CN110095744B - Error prediction method for electronic transformer - Google Patents
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Abstract
The invention discloses an error prediction method for an electronic transformer, which comprises the following steps: collecting error data and environmental parameter data of the electronic transformer to generate sample data, and eliminating abnormal data; carrying out standardization processing on the sample data based on a Z-score standardization method; clustering historical data of the environmental parameters, and establishing an error prediction model of the electronic transformer through training and learning; and predicting the specific difference and the angular difference of the electronic transformer based on a prediction model according to the environmental parameter value. The advantages are that: according to the error estimation method, no physical model is required to be established, on the basis of a multi-dimensional data driving method, the online estimation of the error of the electronic transformer can be realized according to the error data and the environmental parameter data of the electronic transformer, the problem that the error and the environmental parameter of the electronic transformer do not have a determined functional relation is solved, and the error prediction accuracy of the electronic transformer is improved.
Description
Technical Field
The invention belongs to the field of power transmission and distribution equipment state evaluation and fault diagnosis, and particularly relates to an electronic transformer error prediction method based on a clustering neural network.
Background
The electronic transformer is one of key devices for digital, automatic, informatization and interaction of the intelligent transformer substation. After the electronic transformer is adopted, the problem of additional error in the transmission of the electromagnetic transformer to secondary equipment is fundamentally solved through the signal transmission and the optical fiber, and the accuracy of a measuring and metering system is greatly improved. However, from the viewpoint of field operation, the accuracy problem of the electronic transformer still occupies a large proportion. Although all in-operation electronic transformers pass type tests and delivery tests, the error yield of the transformers is generally low when the transformers are installed on site, and most transformers need to be subjected to error adjustment on site. Due to the change of external environment parameters, errors of the electronic transformer are changed, the errors of the electronic transformer are inconsistent in laboratory, field off-line operation and on-line operation, the stability of the error state of the transformer is poor, and the metering reliability of the electronic transformer is seriously influenced.
The error check of the electronic transformer generally adopts a method of regular maintenance or power failure maintenance, and the electronic transformer is checked by using a standard electromagnetic transformer, and the method comprises an offline checking method and an online checking method. These calibration methods cannot evaluate the long-term operating error of the electronic transformer, are difficult to implement on site, and require heavy labor operation.
The prior art includes an electronic transformer error prediction method based on a time sequence model, and a future change trend is predicted by determining the time correlation of historical state data. However, the method does not take the effect of external factors into account, and when the external environment changes greatly, a prediction result may have a large error.
The prior art also comprises an electronic transformer error prediction method based on an error back propagation neural network, wherein an air-core coil current transformer is equivalent to a multi-input single-output system, the degradation characteristic of the transformer error is approximated based on a feedforward neural network, and the specific difference of the transformer is predicted according to a neural network model. However, this method does not consider the influence of the abnormal values in the sample data on the structure and parameters of the model, and the model has disadvantages such as being prone to fall into a local minimum value and having a slow convergence rate.
In conclusion, the prior art cannot evaluate the long-term operation error of the electronic transformer, is difficult to implement on site, needs heavy labor operation, is greatly influenced by the external environment, and has the defects of large error, unreliability and the like of the on-site prediction result.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention aims to overcome the defects of the prior art and provides an error prediction method for an electronic transformer.
To solve the above technical problems, the present invention provides
An error prediction method for an electronic transformer is characterized by comprising the following steps:
s1: collecting an error value and an environmental parameter value of the electronic transformer to generate sample data;
s2: carrying out standardization processing on sample data of the error value of the electronic transformer, and unifying the unit and magnitude of the error value of the electronic transformer and the unit and magnitude of the environmental parameter value;
clustering historical data of the environment parameters, and dividing the environment parameter data into a plurality of spaces with larger differences to obtain clustering centers of different classifications;
s3: training and learning the clustered error data and environment parameter data of the electronic transformer, and establishing a corresponding neural network to obtain a ratio difference prediction model and an angle difference prediction model of the electronic transformer;
s4: and predicting the ratio difference and the angle difference of the electronic transformer according to the environmental parameter values based on the ratio difference prediction model and the angle difference prediction model obtained by training.
