CN113554270A - Method for determining construction scale of first and last stations of configured bus - Google Patents

Method for determining construction scale of first and last stations of configured bus Download PDF

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CN113554270A
CN113554270A CN202110656613.0A CN202110656613A CN113554270A CN 113554270 A CN113554270 A CN 113554270A CN 202110656613 A CN202110656613 A CN 202110656613A CN 113554270 A CN113554270 A CN 113554270A
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姜军
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China Design Group Co Ltd
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Abstract

The invention discloses a method for determining the construction scale of a first station and a last station of a configured bus, which comprises the following steps: at the mesoscopic level, analyzing the supply and demand balance condition of the first and last stations of the bus in the district from the viewpoint of the district where the building is located; on a microscopic level, analyzing the supply and demand balance condition of the public transportation service of the building from the self view of the building; combining with the analysis of the mesoscopic and microscopic levels, establishing a discrimination model, and discriminating whether the first and last stations of the bus need to be configured in the building; and (3) establishing a supply and demand balance relation model of the first and last stations of the building bus by combining the demand of the first and last stations of the bus and the supply of the first and last stations of the bus of the building, and determining the construction scale of the first and last stations of the bus allocated by the building. The method is simple and practical, and has strong operability and effectiveness.

Description

Method for determining construction scale of first and last stations of configured bus
Technical Field
The invention belongs to the field of urban traffic planning, and particularly relates to a method for determining the scale of construction of a first station and a last station of a configured bus.
Background
The preferential development of urban public transport is an important means for improving the utilization efficiency of road traffic resources and relieving urban traffic congestion, and is also an inevitable requirement for improving urban living environment and promoting urban sustainable development. The bus station is an important infrastructure of conventional buses, and the effective supply of the bus station plays an important role in guaranteeing the operation of buses, optimizing a bus network, improving the urban bus service quality and enhancing the bus travel attraction. However, the urban public transportation station construction in China has the problems of land shortage, difficult land planning and the like for a long time.
For the first and last stations of the bus, the first and last stations of the bus can be divided into the first and last stations of the bus which occupy the land independently and the first and last stations of the bus which occupy the land non-independently and are constructed by depending on other buildings. At present, a lot of urban land enters a stock development stage, and under the background of high-strength land development, the traditional independent land occupation bus station construction mode faces the problems of difficult land implementation, non-intensive land utilization and the like, and the land requirement is increasingly difficult to guarantee. The method for building the first and last stations of the bus is a mode of building the first and last stations of the bus and related facilities in a matching manner within the range of a ground red line by combining civil building construction projects such as city updating, guaranteed housing, large-scale development projects and the like, and is a method for realizing the bus station from bottom to top. The first and last stations of the bus are configured and built, the method has the advantages of low dependence on land, close combination with land use and passenger flow distribution and the like, the problem of difficult land use implementation of the first and last stations of the bus can be solved, the method can be closely combined with the passenger flow of the bus, the accessibility of the bus is improved, and high-quality bus service from door to door is realized.
At present, some domestic cities have begun to explore a construction mode for constructing a bus station yard by using public buildings such as houses, businesses, offices and the like. Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Xian, Tanzhou, Zhanjiang, Yangzhou, Ningbo, Kun mountain and other cities have the relevant requirements on the configuration of the head and tail stations of the public transport, and the head and tail stations of the public transport are required to be configured and constructed when a new (improved or expanded) traffic hub, 2 ten thousand people and more residential districts, business centers, industrial concentration areas, tourist attractions, schools, hospitals, large public activity places and other large places are constructed. The transportation department publishes 'urban public bus station configuration specification' (JT/T1202-2018) in 2018, 5 months, and stipulates the overall requirements of civil buildings and transportation hubs for configuring public bus and electric vehicle parking lots, head and tail stations, intermediate stations and hub stations, and the requirements of the construction scale and construction content of public bus and electric vehicle configuration type stations.
