CN104573840B - Medical supplies estimate replenishment system and its computational methods - Google Patents

Medical supplies estimate replenishment system and its computational methods Download PDF

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CN104573840B
CN104573840B CN201310488851.0A CN201310488851A CN104573840B CN 104573840 B CN104573840 B CN 104573840B CN 201310488851 A CN201310488851 A CN 201310488851A CN 104573840 B CN104573840 B CN 104573840B
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consumptive material
medical supplies
replenishes
cost
species
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CN104573840A (en
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毛华娟
靳三勇
戴伟辉
景在平
胡晓华
陈智勇
邱涛
赵慧
施美芹
王富香
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Second Military Medical University SMMU
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    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
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Abstract

Replenishment system and its computational methods are estimated the invention provides a kind of medical supplies, the system can be according to the operation names of input, operative doctor name, consumptive material species and consumptive material specification set up dynamic sample database, and calculate consumptive material requirement forecasting probability, on the basis of being optimized to the cost that replenishes, obtain the quantity that replenishes of the medical supplies corresponding with the consumptive material species and the consumptive material specification, therefore, the system is concluded and summarized to the demand rule of related medical supplies to the preference of different doctors according to the characteristics of clinical all kinds of operations, targetedly draw the quantity that replenishes of certain medical supplies, enable the hospital to more efficiently realize " zero inventory " way to manage, and more effectively play fund efficiency, reduce medical department cost, save warehouse space, increase the nimble property of consumptive material Item Management, for the management process of the medical supplies of specification section office, accomplish accurate valuation, effectively tracking and preferably avoid risk all and have great importance.

Description

Medical supplies estimate replenishment system and its computational methods
Technical field
Replenishment system and its computational methods are estimated the present invention relates to a kind of medical supplies.
Background technology
High-value consumables that clinical operation is used are not only expensive, species is various, specifications and models are complicated, and to its specialty Property and security have special requirement, and larger difficulty is there is in management.In recent years, with the progress of medical technology, The usage amount of above-mentioned consumptive material is sharply increased.At the same time, high-value consumables it is inappropriate use and lack fine-grained management turned into Trigger malpractice, aggravate patient's financial burden and influence the key factor of Economic Benefit of Hospital, be worth height in hospital management The problem of degree concern.
With information technology application deepen continuously and hospital information degree continuous improvement, digital bar code technology, nothing Line REID, data mining technology, intelligent monitoring technology and types of applications system be hospital from general level to height Demand analysis, optimization purchases, stock control and the use monitoring for being worth consumptive material provide strong means, and thereby promote hospital The deep reform of stores management pattern.
At present, with the continuous progress and the continuous improvement of medical service level of medical technology, the species of medical supplies and Usage amount increases year by year, is especially implanted into the intervention consumptive material of human body.These intervention consumptive materials are divided into low value according to the height of price and are situated between Enter consumptive material and high level intervention consumptive material.Wherein, low value intervention consumptive material species is various, frequency of use is high, consumption is fast, is used to ensure Facilitate and prevent short supply situation occur, generally using the stock mode of high quantity in stock.High level intervene consumptive material the characteristics of be It is expensive, high is required to keeping, and the control of validity and security is strict.Because the expense for intervening consumptive material is in patient Just collected after use, therefore, over the course for the treatment of, often occur various change to the demand for intervening consumptive material, if can not Replenish in time, patient be able to not may be performed the operation in time, the benefit of hospital can also be influenceed accordingly.
For the ease of being managed to intervention consumptive material, many hospitals are all carried out using computer management system to medical supplies Management.But, these computer management systems can only be managed to intervention consumptive material relevant information, it is impossible to which medical supplies are made Accurately predicted with situation, so that " zero inventory " management can not be timely and effectively carried out to consumptive material stock, so as to cause money Golden efficiency it is low, it is impossible to reduce medical department cost and it is substantial amounts of exchange goods, return of goods accounting procedure.Can not accomplish save warehouse space and Increase the nimble property of Item Management.So that section office can not specification high level intervention consumptive material management process, it is impossible to accomplish accurate meter Valency, effectively track and avoid risk.And existing hospital consumable computer management system all lacks the Optimized model to cost, The stock of consumptive material and stock cost can not be reduced to minimum.
The content of the invention
In view of the above-mentioned problems, a kind of medical supplies provided by the present invention estimate replenishment system and its computational methods.
