operative doctor name product to planning surgery quantity, consumptive material demand forecast probability and average usage quantity and is obtained the demand forecast total quantity of medical disposable material.
O/S quantity calculating section 502 calculates consumptive material O/S quantity according to the demand forecast total quantity of medical disposable material and storage on hand.
The pricing part 503 that replenishes calculates the cost that replenishes of medical disposable material according to consumptive material O/S quantity and consumables cost.Concrete, the pricing part 503 that replenishes sues for peace according to operation names and the operative doctor name product to consumptive material O/S quantity and consumables cost to obtain the cost that replenishes of medical disposable material.
Automatic replenishing quantity calculating section 504 is when the emergent time of delivery comparing medical disposable material when comparing section 106 is less than or equal to the permission stand-by period of consumptive material dispensing, according to consumptive material demand forecast probability and consumables cost, optimization computation is carried out to the cost that replenishes, thus obtain the quantity that replenishes of medical disposable material.
Comparing section 106 compares the size of the permission stand-by period that the emergent time of delivery of medical disposable material and this kind of medical disposable material are provided and delivered.
Inventory information prompting part 107 is when the emergent time of delivery that comparing section 106 compares medical disposable material is greater than the permission stand-by period of this kind of medical disposable material dispensing, send stock's information to user, comprise consumptive material kind and the consumptive material quantity of certain medical disposable material that needs replenish.
In addition, present invention also offers a kind of medical disposable material estimating the system of replenishing based on medical disposable material and estimate the computing method that replenish.
This medical disposable material is estimated the service condition of optimal model to medical disposable material that the computing method that replenish employ medical disposable material dynamic need forecast model and automatic replenishing and is estimated and replenish.
Medical disposable material dynamic need forecast model is:
p
i,j＝f(t,d,i,j)
Wherein, p
i,jthe medical disposable material demand forecast probability that expression kind is i, specification is j, t, d, i, j are respectively operation names, operative doctor name, the kind of medical disposable material and specification.
Fig. 2 is the process flow diagram that medical disposable material of the present invention estimates the computing method dynamic consumptive material demand forecast probability model calculating in an embodiment that replenishes.
As shown in Figure 2, the medical disposable material estimating the system of replenishing 100 based on medical disposable material estimates the computing method that replenish, and to calculate the flow process of dynamic consumptive material probability of demand as follows:
Step S1 ?1:
Surgical data storage part 101 carries out classification according to operation names t, operative doctor name d to operation case sample data in the past and stores, and generates t × d sample set, then enters step S1-2.
Step S1-2:
Use consumptive material data store 102 that used for each sample set consumptive material kind, consumptive material specification are stored in mapping table explicitly with corresponding sample set.Mapping table is as shown in table 1.Consumptive material kind i, consumptive material specification j and the corresponding sample set of table 1 display section medical disposable material are associated the storage mode carrying out storing.
Table 1 mapping table
Step S1-3:
Sample size calculating part 103 calculates in sample set the sample size N (i, j) of the medical disposable material using consumptive material kind i, consumptive material specification j, and the total number of samples amount N in this sample set
s, then enter step S1-4.
Step S1-4:
Probability calculation portion 103 calculates N (i, j) and N
spercentage, in this, as the consumptive material demand forecast Probability p that operation names is t, operative doctor name be the consumptive material kind of d is i, consumptive material specification is j
i,j, then enter step S1-5.For endovascular repair of AAA, the demand forecast probability tables of certain operative doctor to part medical disposable material is as shown in table 2.
