WO2022110913A1 - Method and apparatus for constructing emergency deduction graph structure, and method and apparatus for emergency deduction - Google Patents

Method and apparatus for constructing emergency deduction graph structure, and method and apparatus for emergency deduction Download PDF

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WO2022110913A1
WO2022110913A1 PCT/CN2021/112850 CN2021112850W WO2022110913A1 WO 2022110913 A1 WO2022110913 A1 WO 2022110913A1 CN 2021112850 W CN2021112850 W CN 2021112850W WO 2022110913 A1 WO2022110913 A1 WO 2022110913A1
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scenario
deduction
emergency
graph structure
elements
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PCT/CN2021/112850
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French (fr)
Chinese (zh)
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陈涛
梁漫春
***
张辉
王璐阳
许文哲
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清华大学
北京辰安科技股份有限公司
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Publication of WO2022110913A1 publication Critical patent/WO2022110913A1/en

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    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/04—Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem"
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00—Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/10—Services
    • G06Q50/26—Government or public services
    • G06Q50/265—Personal security, identity or safety
    • Y—GENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
    • Y02—TECHNOLOGIES OR APPLICATIONS FOR MITIGATION OR ADAPTATION AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE
    • Y02A—TECHNOLOGIES FOR ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE
    • Y02A10/00—TECHNOLOGIES FOR ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE at coastal zones; at river basins
    • Y02A10/40—Controlling or monitoring, e.g. of flood or hurricane; Forecasting, e.g. risk assessment or mapping

Definitions

  • the present application relates to the technical field of scenario deduction for emergencies, and in particular, to a method and device for constructing a graph structure of emergencies and deducing emergencies.
  • Scenario deduction technology is an effective supply to solve this difficulty.
  • scenario deduction technology the possible development trend of emergencies can be deduced, and the results of different emergency response plans can be simulated to guide emergency response decisions.
  • the present application aims to solve one of the technical problems in the related art at least to a certain extent.
  • the first objective of the present application is to propose a method for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure. It includes the following steps: acquiring an emergency case, and acquiring multiple key process events of the emergency case according to a preset classification category; extracting the scenario elements of the multiple key process events; acquiring the attribute relationship of the scenario elements , constructing a derivation graph structure according to the scene elements and the attribute relationship of the scene elements.
  • the preset classification categories include, but are not limited to, occurrence events, bearers, emergency management, and disaster-pregnancy environments.
  • the acquiring the attribute relationship of the scenario elements, constructing a deduction graph structure according to the scenario elements and the attribute relationship of the scenario elements include:
  • the derivation graph structure is constructed according to the attribute relationship of the context elements, the relationship between the context elements and the key data, and the rules and models.
  • the second purpose of this application is to propose a method for deriving emergencies.
  • Applying the above-mentioned deduction diagram structure includes the following steps: obtaining relevant information of the current emergency, and constructing an initial scenario of the current emergency according to the relevant information; selecting at least one necessary scenario element in the initial scenario, and using The deduction map structure is used for scenario deduction until the scenario deduction is completed.
  • the method further includes:
  • the process of the scenario deduction is analyzed and evaluated, and the evaluation result is sent to the target device.
  • the third objective of the present application is to provide an apparatus for constructing an emergency event deduction graph structure. It includes: a first acquisition module, used to acquire an emergency case, and acquire multiple key process events of the emergency case according to a preset classification category; an extraction module, used to extract the scenarios of the multiple key process events Elements; a building module for acquiring the attribute relationship of the scenario elements, and constructing a derivation graph structure according to the scenario elements and the attribute relationships of the scenario elements.
  • the preset classification categories include, but are not limited to, occurrence events, bearers, emergency management, and disaster-pregnancy environments.
  • the construction module further includes:
  • a first determining unit configured to determine the law of promoting the development of the scenario according to the attribute relationship of the scenario elements
  • a second determining unit configured to acquire key data for promoting the development of the scenario according to the law for promoting the development of the scenario, and determine the rules and models for promoting the development of the scenario according to the key data;
  • a construction unit configured to construct the derivation graph structure according to the attribute relationship of the scenario element, the relationship between the scenario element and the key data, and the rule and the model.
  • the apparatus for constructing an emergency derivation graph structure of the present application further includes:
  • the second obtaining module is used to obtain the deduction map structure corresponding to each type of emergencies
  • the generation module is used to establish the connection relationship of each deduction graph structure according to the correlation of various emergencies, and generate the overall deduction graph structure.
  • the fourth objective of the present application is to provide a deduction device for emergencies. It includes: a building module for acquiring relevant information of the current emergency, and constructing an initial scenario of the current emergency according to the relevant information; a deduction module for selecting at least one necessary scenario element in the initial scenario , and perform scenario deduction through the deduction diagram structure until the scenario deduction is completed.
  • the emergency event deduction apparatus of the present application further includes:
  • the analysis module is used to analyze and evaluate the process of the scenario deduction, and send the evaluation result to the target device.
  • the beneficial effects of the present application may include: the construction method of the present application, by classifying and extracting elements, can avoid the problems of omission, insufficient comprehensiveness and insufficient system when extracting the scene elements;
  • the deduction diagram structure constructed by the above construction method is used for deduction, which can make decision analysis on emergencies and provide a reference for real emergency response.
  • FIG. 1 is a schematic flowchart of a method for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in an exemplary embodiment of the present application
  • FIG. 2 is a schematic flowchart of a method for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in a specific exemplary embodiment of the present application
  • Fig. 3 is a schematic diagram of the structure of an emergency deduction diagram of the application.
  • FIG. 4 is a schematic flowchart of a method for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in another exemplary embodiment of the present application
  • FIG. 5 is a schematic flowchart of a method for deriving an emergency event in yet another exemplary embodiment of the present application.
  • FIG. 6 is a schematic flowchart of a method for deriving an emergency in yet another exemplary embodiment of the present application.
  • FIG. 7 is a schematic structural diagram of an apparatus for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in an exemplary embodiment of the present application.
  • FIG. 8 is a schematic structural diagram of an apparatus for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in a specific exemplary embodiment of the present application.
  • FIG. 9 is a schematic structural diagram of an apparatus for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in another exemplary embodiment of the present application.
  • FIG. 10 is a schematic structural diagram of an emergency event deduction apparatus in yet another exemplary embodiment of the present application.
  • FIG. 11 is a schematic structural diagram of an emergency event deduction apparatus in still another exemplary embodiment of the present application.
  • FIG. 1 is a schematic flowchart of a method for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in an exemplary embodiment of the present application. As shown in Figure 1, the construction method may include:
  • step S101 an emergency case is acquired, and a plurality of key process events of the emergency case are acquired according to a preset classification category.
  • the emergency cases used for extraction may include emergency plans and/or emergencies that have occurred, and the acquired key process events may promote the development of scenarios during the occurrence of emergencies Events; multiple preset classification categories can be set, and one preset classification category can include multiple subcategories. For example, for the entire process of an emergency, the emergency is divided into key process events that are related to each other. Process event two and key process event three, key process event one, key process event two and key process event three may constitute the acquired emergency event.
  • the existing emergency scenario deduction model system usually only focuses on the extraction of scenario elements and the relationship between them. Although this model system can sort out and display the scenario development and transformation process in emergencies, However, because the scene elements are not selected to be classified and extracted, the problems of omission, incomplete extraction and unsystematic extraction methods often occur in the extraction of scene elements.
  • the scene elements can be extracted by classification, thereby improving the accuracy of scene element extraction.
  • Step S102 extracting scenario elements of multiple key process events.
  • a situational element is an entity, phenomenon or action that participates in the situation and contributes to the development of the situation.
  • scenario elements if the scenario elements are extracted from the emergency response to power-related emergencies, the scenario elements can be used to represent the emergency response scenarios of power-related emergencies under emergencies.
  • Scenario elements are extracted from the emergency event of a fuel storage tank fire accident in an airport.
  • the extracted scenario elements include fuel oil (entity), fire (phenomenon) and wind (natural phenomenon).
  • step 102 may further include the following steps:
  • fire related words such as burning and fire and other scenario factors
  • disaster storage tanks and affected storage tanks and other scenario factors are uniformly named as carrying storage tanks.
  • step S103 the attribute relationship of the scene elements is acquired, and a deduction graph structure is constructed according to the scene elements and the attribute relationship of the scene elements.
  • the attribute relationship of the scene elements includes: the subordination relationship between the scene elements and their own attributes, and the relationship between different scene elements that have an impact on other scene elements due to changes in their own attributes; The subordination relationship of its own attributes, and the relationship between different scene elements that affect other scene elements due to their own attribute changes, build a deduction graph structure.
  • the method for constructing the structure of the emergency derivation graph in this exemplary embodiment can improve the situation by obtaining multiple key process events of the emergency case according to the preset classification category before extracting the scene elements.