The present invention to achieve these goals, has used following structure or method:
Replenishment system is estimated the invention provides a kind of medical supplies, the operation names that are inputted according to user, operative doctor Name, it is corresponding with operation names and operative doctor name operation quantity, consumptive material species, consumptive material specification and respectively with consumptive material Species and the corresponding consumables cost of consumptive material specification and storage on hand replenish to required medical supplies, it is characterised in that Including:Surgical data storage part, is stored operation names are corresponding with operative doctor name, and generate by operation names and The sample set of operative doctor name composition;Consumptive material data store, the used consumptive material species of each sample set, consumptive material specification It is associated with corresponding sample set to be stored;Sample size calculating part, according to sample set, consumptive material species corresponding with the sample set Calculate and included in the sample size of certain medical supplies included in each sample set, and each sample set with consumptive material specification All medical supplies total number of samples amount;Probability calculation portion, is calculated and name of performing the operation according to sample size and total number of samples gauge The consumptive material requirement forecasting probability of title, operative doctor name, consumptive material species and the corresponding medical supplies of consumptive material specification;And mend Goods quantity calculating part, according to operation quantity corresponding with each sample set, consumptive material requirement forecasting probability, consumables cost and existing Quantity in stock, while must be made from determination with medical supplies according to emergent time of delivery corresponding with consumptive material species and consumptive material specification Use the permission stand-by period that the medical supplies are dispensed into operative site, cost is optimized to replenishing, thus obtain with The quantity that replenishes of consumptive material species and the corresponding medical supplies of consumptive material specification.
Also include in addition, medical supplies involved in the present invention estimate replenishment system:Comparing section, during for emergent conveying Between and allow the stand-by period time-consuming length be compared, wherein, the quantity that replenishes calculating part also includes:Requirement forecasting sum gauge Part is calculated, for according to the planning surgery quantity related with operative doctor name to operation names in nearest one week, consumptive material need The average usage quantity of prediction probability, medical supplies related with consumptive material specification to consumptive material species within past 12 months is asked to calculate Go out the requirement forecasting total quantity of certain medical supplies;O/S quantity calculating section, it is total according to the requirement forecasting of medical supplies Quantity and storage on hand calculate consumptive material O/S quantity;Replenish cost calculation part, according to consumptive material O/S quantity And consumables cost calculates the cost that replenishes of medical supplies;And automatic replenishing quantity calculating section, when comparing section compares doctor When being less than or equal to the permission stand-by period that consumptive material is dispensed with the emergent time of delivery of consumptive material, according to consumptive material requirement forecasting probability and Consumables cost carries out optimization computation to the cost that replenishes, so as to obtain the quantity that replenishes of medical supplies.
Further, medical supplies involved in the present invention are estimated replenishment system and also included:Inventory information prompting part, for User's prompting needs the consumptive material species of the medical supplies replenished and the quantity that replenishes, wherein, when comparing section compares medical supplies When emergent time of delivery is more than the permission stand-by period, inventory information prompting part prompts the user with the consumption for the medical supplies for needing to replenish Assortment class and the quantity that replenishes.
Further, in medical supplies involved in the present invention estimate replenishment system, according to operation names and operative doctor Name sum obtaining medical supplies to the product of planning surgery quantity, consumptive material requirement forecasting probability and average usage quantity Requirement forecasting total quantity.
Further, in medical supplies involved in the present invention estimate replenishment system, according to operation names and operative doctor Name sum obtaining the cost that replenishes of medical supplies to the product of consumptive material O/S quantity and consumables cost.
In addition, the present invention also provides a kind of medical supplies and estimates the computational methods that replenish, comprise the following steps:Use operation number Stored operation names are corresponding with operative doctor name, and generated by operation names and operative doctor name according to storage part The sample set of composition;Using consumptive material data store, the used consumptive material species of each sample set, consumptive material specification with it is corresponding Sample set is associated to be stored;Using sample size calculating part, according to sample set, consumptive material species corresponding with the sample set and consumption Material specification calculates the institute included in the sample size of certain medical supplies included in each sample set, and each sample set There is the total number of samples amount of medical supplies;Using probability calculation portion, according to sample size in nearest 12 months and total number of samples amount Percentages calculate the consumption of the medical supplies corresponding with operation names, operative doctor name, consumptive material species and consumptive material specification Material requirement forecasting probability;Use demand predict total quantity calculating section according in nearest one week with operation names and operative doctor The related planning surgery quantity of name, consumptive material requirement forecasting probability, within past 12 months with consumptive material species and consumptive material specification phase The average usage quantity of the medical supplies of pass calculates the requirement forecasting total quantity of certain medical supplies;Use O/S quantity Calculating section calculates consumptive material O/S quantity according to the requirement forecasting total quantity and storage on hand of medical supplies;Use benefit Goods cost calculation part, the cost that replenishes of medical supplies is calculated according to consumptive material O/S quantity and consumables cost;Using than Compared with portion, emergent time of delivery and the time-consuming length of permission stand-by period are compared;When comparing section compares medical supplies It is pre- according to consumptive material demand using automatic replenishing quantity calculating section when emergent time of delivery is less than or equal to the permission stand-by period Survey probability and optimization computation is carried out to the cost that replenishes with consumables cost, so as to obtain the quantity that replenishes of medical supplies;Work as comparing section When the emergent time of delivery for comparing medical supplies is more than the permission stand-by period, is sent and carried to user using inventory information prompting part Show medical consumptive material species and the information that replenishes that needs replenish.