Generally, the urban public bus station configuration specification (JT/T1202 and 2018) and relevant configuration specifications or standards of various regions only give a starting threshold value for configuring a first and a last bus stations, that is, the first and the last bus stations need to be configured when the building has a large area, and the specification is simple, and a calculation model or a method for the starting threshold value and the scale which need to be constructed is not given. Actually, whether the first and last stations of the public transport need to be configured in the building is influenced by various factors such as whether the first and last stations of the public transport are sufficient in the parcel, whether the peripheral public transport lines can provide enough residual passenger carrying capacity, whether the building can provide the first and last stations of the public transport with a certain scale, and the like, and the method is a relatively complex decision making process. The inventor finds that if a set of calculation method for building the first and last stations of the matched bus can be established, and the quantitative relation between the demand and the supply is established according to the actual conditions of the demand and the supply of the bus in the parcel and the building, whether the first and last stations of the matched bus and the multiple large-scale first and last stations of the matched bus need to be built by combining the building or not can be scientifically decided through the interactive feedback of the demand and the supply.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention aims to provide a method for determining the construction scale of a first station and a last station of a configured bus, which can realize reasonable judgment on whether the first station and the last station of the configured bus are needed and reasonable determination on the construction scale of the first station and the last station of the configured bus.
The technical solution for realizing the purpose of the invention is as follows: a method for determining the construction scale of a head station and a tail station of a configured bus comprises the following steps:
step 1), analyzing the demand of the first and last stations of the bus in a district range before building construction, analyzing the current situation in the district range and planning the supply of the first and last stations of the bus, and determining the supply-demand balance relationship of the first and last stations of the bus in the district range;
step 2), analyzing the bus travel demand of the building, analyzing the residual capacity of the bus which can be supplied by the bus routes around the building, and determining a supply and demand gap of the bus service of the building;
step 3), establishing a discrimination model, determining whether a first and a last bus stations need to be configured in a building, and determining a gap of the first and the last bus stations needing to be configured;
step 4), determining the construction scale supply quantity of the first and last stations of the bus which can be provided by the building;
and 5) determining the construction scale of the first and last stations of the bus allocated by the building.
Further, the detailed steps of step 1) are as follows:
step 1.1), predicting the public transportation traffic volume according to the building area and peak hour trip rate of various properties in the district range before building construction, and predicting the first and last station demand of the public transportation in the district range before building construction;
calculating the travel of the residential buildings in the district range before the building construction according to the following formula:
Figure BDA0003113143250000021
wherein, TPVolume of travel of residential buildings in the sector before the building construction, SRBuilding area of residential nature in the sector before the construction of the building, srIs the average living area, n is the average number of people per household, rpThe peak hour trip rate of each household;
calculating the traffic of buildings with other properties in the area range before building construction according to the following formula:
Figure BDA0003113143250000022
wherein, TJTraffic of buildings of other nature in the area before the construction of the building, SjIs the building area of type j property, rjThe peak hour trip rate of the jth-property buildings per hundred square meters of building area is shown, and J is the number of the types of the buildings with different properties in the area range of the building;
calculating the total trip volume within the parcel before building construction according to the following formula:
T=TP+TJ
calculating the bus traffic in the district range before building construction according to the following formula:
TC=T*pC
wherein, TCPublic transport traffic volume, p, in the area of the building before the constructionCThe bus trip proportion is in the area range;
calculating the remaining passenger carrying capacity of the bus routes in the area according to the following formula:
Figure BDA0003113143250000031
wherein, CIThe remaining passenger capacity S of the I-way bus route in the region of the parceliTaking 70 percent of rated passenger capacity and O percent of acceptable service level of the route bus line iiFor the way of the passenger carrying rate f of the bus stop in the area range of the bus line iiFor passing by the departure interval of the bus route i, ciThe rated passenger capacity of a bus is the rated passenger capacity of a bus route I, and the I is the total number of bus routes in the area range of the building;
calculating the bus travel demand of the first and last bus station service needing to be configured in the district range before building construction according to the following formula:
TA=TC-CI
wherein, TAThe method comprises the following steps of (1) configuring the bus travel demands of bus first and last station services in a district range before building construction;
the transport capacity of each originating bus route is calculated according to the following formula:
Figure BDA0003113143250000032
wherein p is the first-stop passenger carrying rate, c is the rated passenger carrying capacity of a single bus of the bus, and f is the departure interval in the peak time period;
calculating the area of the first and the last stations of the bus required by each starting bus line according to the following formula:
Figure BDA0003113143250000033
wherein L is the average mileage of each bus route, V is the average operation speed of the bus, lambda is the proportion of the vehicles parked at the first station, and m is the area of the first station and the last station of each standard bus;
calculating the first and last station demand of the bus in the district range before building construction according to the following formula:
Figure BDA0003113143250000041
wherein D isAThe area of the first and last stations of the bus required in the district range before building construction, C the transport capacity of each starting bus line, scThe area of the first and last bus stops required for each starting bus line;
step 1.2), calculating the supply quantity of the first and last stations of the bus within the parcel range according to the following formula according to the current situation within the parcel range and the number and area of the planned first and last stations of the bus:
Figure BDA0003113143250000042
wherein S isAThe supply quantity s of the first and the last stations of the public transport in the districtnThe area of the nth bus head and end station which is the current or planned bus in the district range;
step 1.3), analyzing the supply and demand relationship of the first and last stations of the public transport in the district range before building construction, and calculating the supply and demand gap of the first and last stations of the public transport in the district range according to the following formula:
GA=DA-SA
wherein G isAThe area of the supply and demand gap of the first and last stations of the bus in the area range before building construction, if GAIf the demand exceeds the supply, a gap exists; if G isAAnd (4) less than or equal to 0, the supply of the first and the last stations of the bus in the block is equal to or exceeds the demand, and no gap exists.