Further, in step S1, the sample data distribution rule generated by the error of the electronic transformer and the environmental parameter value is uniformly expressed by β (g, h) distribution, where x is β (g, h), and x is ∈ [ a, b ], where x represents the sample data, a and b represent the minimum and maximum of the sample data, and g and h represent distribution parameters.
Further, in step S2, the sample data is normalized based on the Z-score normalization method, and the calculation formula is:where x' represents the value of the normalization process, x represents the sample data,represents the mean of the sample data, and σ represents the standard deviation of the sample data.
Further, in the step S2, K objects in the sample data are selected as clustering centers; calculating the Euclidean distance between the sample data and the clustering center:where n represents the number of sample data, xiRepresenting the sample data value, UKRepresenting a cluster center, distributing sample data to a nearest center vector according to a nearest principle, and forming disjoint clusters by the data; taking the mean value of all sample data in different clusters as a new cluster center; and iteratively calculating the Euclidean distance between the sample data and the new clustering center until the new clustering center is equal to the original clustering center or the maximum iteration number is reached.
Further, in step S3, the ratio difference or the angle difference of the electronic transformer is used as an output variable, the environment parameter data is used as an input variable, and the output of the network is used as an output variableThe number of input neurons is p, the number of output neurons is q, and the number of implicit neurons and the number of objects are equal and are K; the ith input vector of the neural network is Xi=(x1,x2,…,xp) Wherein x is1,x2,...xpAs an input vector XiOf the ith output vector is Yi=(y1,y2,…,yq) Wherein y is1,y2,...yqAs an output vector YiThe output layer weight is W ═ ω1,ω2,…,ωK]TWherein ω is1,ω2,...ωKAs elements of the initial output layer weight vector W, the basis function center value is the cluster center [ U ]1,U2,…,UK]TWherein U is1,U2,…,UKT represents the transpose of the matrix as an element of the cluster center.
Further, the mapping function of the implicit neurons is a gaussian function:
wherein j is 1,2, …, K, UjAs an element of the cluster center, σ2Is the standard deviation of the cluster center element;
and according to the weight of the output layer and the mapping function, solving the output of the neural network as follows:ωjobtaining the final weight W of the output layer of the neural network according to the least square method for the elements of the weight vector W of the initial output layern=[w1,w2,…,wk]TWherein w is1,w2,…,wKRepresents the final output layer weight vector WnOf (2) is used.
Further, the environmental parameter value Ci=(c1,c2,…,cp) Substituting the input of the neural network established in the step S3, and predicting the ratio difference or angular difference of the electronic transformerThe values are:using the error actual value f of the electronic transformeriFor reference, the prediction error is calculated:wherein, c1,c2,…,cpElements representing environmental parameters, wjN is the number of compute points, which are the elements of the final output layer weight vector.
An error prediction system of an electronic transformer is characterized by comprising a data acquisition module, a standardization processing and clustering processing module, a prediction model establishing module and a prediction module which are sequentially connected;
the data acquisition module is used for acquiring an error value and an environmental parameter value of the electronic transformer to generate sample data;
the standardization processing and clustering processing module is used for standardizing sample data of an error value of the electronic transformer, unifying the unit and magnitude of the error value of the electronic transformer and the unit and magnitude of an environmental parameter value, clustering historical data of the environmental parameter, and dividing the environmental parameter data into a plurality of spaces with large differences to obtain clustering centers of different classifications;
the prediction model establishing module is used for training and learning the error data and the environmental parameter data of the electronic transformer after clustering, and establishing a corresponding neural network to obtain a specific difference prediction model and an angular difference prediction model of the electronic transformer;
and the prediction module predicts the specific difference and the angular difference of the electronic transformer according to the environmental parameter value based on the specific difference prediction model and the angular difference prediction model obtained by training.
Furthermore, the distribution rule of the sample data generated by the error of the electronic transformer and the environmental parameter value is uniformly expressed by adopting beta (g, h) distribution, x-beta (g, h), and x belongs to [ a, b ], wherein x represents the sample data, a and b represent the minimum value and the maximum value of the sample data, and g and h represent distribution parameters.