In addition, in medical supplies involved in the present invention estimate the computational methods that replenish, requirement forecasting total quantity calculating part Divide according to operation names and operative doctor name to planning surgery quantity, consumptive material requirement forecasting probability and average usage quantity Product sum obtaining the requirement forecasting total quantity of medical supplies.
In addition, in medical supplies involved in the present invention estimate the computational methods that replenish, replenish cost calculation part according to Operation names and operative doctor name sum obtaining medical consumption to the product of consumptive material O/S quantity and consumables cost The cost that replenishes of material.
The effect of invention and effect
Replenishment system and its computational methods are estimated according to the medical supplies of the present invention, because being given birth to using surgical data storage part Into the sample set being made up of operation names and operative doctor name, calculated in each sample set and wrapped using sample size calculating part The sample size and total number of samples amount contained, consumptive material requirement forecasting probability is calculated using probability calculation portion, and using the number that replenishes Calculating part is measured according to operation quantity corresponding with each sample set, consumptive material requirement forecasting probability, consumables cost and on-hand inventory The quantity that replenishes of corresponding medical supplies is measured, so the medical supplies of the present invention estimate replenishment system and its computational methods energy It is enough to set up on the basis of to the in-depth analysis of operation case in the past, according to the characteristics of clinical all kinds of operations and different doctors preference The demand rule of related medical supplies is concluded and summarized, the quantity that replenishes of certain medical supplies is targetedly drawn, Enable the hospital to more efficiently realize " zero inventory " way to manage, and more effectively play fund efficiency, help to reduce section office Cost, saves warehouse space, increases the nimble property of consumptive material Item Management, also for the management stream of the medical supplies of specification section office Journey, accomplishes accurate valuation, effectively tracking and preferably avoids risk all have great importance.
On the other hand, due to establishing the sample set with operation names and operative doctor name, consumptive material is calculated accordingly to be needed The prediction probability asked, and finally obtain the medical supplies of replenish cost and the quantity that replenishes with optimization and replenish Optimum cost Change model, therefore, it can also reduce the inventory on hand cost of medical supplies by the calculating to the cost optimization model that replenishes To least cost;Estimating replenishment system due to medical supplies again being capable of real-time storage the consumptive material species and consumption associated with sample set The information such as material specification, user can obtain the dynamic-change information of medical supplies stock in time, be advantageously implemented user to medical The real-time management of consumptive material stock.
Brief description of the drawings
The medical supplies that Fig. 1 is the present invention estimate block diagram of the replenishment system in embodiment;
The medical supplies that Fig. 2 is the present invention estimate dynamic consumptive material requirement forecasting probability of the computational methods in embodiment that replenish The flow chart that model is calculated;
The medical supplies that Fig. 3 is the present invention estimate replenish flow chart of the computational methods in embodiment that replenish.
Embodiment
A kind of preferred embodiment that medical supplies of the present invention are estimated with replenishment system below in conjunction with accompanying drawing makees detailed Elaboration, but the present invention is not limited only to the embodiment.Thoroughly understand in order that the public has to the present invention, of the invention below Detail is described in detail in preferred embodiment.
Fig. 1 estimates block diagram of the replenishment system in embodiment for the medical supplies of the present invention.
It is used to calculate consumptive material requirement forecasting probability and optimization consumptive material as shown in figure 1, medical supplies estimate replenishment system 100 The cost that replenishes on the basis of, prompt the user with the consumptive material species of medical supplies for needing to replenish and the quantity that replenishes, including:Operation Data store 101, consumptive material data store 102, sample size calculating part 103, probability calculation portion 104, the quantity that replenishes are calculated Portion 105, comparing section 106, inventory information prompting part 107 and the control unit 108 for controlling above-mentioned each portion to be acted.