Further, the detailed steps of step 2 are as follows:
step 2.1), calculating the bus travel demand of the building according to the following formula:
if the building is a residential building, the bus traffic is as follows:
Figure BDA0003113143250000043
wherein, TBFor the traffic of the building, SBIs the building area of the building, pCThe ratio of public transportation trips in the area range of the building;
if the building is a building with other properties, the bus traffic is as follows:
Figure BDA0003113143250000044
wherein, TBIs the amount of traffic of the building, rjPeak hourly travel rate, p, for class j property buildings per hundred square meters of building areaCThe ratio of public transportation trips in the area range of the building;
step 2.2), calculating the residual passenger carrying capacity of the bus routes within the radius range of 500 meters of the building according to the following formula:
Figure BDA0003113143250000051
wherein, CBFor the building periphery IBResidual passenger capacity, I, of a bus routeBThe number of bus routes around the building;
step 2.3), calculating the supply and demand gap of the public transportation service of the building according to the following formula:
GB=TB-CB
wherein G isBGap for supply and demand of public transportation service for building, if GBIf the quantity is more than 0, the demand of the bus trip generated by the building exceeds the supply quantity, and a gap exists(ii) a If G isBLess than or equal to 0, the demand of the bus trip generated by the building is less than or equal to the supply, and no gap exists.
Further, the detailed steps of step 3 are as follows:
step 3.1), judging whether a bus head and end station distinguishing model needs to be configured in a building or not is as follows:
if G isA≤0∩GBLess than or equal to 0, namely a supply and demand gap G of the first and the last stations of the public transport in the area before the building constructionALess than or equal to 0, and a gap G for public transport service supply and demand of the buildingBIf the number is less than or equal to 0, the first and the last stations of the bus do not need to be established in the building;
if G isA≤0∩GB> 0 or GA>0∩GBLess than or equal to 0 or GA>0∩GBIf the bus station number is more than 0, in order to improve the bus service level of the building and make up the gap of the first and the last bus stations in the district range, the first and the last bus stations need to be configured in the building;
step 3.2), the calculation method for configuring the first and last station gaps of the bus in the building is as follows:
if G isA≤0∩GBThe area of the first and last stations of the bus needing to be configured is calculated according to the following formula, wherein the area is more than 0, and the first and last stations of the bus are configured by the building mainly to meet the gap of the bus travel requirement of the building:
Figure BDA0003113143250000052
wherein D isBArea of first and last bus stops to be allocated for buildings, GBA gap for supply and demand of public transportation service for buildings, C transport capacity of each starting public transportation line, scThe area of the first and last bus stops required for each starting bus line;
if G isA>0∩GBLess than or equal to 0, the first and last stations of the public transport are allocated to the building mainly in order to make up the gaps of the first and last stations of the public transport in the block range and the area D of the first and last stations of the public transport which needs to be allocated to the buildingB=GA
If G isA>0∩GBThe area of the first and last bus stations needing to be configured is calculated according to the following formula, wherein the area is larger than 0, the first and last bus stations are configured for the building, on one hand, the gap of the first and last bus stations in the area of the block is made up, on the other hand, the gap of the bus travel requirement for the building is met:
Figure BDA0003113143250000061
further, the method for calculating the supply quantity of the construction scale of the first and last stations of the bus, which can be provided by the building in the step 4), is as follows:
the building is generally on one floor of ground to construct the first and last stations of public transit, for plane development, generally calculate according to building land area, calculate the construction scale of the first and last stations of public transit that the building can provide according to following formula:
SC=S*α
wherein S isCThe area of the first and last stations of the bus can be provided for the building, S is the area of the land of the building, and alpha is the land proportion of the first and last stations of the bus in the land of the building.