Go toStep one, the standardization processing and clustering processing module adopts a Z-score-based standardization method to standardize sample data, and the calculation formula is as follows:where x' represents the value of the normalization process, x represents the sample data,represents the mean of the sample data, σ represents the standard deviation of the sample data;
the standardization processing and clustering processing module selects K objects in the sample data as clustering centers; calculating the Euclidean distance between the sample data and the clustering center:where n represents the number of sample data, xiRepresenting the sample data value, UKRepresenting a cluster center, distributing sample data to a nearest center vector according to a nearest principle, and forming disjoint clusters by the data; taking the mean value of all sample data in different clusters as a new cluster center; and iteratively calculating the Euclidean distance between the sample data and the new clustering center until the new clustering center is equal to the original clustering center or the maximum iteration number is reached.
Furthermore, the prediction model building module is used for taking the ratio difference or the angle difference of the electronic transformer as an output variable, taking the environment parameter data as an input variable, taking the number of input neurons of the network as p, taking the number of output neurons as q, and taking the number of implicit neurons and the number of objects which are equal to each other as K; the ith input vector of the neural network is Xi=(x1,x2,…,xp) Wherein x is1,x2,...xpAs an input vector XiOf the ith output vector is Yi=(y1,y2,…,yq) Wherein y is1,y2,...yqAs an output vector YiThe output layer weight is W ═ ω1,ω2,…,ωK]TWherein ω is1,ω2,...ωKAs elements of the initial output layer weight vector W, the basis function center value is the cluster center [ U ]1,U2,…,UK]TWherein U is1,U2,…,UKT represents the transpose of the matrix, an element of the cluster center;
the mapping function of the implicit neurons is a gaussian function:
wherein j is 1,2, …, K, UjAs an element of the cluster center, σ2And calculating the output of the neural network according to the output layer weight and the mapping function as the standard deviation of the clustering center elements:ωjobtaining the final weight W of the output layer of the neural network according to the least square method for the elements of the weight vector W of the initial output layern=[w1,w2,…,wk]TWherein w is1,w2,…,wKRepresents the final output layer weight vector WnOf (2) is used.
Further, the prediction module predicts an environmental parameter value Ci=(c1,c2,…,cp) Substituting the input of the neural network established in the step S4, and the predicted value of the ratio difference or the angular difference of the electronic transformer is:using the error actual value f of the electronic transformeriFor reference, the prediction error is calculated:wherein, c1,c2,…,cpElements representing environmental parameters, wjN is the number of compute points, which are the elements of the final output layer weight vector.
The invention achieves the following beneficial effects:
according to the error estimation method, no physical model is required to be established, on the basis of a multi-dimensional data driving method, the online estimation of the error of the electronic transformer can be realized according to the error data and the environmental parameter data of the electronic transformer, the problem that the error and the environmental parameter of the electronic transformer do not have a determined functional relation is solved, and the error prediction accuracy of the electronic transformer is improved.
Drawings
FIG. 1 is a schematic flow chart of an embodiment of the present invention;
FIG. 2 is a schematic diagram of an error state monitoring platform of the electronic transformer;
FIGS. 3(a), (b), (c), (d) and (f) are the results of clustering calculations of temperature, humidity, vibration, magnetic field and load parameters, respectively;
FIGS. 4(a) and (b) are neural network iteration results of a specific difference prediction model and an angular difference prediction model, respectively;
fig. 5(a) and (b) are a specific difference prediction result and an angular difference prediction result, respectively, of the electronic transformer according to the present invention;
the system comprises an air-core coil current transformer 1, an electromagnetic current transformer 2, an environment monitoring unit 3, an optical fiber remote transmission unit 4, a signal acquisition unit 5, a data processing unit 6, a time synchronization unit 7, a switch 8 and a server 9.
Detailed Description
The invention is further described below with reference to the accompanying drawings. The following examples are only for illustrating the technical solutions of the present invention more clearly, and the protection scope of the present invention is not limited thereby.