The demand forecast probability tables of table 2 part medical disposable material
| Consumptive material kind | Consumptive material specification | Probability of demand |
| COOK aneurysm rack body | TFFB-26-96 | 28.13% |
| COOK aneurysm rack body | TFFB-30-125 | 2.44% |
| COOK aneurysm support ilium props up | TFLE-12-105 | 24.84% |
| COOK aneurysm support ilium props up | TFLE-22-54 | 1.12% |
| CODA foley's tube | CODA-10.0-35-120-40 | 74.58% |
| COOK puncture needle (improvement) | G00003BSDN-18-7.0 | 100.00% |
| COOK Lunderquist ultrahard seal wire | G31453TSMG-35-260-LES | 100.00% |
| AngioDynamics angiography catheter | 10722702 | 94.66% |
| Optimed pneumoradiography conduit | 1080-41001105 | 78.77% |
| Optimed nick-eltitanium alloy stent | 6406-7060 | 9.84% |
| Perclose AT suture line loop system | 126736F | 49.18% |
Step S1 ?5:
Constantly update sample data along with the increase of operation case, adopt the up-to-date sample of nearest 12 months to carry out dynamic calculation, recalculate consumptive material demand forecast probability.
The optimal model of automatic replenishing is:
s
i,j＝mincost(p
i,j,q
t,d,c
i,j,w
i,j)|l
i,j≤L
i,j
Wherein, s
i,jfor the medical disposable material automatic replenishing quantity to kind i, specification j, the cost function that replenishes that cost () is above-mentioned medical disposable material, be one and demand forecast Probability p
i,j, doctor operation quantity q
t,d, consumables cost c
i,jand storage on hand w
i,jrelevant variable.L
i,jfor the emergent time of delivery of above-mentioned medical disposable material, L
i,jfor from determining to use this medical disposable material to be dispensed into this medical disposable material the stand-by period that clinical operation scene allows, namely, permission stand-by period of medical disposable material dispensing.
Fig. 3 is that medical disposable material of the present invention estimates the computing method process flow diagram that replenishes in an embodiment that replenishes.
As shown in Figure 3, to estimate the process flow diagram that replenishes of the computing method that replenish as follows for medical disposable material:
Step S2-1:
User demand prediction total quantity calculating section 501 calculates the medical disposable material demand forecast total quantity of kind i, specification j in nearest a week:
F
i,j＝Σq
t,d*p
i,j*n
i,j
In formula, q
t,dfor operation names in nearest a week be t, operative doctor name is the plan operation quantity of d, p
i,jfor the above-mentioned operation that obtained by step S1-4 to consumptive material kind be i, consumptive material specification is the medical disposable material demand forecast probability of j, n
i,jfor past 12 above-mentioned operations in the middle of the month are to the average usage quantity of corresponding medical disposable material, according to operation names t and operative doctor name d to planning surgery quantity q
t,d, consumptive material demand forecast Probability p
i,jand average usage quantity n
i,jproduct carry out suing for peace and obtain the demand forecast total quantity F of medical disposable material
i,j, then enter step S2-2.
Step S2-2:
O/S calculating section 502 is used to calculate the medical disposable material O/S quantity of nearest one week in-fighting assortment class i, consumptive material specification j:
S
i,j＝F
i,j-w
i,j
Namely the difference calculating consumptive material demand forecast total quantity and storage on hand obtains consumptive material O/S quantity, then enters step S2-3.
Step S2-3:
The pricing part 503 that replenishes is used to calculate the cost that replenishes of high-value consumables in nearest a week:
cost()＝ΣS
i,j*c
i,j
This step is the cost that replenishes calculating medical disposable material according to consumptive material O/S quantity and consumables cost, namely according to operation names i and operative doctor name j to consumptive material O/S quantity S
i,jand consumables cost c
i,jproduct carry out suing for peace and obtain the cost cost () that replenishes of medical disposable material, then enter step S2-4.
Step S2-4:
Comparing section 105 compares the emergent time of delivery l of consumptive material
i,jthe permission stand-by period L provided and delivered with consumptive material
i,jsize, when comparing l
i,j≤ L
i,jtime, enter step S2-5; When comparing l
i,j> L
i,jtime, enter step S2-6.