  • the accuracy of the element extraction target, reducing the extraction process of unnecessary scene elements, and by extracting the scene elements of multiple key process events, the purpose of classifying and extracting the scene elements is also achieved, and the corresponding multi-type scene elements are obtained. It is convenient to avoid the problems of omission, insufficient comprehensiveness and insufficient system when extracting scenario elements. Therefore, the subsequent deduction graph structure constructed according to the attribute relationship of scenario elements and scenario elements can be used to realize scenario deduction for current emergencies.
  • the preset classification categories may include multiple types of occurrence events, bearers, emergency management, and disaster-pregnancy environments, and multiple key process events of the emergency case are acquired according to the preset classification categories, and after extracting the multiple
  • the key process event is the scenario element
  • the events that can be extracted under the occurrence of the event can include: disaster development events, disaster transition events, and disasters (including primary disasters and derived disasters) impact events on the carrier; emergency management can be carried out.
  • the events extracted from the scenario elements can include emergency response to the occurrence, emergency response to the carrier, emergency response to the surrounding environment, material support, personnel support and equipment support.
  • the scene elements that can be extracted under the event include fire and fuel
  • the scene elements that can be extracted under the carrier include disaster-affected storage tanks, disaster-affected personnel and other scene elements.
  • Emergency management Scenario elements that can be extracted under the following conditions include command center, fire station, and fire truck.
  • multiple key process events of the emergency case are obtained through preset classification categories (the preset classification categories may include occurrence events, bearers, emergency management and disaster-pregnancy environments), and then respectively. Extracting the corresponding scene elements for multiple key process events is convenient to avoid the problems of omission, insufficient comprehensiveness and insufficient system when extracting scene elements, which can further improve the accuracy and targetness of the extracted scene elements, and improve the extraction efficiency. .
  • FIG. 2 is a schematic flowchart of a method for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in another specific exemplary embodiment of the present application.
  • step S103 may specifically include the following steps:
  • step S201 the law of promoting the development of the scenario is determined according to the attribute relationship of the scenario elements.
  • the attribute relationship of the scene elements includes: the subordination relationship between the scene elements and their own attributes, and the relationship between different scene elements that have an impact on other scene elements due to changes in their own attributes; the law of scene development is from a The causal relationship before the scenario changes to another scenario, for example: how does the development of the disaster change to the reduction of the disaster, and if the carrier changes from the normal state to the disaster-stricken state; in order to show the development law of these scenarios, it is necessary to base on the relationship between the scenario elements.
  • the size of the fire can promote the change of the state of the disaster-bearing carrier, and the size of the fire extinguishing intensity can promote the change of the size of the fire.
  • the emergency event derivation graph structure in the related art usually only focuses on the extraction of the relationship between the elements, only on the qualitative description, and not on the quantitative description.
  • the scenario deduction of the deduction map structure it is necessary to consider the quantitative description of the scenario elements.
  • the quantitative description can make the scenario deduction of the deduced graph structure have a higher reference value.
  • step S202 according to the law for promoting the development of the scenario, key data for promoting the development of the scenario is obtained, and the rules and models for promoting the development of the scenario are determined according to the key data.
  • the scenario development can be promoted, and the model and rules are used to calculate the key data.
  • the model and rules for calculating the key data can be determined. For example, the fire size of a full-level tank fire can be calculated by using the full-level tank fire model, but the preparation time for the dispatch of firepower has not been determined.
  • the model is determined by the rules, so the model and the rules can be transformed.
  • the key events include the combustion of aviation fuel storage tanks and the combustion heat radiation of fuel storage tanks. Firstly, the key event of aviation fuel storage tank combustion is analyzed. The key data to characterize the development of this event is the size of the central fire, that is, the flame height. In the scenario deduction, the model used is the storage tank combustion flame height model.
  • the scenario elements included in this key event are: from the analysis of the occurrence event, the scenario elements involved include fuel oil and fire, and the attributes of the involved scenario elements include fuel type, fuel surface burning rate, and flame height of fire, etc.; this key event does not involve Disaster-bearing carriers and scenario elements under emergency management; from the analysis of the disaster-pregnant environment, the involved scenario elements and element attributes are wind and wind speed. According to this idea, analyze the remaining key events one by one until the analysis of the process events is completed, and determine the elements, element attributes and mutual connections in the whole process of emergency response to emergencies.
  • the context elements and the relationship between the context elements are usually placed in two databases respectively, and then the relationship between the database tables is established between the two databases, which will cause greater redundancy, and will not be effective. It is convenient for the management and maintenance of the library, and the invocation is also inconvenient.
  • the relationship among the context elements, the attributes of the context elements, the rules, the model, and the necessary attributes is formed into a network graph through the graph structure as a derivation graph structure.
  • reduce the redundancy of the library facilitate the invocation in use, and can support the rapid application of the deduction diagram structure in the deduction implementation of the scenario.
  • step S203 a derivation graph structure is constructed according to the attribute relationship of the scene elements, the relationship between the scene elements and key data, and the rules and models.
  • the relationships included in the constructed graph structure include: the attribute relationship of the scene elements, the relationship between the scene elements caused by the rules and models to the attributes of the scene elements, and the attribute relationship of the scene elements also includes the scene elements and The subordination relationship of its own attributes, and the relationship between different scene elements that affect other scene elements due to their own attribute changes; according to the above relationship, in the process of constructing the graph structure, the scene elements are regarded as nodes, and each relationship is regarded as a node. After sorting out and integrating, a deduction diagram structure is formed.
  • the emergency deduction diagram structure formed by the diagram structure can be shown in Figure 3, and the scenario elements can include fuel oil, fire, command center, fire truck, carrying personnel, and carrying storage.
  • the dependencies of the scenario elements shown in Figure 3 are the attributes of the scenario elements, the attributes of the fuel (shown as dependencies of the fuel in Figure 3) can include the surface burn rate and the type of fuel, when the attributes of the fuel (in Figure 3 The fire is caused when it reaches the necessary properties of causing a fire.
  • different rescue plans can be set based on the conditions of the initial scenario, for example: during the scenario deduction process , when the flame height drops to 0, it can be considered that the fire extinguishing is over and the deduction is completed. Different rescue methods will lead to different rescue results. By analyzing and comparing the deduction process and results of different rescue plans, you can make decision analysis on accidents and provide reference for real tank fire disposal.
  • the method for constructing the structure of the emergency derivation graph in this exemplary embodiment focuses on the extraction of the relationship between the scene elements, adding the attributes of the scene elements and the key data that promotes the development and transformation of the scene.
  • a series of quantitative descriptions make the scenario deduction of the deduction graph structure have a higher reference value.
  • step S104 the derivation graph structure corresponding to each type of emergencies is obtained.
  • step S105 according to the correlation of various types of emergencies, the connection relationship of each deduction graph structure is established, and the overall deduction graph structure is generated.
  • FIG. 5 is a schematic flowchart of a method for deriving an emergency event in yet another exemplary embodiment of the present application.
  • the derivation method may include:
  • step S301 relevant information of the current emergency event is obtained, and an initial scenario of the current emergency event is constructed according to it.
  • the relevant information may include all the acquired historical information of the current emergency, and the historical information may be all the information from the occurrence of the current emergency to the present.
  • step S302 at least one necessary scenario element in the initial scenario is selected, and scenario deduction is performed through the deduction graph structure until the scenario deduction is completed.
  • the method for derivation of emergencies in this exemplary embodiment can realize the analysis and evaluation of the scenario derivation process, and can make decision analysis on accidents, and provide a powerful reference for real accident handling.
  • FIG. 6 is a schematic flowchart of a method for deriving an emergency event in yet another exemplary embodiment of the present application. As shown in Figure 6, after step S302, the following steps may also be included:
  • step S303 the process of scenario deduction is analyzed and evaluated, and the evaluation result is sent to the target device.
  • the target device may include a mobile phone, a computer, and the like.
  • the following is the embodiment of the apparatus for constructing the structure of the emergency deduction graph of the present application, which may be configured to execute the embodiment of the method for constructing the structure of the emergency deduction graph of the present application.
  • the embodiment of the apparatus for constructing the structure of the emergency deduction graph of the present application please refer to the embodiment of the method for constructing the structure of the emergency deduction graph of the present application.
  • FIG. 7 is a schematic structural diagram of an apparatus for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in an exemplary embodiment of the present application.
  • the apparatus for constructing the emergency event derivation graph structure may include a first acquisition module 10 , an extraction module 20 and a construction module 30 .
  • the first acquisition module 10 is configured to acquire an emergency case, and acquire a plurality of key process events of the emergency case according to a preset classification category.
  • the existing emergency scenario deduction model system usually only focuses on the extraction of scenario elements and the relationship between them. Although this model system can sort out and display the scenario development and transformation process in emergencies, However, because the scene elements are not selected to be classified and extracted, the problems of omission, incomplete extraction and unsystematic extraction methods often occur in the extraction of scene elements.