Surgical data storage part 101 is by operation names, operative doctor name is corresponding is stored, and generates by operation names The sample set constituted with operative doctor name.
Consumptive material data store 102 is the used consumptive material species of each sample set, consumptive material specification and corresponding sample set It is associated to be stored.
Sample size calculating part 103 is according to sample set, consumptive material species corresponding with the sample set and consumptive material specification are calculated often The sample size of certain medical supplies included in individual sample set, and all medical supplies each included in sample set are total Sample size.
Probability calculation portion 104 according to the percentages of sample size and total number of samples amount calculate with the operation names, The consumptive material requirement forecasting of the operative doctor name, the consumptive material species and the corresponding medical supplies of the consumptive material specification is general Rate.
Operation quantity, consumptive material requirement forecasting probability, consumption of the quantity that the replenishes calculating part 105 according to corresponding to each sample set Material cost and storage on hand, and it is corresponding with the consumptive material species and the consumptive material specification emergent defeated according to medical supplies Send the time with this state medical supplies from determine must be used to the medical supplies be dispensed into operative site allow wait when Between the result that is compared of time-consuming length, to replenishing, cost is optimized, so as to obtain and the consumptive material species and described The quantity that replenishes of the corresponding medical supplies of consumptive material specification.
The quantity that replenishes calculating part 105 also includes:Requirement forecasting total quantity calculating section 501, O/S quantity calculating part Divide 502, the cost calculation part 503 that replenishes, automatic replenishing quantity calculating section 504.
Requirement forecasting total quantity calculating section 501, for according in nearest one week with operation names and operative doctor surname It is the related planning surgery quantity of name, consumptive material requirement forecasting probability, related to consumptive material species and consumptive material specification within past 12 months The average usage quantities of medical supplies calculate the requirement forecasting total quantity of certain medical supplies.It can so realize to stock In medical supplies dynamic, real-time monitoring and the medical supplies that will be used to future estimating, and according to different Sample set possesses and realized certain personalization preferences and intelligentized recommendation, increases the Item Management of section office's layer on the whole Nimble property.These personalized preferences and intelligentized recommendation are based on historical statistics and custom rule.Requirement forecasting sum Amount calculating section 501 is according to operation names and operative doctor name is to planning surgery quantity, consumptive material requirement forecasting probability and puts down The product of equal usage quantity sum obtaining the requirement forecasting total quantity of medical supplies.
O/S quantity calculating section 502 is calculated according to the requirement forecasting total quantity and storage on hand of medical supplies Consumptive material O/S quantity.
The cost calculation part 503 that replenishes calculates replenishing for medical supplies according to consumptive material O/S quantity and consumables cost Cost.Specifically, the cost calculation part 503 that replenishes is to consumptive material O/S quantity according to operation names and operative doctor name And the product of consumables cost sum obtaining the cost that replenishes of medical supplies.
Automatic replenishing quantity calculating section 504 is less than in the emergent time of delivery that medical supplies are compared when comparing section 106 Or dispense equal to consumptive material the permission stand-by period when, the cost that replenishes is carried out most according to consumptive material requirement forecasting probability and consumables cost Optimization is calculated, so as to obtain the quantity that replenishes of medical supplies.
Comparing section 106 compares emergent time of delivery and the permission stand-by period of this kind of medical supplies dispatching of medical supplies Size.
Inventory information prompting part 107 is medical more than this kind in the emergent time of delivery that comparing section 106 compares medical supplies During the permission stand-by period of consumptive material dispatching, stock prompt message is sent to user, including needs certain medical supplies for replenishing Consumptive material species and consumptive material quantity.
In addition, estimating the calculating that replenishes present invention also offers a kind of medical supplies for estimating replenishment system based on medical supplies Method.
The medical supplies estimate the computational methods that replenish and have used medical supplies dynamic need forecast model and automatic replenishing Optimal model is estimated and replenished come the service condition to medical supplies.
Medical supplies dynamic need forecast model is:
pi,j=f (t, d, i, j)
Wherein, pi,jIt is the medical supplies requirement forecasting probability that i, specification are j to represent species, and t, d, i, j are respectively operation name Title, the species and specification of operative doctor name, medical supplies.
Fig. 2 estimates dynamic consumptive material requirement forecasting probability of the computational methods in embodiment that replenish for the medical supplies of the present invention The flow chart that model is calculated.
As shown in Fig. 2 the computational methods that replenish are estimated based on the medical supplies that medical supplies estimate replenishment system 100 calculates dynamic The flow of state consumptive material probability of demand is as follows:
Step S1-1:
Surgical data storage part 101 is according to operation names t, operative doctor name d to conventional operation case sample data Classification storage is carried out, and generates t × d sample set, subsequently into step S1-2.