Step S2-5:
The quantity that replenishes calculating part 104 is according to consumptive material demand forecast Probability p
i,jwith consumables cost c
i,jcalculating is optimized to cost (), the automatic replenishing quantity s of medical disposable material in nearest a week that tries to achieve the cost minimization that makes to replenish
i,jand corresponding consumptive material kind, consumptive material specification.
Step S2-6:
Initiatively transmitting messages stock's information to operative doctor in inventory information prompting part 106, is decided in its sole discretion the need of replenishing and replenish quantity and time by operative doctor.
The optimization result of calculation of above-mentioned model, under the specific consumptive material conveying of guarantee coordinates service level prerequisite, can make total cost that replenishes minimum, is conducive to the cost reducing section office.
Above-mentioned medical disposable material estimate the system of replenishing just automatically can calculate cost optimization under automatic replenishing quantity, certainly, can also to set it to the automatic replenishing quantity calculated further by note automatic trunking transmitting to relevant supplier, the section office making supplier goods be delivered to hospital in official hour get ready the goods.
In addition, in order to meet in surgical procedure the dynamic need of different consumptive material and provide immediate service, the demand rule to consumables associated therewith according to all kinds of operation and different doctor can also be set it to further on-demand service is provided, when running into special circumstances by the urgent deliver goods of supplier to operating room.
For the characteristics of demand of medical disposable material in clinical operation, particularly high-value consumables, this medical disposable material estimates the way to manage that the system of replenishing have employed virtual inventory.The goods that supplier delivers to section office is before without use, and property right still belongs to supplier, and hospital only sets up virtual inventory record and carries out keeping to above mentioned goods, remakes warehouse-in and register after operation uses.Therefore, from the actual stock stockpile number of book Lai Kan hospital be zero.Have employed " zero inventory " way to manage of above-mentioned virtual inventory, can more effectively play fund usefulness, reduce medical department cost and a large amount of to exchange goods, accounting procedure of returning goods, save warehouse space, increase the nimble property of Item Management, high level for specification section office gets involved consumptive material management process, accomplishes accurate valuation, effectively tracking and avoid risk better all to have great importance.Estimate in the system of replenishing at this medical disposable material, by seismic responses calculated, supplier has also been dropped to floor level at the stock cost of hospital, be easier to be supplied business and accept.Meanwhile, supplier can also obtain the dynamic-change information of virtual inventory in time, and initiatively performing replenishes prepares and carries out rational allocation to goods, realizes the real-time management of supplier to above-mentioned stock.
The effect of embodiment and effect
Medical disposable material involved by the present embodiment is estimated in the system of replenishing and computing method thereof, because adopt surgical data storage part storage corresponding with operative doctor name for operation names, and generates the sample set be made up of operation names and operative doctor name, utilize consumptive material data store that used for each sample set consumptive material kind, consumptive material specification are associated with corresponding sample set carry out storing thus establish a virtual inventory, sample size calculating part is utilized to calculate the sample size of certain medical disposable material comprised in each sample set according to sample set, the consumptive material kind corresponding with this sample set and consumptive material specification, and the total number of samples amount of all medical disposable materials comprised in each sample set, utilize probability calculation portion according to sample size in nearest 12 months and the percentage calculation of total number of samples amount thus the consumptive material demand forecast probability of the medical disposable material obtained, realize the service condition monitoring and predict following consumptive material dynamically, and possess according to different sample sets and achieve certain personalization preferences and intelligentized recommendation, utilize and replenish quantity calculating part according to the operation quantity corresponding with each sample set, consumptive material demand forecast probability, consumables cost and storage on hand, there is most optimization according to the permission stand-by period of the emergent time of delivery corresponding with consumptive material kind and consumptive material specification and medical disposable material to the cost that replenishes simultaneously, thus obtain the quantity that replenishes of the medical disposable material corresponding with consumptive material kind and consumptive material specification, can ensure under specific consumptive material conveying cooperation service level prerequisite so this medical disposable material estimates the system of replenishing, make total cost that replenishes minimum, can more effectively play fund usefulness, increase the nimble property of Item Management.