  • the apparatus for constructing the structure of the emergency deduction graph in the present exemplary embodiment can extract the scene elements by classification, thereby improving the accuracy of the scene element extraction.
  • the extraction module 20 is used for extracting the scenario elements of the multiple key process events.
  • the emergency case used for extraction may include an emergency plan and/or an emergency that has occurred. Then, The same element with different names from different emergency cases will be generated.
  • the device for constructing the emergency event derivation graph structure may further include:
  • the unification module is used to unify the same scenario elements with different names from different emergencies.
  • fire related words such as burning and fire and other scenario factors
  • disaster storage tanks and affected storage tanks and other scenario factors are uniformly named as carrying storage tanks.
  • the construction module 30 is configured to acquire the attribute relationship of the scenario elements, and construct a derivation graph structure according to the scenario elements and the attribute relationship of the scenario elements.
  • the evolution rules of the scene elements under the emergency event can be generated according to the acquired attribute relationship of the scene elements, and the deduction graph structure can be obtained.
  • the apparatus for constructing the emergency event derivation graph structure in this exemplary embodiment can obtain the corresponding multi-category scene elements by classifying and extracting the scene elements of a plurality of key process events, which is convenient for avoiding the extraction of the scene.
  • the preset classification categories may include multiple types of occurrence events, bearers, emergency management and disaster-pregnancy environments, and multiple key process events of the emergency case are obtained according to the preset classification categories, and after extracting the multiple key process events.
  • the key events under the occurrence event can include: disaster development events, disaster transition events, and disasters (including primary disasters and derived disasters) impact events on the carrier;
  • key events under emergency management can include events for the occurrence of events.
  • the scene elements that can be extracted under the event include fire and fuel
  • the scene elements that can be extracted under the carrier include disaster-affected storage tanks, disaster-affected personnel and other scene elements.
  • Emergency management Scenario elements that can be extracted under the following conditions include command center, fire station, and fire truck.
  • multiple key process events of the emergency case are obtained through preset classification categories (the preset classification categories may include occurrence events, bearers, emergency management and disaster-pregnancy environments), and then respectively. Extracting the corresponding scene elements for multiple key process events is convenient to avoid the problems of omission, insufficient comprehensiveness and insufficient system when extracting scene elements, which can further improve the accuracy and targetness of the extracted scene elements, and improve the extraction efficiency at the same time .
  • FIG. 8 is a schematic structural diagram of an apparatus for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in a specific exemplary embodiment of the present application.
  • the construction module further includes a first determination unit 301 , a second determination unit 302 , a third determination unit 303 and a construction unit 304 .
  • the first determining unit 301 is configured to determine the law of promoting the development of the scenario according to the attribute relationship of the scenario elements.
  • the second determining unit 302 is configured to acquire key data for promoting the development of the scenario according to the law for promoting the development of the scenario, and determine the rules and models for promoting the development of the scenario according to the key data.
  • the constructing unit 303 is configured to construct the derivation graph structure according to the attribute relationship of the context element, the relationship between the context element and the key data, and the rule and the model.
  • the apparatus for constructing the structure of the emergency derivation graph in this exemplary embodiment focuses on the extraction of the relationship between the scene elements, and adds the attributes of the scene elements and the key data that promotes the development and transformation of the scene.
  • a series of quantitative descriptions make the scenario deduction of the deduction graph structure have a higher reference value.
  • FIG. 9 is a schematic structural diagram of an apparatus for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in another exemplary embodiment of the present application. As shown in FIG. 9 , on the basis of that shown in FIG. 7 , the apparatus for constructing the structure of the emergency derivation diagram further includes a second acquiring module 40 and a generating module 50 .
  • the second obtaining module 40 is configured to obtain the deduction graph structure corresponding to each type of emergencies.
  • the generating module 50 is configured to establish the connection relationship of each deduction graph structure according to the correlation of various emergencies, and generate a general deduction graph structure.
  • the apparatus for constructing the derivation graph structure for emergencies may further include an update module, and the update module is used to complete the construction of the derivation graph structure when the update module is completed.
  • the update module is used to complete the construction of the derivation graph structure when the update module is completed.
  • inventions of the apparatus for deducing emergencies of the present application may be configured to perform the embodiments of the deducing methods for deducing emergencies of the present application.
  • details not disclosed in the embodiments of the apparatus for deducing emergencies of the present application please refer to the embodiments of the method for deducing emergencies in the present application.
  • FIG. 10 is a schematic structural diagram of an emergency event deduction apparatus in yet another exemplary embodiment of the present application.
  • the apparatus for deducing the burst time may include a building module 60 and a deduction module 70 .
  • the building module 60 is used to obtain the relevant information of the current emergency and construct the initial scene of the current emergency according to the construction.
  • the relevant information may include all the acquired historical information of the current emergency, and the historical information may be all the information from the occurrence of the current emergency to the present.
  • the deduction module 70 is configured to select at least one necessary scenario element in the initial scenario, and perform scenario deduction through the deduction graph structure until the scenario deduction is completed.
  • the emergency event deduction device in this exemplary embodiment can realize the analysis and evaluation of the scenario deduction process, and can make decision analysis on the accident, so as to provide a powerful reference for the actual accident handling.
  • FIG. 11 is a schematic structural diagram of an emergency event deduction apparatus in still another exemplary embodiment of the present application.
  • the deduction device for the emergency event may further include:
  • the analysis module 80 is configured to analyze and evaluate the process of scenario deduction, and send the evaluation result to the target device.
  • the target device may include a mobile phone, a computer, and the like.

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Abstract

Disclosed are a method and apparatus for constructing an emergency deduction graph structure, and a method and apparatus for emergency deduction. The construction method comprises: obtaining an emergency case, and obtaining a plurality of key process events of the emergency case; extracting scenario elements of the plurality of key process events; and obtaining an attribute relationship of the scenario elements, and constructing a deduction graph structure according to the scenario elements and the attribute relationship of the scenario elements. The construction apparatus comprises a first obtaining module, an extraction module, and a construction module, and is used for implementing the construction method. The deduction method comprises: obtaining the current emergency and constructing an initial scenario; and selecting necessary scenario elements in the initial scenario, and performing scenario deduction by means of the deduction graph structure until the scenario deduction is completed. The deduction apparatus comprises a second obtaining module and a generation module, and is used for implementing the deduction method. The present application can avoid the problem that extracted scenario elements are not comprehensive enough, can carry out decision analysis on emergencies, and can provide reference for real emergency disposal.

Description

突发事件推演图结构的构建及突发事件推演的方法和装置Construction of emergency event deduction graph structure and method and device for emergency deduction
相关申请的交叉引用CROSS-REFERENCE TO RELATED APPLICATIONS
本申请要求清华大学、北京辰安科技股份有限公司于2020年11月27日提交的、发明名称为“突发事件推演图结构的构建及突发事件推演的方法和装置”的、中国专利申请号“202011359904.5”的优先权。This application requires a Chinese patent application filed by Tsinghua University and Beijing Chen'an Technology Co., Ltd. on November 27, 2020 with the invention titled "Construction of Emergency Deduction Graph Structure and Method and Device for Emergency Deduction" No. "202011359904.5" priority.
技术领域technical field
本申请涉及突发事件的情景推演技术领域，特别涉及一种突发事件推演图结构的构建及突发事件推演的方法及装置。The present application relates to the technical field of scenario deduction for emergencies, and in particular, to a method and device for constructing a graph structure of emergencies and deducing emergencies.
背景技术Background technique
如何对突发事件进行科学、高效的应急处理是应急管理领域的一个难点，情景推演技术是解决这个难点的一个有效供给。通过情景推演技术，能够对突发事件可能的态势发展趋势进行推演，并对不同应急处置方案的结果进行模拟，进而指导突发事件应急处置决策。How to deal with emergencies scientifically and efficiently is a difficult point in the field of emergency management. Scenario deduction technology is an effective supply to solve this difficulty. Through scenario deduction technology, the possible development trend of emergencies can be deduced, and the results of different emergency response plans can be simulated to guide emergency response decisions.
发明内容SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION
本申请旨在至少在一定程度上解决相关技术中的技术问题之一。The present application aims to solve one of the technical problems in the related art at least to a certain extent.
为此，本申请的第一个目的在于提出一种突发事件推演图结构的构建方法。包括以下步骤：获取突发事件案例，并根据预设分类类别获取所述突发事件案例的多个关键过程事件；提取所述多个关键过程事件的情景要素；获取所述情景要素的属性关系，根据所述情景要素和所述情景要素的属性关系构建推演图结构。Therefore, the first objective of the present application is to propose a method for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure. It includes the following steps: acquiring an emergency case, and acquiring multiple key process events of the emergency case according to a preset classification category; extracting the scenario elements of the multiple key process events; acquiring the attribute relationship of the scenario elements , constructing a derivation graph structure according to the scene elements and the attribute relationship of the scene elements.