Step S1-2:
Using consumptive material data store 102 the used consumptive material species of each sample set, consumptive material specification and corresponding sample This collection is stored in association in mapping table.Mapping table is as shown in table 1.The display portion medical supplies of table 1 Consumptive material species i, consumptive material specification the j storage mode stored associated with corresponding sample set.
The mapping table of table 1
Step S1-3:
Sample size calculating part 103 calculates sample and was concentrated use in consumptive material species i, the sample of consumptive material specification j medical supplies Total number of samples amount N in this quantity N (i, j), and the sample sets, subsequently into step S1-4.
Step S1-4:
Probability calculation portion 103 calculates N (i, j) and NsPercentage, in this, as operation names be t, operative doctor surname Entitled d consumptive material species is the consumptive material requirement forecasting Probability p that i, consumptive material specification are ji,j, subsequently into step S1-5.With abdomen actively Exemplified by arteries and veins knurl EVAR, certain operative doctor is as shown in table 2 to the requirement forecasting probability tables of part medical supplies.
The requirement forecasting probability tables of the part medical supplies of table 2
Consumptive material species Consumptive material specification Probability of demand
COOK aneurysm rack bodies TFFB-26-96 28.13%
COOK aneurysm rack bodies TFFB-30-125 2.44%
COOK aneurysm support ilium branch TFLE-12-105 24.84%
COOK aneurysm support ilium branch TFLE-22-54 1.12%
CODA foley's tubes CODA-10.0-35-120-40 74.58%
COOK puncture needles(Improvement) G00003BSDN-18-7.0 100.00%
COOK Lunderquist ultrahard seal wires G31453TSMG-35-260-LES 100.00%
AngioDynamics angiography catheters 10722702 94.66%
Optimed pneumoradiography conduits 1080-41001105 78.77%
Optimed nick-eltitanium alloy stents 6406-7060 9.84%
Perclose AT suture closed-systems 126736F 49.18%
Step S1-5:
Sample data is constantly updated with the increase of operation case, Mobile state was entered using the newest sample of nearest 12 months Calculate, recalculate consumptive material requirement forecasting probability.
The optimal model of automatic replenishing is:
si,j=mincost (pi,j,qt,d,ci,j,wi,j)|li,j≤Li,j
Wherein, si,jFor the medical supplies automatic replenishing quantity to species i, specification j, cost () is above-mentioned medical supplies Replenish cost function, is one and requirement forecasting Probability pi,j, doctor operation quantity qt,d, consumables cost ci,jAnd on-hand inventory Measure wi,jRelevant variable.li,jFor the emergent time of delivery of above-mentioned medical supplies, Li,jFor the medical supplies must be used from determination , when allowing wait of medical supplies dispatching clinical operation stand-by period for being allowed of scene is dispensed into the medical supplies, i.e., Between.
Fig. 3 estimates replenish flow chart of the computational methods in embodiment that replenish for the medical supplies of the present invention.
As shown in figure 3, the flow chart that replenishes that medical supplies estimate the computational methods that replenish is as follows:
Step S2-1:
Use demand prediction total quantity calculating section 501 calculates species i, specification j medical supplies demand in nearest one week Predict total quantity:
Fi,j=Σ qt,d*pi,j*ni,j
In formula, qt,dIt is that plan arrangement that t, operative doctor name are d is performed the operation quantity, p for operation names in nearest one weeki,j It is the medical supplies requirement forecasting probability that i, consumptive material specification are j, n to consumptive material species for the above-mentioned operation that is obtained by step S1-4i,j For average usage quantity of the 12 middle of the month above-mentioned operations of past to corresponding medical supplies, according to operation names t and operative doctor surname D is to planning surgery quantity q for namet,d, consumptive material requirement forecasting Probability pi,jAnd average usage quantity ni,jProduct summed The requirement forecasting total quantity F of medical suppliesi,j, subsequently into step S2-2.
Step S2-2:
The nearest assortment class of in-fighting in one week i, consumptive material specification j medical supplies storehouse are calculated using O/S calculating section 502 Deposit quantity in short supply:
Si,j=Fi,j-wi,j
Calculate consumptive material requirement forecasting total quantity and the difference of storage on hand obtains consumptive material O/S quantity, Ran Houjin Enter step S2-3.