Further, the method for determining the construction scale of the first and last stations of the bus configured by the building in the step 5) comprises the following steps:
step 5.1), comparing the required area of the first and last stations of the bus allocated by the building with the area which can be supplied by the building, if the area is supplied SCArea D not less thanBIn order to serve the bus travel demands which are possibly increased in the area, the first and the last stations of the bus are configured according to the area which can be provided by the building;
step 5.2), comparing the required area of the first and last stations of the bus allocated by the building with the area which can be supplied by the building, if the area is supplied SC<Required area DBAnd the first and last station areas of the buses which can be provided by the building are allocated, and the rest gaps are complemented in the next city updating construction project.
Compared with the prior art, the invention adopting the technical scheme has the following technical effects:
(1) the method is characterized in that a plurality of factors such as original bus travel requirements in a parcel, newly-increased bus travel requirements brought by building construction, capacity supply of peripheral bus lines, current situation in the parcel and supply of planned bus head and end stations directly influence the decision on whether the bus head and end stations need to be configured in combination with the building, and is the basis of scientific decision, but the existing relevant standard specifications cannot consider the factors to establish a calculation model, but make rigid regulations on the starting threshold value of the configured bus head and end stations and the construction scale of the bus head and end stations.
(2) The existing relevant standard specifications cannot decide the scale of the first and last stations of the configured bus according to the actual condition of the building, the corresponding scale of the first and last stations of the configured bus is only given according to the construction project or the scale of the building, and the scale is possibly too large or too small.
Drawings
Fig. 1 is a flow chart of a method for determining the construction scale of a head station and a tail station of a configured bus.
Fig. 2 is a schematic diagram of a case building for constructing the first and last stations of a bus.
Detailed Description
The method for building the first and last stations of the bus is characterized in that the first and last stations of the bus are synchronously built in a matched manner when a building is built, and the building scale of the first and last stations of the bus built by the building is determined according to the area where the building is located and the bus demand characteristics of the building and by combining the bus supply condition of the building. The invention provides a method for determining the construction scale of a first station and a last station of a configured bus, which judges whether the first station and the last station of the bus need to be configured or not according to the supply and demand conditions of the first station and the last station of the bus in a district where a building is located and the supply and demand conditions of the bus service of the building when the first station and the last station of the bus are considered, and determines the scale of the first station and the last station of the configured bus, so as to achieve the purposes of reasonably configuring the first station and the last station of the bus, coupling the demand of bus passenger flow and improving the accessibility of the bus service.