在本申请的突发事件推演图结构的构建方法的一个示例性实施例中，所述预设分类类别包括但不限于发生事件、承载载体、应急管理和孕灾环境中的多种。In an exemplary embodiment of the method for constructing an emergency derivation graph structure of the present application, the preset classification categories include, but are not limited to, occurrence events, bearers, emergency management, and disaster-pregnancy environments.
在本申请的突发事件推演图结构的构建方法的一个示例性实施例中，所述获取所述情景要素的属性关系，根据所述情景要素和所述情景要素的属性关系构建推演图结构，包括：In an exemplary embodiment of the method for constructing an emergency deduction graph structure of the present application, the acquiring the attribute relationship of the scenario elements, constructing a deduction graph structure according to the scenario elements and the attribute relationship of the scenario elements, include:
根据所述情景要素的属性关系确定推动情景发展规律；Determine the law of promoting the development of the scenario according to the attribute relationship of the scenario elements;
根据所述推动情景发展规律，获取推动情景发展的关键数据，并根据所述关键数据确定推动情景发展的规则和模型；According to the law for promoting the development of the scenario, obtain key data for promoting the development of the scenario, and determine the rules and models for promoting the development of the scenario according to the key data;
根据所述情景要素的属性关系、所述情景要素与所述关键数据以及所述规则和模型之间的关系，构建所述推演图结构。The derivation graph structure is constructed according to the attribute relationship of the context elements, the relationship between the context elements and the key data, and the rules and models.
在本申请的突发事件推演图结构的构建方法的一个示例性实施例中，还包括：In an exemplary embodiment of the construction method of the emergency deduction graph structure of the present application, it further includes:
获取每一类突发事件对应的推演图结构；Obtain the deduction map structure corresponding to each type of emergencies;
根据各类突发事件的相关性，建立各个推演图结构的连接关系，生成总推演图结构。According to the correlation of various emergencies, the connection relationship of each deduction graph structure is established, and the overall deduction graph structure is generated.
本申请的第二个目的在于提出一种突发事件的推演方法。应用上述推演图结构，包括以下步骤：获取当前突发事件的相关信息，并根据所述相关信息构建所述当前突发事件的初始情景；选取所述初始情景中至少一个必要的情景要素，通过所述推演图结构进行情景推演直至情景推演完成。The second purpose of this application is to propose a method for deriving emergencies. Applying the above-mentioned deduction diagram structure includes the following steps: obtaining relevant information of the current emergency, and constructing an initial scenario of the current emergency according to the relevant information; selecting at least one necessary scenario element in the initial scenario, and using The deduction map structure is used for scenario deduction until the scenario deduction is completed.
在本申请的突发事件的推演方法的一个示例性实施例中，还包括：In an exemplary embodiment of the emergency event deduction method of the present application, the method further includes:
对所述情景推演的过程进行分析评估，将评估结果发送至目标设备。The process of the scenario deduction is analyzed and evaluated, and the evaluation result is sent to the target device.
本申请的第三个目的在于提出一种突发事件推演图结构的构建装置。包括：第一获取模块，用于获取突发事件案例，并根据预设分类类别获取所述突发事件案例的多个关键过程事件；提取模块，用于提取所述多个关键过程事件的情景要素；构建模块，用于获取所述情景要素的属性关系，根据所述情景要素和所述情景要素的属性关系构建推演图结构。The third objective of the present application is to provide an apparatus for constructing an emergency event deduction graph structure. It includes: a first acquisition module, used to acquire an emergency case, and acquire multiple key process events of the emergency case according to a preset classification category; an extraction module, used to extract the scenarios of the multiple key process events Elements; a building module for acquiring the attribute relationship of the scenario elements, and constructing a derivation graph structure according to the scenario elements and the attribute relationships of the scenario elements.
在本申请的突发事件推演图结构的构建装置的一个示例性实施例中，所述预设分类类别包括但不限于发生事件、承载载体、应急管理和孕灾环境中的多种。In an exemplary embodiment of the apparatus for constructing an emergency derivation graph structure of the present application, the preset classification categories include, but are not limited to, occurrence events, bearers, emergency management, and disaster-pregnancy environments.
在本申请的突发事件推演图结构的构建装置的一个示例性实施例中，所述构建模块还包括：In an exemplary embodiment of the apparatus for constructing an emergency derivation diagram structure of the present application, the construction module further includes:
第一确定单元，用于根据所述情景要素的属性关系确定推动情景发展规律；a first determining unit, configured to determine the law of promoting the development of the scenario according to the attribute relationship of the scenario elements;
第二确定单元，用于根据所述推动情景发展规律，获取推动情景发展的关键数据，并根据所述关键数据确定推动情景发展的规则和模型；a second determining unit, configured to acquire key data for promoting the development of the scenario according to the law for promoting the development of the scenario, and determine the rules and models for promoting the development of the scenario according to the key data;
构建单元，用于根据所述情景要素的属性关系、所述情景要素与所述关键数据以及所述规则和模型之间的关系，构建所述推演图结构。A construction unit, configured to construct the derivation graph structure according to the attribute relationship of the scenario element, the relationship between the scenario element and the key data, and the rule and the model.
在本申请的突发事件推演图结构的构建装置的一个示例性实施例中，还包括：In an exemplary embodiment of the apparatus for constructing an emergency derivation graph structure of the present application, it further includes:
第二获取模块，用于获取每一类突发事件对应的推演图结构；The second obtaining module is used to obtain the deduction map structure corresponding to each type of emergencies;
生成模块，用于根据各类突发事件的相关性，建立各个推演图结构的连接关系，生成总推演图结构。The generation module is used to establish the connection relationship of each deduction graph structure according to the correlation of various emergencies, and generate the overall deduction graph structure.
本申请的第四个目的在于提出一种突发事件的推演装置。包括：搭建模块，用于获取当前突发事件的相关信息，并根据所述相关信息构建所述当前突发事件的初始情景；推演模块，用于选取所述初始情景中至少一个必要的情景要素，通过所述推演图结构进行情景推演直至情景推演完成。The fourth objective of the present application is to provide a deduction device for emergencies. It includes: a building module for acquiring relevant information of the current emergency, and constructing an initial scenario of the current emergency according to the relevant information; a deduction module for selecting at least one necessary scenario element in the initial scenario , and perform scenario deduction through the deduction diagram structure until the scenario deduction is completed.
在本申请的突发事件的推演装置的一个示例性实施例中，还包括：In an exemplary embodiment of the emergency event deduction apparatus of the present application, it further includes:
分析模块，用于对所述情景推演的过程进行分析评估，将评估结果发送至目标设备。The analysis module is used to analyze and evaluate the process of the scenario deduction, and send the evaluation result to the target device.
与现有技术相比，本申请的有益效果可包括：本申请的构建方法通过对要素进行分类提取，能够避免提取情景要素时出现遗漏、不够全面以及不够***的问题；本申请推演方法通过使用上述构建方法构建的推演图结构进行推演，可以对突发事件进行决策分析，为真实的应急处置提供参考。Compared with the prior art, the beneficial effects of the present application may include: the construction method of the present application, by classifying and extracting elements, can avoid the problems of omission, insufficient comprehensiveness and insufficient system when extracting the scene elements; The deduction diagram structure constructed by the above construction method is used for deduction, which can make decision analysis on emergencies and provide a reference for real emergency response.
本申请附加的方面和优点将在下面的描述中部分给出，部分将从下面的描述中变得明显，或通过本申请的实践了解到。Additional aspects and advantages of the present application will be set forth, in part, from the following description, and in part will be apparent from the following description, or learned by practice of the present application.
附图说明Description of drawings
本申请上述的和/或附加的方面和优点从下面结合附图对实施例的描述中将变得明显和容易理解，其中：The above and/or additional aspects and advantages of the present application will become apparent and readily understood from the following description of embodiments taken in conjunction with the accompanying drawings, wherein:
图1为本申请的一个示例性实施例中的突发事件推演图结构的构建方法的流程示意图；FIG. 1 is a schematic flowchart of a method for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in an exemplary embodiment of the present application;
图2为本申请一具体示例性实施例中的突发事件推演图结构的构建方法的流程示意图；FIG. 2 is a schematic flowchart of a method for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in a specific exemplary embodiment of the present application;
图3为本申请的一个突发事件推演图结构的示意图；Fig. 3 is a schematic diagram of the structure of an emergency deduction diagram of the application;
图4为本申请另一个示例性实施例中的突发事件推演图结构的构建方法的流程示意图；4 is a schematic flowchart of a method for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in another exemplary embodiment of the present application;
图5为本申请的又一个示例性实施例中的突发事件的推演方法的流程示意图；5 is a schematic flowchart of a method for deriving an emergency event in yet another exemplary embodiment of the present application;
图6为本申请的再一个示例性实施例中的突发事件的推演方法的流程示意图；6 is a schematic flowchart of a method for deriving an emergency in yet another exemplary embodiment of the present application;
图7为本申请的一个示例性实施例中的突发事件推演图结构的构建装置的结构示意图；7 is a schematic structural diagram of an apparatus for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in an exemplary embodiment of the present application;
图8为本申请的一具体示例性实施例中的突发事件推演图结构的构建装置的结构示意图；8 is a schematic structural diagram of an apparatus for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in a specific exemplary embodiment of the present application;
图9为本申请的另一个示例性实施例中的突发事件推演图结构的构建装置的结构示意图；9 is a schematic structural diagram of an apparatus for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in another exemplary embodiment of the present application;
图10为本申请的又一个示例性实施例中的突发事件的推演装置的结构示意图；FIG. 10 is a schematic structural diagram of an emergency event deduction apparatus in yet another exemplary embodiment of the present application;
图11为本申请的再一个示例性实施例中的突发事件的推演装置的结构示意图。FIG. 11 is a schematic structural diagram of an emergency event deduction apparatus in still another exemplary embodiment of the present application.