Step S2-3:
The cost that replenishes of high-value consumables in nearest one week is calculated using the cost calculation part 503 that replenishes:
Cost ()=Σ Si,j*ci,j
The step is the cost that replenishes that medical supplies are calculated according to consumptive material O/S quantity and consumables cost, i.e. basis Operation names i and operative doctor name j is to consumptive material O/S quantity Si,jAnd consumables cost ci,jProduct carry out sum To the cost cost () that replenishes of medical supplies, subsequently into step S2-4.
Step S2-4:
Comparing section 105 compares the emergent time of delivery l of consumptive materiali,jThe permission stand-by period L dispensed with consumptive materiali,jSize, When comparing li,j≤Li,jWhen, into step S2-5;When comparing li,j> Li,jWhen, into step S2-6.
Step S2-5:
The quantity that replenishes calculating part 104 is according to consumptive material requirement forecasting Probability pi,jWith consumables cost ci,jCost () is optimized Calculate, try to achieve the automatic replenishing quantity s of nearest one week interior medical supplies of the cost minimization that makes to replenishi,jAnd corresponding consumptive material kind Class, consumptive material specification.
Step S2-6:
The active of inventory information prompting part 106 is transmitted messages stock's prompt message to operative doctor, and being decided in its sole discretion by operative doctor is No needs replenish and replenished quantity and time.
The optimization result of calculation of above-mentioned model, under the premise of can coordinating service level ensureing specific consumptive material conveying, makes The cost that replenishes obtained always is minimum, advantageously reduces the cost of section office.
It is that can calculate the automatic replenishing quantity under cost optimization automatically that above-mentioned medical supplies, which estimate replenishment system, It is, of course, also possible to further set it to the automatic replenishing quantity that will be calculated by short message automatic trunking transmitting to related confession Business is answered, the section office that goods is delivered to hospital by supplier within the defined time is got ready the goods.
In addition, in order to meet in surgical procedure to the dynamic needs of different consumptive materials and provide immediate service, one can also be entered Step is set to provide on-demand service to the demand rule of consumables associated therewith according to all kinds of operations and different doctors, runs into spy By the urgent delivery of supplier to operating room during different situation.
For the characteristics of demand of medical supplies in clinical operation, particularly high-value consumables, this medical supplies, which is estimated to replenish, is System employs the way to manage of virtual inventory.Supplier was sent to the goods of section office before without use, and confession is still fallen within property right Business is answered, hospital only sets up virtual inventory and records and above mentioned goods are taken care of, storage registration is remake after operation use.Cause This, is zero from the actual stock stockpile number of book Lai Kan hospitals." zero inventory " way to manage of above-mentioned virtual inventory is employed, Can more effectively play fund efficiency, reduce medical department cost and it is substantial amounts of exchange goods, return of goods accounting procedure, save warehouse space, increase Plus the nimble property of Item Management, the high level for specification section office intervenes consumptive material management process, accomplish accurate valuation, effectively tracking and Preferably avoid risk and all have great importance., will by seismic responses calculated in this medical supplies estimates replenishment system Supplier also falls below floor level in the stock cost of hospital, it is easier to is supplied business and is received.At the same time, supplier goes back The dynamic-change information of virtual inventory can be obtained in time, actively performed and replenished preparation and rational allocation is carried out to goods, realize Real-time management of the supplier to above-mentioned stock.
The effect of embodiment and effect
Medical supplies involved by the present embodiment are estimated in replenishment system and its computational methods, because being deposited using surgical data The operation names storage corresponding with operative doctor name is generated what is be made up of operation names and operative doctor name by storage portion Sample set;Using consumptive material data store the used consumptive material species of each sample set, consumptive material specification and corresponding sample set It is associated to carry out storage to establish a virtual inventory;Using sample size calculating part according to sample set and the sample set Corresponding consumptive material species and consumptive material specification calculate the sample size of certain medical supplies included in each sample set, and often The total number of samples amount of all medical supplies included in individual sample set;Using probability calculation portion according to sample number in nearest 12 months The consumptive material requirement forecasting probability for the medical supplies that the percentage of amount and total number of samples amount calculates to obtain, realizes dynamic monitoring With the service condition of the following consumptive material of precognition, and possess according to different sample sets and realize certain personalization preferences and intelligence The recommendation of change;Using the quantity calculating part that replenishes according to operation quantity corresponding with each sample set, consumptive material requirement forecasting probability, consumption Material cost and storage on hand, while according to corresponding with consumptive material species and consumptive material specification emergent time of delivery and medical supplies The permission stand-by period most had optimization to the cost that replenishes, so as to obtain medical consumption corresponding with consumptive material species and consumptive material specification The quantity that replenishes of material, so this medical supplies is estimated before replenishment system can coordinate service level ensureing the conveying of specific consumptive material Put so that total cost that replenishes is minimum, can more effectively play fund efficiency, increase the nimble property of Item Management.