An electronic transformer error prediction method based on a clustering neural network comprises the following steps:
step 1: acquiring an error value and an environmental parameter value of the electronic transformer to generate a sample, and rejecting abnormal data in the sample based on beta (g, h) distribution;
the value range of the sample data capacity is 10000 to infinity, and preferably, the sample capacity can be selected to be 15000.
The distribution rule of sample data generated by the error of the electronic transformer and the environmental parameter value is uniformly expressed by adopting beta (g, h) distribution, namely x-beta (g, h), x belongs to [ a, b ], wherein x represents the sample data, a and b represent the minimum value and the maximum value of the sample data, and g and h represent distribution parameters.
Let u be (x-a)/(x-b), the estimates of distribution parameters g and h are:wherein the content of the first and second substances,the mean value of u is represented by,represents the variance of u.
Estimation of sample data distribution rangeComprises the following steps:wherein the content of the first and second substances,σ is the standard deviation of the sample data, which is the mean of the sample data. If the sample data value is inAndotherwise, the data is judged to be abnormal data and is removed.
Step 2: based on a Z-score standardization method, carrying out standardization processing on the sample data after the abnormal data are removed, and unifying the unit and magnitude of the error value and the environmental parameter value of the electronic transformer;
the method is characterized in that the sample data after the abnormal data are removed is subjected to standardization processing based on a Z-score standardization method, and is a methodThe difference between the number of fractions and the mean is divided by the standard deviation, and the calculation formula is as follows:
and step 3: clustering historical data of the environment parameters, and dividing the environment parameter data into a plurality of spaces with larger differences to obtain clustering centers of different classifications;
selecting K objects in the sample data as clustering centers, wherein the value range of K is 1-4, and preferably K is 4; calculating the Euclidean distance between the sample data and the clustering center:where n represents the number of sample data, xiRepresenting the sample data value, UjRepresenting a cluster center, distributing sample data to a nearest center vector according to a nearest principle, and forming disjoint clusters by the data; taking the mean value of all sample data in the K categories as a new clustering center; and iteratively calculating the Euclidean distance between the sample data and the new clustering center until the new clustering center is equal to the original clustering center or the maximum iteration number is reached.
And 4, step 4: training and learning the clustered error data and environment parameter data of the electronic transformer, and establishing a corresponding neural network to obtain a ratio difference prediction model and an angle difference prediction model of the electronic transformer;
and establishing a radial basis function neural network by training and learning by taking the specific difference or the angular difference of the electronic transformer as an output variable and taking the environmental parameter data as an input variable. The number of input neurons of the network is p, the number of output neurons is q, the number of implicit neurons is K, the value range of p is 2-5, preferably, p is 5, and q is 1; the ith input vector of the neural network is Xi=(x1,x2,…,xp) The ith output vector is Yi=(y1,y2,…,yq) The output layer weight is W ═ ω1,ω2,…,ωK]TCenter value of basis functionAs a cluster center [ U1,U2,…Uj...,UK]T(ii) a The mapping function of the implicit neurons is a gaussian function:wherein the content of the first and second substances,according to the output layer weight and the mapping function, the output of the neural network can be obtained as follows:obtaining the final weight W of the output layer of the neural network according to the least square methodn=[w1,w2,…,wk]T……(7)。
And 5: and predicting the ratio difference and the angle difference of the electronic transformer according to the environmental parameter value based on the prediction model obtained by training.
Will depend on the environmental parameter value Ci=(c1,c2,…,cp) Substituting the input of the neural network established in the step S4, and the predicted value of the ratio difference or the angular difference of the electronic transformer is:using the error actual value f of the electronic transformeriFor reference, the prediction error is calculated:where N is the number of calculation points.
The invention is further described with reference to the following figures and specific examples. The examples are illustrative and are intended to be illustrative of the invention and should not be construed as limiting the invention.