Taking a certain building as an example, and referring to fig. 1, the method for determining the construction scale of the first and last stations of the bus configuration provided by the invention is further described in detail:
step 1, determining the supply and demand balance relationship of the first and last stations of the public transport in the district range
1.1) firstly predicting the demand of the first and last stations of the public transport in a district range before building construction, wherein only one property land for residence is used in the district, and calculating the running amount of the residential building in the district range before building construction according to the following formula:
Figure BDA0003113143250000071
wherein, TPThe trip volume of the residential buildings in the district range before the building construction; sRBuilding area of residential nature in district range before building construction, total area of residential building in district 150000m2;srFor the living area of all people, take 30m2A person; n is the average population number of each family, and 3 persons are taken per family; r ispTaking the peak hour trip rate of each household according to the technical standards for evaluating traffic influence of construction projects (CJJ/T141-2010), wherein the peak hour trip rate of a common house is 0.8-2.5 persons/household, and the peak hour trip rate of three families is 2.5 persons/household;
if the buildings with other properties are buildings, the value calculation can be carried out by referring to the technical standard for evaluating the traffic influence of construction projects (CJJ/T141-2010);
calculating the bus traffic in the district range before building construction according to the following formula:
TC=T*pC4167 × 25% ═ 1042 times/h;
wherein, TCThe bus traffic in the district range before building construction; the district is only used for residential land and buildingSetting the running amount in the range of the previous block as 4167 people/h; p is a radical ofCThe bus trip proportion in the district range is 25 percent;
calculating the remaining passenger carrying capacity of the bus routes in the area according to the following formula:
Figure BDA0003113143250000081
wherein, CIThe remaining passenger carrying capacity of the I bus routes in the area range is shown; siGenerally, 70% of rated passenger capacity is taken as the passenger carrying rate when the route bus line i can accept the service level; o isiThe passenger carrying rate of a bus stop in a zone range of a bus route i is assumed to be 50%; f. ofiTaking the departure interval of the route bus line i as 10 minutes/shift; c. CiTaking 90 persons/vehicle for the rated passenger capacity of the bus in the route i; i is the total number of bus routes in the area range of the building, and is taken as 3;
calculating the bus travel demand of the first and last bus station service needing to be configured in the district range before building construction according to the following formula:
TA=TC-CI1042 and 324 times 718 times/h
Wherein, TAThe method comprises the following steps of (1) configuring the bus travel demands of bus first and last station services in a district range before building construction; t isCIs 1042 persons/h, CI324 persons/h;
the transport capacity of each originating bus route is calculated according to the following formula:
Figure BDA0003113143250000082
wherein, p is the first station passenger carrying rate, and is 40 percent; c is the rated passenger capacity of a single bus, and 90 persons/vehicle is taken; f is the departure interval in the peak time period, and is taken as 10 minutes/shift;
calculating the area of the first and the last stations of the bus required by each starting bus line according to the following formula:
Figure BDA0003113143250000083
wherein L is the average mileage of each bus line, and is taken as 20 kilometers; v is the average operation speed of the bus, and is taken as 20 kilometers per hour; lambda is the proportion of vehicles parked at the initial station, and is taken as 40%; m is the land area of each standard head and end station, and the land area of each standard head and end station is 120m according to the urban road public transport station, yard and factory engineering design Specification (CJJ/T15-2011)2Take 120m2Calculating;
calculating the first and last station demand of the bus in the district range before building construction according to the following formula:
Figure BDA0003113143250000091
wherein D isAThe area of the first and last bus stations required in the district range before building construction; c is the transport capacity of each starting bus line, and is 216 persons/h; scThe area of the first and the last bus stations required by each starting bus line is 672m2
1.2) then calculating the supply quantity of the first and last stations of the bus within the district:
Figure BDA0003113143250000092
wherein S isAThe supply quantity of the first and the last stations of the bus in the district range is provided; snThe area of the nth bus head and end station is the current or planned area within the parcel range, the current and planned area within the parcel range has 1 bus head and end station in total, and the area is 1200m2
1.3) calculating the supply and demand gaps of the first and last stations of the buses in the area range:
GA=DA-SA=2234-1200=1034m2
wherein G isAThe area of the supply and demand gap of the first and last stations of the bus in the section range before building construction is determined, the demand in the section exceeds the supply, and 1034m exists2The area gap of the first and last stations of the bus.