In addition, because the medical supplies of the present invention estimate replenishment system and computational methods are also provided with comparing section, Comparing section applies answering for consumptive material for being compared to emergent time of delivery and the time-consuming length of permission stand-by period when comparing When anxious time of delivery is more than the time-consuming length for allowing the stand-by period, inventory information prompting part sends prompting to clinician user to be needed to mend The medical consumptive material species of goods and the quantity that replenishes, and assign deciding whether need the number that replenishes and replenish in its sole discretion by operative doctor Amount and the right of time, so as to ensure being smoothed out for operation.
In a word, the medical supplies in the present embodiment estimate replenishment system and computational methods can validity, security, The angle that economy considers resolves the contradiction between conveying cooperation service level and inventory cost controlled level.

Claims (8)

1. a kind of medical supplies estimate replenishment system, operation names, operative doctor name and the operation inputted according to user Title and the operative doctor name it is corresponding operation quantity, consumptive material species, consumptive material specification and respectively with the consumptive material species Consumables cost corresponding with the consumptive material specification and storage on hand replenish to required medical supplies, it is characterised in that Including:
Surgical data storage part, is stored the operation names are corresponding with the operative doctor name, and is generated by institute State the sample set of operation names and operative doctor name composition;
Consumptive material data store, each used consumptive material species of sample set, the consumptive material specification with it is corresponding The sample set is associated to be stored;
Sample size calculating part, according to the sample set, the consumptive material species corresponding with the sample set and the consumptive material specification meter Calculate and included in the sample size of certain medical supplies included in each sample set, and each sample set All medical supplies total number of samples amount;
Probability calculation portion, is calculated and the operation names, the operation according to the sample size and the total number of samples gauge The consumptive material requirement forecasting probability of physician names, the consumptive material species and the corresponding medical supplies of the consumptive material specification; And
The quantity that replenishes calculating part, it is general according to the operation quantity corresponding with each sample set, the consumptive material requirement forecasting Rate, the consumables cost and the storage on hand, while according to corresponding with the consumptive material species and the consumptive material specification Emergent time of delivery must be used to the permission that the medical supplies are dispensed into operative site with the medical supplies from determination Stand-by period, to replenishing, cost is optimized, so as to obtain corresponding with the consumptive material species and the consumptive material specification described The quantity that replenishes of medical supplies,
Wherein, the model of the quantity that replenishes of the medical supplies is:
si,j=mincost (pi,j,qt,d,ci,j,wi,j)|li,j≤Li,j
si,jFor species i, the specification j medical supplies quantity that replenishes, cost () is the cost letter that replenishes of the medical supplies Number, is one and the consumptive material requirement forecasting Probability pi,j, the operation quantity qt,d, the consumables cost ci,jAnd it is described existing Quantity in stock wi,jRelevant variable, li,jFor the emergent time of delivery of the medical supplies, Li,jFor the doctor must be used from determination The stand-by period that clinical operation scene is allowed is dispensed into consumptive material to the medical supplies, i.e., described medical supplies dispatching Allow the stand-by period.
2. medical supplies according to claim 1 estimate replenishment system, it is characterised in that also include:
Comparing section, is compared for the time-consuming length to the emergent time of delivery and the permission stand-by period,
Wherein, the quantity calculating part that replenishes also includes:
Requirement forecasting total quantity calculating section, for according in nearest one week with the operation names and the operative doctor surname The related planning surgery quantity of name, the consumptive material requirement forecasting probability, within past 12 months with the consumptive material species and described The average usage quantity of the related medical supplies of consumptive material specification calculates the requirement forecasting sum of certain medical supplies Amount;
O/S quantity calculating section, is calculated according to the requirement forecasting total quantity of the medical supplies and the storage on hand Go out consumptive material O/S quantity;
Replenished cost calculation part, and the medical supplies are calculated according to the consumptive material O/S quantity and the consumables cost The cost that replenishes;And
Automatic replenishing quantity calculating section, when the emergent time of delivery that the comparing section compares the medical supplies is less than or waits When the permission stand-by period that the consumptive material is dispensed, mended according to the consumptive material requirement forecasting probability and the consumables cost to described Goods cost carries out optimization computation, so as to obtain the quantity that replenishes of the medical supplies.