具体实施方式Detailed ways
下面详细描述本申请的实施例，所述实施例的示例在附图中示出，其中自始至终相同或类似的标号表示相同或类似的元件或具有相同或类似功能的元件。下面通过参考附图描述的实施例是示例性的，旨在用于解释本申请，而不能理解为对本申请的限制。The following describes in detail the embodiments of the present application, examples of which are illustrated in the accompanying drawings, wherein the same or similar reference numerals refer to the same or similar elements or elements having the same or similar functions throughout. The embodiments described below with reference to the accompanying drawings are exemplary, and are intended to be used to explain the present application, but should not be construed as a limitation to the present application.
下面参考附图描述本申请实施例的突发事件推演图结构的构建及突发事件推演的方法和装置。The following describes the method and apparatus for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure and emergency event derivation according to the embodiments of the present application with reference to the accompanying drawings.
图1为本申请的一个示例性实施例中的突发事件推演图结构的构建方法的流程示意图。如图1所示，该构建方法可以包括：FIG. 1 is a schematic flowchart of a method for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in an exemplary embodiment of the present application. As shown in Figure 1, the construction method may include:
在步骤S101中，获取突发事件案例，并根据预设分类类别获取突发事件案例的多个关键过程事件。In step S101, an emergency case is acquired, and a plurality of key process events of the emergency case are acquired according to a preset classification category.
在具体实施过程中，所用来提取的突发事件案件可以包括突发事件预案和/或已发生的突发事件，所获取的关键过程事件可以是在突发事件的发生过程中推动情景发展的事件；所设置的预设分类类别可以包括多个，一个预设分类类别下可以包括多个子类别，例如，针对突发事件的整个过程将突发事件分为相互关联的关键过程事件一、关键过程事件二和关键过程事件三，关键过程事件一、关键过程事件二和关键过程事件三可以构成所获取的突发事件。In the specific implementation process, the emergency cases used for extraction may include emergency plans and/or emergencies that have occurred, and the acquired key process events may promote the development of scenarios during the occurrence of emergencies Events; multiple preset classification categories can be set, and one preset classification category can include multiple subcategories. For example, for the entire process of an emergency, the emergency is divided into key process events that are related to each other. Process event two and key process event three, key process event one, key process event two and key process event three may constitute the acquired emergency event.
通常，现有的突发事件情景推演模型体系通常只是注重于情景要素及情景要素之间的关系的提取，这种模型体系虽然能够将突发事件中的情景发展以及转化过程梳理和展示出来，但是由于并没有选择对情景要素进行分类提取，从而导致在进行情景要素的提取时常常出现遗漏、提取不全面和提取方法不***的问题。Usually, the existing emergency scenario deduction model system usually only focuses on the extraction of scenario elements and the relationship between them. Although this model system can sort out and display the scenario development and transformation process in emergencies, However, because the scene elements are not selected to be classified and extracted, the problems of omission, incomplete extraction and unsystematic extraction methods often occur in the extraction of scene elements.
因而，为了解决上述问题，本示例性实施例中的突发事件推演图结构的构建方法，可以通过对情景要素进行分类提取，从而提高情景要素提取的精准性。Therefore, in order to solve the above problem, in the method for constructing the structure of the emergency event derivation graph in this exemplary embodiment, the scene elements can be extracted by classification, thereby improving the accuracy of scene element extraction.
步骤S102，提取多个关键过程事件的情景要素。Step S102, extracting scenario elements of multiple key process events.
在具体实施过程中，情景要素是参与情景并为情景发展做出贡献的实体、现象或动作。具体对情景要素的提取，如果是从电力相关突发事件下的应急处置中提取的情景要素，则该情景要素可用于表示突发事件下的电力相关突发事件的应急处置的情景，如果是从某机场燃油储罐火灾事故这一突发事件中提取情景要素，可提取的情景要素包括燃油(实体)、火(现象)和风(自然现象)。In the specific implementation process, a situational element is an entity, phenomenon or action that participates in the situation and contributes to the development of the situation. Specifically, for the extraction of scenario elements, if the scenario elements are extracted from the emergency response to power-related emergencies, the scenario elements can be used to represent the emergency response scenarios of power-related emergencies under emergencies. Scenario elements are extracted from the emergency event of a fuel storage tank fire accident in an airport. The extracted scenario elements include fuel oil (entity), fire (phenomenon) and wind (natural phenomenon).
可以理解的是，在需要对突发事件案例进行情景要素提取时，由于所用来提取的突发事件案例可以包括突发事件预案和/或已发生的突发事件，那么，将会产生来自不同突发事件案例的不同名称的同一要素。It can be understood that, when it is necessary to extract scenario elements for emergency cases, since the emergency cases used for extraction may include emergency plans and/or incidents that have occurred, there will be different The same element of different names for an incident case.
因而，在情景要素提取完成后，还可以对来自不同案例的不同名称的同一要素进行识别和统一，也可以说是将表达意思相同的词语都统一命名为同一种要素的名称。Therefore, after the extraction of the scene elements is completed, the same elements with different names from different cases can be identified and unified, and it can be said that the words expressing the same meaning are all named the same element name.
在本实施例中，在步骤102和步骤103之间，该方法还可以包括以下步骤：In this embodiment, between step 102 and step 103, the method may further include the following steps:
将来自不同突发事件的不同名称的同一情景要素进行统一。Unify the same scenario elements with different names from different emergencies.
以某机场燃油储罐火灾事故为例，需要进行识别和统一的可以包括：火灾的相近词，如燃烧和起火等情景因素，都统一命名为火灾；受灾储罐和受影响储罐等情景因素，都统一命名为承载储罐。Taking a fuel storage tank fire accident in an airport as an example, the items that need to be identified and unified include: fire related words, such as burning and fire and other scenario factors, are all named as fire; disaster storage tanks and affected storage tanks and other scenario factors , are uniformly named as carrying storage tanks.
通过对来自不同突发事件案例提取的不同名称的同一情景因素进行统一，能够去除较多的干扰情景因素，减少情境因素的冗余，使得情景因素的提取更加精准。By unifying the same contextual factors with different names extracted from different emergency cases, more interfering contextual factors can be removed, the redundancy of contextual factors can be reduced, and the extraction of contextual factors can be more accurate.
步骤S103，获取情景要素的属性关系，根据情景要素和情景要素的属性关系构建推演图结构。In step S103, the attribute relationship of the scene elements is acquired, and a deduction graph structure is constructed according to the scene elements and the attribute relationship of the scene elements.
在具体实施过程中，情景要素的属性关系包括：情景要素及其自身的属性的从属关系，以及不同情景要素之间由于自身属性变化对其他情景要素产生影响的关系；基于情景要素结合情景要素及自身的属性的从属关系，以及不同情景要素之间由于自身属性变化对其他情景要素产生影响的关系，构建推演图结构。In the specific implementation process, the attribute relationship of the scene elements includes: the subordination relationship between the scene elements and their own attributes, and the relationship between different scene elements that have an impact on other scene elements due to changes in their own attributes; The subordination relationship of its own attributes, and the relationship between different scene elements that affect other scene elements due to their own attribute changes, build a deduction graph structure.
综上所示，本示例性实施例中的突发事件推演图结构的构建方法，在提取情景要素之前，通过根据预设分类类别获取的突发事件案例的多个关键过程事件，能够提高情景要素提取目标的准确性，减少不必要的情景要素的提取过程，并且，通过提取多个关键过程事件的情景要素，也达到了对情景要素分类提取的目的，得到相对应的多类情景要素，便于避免提取情景要素时出现遗漏、不够全面以及不够***的问题，从而，后续根据情景要素和情景要素的属性关系所构建的推演图结构，能够用于实现对于当前突发事件的情景推演。To sum up, the method for constructing the structure of the emergency derivation graph in this exemplary embodiment can improve the situation by obtaining multiple key process events of the emergency case according to the preset classification category before extracting the scene elements. The accuracy of the element extraction target, reducing the extraction process of unnecessary scene elements, and by extracting the scene elements of multiple key process events, the purpose of classifying and extracting the scene elements is also achieved, and the corresponding multi-type scene elements are obtained. It is convenient to avoid the problems of omission, insufficient comprehensiveness and insufficient system when extracting scenario elements. Therefore, the subsequent deduction graph structure constructed according to the attribute relationship of scenario elements and scenario elements can be used to realize scenario deduction for current emergencies.