Step 2, determining the supply and demand balance relationship of the public transportation service of the building
2.1), calculating the public transportation travel demand of the building according to the following formula:
the building is a comprehensive commercial building, and the public transportation traffic volume of the building is as follows:
Figure BDA0003113143250000093
wherein, TBThe trip volume of the building, namely the trip volume generated by the building; sBThe building area of the building is 30000m2;rjTaking the peak hour trip rate of the jth property buildings per hundred square meters of building area according to the technical standards for evaluating traffic influence of construction projects (CJJ/T141-2010), taking the comprehensive commercial peak hour trip rate as 5-25 times per hundred square meters of building area, and taking the comprehensive commercial peak hour trip rate as 15 times per hundred square meters of building area; p is a radical ofCThe bus trip proportion is 25 percent in the range of the district where the building is located;
2.2) calculating the residual passenger carrying capacity of the bus routes within the radius range of 500 meters of the building according to the following formula:
Figure BDA0003113143250000094
wherein, CBFor the building periphery IBThe remaining passenger capacity of the bus route; siGenerally, 70% of rated passenger capacity is taken as the passenger carrying rate when the route bus line i can accept the service level; o isiThe passenger carrying rate of a bus stop in a zone range of a bus route i is assumed to be 50%; f. ofiTaking the departure interval of the route bus line i as 10 minutes/shift; c. CiThe rated passenger capacity of a single bus in the bus route i is 90 persons/vehicle;IB2 bus routes are taken as the number of bus routes around the building;
2.3) calculating the supply and demand gap of the public transportation service of the building:
GB=TB-CB1125-909 persons/h
Wherein G isBThe demand gap serves the public transport of the building, the public transport trip demand generated by the building exceeds the supply quantity, and a gap of 909 persons/h exists;
step 3, judging whether a first and a last bus stations need to be configured in the building or not, and determining a gap of the first and the last bus stations needing to be configured
3.1) whether a first and last bus station distinguishing model needs to be configured in a building is as follows:
GA=1034m2>0∩GBwhen the number of people/h is more than 0, in order to improve the public service level of the building and make up the gap of the first and last stations of the public transport in the area range, the first and last stations of the public transport need to be configured in the building;
3.2), the calculation method for the gap of the first station and the last station of the bus allocated by the building is as follows:
GA=1034m2>0∩GBwhen the number of people/h is more than 0, the first and last stations of the public transport of the building are configured to make up the gap of the first and last stations of the public transport in the area range on one hand, and to meet the requirement of the public transport trip of the building on the other hand, the area of the first and last stations of the public transport needing to be configured is calculated according to the following formula:
Figure BDA0003113143250000101
step 4, determining the supply quantity of the construction scale of the first and last stations of the bus, which can be provided by the building:
the building is generally on one floor of ground to construct the first and last stations of public transit, for plane development, generally calculate according to building land area, calculate the construction scale of the first and last stations of public transit that the building can provide according to following formula:
SC=S*α=10000*20%=2000m2
wherein S isCThe area for configuring the first and last stations of the bus, which can be provided by the building, is shown in fig. 2; s is the area of the building, and is 10000m2(ii) a Alpha is the proportion of land in the building land which can be matched with the first and last stations of the bus, the building is of comprehensive commercial property, and the proportion of land which can be matched with the first and last stations of the bus is 20 percent.
Step 5, determining the construction scale of the first and last stations of the bus allocated by the building:
required area D for configuring first and last stations of busB=3862m2Area S that can be supplied by the buildingC=2000m2,SC<DBAccording to the area S that the building can provideC=2000m2The first and last stations of the bus are configured, and 1862m are remained2The gap between the first station and the last station of the bus is complemented in the next city updating construction project.
It will be understood by those skilled in the art that, unless otherwise defined, all terms (including technical and scientific terms) used herein have the same meaning as commonly understood by one of ordinary skill in the art to which this invention belongs. It will be further understood that terms, such as those defined in commonly used dictionaries, should be interpreted as having a meaning that is consistent with their meaning in the context of the prior art and will not be interpreted in an idealized or overly formal sense unless expressly so defined herein.
The above-mentioned embodiments, objects, technical solutions and advantages of the present invention are further described in detail, it should be understood that the above-mentioned embodiments are only illustrative of the present invention and are not intended to limit the present invention, and any modifications, equivalents, improvements and the like made within the spirit and principle of the present invention should be included in the protection scope of the present invention.

Claims (8)

1. A method for determining the construction scale of a head station and a tail station of a configured bus is characterized by comprising the following steps:
step 1), analyzing the demand of the first and last stations of the bus in a district range before building construction, analyzing the current situation in the district range and planning the supply of the first and last stations of the bus, and determining the supply-demand balance relationship of the first and last stations of the bus in the district range;
step 2), analyzing the bus travel demand of the building, analyzing the residual capacity of the bus which can be supplied by the bus routes around the building, and determining a supply and demand gap of the bus service of the building;
step 3), establishing a discrimination model, determining whether a first and a last bus stations need to be configured in a building, and determining a gap of the first and the last bus stations needing to be configured;
step 4), determining the construction scale supply quantity of the first and last stations of the bus which can be provided by the building;
and 5) determining the construction scale of the first and last stations of the bus allocated by the building.