3. medical supplies according to claim 2 estimate replenishment system, it is characterised in that also include:
Inventory information prompting part, the consumptive material species and the benefit for prompting the user with the medical supplies for needing to replenish Goods quantity,
Wherein, when the emergent time of delivery that the comparing section compares the medical supplies is more than the permission stand-by period, The inventory information prompting part prompts the user with the consumptive material species and the number that replenishes for the medical supplies for needing to replenish Amount.
4. medical supplies according to claim 3 estimate replenishment system, it is characterised in that:
Wherein, it is pre- to the planning surgery quantity, the consumptive material demand according to the operation names and the operative doctor name The product for surveying probability and the average usage quantity sum obtaining the requirement forecasting total quantity of the medical supplies.
5. medical supplies according to claim 3 estimate replenishment system, it is characterised in that:
Wherein, according to the operation names and the operative doctor name to the consumptive material O/S quantity and the consumptive material The product of cost, which sum, obtains the cost that replenishes of the medical supplies.
6. a kind of medical supplies estimate the computational methods that replenish, the operation names that are inputted according to user, operative doctor name, with it is described Operation names and the operative doctor name it is corresponding operation quantity, consumptive material species, consumptive material specification and respectively with the consumptive material Species and the corresponding consumables cost of the consumptive material specification and storage on hand replenish to required medical supplies, and its feature exists In comprising the following steps:
Stored the operation names are corresponding with the operative doctor name, and generated using surgical data storage part The sample set being made up of the operation names and operative doctor name;
Using consumptive material data store each used consumptive material species of sample set, the consumptive material specification with it is corresponding The sample set associated stored;
Using sample size calculating part according to the sample set, the consumptive material species corresponding with the sample set and the consumptive material specification Calculate and wrapped in the sample size of certain medical supplies included in each sample set, and each sample set The total number of samples amount of all medical supplies contained;
Calculated using probability calculation portion according to the sample size in nearest 12 months and the percentages of the total number of samples amount Corresponding with the operation names, the operative doctor name, the consumptive material species and the consumptive material specification is described medical The consumptive material requirement forecasting probability of consumptive material;
Use demand predict total quantity calculating section according in nearest one week with the operation names and the operative doctor surname The related planning surgery quantity of name, the consumptive material requirement forecasting probability, within past 12 months with the consumptive material species and described The average usage quantity of the related medical supplies of consumptive material specification calculates the requirement forecasting sum of certain medical supplies Amount;
Use requirement forecasting total quantity and the storage on hand of the O/S quantity calculating section according to the medical supplies Calculate consumptive material O/S quantity;
Calculate described medical according to the consumptive material O/S quantity and the consumables cost using the cost calculation part that replenishes The cost that replenishes of consumptive material;
Using comparing section is to emergent time of delivery and allows the time-consuming length of stand-by period to be compared;
When the comparing section compare the medical supplies the emergent time of delivery be less than or equal to it is described allow wait when Between when, using automatic replenishing quantity calculating section, mended according to the consumptive material requirement forecasting probability and the consumables cost to described Goods cost carries out optimization computation, so as to obtain the quantity that replenishes of the medical supplies;
The model of the quantity that replenishes of the medical supplies is:
si,j=mincost (pi,j,qt,d,ci,j,wi,j)|li,j≤Li,j
si,jFor species i, the specification j medical supplies quantity that replenishes, cost () is the cost letter that replenishes of the medical supplies Number, is one and the consumptive material requirement forecasting Probability pi,j, the operation quantity qt,d, the consumables cost ci,jAnd it is described existing Quantity in stock wi,jRelevant variable, li,jFor the emergent time of delivery of the medical supplies, Li,jFor the doctor must be used from determination The stand-by period that clinical operation scene is allowed is dispensed into consumptive material to the medical supplies, i.e., described medical supplies dispatching Allow the stand-by period;
When the emergent time of delivery that the comparing section compares the medical supplies is more than the permission stand-by period, make With inventory information prompting part the medical consumptive material species and the number that replenishes that prompting needs replenish are sent to user Amount.
7. medical supplies according to claim 6 estimate the computational methods that replenish, it is characterised in that:
Wherein, the requirement forecasting total quantity calculating section according to the operation names and the operative doctor name to the meter The product of oarsman's art quantity, the consumptive material requirement forecasting probability and the average usage quantity sum obtaining described medical The requirement forecasting total quantity of consumptive material.
8. medical supplies according to claim 6 estimate the computational methods that replenish, it is characterised in that:
Wherein, the cost calculation part that replenishes according to the operation names and the operative doctor name to the consumptive material stock The product of quantity in short supply and the consumables cost, which sum, obtains the cost that replenishes of the medical supplies.
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