基于以上示例性实施例，应当理解的是，根据预设分类类别的不同，多个关键过程事件的获取也不同，相应的后续提取的情景要素的分类也不同，下面结合具体预设的过程事件分类为例，进行举例说明，说明如下：Based on the above exemplary embodiments, it should be understood that, according to different preset classification categories, the acquisition of multiple key process events is also different, and the classification of the corresponding subsequently extracted scene elements is also different. The following is combined with the specific preset process events. The classification is taken as an example, and an example is given as follows:
其中，预设分类类别可以包括发生事件、承载载体、应急管理和孕灾环境中的多种，根据预设分类类别获取所述突发事件案例的多个关键过程事件，在提取所述多个关键过程事件的情景要素时，发生事件下可以进行情景要素提取的事件可以包括：灾害发展事件、灾害转变事件和灾害(包括原生灾害和衍生灾害)对承载载体的影响事件；应急管理下可以进行情景要素提取的事件可以包括针对发生事件的应急处置、针对承载载体的应急处置、针对周边环境的应急处置、物资保障、人员保障和装备保障。Wherein, the preset classification categories may include multiple types of occurrence events, bearers, emergency management, and disaster-pregnancy environments, and multiple key process events of the emergency case are acquired according to the preset classification categories, and after extracting the multiple When the key process event is the scenario element, the events that can be extracted under the occurrence of the event can include: disaster development events, disaster transition events, and disasters (including primary disasters and derived disasters) impact events on the carrier; emergency management can be carried out. The events extracted from the scenario elements can include emergency response to the occurrence, emergency response to the carrier, emergency response to the surrounding environment, material support, personnel support and equipment support.
以某机场燃油储罐火灾事故为例，发生事件下可以提取的情景要素包括火灾和燃油等情景要素，承载载体下可以提取的情景要素包括承灾储罐、承灾人员等情景要素，应急管理下可以提取的情景要素包括指挥中心、消防站和消防车等情景要素。Taking a fuel storage tank fire accident in an airport as an example, the scene elements that can be extracted under the event include fire and fuel, and the scene elements that can be extracted under the carrier include disaster-affected storage tanks, disaster-affected personnel and other scene elements. Emergency management Scenario elements that can be extracted under the following conditions include command center, fire station, and fire truck.
综上所述，通过预设分类类别(预设分类类别可以包括发生事件、承载载体、应急管理和孕灾环境中的多种)获取所述突发事件案例的多个关键过程事件，然后分别对多个关键过程事件进行相应的情景要素的提取，便于避免提取情景要素时出现遗漏、不够全面以及不够***的问题，能够进一步提高所提取的情景要素的精确性以及目标性，同时提高提取效率。To sum up, multiple key process events of the emergency case are obtained through preset classification categories (the preset classification categories may include occurrence events, bearers, emergency management and disaster-pregnancy environments), and then respectively. Extracting the corresponding scene elements for multiple key process events is convenient to avoid the problems of omission, insufficient comprehensiveness and insufficient system when extracting scene elements, which can further improve the accuracy and targetness of the extracted scene elements, and improve the extraction efficiency. .
基于以上示例性实施例，图2为本申请另一具体示例性实施例中的突发事件推演图结构的构建方法的流程示意图。如图2所示，步骤S103具体可以包括以下步骤：Based on the above exemplary embodiment, FIG. 2 is a schematic flowchart of a method for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in another specific exemplary embodiment of the present application. As shown in Figure 2, step S103 may specifically include the following steps:
在步骤S201中，根据情景要素的属性关系确定推动情景发展规律。In step S201, the law of promoting the development of the scenario is determined according to the attribute relationship of the scenario elements.
在具体实施过程中，情景要素的属性关系包括：情景要素及其自身的属性的从属关系，以及不同情景要素之间由于自身属性变化对其他情景要素产生影响的关系；情景发展规律就是从一种情景转到另一种情景之前的因果关系，例如：灾害发展如何转变到灾害减小、承载载体如果从正常状态转变为受灾状态；为了将这些情景发展规律展现出来，就需要根据情景要素之间的属性关系来确定，例如：火灾的大小能够推动承灾载体状态的改变，消防灭火力度的大小能够推动火灾大小的变化。In the specific implementation process, the attribute relationship of the scene elements includes: the subordination relationship between the scene elements and their own attributes, and the relationship between different scene elements that have an impact on other scene elements due to changes in their own attributes; the law of scene development is from a The causal relationship before the scenario changes to another scenario, for example: how does the development of the disaster change to the reduction of the disaster, and if the carrier changes from the normal state to the disaster-stricken state; in order to show the development law of these scenarios, it is necessary to base on the relationship between the scenario elements. For example, the size of the fire can promote the change of the state of the disaster-bearing carrier, and the size of the fire extinguishing intensity can promote the change of the size of the fire.
现有相关技术中的突发事件推演图结构在根据所提取的情景要素进行图结构的构建时，通常只注重于要素之间的关系的抽取，只是注重于定性描述，并没有进行定量描述，而想要使得推演图结构的情景推演具备更高的参考价值，就需要考虑情景要素的定量描述。When constructing the graph structure according to the extracted scene elements, the emergency event derivation graph structure in the related art usually only focuses on the extraction of the relationship between the elements, only on the qualitative description, and not on the quantitative description. In order to make the scenario deduction of the deduction map structure have a higher reference value, it is necessary to consider the quantitative description of the scenario elements.
因此，可以通过定量描述，使得推演图结构的情景推演具备更高的参考价值。Therefore, the quantitative description can make the scenario deduction of the deduced graph structure have a higher reference value.
在步骤S202中，根据推动情景发展规律，获取推动情景发展的关键数据，并根据关键数据确定推动情景发展的规则和模型。In step S202, according to the law for promoting the development of the scenario, key data for promoting the development of the scenario is obtained, and the rules and models for promoting the development of the scenario are determined according to the key data.
在具体实施过程中，在已经获取了情景要素的属性关系以及情景发展规律的前提下，情景要素的属性在达到关键数据的值时，即可推动情景发展，而模型和规则是计算关键数据的工具，在确定了关键数据后，可确定计算关键数据的模型和规则，例如全液面储罐火灾的火灾大小可以利用全液面储罐火模型来计算，但是消防力量出动的准备时间没有确定的模型，是由规则来决定的，因此，模型和规则是可以变换的。In the specific implementation process, on the premise that the attribute relationship of the scenario elements and the development law of the scenario have been obtained, when the attributes of the scenario elements reach the value of the key data, the scenario development can be promoted, and the model and rules are used to calculate the key data. After the key data is determined, the model and rules for calculating the key data can be determined. For example, the fire size of a full-level tank fire can be calculated by using the full-level tank fire model, but the preparation time for the dispatch of firepower has not been determined. The model is determined by the rules, so the model and the rules can be transformed.
以某机场燃油储罐火灾事故为例，先从发生事件方面分析，发生事件包括的关键事件有航空燃油储罐燃烧以及燃油储罐燃烧热辐射。首先对航空燃油储罐燃烧此关键事件进行分析，表征此事件发展的关键数据是中心火势大小即火焰高度，情景推演中，采用的模型是储罐燃烧火焰高度模型。此关键事件包含的情景要素有：从发生事件分析，其中涉及的情景要素有燃油和火灾，涉及的情景要素的属性有燃油类型、燃油表面燃烧速率和火灾的火焰高度等；此关键事件未涉及承灾载体和应急管理下的情景要素；从孕灾环境分析，涉及的情景要素及要素属性是风及风的风速。根据此思路，对剩下的关键事件一一进行分析，直至完成对过程事件的分析，确定突发事件应急处置全过程中的要素、要素属性以及相互之间的联系。Taking a fuel storage tank fire accident in an airport as an example, we first analyze the incidents. The key events include the combustion of aviation fuel storage tanks and the combustion heat radiation of fuel storage tanks. Firstly, the key event of aviation fuel storage tank combustion is analyzed. The key data to characterize the development of this event is the size of the central fire, that is, the flame height. In the scenario deduction, the model used is the storage tank combustion flame height model. The scenario elements included in this key event are: from the analysis of the occurrence event, the scenario elements involved include fuel oil and fire, and the attributes of the involved scenario elements include fuel type, fuel surface burning rate, and flame height of fire, etc.; this key event does not involve Disaster-bearing carriers and scenario elements under emergency management; from the analysis of the disaster-pregnant environment, the involved scenario elements and element attributes are wind and wind speed. According to this idea, analyze the remaining key events one by one until the analysis of the process events is completed, and determine the elements, element attributes and mutual connections in the whole process of emergency response to emergencies.