As shown in fig. 1, the error of the electronic transformer is predicted according to the following steps:
(1) and (3) establishing an error state monitoring platform of the electronic transformer shown in fig. 2, and acquiring error data and environmental parameter data of the electronic transformer. The platform includes: the system comprises an environment monitoring unit 3, an optical fiber remote transmission unit 4, a signal acquisition unit 5, a data processing unit 6 and a time synchronization unit 7. A0.2-level air-core coil current transformer 1 and a 0.2-level electromagnetic current transformer 2 are installed in the platform. The output of the electromagnetic current transformer 2 is used as a standard signal, and the comparison result of the error of the hollow coil current transformer 1 can be obtained. The environment monitoring unit 3 can collect environment parameters of the installation position of the mutual inductor, including parameters such as temperature, humidity, vibration, magnetic field and the like; the optical fiber remote transmission unit 4 standardizes the data of the environment monitoring unit and sends the data to a data processing unit 6; the data processing unit 6 transmits the data to the server 9 through the switch 8, and the monitoring data are stored in the server 9; the signal acquisition unit 5 acquires output data of the digitalized electromagnetic current transformer 2; the data processing unit 6 receives the output data of the signal acquisition unit 5 and the sampling value message data of the air-core coil current transformer 1 at the same time. Constructing an original random matrix D according to the environmental parameters and the error data of the hollow coil current transformer 1; the clock synchronization unit 7 constructs a synchronous clock system of the whole system and is responsible for synchronizing the optical fiber remote transmission unit 4, the data processing unit 6 and the signal acquisition unit 5. And (3) eliminating 2 groups of abnormal data in the data sample by using a formula (1) and a formula (2).
(2) And (4) carrying out standardization processing on the sample data after the abnormal data are removed by using a formula (3), and unifying the unit and the magnitude of the error value of the electronic transformer and the unit and the magnitude of the environmental parameter value.
(3) And (5) repeatedly iterating by using the formula (4) to obtain a clustering center of the environment parameter, wherein a clustering result is shown in figure 3.
(4) The specific difference or angular difference of the electronic transformer is used as an output variable, the temperature, the humidity, the vibration, the magnetic field and the load parameter are used as input variables, the weights of the output layers of the neural network are calculated by using the formulas (5) to (7), the clustering neural network is established, and the iteration result of the neural network is shown in fig. 4.
(5) The environment parameters are substituted into the neural network, the ratio difference or the angular difference of the electronic transformer is predicted by using the formula (8), the prediction result is shown in fig. 5, and it can be seen that the maximum absolute value of the ratio difference prediction error is 0.05%, and the maximum absolute value of the angular difference prediction error is 9.5'. By taking the error true value of the electronic transformer as a reference and calculating the prediction error by using the formula (9), the specific error prediction error can reach 7.4 percent, the angular difference prediction error can reach 9.5 percent, and the prediction result is consistent with the actual value. As will be appreciated by one skilled in the art, embodiments of the present application may be provided as a method, system, or computer program product. Accordingly, the present application may take the form of an entirely hardware embodiment, an entirely software embodiment or an embodiment combining software and hardware aspects. Furthermore, the present application may take the form of a computer program product embodied on one or more computer-usable storage media (including, but not limited to, disk storage, CD-ROM, optical storage, and the like) having computer-usable program code embodied therein.
The present application is described with reference to flowchart illustrations and/or block diagrams of methods, apparatus (systems), and computer program products according to embodiments of the application. It will be understood that each flow and/or block of the flow diagrams and/or block diagrams, and combinations of flows and/or blocks in the flow diagrams and/or block diagrams, can be implemented by computer program instructions. These computer program instructions may be provided to a processor of a general purpose computer, special purpose computer, embedded processor, or other programmable data processing apparatus to produce a machine, such that the instructions, which execute via the processor of the computer or other programmable data processing apparatus, create means for implementing the functions specified in the flowchart flow or flows and/or block diagram block or blocks.
These computer program instructions may also be stored in a computer-readable memory that can direct a computer or other programmable data processing apparatus to function in a particular manner, such that the instructions stored in the computer-readable memory produce an article of manufacture including instruction means which implement the function specified in the flowchart flow or flows and/or block diagram block or blocks.