2. The method for determining the construction scale of the head station and the tail station of the bus to be constructed according to claim 1, wherein the specific steps of the step 1) are as follows:
step 1.1), predicting the public transportation traffic volume according to the building area and peak hour trip rate of various properties in the district range before building construction, and predicting the first and last station demand of the public transportation in the district range before building construction;
calculating the travel of the residential buildings in the district range before the building construction according to the following formula:
Figure FDA0003113143240000011
wherein, TPVolume of travel of residential buildings in the sector before the building construction, SRBuilding area of residential nature in the sector before the construction of the building, srIs the average living area, n is the average number of people per household, rpThe peak hour trip rate of each household;
calculating the traffic of buildings with other properties in the area range before building construction according to the following formula:
Figure FDA0003113143240000012
wherein, TJTraffic of buildings of other nature in the area before the construction of the building, SjIs the building area of type j property, rjThe peak hour trip rate of the jth-property buildings per hundred square meters of building area is shown, and J is the number of the types of the buildings with different properties in the area range of the building;
calculating the total trip volume within the parcel before building construction according to the following formula:
T=TP+TJ
calculating the bus traffic in the district range before building construction according to the following formula:
TC=T*pC
wherein, TCPublic transport traffic volume, p, in the area of the building before the constructionCThe bus trip proportion is in the area range;
calculating the remaining passenger carrying capacity of the bus routes in the area according to the following formula:
Figure FDA0003113143240000021
wherein, CIThe remaining passenger capacity S of the I-way bus route in the region of the parceliFor the passenger carrying rate, O, at the time of an acceptable service level for the route bus line iiFor the way of the passenger carrying rate f of the bus stop in the area range of the bus line iiFor passing by the departure interval of the bus route i, ciThe rated passenger capacity of a bus is the rated passenger capacity of a bus route I, and the I is the total number of bus routes in the area range of the building;
calculating the bus travel demand of the first and last bus station service needing to be configured in the district range before building construction according to the following formula:
TA=TC-CI
wherein, TAThe method comprises the following steps of (1) configuring the bus travel demands of bus first and last station services in a district range before building construction;
the transport capacity of each originating bus route is calculated according to the following formula:
Figure FDA0003113143240000022
wherein p is the first-stop passenger carrying rate, c is the rated passenger carrying capacity of a single bus of the bus, and f is the departure interval in the peak time period;
calculating the area of the first and the last stations of the bus required by each starting bus line according to the following formula:
Figure FDA0003113143240000023
wherein L is the average mileage of each bus route, V is the average operation speed of the bus, lambda is the proportion of the vehicles parked at the first station, and m is the area of the first station and the last station of each standard bus;
calculating the first and last station demand of the bus in the district range before building construction according to the following formula:
Figure FDA0003113143240000024
wherein D isAThe area of the first and last stations of the bus required in the district range before building construction, C the transport capacity of each starting bus line, scThe area of the first and last bus stops required for each starting bus line;
step 1.2), calculating the supply quantity of the first and last stations of the bus within the parcel range according to the following formula according to the current situation within the parcel range and the number and area of the planned first and last stations of the bus:
Figure FDA0003113143240000031
wherein S isAThe supply quantity s of the first and the last stations of the public transport in the districtnThe area of the nth bus head and end station which is the current or planned bus in the district range;
step 1.3), analyzing the supply and demand relationship of the first and last stations of the public transport in the district range before building construction, and calculating the supply and demand gap of the first and last stations of the public transport in the district range according to the following formula:
GA=DA-SA
wherein G isAThe area of the supply and demand gap of the first and last stations of the bus in the area range before building construction, if GAIf the demand exceeds the supply, a gap exists; if G isAAnd (4) less than or equal to 0, the supply of the first and the last stations of the bus in the block is equal to or exceeds the demand, and no gap exists.
3. The method for determining the construction scale of the head and tail stations of the bus to be constructed according to claim 2, wherein S isi70% of the rated passenger capacity is taken.