现有的相关技术中，通常将情景要素和情景要素之间的关系分别放在两个数据库中，再在两个数据库之间建立库表间关系，这样会造成较大的冗余，也不便于库的管理和维护，调用也不方便。In the existing related technologies, the context elements and the relationship between the context elements are usually placed in two databases respectively, and then the relationship between the database tables is established between the two databases, which will cause greater redundancy, and will not be effective. It is convenient for the management and maintenance of the library, and the invocation is also inconvenient.
因此，通过图结构将情景要素、情景要素的属性、所述规则、所述模型以及所述必要属性之间的关系形成为一个网络图作为推演图结构。以便于管理和维护，减少库的冗余，方便使用中调用，能够支撑推演图结构快速的应用在情景的推演实现中。Therefore, the relationship among the context elements, the attributes of the context elements, the rules, the model, and the necessary attributes is formed into a network graph through the graph structure as a derivation graph structure. In order to facilitate management and maintenance, reduce the redundancy of the library, facilitate the invocation in use, and can support the rapid application of the deduction diagram structure in the deduction implementation of the scenario.
在步骤S203中，根据情景要素的属性关系、情景要素与关键数据以及规则和模型之间的关系，构建推演图结构。In step S203, a derivation graph structure is constructed according to the attribute relationship of the scene elements, the relationship between the scene elements and key data, and the rules and models.
在具体实施过程中，所构建的图结构中包括的关系有：情景要素的属性关系、情景要素由规则和模型对情景要素的属性产生的关系，其中情景要素的属性关系又包括有情景要素及其自身的属性的从属关系、以及不同情景要素之间由于自身属性变化对其他情景要素产生影响的关系；根据上述的关系，在构建图结构的过程中，将情景要素当作节点，将各个关系梳理整合后形成推演图结构。以某机场燃油储罐火灾事故情景推演为例，由图结构形成的突发事件推演图结构可以如图3所示，情景要素可以包括燃油、火灾、指挥中心、消防车、承载人员、承载储罐等，图3中所示的情景要素的从属即情景要素的属性，燃油的属性(在图3中显示为燃油的从属)可以包括表面燃烧率和燃油类型，当燃油的属性(在图3中显示为燃油的从属)达到引起火灾的必要属性时引起火灾，在通过该突发事件推演图结构进行情景推演时，可以基于初始情景的条件，设置不同的救援方案，例如：在情景推演过程中，当火焰高度降为0时，可以认为灭火结束，完成推演。不同的救援方法会导致不同的救援结果，对不同的救援方案的推演过程和结果进行分析与比较，可以对事故进行决策分析，为真实的储罐火灾处置提供参考。In the specific implementation process, the relationships included in the constructed graph structure include: the attribute relationship of the scene elements, the relationship between the scene elements caused by the rules and models to the attributes of the scene elements, and the attribute relationship of the scene elements also includes the scene elements and The subordination relationship of its own attributes, and the relationship between different scene elements that affect other scene elements due to their own attribute changes; according to the above relationship, in the process of constructing the graph structure, the scene elements are regarded as nodes, and each relationship is regarded as a node. After sorting out and integrating, a deduction diagram structure is formed. Taking the scenario deduction of a fuel storage tank fire accident in an airport as an example, the emergency deduction diagram structure formed by the diagram structure can be shown in Figure 3, and the scenario elements can include fuel oil, fire, command center, fire truck, carrying personnel, and carrying storage. Tanks, etc., the dependencies of the scenario elements shown in Figure 3 are the attributes of the scenario elements, the attributes of the fuel (shown as dependencies of the fuel in Figure 3) can include the surface burn rate and the type of fuel, when the attributes of the fuel (in Figure 3 The fire is caused when it reaches the necessary properties of causing a fire. During the scenario deduction through the structure of the emergency deduction diagram, different rescue plans can be set based on the conditions of the initial scenario, for example: during the scenario deduction process , when the flame height drops to 0, it can be considered that the fire extinguishing is over and the deduction is completed. Different rescue methods will lead to different rescue results. By analyzing and comparing the deduction process and results of different rescue plans, you can make decision analysis on accidents and provide reference for real tank fire disposal.
综上所述，本示例性实施例中的突发事件推演图结构的构建方法，在关注情景要素之间的关系的抽取上，加入了情景要素的属性以及推动情景发展和转化的关键数据的一系列定量描述，使得推演图结构的情景推演具备更高的参考价值。To sum up, the method for constructing the structure of the emergency derivation graph in this exemplary embodiment focuses on the extraction of the relationship between the scene elements, adding the attributes of the scene elements and the key data that promotes the development and transformation of the scene. A series of quantitative descriptions make the scenario deduction of the deduction graph structure have a higher reference value.
基于以上示例性实施例，应当理解的是，一类突发事件的发生，由于所处环境，通常会存在引发另一类突发事件的隐患，图4为另一个示例性实施例中的突发事件推演图结构的构建方法的流程示意图。如图4所示，在步骤S103之后还可以包括以下步骤：Based on the above exemplary embodiments, it should be understood that, due to the occurrence of one type of emergencies, there is usually a hidden danger of causing another type of emergencies due to the environment. A schematic flowchart of the construction method of the event deduction graph structure. As shown in FIG. 4 , after step S103, the following steps may also be included:
在步骤S104中，获取每一类突发事件对应的推演图结构。In step S104, the derivation graph structure corresponding to each type of emergencies is obtained.
在步骤S105中，根据各类突发事件的相关性，建立各个推演图结构的连接关系，生成总推演图结构。In step S105, according to the correlation of various types of emergencies, the connection relationship of each deduction graph structure is established, and the overall deduction graph structure is generated.
基于以上示例性实施例，应当理解的是，为了对构建的推演图结构的质量进行控制，在推演图结构构建完成之后，对于推演图结构可能存在的问题，例如：缺漏、错误和陈旧，需要对推演图结构进行缺漏补全、错误纠正和陈旧更新等操作，保证推演图结构的质量。Based on the above exemplary embodiments, it should be understood that, in order to control the quality of the constructed derivation graph structure, after the derivation graph structure is constructed, there may be problems with the derivation graph structure, such as omissions, errors and outdatedness, which need to be Perform operations such as omission completion, error correction, and outdated update of the deduction diagram structure to ensure the quality of the deduction diagram structure.
图5为本申请的又一个示例性实施例中的突发事件的推演方法的流程示意图。采用了上述任意一个示例性实施例中的突发事件推演图结构的构建方法所构建的推演图结构，如图5所示，该推演方法可以包括：FIG. 5 is a schematic flowchart of a method for deriving an emergency event in yet another exemplary embodiment of the present application. Using the derivation graph structure constructed by the method for constructing the emergency derivation graph structure in any of the above exemplary embodiments, as shown in FIG. 5 , the derivation method may include:
在步骤S301中，获取当前突发事件的相关信息，并根据构建当前突发事件的初始情景。In step S301, relevant information of the current emergency event is obtained, and an initial scenario of the current emergency event is constructed according to it.
在具体实施过程中，相关信息可以包括所获取的当前突发事件的所有历史信息，该历 史信息可以是当前突发事件从开始发生到当前的所有信息，通过对该历史信息的分析，可得到当前突发事件用于推演的初始情景。In the specific implementation process, the relevant information may include all the acquired historical information of the current emergency, and the historical information may be all the information from the occurrence of the current emergency to the present. By analyzing the historical information, we can obtain The current emergencies are used as the initial scenarios for the game.
在步骤S302中，选取初始情景中至少一个必要的情景要素，通过推演图结构进行情景推演直至情景推演完成。In step S302, at least one necessary scenario element in the initial scenario is selected, and scenario deduction is performed through the deduction graph structure until the scenario deduction is completed.
综上所述，本示例性实施例中的突发事件的推演方法，能够实现对情景推演过程的分析评估，可以对事故进行决策分析，为真实的事故处置提供有力的参考。To sum up, the method for derivation of emergencies in this exemplary embodiment can realize the analysis and evaluation of the scenario derivation process, and can make decision analysis on accidents, and provide a powerful reference for real accident handling.
基于以上示例性实施例，图6为本申请的再一个示例性实施例中的突发事件的推演方法的流程示意图。如图6所示，在步骤S302之后，还可以包括以下步骤：Based on the above exemplary embodiment, FIG. 6 is a schematic flowchart of a method for deriving an emergency event in yet another exemplary embodiment of the present application. As shown in Figure 6, after step S302, the following steps may also be included:
在步骤S303中，对情景推演的过程进行分析评估，将评估结果发送至目标设备。In step S303, the process of scenario deduction is analyzed and evaluated, and the evaluation result is sent to the target device.
在具体实施过程中，目标设备可以包括手机、电脑等。In a specific implementation process, the target device may include a mobile phone, a computer, and the like.