In addition, the system of replenishing is estimated and computing method are also provided with comparing section due to medical disposable material of the present invention, comparing section is used for emergent time of delivery and allows the length consuming time of stand-by period to compare, when the emergent time of delivery comparing application consumptive material is greater than the length consuming time allowing the stand-by period, inventory information prompting part sends the medical consumptive material kind and the quantity that replenishes pointing out and need to replenish to clinician user, and imparting decides the right the need of replenish and replenish quantity and time in its sole discretion by operative doctor, thus can ensure carrying out smoothly of operation.
In a word, the medical disposable material in the present embodiment is estimated angle that the system of replenishing and computing method can consider in validity, security, economy and is resolved conveying and coordinate contradiction between service level and inventory cost level of control.
Claims (8)
1. a medical disposable material estimates the system of replenishing, according to the operation names of user's input, operative doctor name, the operation quantity corresponding with described operation names and described operative doctor name, consumptive material kind, consumptive material specification and replenish to required medical disposable material with described consumptive material kind and consumables cost corresponding to described consumptive material specification and storage on hand respectively, it is characterized in that, comprising:
Surgical data storage part, stores corresponding with described operative doctor name for described operation names, and generates the sample set be made up of described operation names and described operative doctor name;
Consumptive material data store, is associated used for each described sample set described consumptive material kind, described consumptive material specification and stores with corresponding described sample set;
Sample size calculating part, according to described sample set, described consumptive material kind corresponding to this sample set and described consumptive material specification calculate comprise in each described sample set certain described in the sample size of medical disposable material, and the total number of samples amount of all described medical disposable material comprised in each described sample set;
Probability calculation portion, calculates the consumptive material demand forecast probability of the described medical disposable material corresponding with described operation names, described operative doctor name, described consumptive material kind and described consumptive material specification according to described sample size and described total number of samples gauge; And
The quantity that replenishes calculating part, according to the described operation quantity corresponding with each described sample set, described consumptive material demand forecast probability, described consumables cost and described storage on hand, the basis emergent time of delivery corresponding with described consumptive material kind and described consumptive material specification and described medical disposable material are from determining to be used to the permission stand-by period that this medical disposable material is dispensed into operative site simultaneously, to replenishing, cost carries out optimization, thus obtains the quantity that replenishes of the described medical disposable material corresponding with described consumptive material kind and described consumptive material specification.
2. medical disposable material according to claim 1 estimates the system of replenishing, and it is characterized in that, also comprises:
Comparing section, for comparing described emergent time of delivery and the length consuming time of described permission stand-by period,
Wherein, the quantity that replenishes described in calculating part also comprises:
Demand forecast total quantity calculating section, for calculating the demand forecast total quantity of medical disposable material described in certain according to the average usage quantity of the described medical disposable material of being correlated with described consumptive material kind and described consumptive material specification in the planning surgery quantity relevant with described operative doctor name to described operation names in nearest one week, described consumptive material demand forecast probability, in the past 12 months;
O/S quantity calculating section, calculates consumptive material O/S quantity according to the demand forecast total quantity of described medical disposable material and described storage on hand;
Replenish pricing part, calculates the cost that replenishes of described medical disposable material according to described consumptive material O/S quantity and described consumables cost; And
Automatic replenishing quantity calculating section, when the emergent time of delivery that described comparing section compares described medical disposable material is less than or equal to the permission stand-by period of described consumptive material dispensing, according to described consumptive material demand forecast probability and described consumables cost, optimization computation is carried out to the described cost that replenishes, thus obtain replenishing described in described medical disposable material quantity.