These computer program instructions may also be loaded onto a computer or other programmable data processing apparatus to cause a series of operational steps to be performed on the computer or other programmable apparatus to produce a computer implemented process such that the instructions which execute on the computer or other programmable apparatus provide steps for implementing the functions specified in the flowchart flow or flows and/or block diagram block or blocks. The above description is only a preferred embodiment of the present invention, and it should be noted that, for those skilled in the art, several modifications and variations can be made without departing from the technical principle of the present invention, and these modifications and variations should also be regarded as the protection scope of the present invention.
Claims (10)
1. An error prediction method for an electronic transformer is characterized by comprising the following steps:
s1: collecting an error value and an environmental parameter value of the electronic transformer to generate sample data;
s2: carrying out standardization processing on sample data of the error value of the electronic transformer, and unifying the unit and magnitude of the error value of the electronic transformer and the unit and magnitude of the environmental parameter value;
clustering historical data of the environment parameters, and dividing the environment parameter data into a plurality of spaces with larger differences to obtain clustering centers of different classifications;
s3: training and learning the clustered error data and environment parameter data of the electronic transformer, and establishing a corresponding neural network to obtain a ratio difference prediction model and an angle difference prediction model of the electronic transformer;
in step S3, the ratio difference or the angle difference of the electronic transformer is used as an output variable, the environment parameter data is used as an input variable, the number of input neurons of the network is p, the number of output neurons is q, and the number of implicit neurons and the number of objects are equal and are K; the ith input vector of the neural network is Xi=(x1,x2,…,xp) Wherein x is1,x2,...xpAs an input vector XiOf the ith output vector is Yi=(y1,y2,…,yq) Wherein y is1,y2,...yqAs an output vector YiThe output layer weight is W ═ ω1,ω2,…,ωK]TWherein ω is1,ω2,...ωKAs elements of the initial output layer weight vector W, the basis function center value is the cluster center [ U ]1,U2,…,UK]TWherein U is1,U2,…,UKT represents the transpose of the matrix, an element of the cluster center;
s4: and predicting the ratio difference and the angle difference of the electronic transformer according to the environmental parameter values based on the ratio difference prediction model and the angle difference prediction model obtained by training.
2. The method for predicting the error of the electronic transformer according to claim 1, wherein in step S1, the sample data distribution rules generated by the error of the electronic transformer and the environmental parameter values are uniformly expressed by β (g, h) distribution, x- β (g, h), x ∈ a, b ], where x represents the sample data, a and b represent the minimum and maximum values of the sample data, and g and h represent the distribution parameters.
3. The electronic transformer error prediction method of claim 1, wherein in step S2, the sample data is normalized based on a Z-score normalization method, and the calculation formula is:where x' represents the value of the normalization process, x represents the sample data,represents the mean of the sample data, and σ represents the standard deviation of the sample data.
4. The electronic transformer error prediction method according to claim 1, wherein in step S2, K objects in the sample data are selected as clustering centers; calculating the Euclidean distance between the sample data and the clustering center:where n represents the number of sample data, xiRepresenting the sample data value, UKRepresenting a cluster center, distributing sample data to a nearest center vector according to a nearest principle, and forming disjoint clusters by the data; taking the mean value of all sample data in different clusters as a new cluster center; and iteratively calculating the Euclidean distance between the sample data and the new clustering center until the new clustering center is equal to the original clustering center or the maximum iteration number is reached.
5. The electronic transformer error prediction method of claim 1, wherein the mapping function of the implicit neurons is a gaussian function:
wherein j is 1,2, …, K, UjAs an element of the cluster center, σ2Is the standard deviation of the cluster center element;
and according to the weight of the output layer and the mapping function, solving the output of the neural network as follows:ωjobtaining the final weight W of the output layer of the neural network according to the least square method for the elements of the weight vector W of the initial output layern=[w1,w2,…,wk]TWherein w is1,w2,…,wKRepresents the final output layer weight vector WnOf (2) is used.