4. The method for determining the construction scale of the head station and the tail station of the bus to be constructed according to claim 2, wherein the detailed steps of the step 2 are as follows:
step 2.1), calculating the bus travel demand of the building according to the following formula:
if the building is a residential building, the bus traffic is as follows:
Figure FDA0003113143240000032
wherein, TBFor the traffic of the building, SBIs the building area of the building, pCThe ratio of public transportation trips in the area range of the building;
if the building is a building with other properties, the bus traffic is as follows:
Figure FDA0003113143240000033
wherein, TBIs the amount of traffic of the building, rjPeak hourly travel rate, p, for class j property buildings per hundred square meters of building areaCThe ratio of public transportation trips in the area range of the building;
step 2.2), calculating the residual passenger carrying capacity of the bus routes within the set radius range of the building according to the following formula:
Figure FDA0003113143240000034
wherein, CBFor the building periphery IBResidual passenger capacity, I, of a bus routeBThe number of bus routes around the building;
step 2.3), calculating the supply and demand gap of the public transportation service of the building according to the following formula:
GB=TB-CB
wherein G isBGap for supply and demand of public transportation service for building, if GBIf the quantity is more than 0, the demand of the bus trip generated by the building exceeds the supply quantity, and a gap exists; if G isBLess than or equal to 0, the demand of the bus trip generated by the building is less than or equal to the supply, and no gap exists.
5. The method for determining the construction scale of the head station and the tail station of the bus to be configured according to claim 4, wherein the radius range is set to be 500 meters in the step 2.2).
6. The method for determining the construction scale of the head station and the tail station of the bus to be constructed according to claim 4, wherein the detailed steps of the step 3 are as follows:
step 3.1), judging whether a bus head and end station distinguishing model needs to be configured in a building or not is as follows:
if G isA≤0∩GBLess than or equal to 0, namely the first and last stations of the public transport in the area before the building constructionNeed to be notched GALess than or equal to 0, and a gap G for public transport service supply and demand of the buildingBIf the number is less than or equal to 0, the first and the last stations of the bus do not need to be established in the building;
if G isA≤0∩GB> 0 or GA>0∩GBLess than or equal to 0 or GA>0∩GBIf the bus station is more than 0, the first and the last bus stations need to be configured in the building;
step 3.2), the calculation method for configuring the first and last station gaps of the bus in the building is as follows:
if G isA≤0∩GBThe area of the first and last stations of the bus needing to be configured is calculated according to the following formula, wherein the area is more than 0, and the first and last stations of the bus are configured by the building mainly to meet the gap of the bus travel requirement of the building:
Figure FDA0003113143240000041
wherein D isBArea of first and last bus stops to be allocated for buildings, GBA gap for supply and demand of public transportation service for buildings, C transport capacity of each starting public transportation line, scThe area of the first and last bus stops required for each starting bus line;
if G isA>0∩GBLess than or equal to 0, the first and last stations of the public transport are allocated to the building mainly in order to make up the gaps of the first and last stations of the public transport in the block range and the area D of the first and last stations of the public transport which needs to be allocated to the buildingB=GA
If G isA>0∩GBThe area of the first and last bus stations needing to be configured is calculated according to the following formula, wherein the area is larger than 0, the first and last bus stations are configured for the building, on one hand, the gap of the first and last bus stations in the area of the block is made up, on the other hand, the gap of the bus travel requirement for the building is met:
Figure FDA0003113143240000051
7. the method for determining the construction scale of the head and end stations of the bus to be configured according to claim 6, wherein the method for calculating the supply quantity of the construction scale of the head and end stations of the bus, which can be provided by the building in the step 4), is as follows:
the building is configured with the first and last stations of the bus on the ground layer, and for plane development, the construction scale of the first and last stations of the bus, which can be provided by the building, is calculated according to the floor area of the building and the following formula:
SC=S*α
wherein S isCThe area of the first and last stations of the bus can be provided for the building, S is the area of the land of the building, and alpha is the land proportion of the first and last stations of the bus in the land of the building.
8. The method for determining the construction scale of the head and end stations of the bus to be constructed according to claim 7, wherein the method for determining the construction scale of the head and end stations of the bus to be constructed by the building in the step 5) comprises the following steps:
step 5.1), comparing the required area of the first and last stations of the bus allocated by the building with the area which can be supplied by the building, if the area is supplied SCArea D not less thanBIn order to serve the bus travel demands which are possibly increased in the area, the first and the last stations of the bus are configured according to the area which can be provided by the building;
step 5.2), comparing the required area of the first and last stations of the bus allocated by the building with the area which can be supplied by the building, if the area is supplied SC<Required area DBAnd the first and last station areas of the buses which can be provided by the building are allocated, and the rest gaps are complemented in the next city updating construction project.
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