3. medical disposable material according to claim 2 estimates the system of replenishing, and it is characterized in that, also comprises:
Inventory information prompting part, for pointing out the described consumptive material kind and the described quantity that replenishes that need the described medical disposable material replenished to user,
Wherein, when the emergent time of delivery that described comparing section compares described medical disposable material is greater than the described permission stand-by period, the described consumptive material kind of the described medical disposable material needing to replenish and the described quantity that replenishes are pointed out to user in described inventory information prompting part.
4. medical disposable material according to claim 3 estimates the system of replenishing, and it is characterized in that:
Wherein, according to described operation names and described operative doctor name, the product to described planning surgery quantity, described consumptive material demand forecast probability and described average usage quantity is sued for peace and is obtained the demand forecast total quantity of described medical disposable material.
5. medical disposable material according to claim 3 estimates the system of replenishing, and it is characterized in that:
Wherein, sue for peace according to described operation names and the described operative doctor name product to described consumptive material O/S quantity and described consumables cost and obtain replenishing described in described medical disposable material cost.
6. a medical disposable material estimates the computing method that replenish, according to the operation names of user's input, operative doctor name, the operation quantity corresponding with described operation names and described operative doctor name, consumptive material kind, consumptive material specification and replenish to required medical disposable material with described consumptive material kind and consumables cost corresponding to described consumptive material specification and storage on hand respectively, it is characterized in that, comprise the steps:
Use surgical data storage part to store corresponding with described operative doctor name for described operation names, and generate the sample set be made up of described operation names and operative doctor name;
Use consumptive material data store that used for each described sample set described consumptive material kind, described consumptive material specification are associated with corresponding described sample set to store;
Use sample size calculating part according to described sample set, described consumptive material kind corresponding to this sample set and described consumptive material specification calculate comprise in each described sample set certain described in the sample size of medical disposable material, and the total number of samples amount of all described medical disposable material comprised in each described sample set;
Probability of use calculating part calculates the consumptive material demand forecast probability of the described medical disposable material corresponding with described operation names, described operative doctor name, described consumptive material kind and described consumptive material specification according to described sample size in nearest 12 months and the percentages of described total number of samples amount;
User demand prediction total quantity calculating section calculates the demand forecast total quantity of medical disposable material described in certain according to the average usage quantity of the described medical disposable material of being correlated with described consumptive material kind and described consumptive material specification in the planning surgery quantity relevant with described operative doctor name to described operation names in nearest one week, described consumptive material demand forecast probability, in the past 12 months;
O/S quantity calculating section is used to calculate consumptive material O/S quantity according to the demand forecast total quantity of described medical disposable material and described storage on hand;
The pricing part that replenishes is used to calculate the cost that replenishes of described medical disposable material according to described consumptive material O/S quantity and described consumables cost;
Use comparing section to emergent time of delivery and allow the length consuming time of stand-by period to compare;
When the described emergent time of delivery that described comparing section compares described medical disposable material is less than or equal to the described permission stand-by period, use automatic replenishing quantity calculating section, according to described consumptive material demand forecast probability and described consumables cost, optimization computation is carried out to the described cost that replenishes, thus obtain replenishing described in described medical disposable material quantity;
When the described emergent time of delivery that described comparing section compares described medical disposable material is greater than the described permission stand-by period, use inventory information prompting part to user send prompting need the described medical described consumptive material kind that replenishes and described in replenish quantity.
7. medical disposable material according to claim 6 estimates the computing method that replenish, and it is characterized in that:
Wherein, described demand forecast total quantity calculating section according to described operation names and described operative doctor name the product to described planning surgery quantity, described consumptive material demand forecast probability and described average usage quantity sue for peace and obtain the demand forecast total quantity of described medical disposable material.
8. medical disposable material according to claim 6 estimates the computing method that replenish, and it is characterized in that:
Wherein, the pricing part that replenishes described in is sued for peace according to described operation names and the described operative doctor name product to described consumptive material O/S quantity and described consumables cost and is obtained replenishing described in described medical disposable material cost.
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