6. The electronic transformer error prediction method of claim 5, wherein the environmental parameter value C isi=(c1,c2,…,cp) Substituting the input of the neural network established in the step S3, and the predicted value of the ratio difference or the angular difference of the electronic transformer is:using the error actual value f of the electronic transformeriFor reference, the prediction error is calculated:wherein, c1,c2,…,cpElements representing environmental parameters, wjN is the number of compute points, which are the elements of the final output layer weight vector.
7. An error prediction system of an electronic transformer is characterized by comprising a data acquisition module, a standardization processing and clustering processing module, a prediction model establishing module and a prediction module which are sequentially connected;
the data acquisition module is used for acquiring an error value and an environmental parameter value of the electronic transformer to generate sample data;
the standardization processing and clustering processing module is used for standardizing sample data of an error value of the electronic transformer, unifying the unit and magnitude of the error value of the electronic transformer and the unit and magnitude of an environmental parameter value, clustering historical data of the environmental parameter, and dividing the environmental parameter data into a plurality of spaces with large differences to obtain clustering centers of different classifications;
the prediction model establishing module is used for training and learning the error data and the environmental parameter data of the electronic transformer after clustering, and establishing a corresponding neural network to obtain a specific difference prediction model and an angular difference prediction model of the electronic transformer;
the prediction model establishing module is used for taking the ratio difference or the angle difference of the electronic transformer as an output variable and taking the environment parameter data as an input variable, the number of input neurons of the network is p, the number of output neurons of the network is q, and the number of implicit neurons and the number of objects which are equal are K; the ith input vector of the neural network is Xi=(x1,x2,…,xp) Wherein x is1,x2,...xpAs an input vector XiOf the ith output vector is Yi=(y1,y2,…,yq) Wherein y is1,y2,...yqAs an output vector YiThe output layer weight is W ═ ω1,ω2,…,ωK]TWherein ω is1,ω2,...ωKAs elements of the initial output layer weight vector W, the basis function center value is the cluster center [ U ]1,U2,…,UK]TWherein U is1,U2,…,UKT represents the transpose of the matrix, an element of the cluster center;
the mapping function of the implicit neurons is a gaussian function:
wherein j is 1,2, …, K, UjAs an element of the cluster center, σ2And calculating the output of the neural network according to the output layer weight and the mapping function as the standard deviation of the clustering center elements:ωjobtaining the final weight W of the output layer of the neural network according to the least square method for the elements of the weight vector W of the initial output layern=[w1,w2,…,wk]TWherein w is1,w2,…,wKRepresents the final output layer weight vector WnAn element of (1);
and the prediction module predicts the specific difference and the angular difference of the electronic transformer according to the environmental parameter value based on the specific difference prediction model and the angular difference prediction model obtained by training.
8. The electronic transformer error prediction system of claim 7, wherein the sample data distribution rule generated by the electronic transformer error and the environmental parameter value is uniformly expressed by using β (g, h) distribution, x- β (g, h), x ∈ [ a, b ], where x represents sample data, a and b represent the minimum and maximum values of the sample data, and g and h represent distribution parameters.
9. The electronic transformer error prediction system of claim 7, wherein the normalization processing and clustering processing module normalizes the sample data by a Z-score-based normalization method, and the calculation formula is:where x' represents the value of the normalization process, x represents the sample data,represents the mean of the sample data, σ represents the standard deviation of the sample data;
the standardization processing and clustering processing module selects K objects in the sample data as clustering centers; calculating the Euclidean distance between the sample data and the clustering center:where n represents the number of sample data, xiRepresenting the sample data value, UKRepresenting a cluster center, distributing sample data to a nearest center vector according to a nearest principle, and forming disjoint clusters by the data; taking the mean value of all sample data in different clusters as a new cluster center; and iteratively calculating the Euclidean distance between the sample data and the new clustering center until the new clustering center is equal to the original clustering center or the maximum iteration number is reached.
10. The electronic transformer error prediction system of claim 7, wherein the prediction module transforms the environmental parameter value Ci=(c1,c2,…,cp) Substituting the input of the neural network established in the step S4, and the predicted value of the ratio difference or the angular difference of the electronic transformer is:wjn is the number of compute points, which are the elements of the final output layer weight vector.
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