下述为本申请的突发事件推演图结构的构建装置实施例，可以被配置为执行本申请突发事件推演图结构的构建方法实施例。对于本申请突发事件推演图结构的构建装置实施例中未披露的细节，请参照本申请突发事件推演图结构的构建方法实施例。The following is the embodiment of the apparatus for constructing the structure of the emergency deduction graph of the present application, which may be configured to execute the embodiment of the method for constructing the structure of the emergency deduction graph of the present application. For details not disclosed in the embodiment of the apparatus for constructing the structure of the emergency deduction graph of the present application, please refer to the embodiment of the method for constructing the structure of the emergency deduction graph of the present application.
图7为本申请的一个示例性实施例中的突发事件推演图结构的构建装置的结构示意图。如图7所示，该突发事件推演图结构的构建装置可以包括第一获取模块10、提取模块20和构建模块30。FIG. 7 is a schematic structural diagram of an apparatus for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in an exemplary embodiment of the present application. As shown in FIG. 7 , the apparatus for constructing the emergency event derivation graph structure may include a first acquisition module 10 , an extraction module 20 and a construction module 30 .
其中，第一获取模块10，用于获取突发事件案例，并根据预设分类类别获取所述突发事件案例的多个关键过程事件。Wherein, the first acquisition module 10 is configured to acquire an emergency case, and acquire a plurality of key process events of the emergency case according to a preset classification category.
通常，现有的突发事件情景推演模型体系通常只是注重于情景要素及情景要素之间的关系的提取，这种模型体系虽然能够将突发事件中的情景发展以及转化过程梳理和展示出来，但是由于并没有选择对情景要素进行分类提取，从而导致在进行情景要素的提取时常常出现遗漏、提取不全面和提取方法不***的问题。Usually, the existing emergency scenario deduction model system usually only focuses on the extraction of scenario elements and the relationship between them. Although this model system can sort out and display the scenario development and transformation process in emergencies, However, because the scene elements are not selected to be classified and extracted, the problems of omission, incomplete extraction and unsystematic extraction methods often occur in the extraction of scene elements.
因而，为了解决上述问题，本示例性实施例中的突发事件推演图结构的构建装置，可以通过对情景要素进行分类提取，从而提高情景要素提取的精准性。Therefore, in order to solve the above problem, the apparatus for constructing the structure of the emergency deduction graph in the present exemplary embodiment can extract the scene elements by classification, thereby improving the accuracy of the scene element extraction.
提取模块20，用于提取所述多个关键过程事件的情景要素。The extraction module 20 is used for extracting the scenario elements of the multiple key process events.
在具体实施过程中，可以理解的是，在需要对突发事件案例进行情景因素提取时，所用来提取的突发事件案例可以包括突发事件预案和/或已发生的突发事件，那么，将会产生来自不同突发事件案例的不同名称的同一要素。In the specific implementation process, it can be understood that when it is necessary to extract contextual factors for an emergency case, the emergency case used for extraction may include an emergency plan and/or an emergency that has occurred. Then, The same element with different names from different emergency cases will be generated.
因而，在情景因素提取完成后，还可以对来自不同案例的不同名称的同一要素进行识别和统一，也可以说是将表达意思相同的词语都统一命名为同一种要素的名称。Therefore, after the extraction of contextual factors is completed, the same elements with different names from different cases can also be identified and unified, or it can be said that the words with the same meaning are all named as the name of the same element.
在本实施例中，该突发事件推演图结构的构建装置还可以包括：In this embodiment, the device for constructing the emergency event derivation graph structure may further include:
统一模块，用于将来自不同突发事件的不同名称的同一情景要素进行统一。The unification module is used to unify the same scenario elements with different names from different emergencies.
以某机场燃油储罐火灾事故为例，需要进行识别和统一的可以包括：火灾的相近词，如燃烧和起火等情景因素，都统一命名为火灾；受灾储罐和受影响储罐等情景因素，都统一命名为承载储罐。Taking a fuel storage tank fire accident in an airport as an example, the items that need to be identified and unified include: fire related words, such as burning and fire and other scenario factors, are all named as fire; disaster storage tanks and affected storage tanks and other scenario factors , are uniformly named as carrying storage tanks.
通过对来自不同突发事件案例提取的不同名称的同一情景因素进行统一，能够去除较多的干扰情景因素，减少情境因素的冗余，使得情景因素的提取更加精准。By unifying the same contextual factors with different names extracted from different emergency cases, more interfering contextual factors can be removed, the redundancy of contextual factors can be reduced, and the extraction of contextual factors can be more accurate.
构建模块30，用于获取所述情景要素的属性关系，根据所述情景要素和所述情景要素的属性关系构建推演图结构。The construction module 30 is configured to acquire the attribute relationship of the scenario elements, and construct a derivation graph structure according to the scenario elements and the attribute relationship of the scenario elements.
在具体实施过程中，可以根据获取的情景要素的属性关系生成情景要素在突发事件下的演变规则，得到推演图结构。In the specific implementation process, the evolution rules of the scene elements under the emergency event can be generated according to the acquired attribute relationship of the scene elements, and the deduction graph structure can be obtained.
综上所述，本示例性实施例中的突发事件推演图结构的构建装置，可以通过对多个关键过程事件的情景要素进行分类提取，得到相对应的多类情景要素，便于避免提取情景要素时出现遗漏、不够全面以及不够***的问题。To sum up, the apparatus for constructing the emergency event derivation graph structure in this exemplary embodiment can obtain the corresponding multi-category scene elements by classifying and extracting the scene elements of a plurality of key process events, which is convenient for avoiding the extraction of the scene. There are problems of omission, insufficient comprehensiveness and insufficient system in the time of elements.
基于以上示例性实施例，应当理解的是，根据预设分类类别的不同，多个关键过程事件的获取也不同，相应的后续提取的情景要素的分类也不同，下面结合具体预设的过程事件分类为例，进行举例说明，说明如下：Based on the above exemplary embodiments, it should be understood that, according to different preset classification categories, the acquisition of multiple key process events is also different, and the classification of the corresponding subsequently extracted scene elements is also different. The following is combined with the specific preset process events. The classification is taken as an example, and an example is given as follows:
预设分类类别可以包括发生事件、承载载体、应急管理和孕灾环境中的多种，根据预设分类类别获取所述突发事件案例的多个关键过程事件，在提取所述多个关键过程事件的情景要素时，发生事件下的关键事件可以包括：灾害发展事件、灾害转变事件和灾害(包括原生灾害和衍生灾害)对承载载体的影响事件；应急管理下的关键事件可以包括针对发生事件的应急处置、针对承载载体的应急处置、针对周边环境的应急处置、物资保障、人员保障和装备保障。The preset classification categories may include multiple types of occurrence events, bearers, emergency management and disaster-pregnancy environments, and multiple key process events of the emergency case are obtained according to the preset classification categories, and after extracting the multiple key process events. When the scenario elements of the event, the key events under the occurrence event can include: disaster development events, disaster transition events, and disasters (including primary disasters and derived disasters) impact events on the carrier; key events under emergency management can include events for the occurrence of events. emergency disposal, emergency disposal for the carrier, emergency disposal for the surrounding environment, material guarantee, personnel guarantee and equipment guarantee.
以某机场燃油储罐火灾事故为例，发生事件下可以提取的情景要素包括火灾和燃油等情景要素，承载载体下可以提取的情景要素包括承灾储罐、承灾人员等情景要素，应急管理下可以提取的情景要素包括指挥中心、消防站和消防车等情景要素。Taking a fuel storage tank fire accident in an airport as an example, the scene elements that can be extracted under the event include fire and fuel, and the scene elements that can be extracted under the carrier include disaster-affected storage tanks, disaster-affected personnel and other scene elements. Emergency management Scenario elements that can be extracted under the following conditions include command center, fire station, and fire truck.
综上所述，通过预设分类类别(预设分类类别可以包括发生事件、承载载体、应急管理和孕灾环境中的多种)获取所述突发事件案例的多个关键过程事件，然后分别对多个关键过程事件进行相应的情景要素的提取，便于避免提取情景要素时出现遗漏、不够全面以及不够***的问题，能够进一步提高所提取的情景要素的精确性以及目标性，同时提高提取效率。To sum up, multiple key process events of the emergency case are obtained through preset classification categories (the preset classification categories may include occurrence events, bearers, emergency management and disaster-pregnancy environments), and then respectively. Extracting the corresponding scene elements for multiple key process events is convenient to avoid the problems of omission, insufficient comprehensiveness and insufficient system when extracting scene elements, which can further improve the accuracy and targetness of the extracted scene elements, and improve the extraction efficiency at the same time .
图8为本申请的一具体示例性实施例中的突发事件推演图结构的构建装置的结构示意图。如图8所示，在如图7所示的基础上，构建模块还包括第一确定单元301、第二确定单元302、第三确定单元303和构建单元304。FIG. 8 is a schematic structural diagram of an apparatus for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in a specific exemplary embodiment of the present application. As shown in FIG. 8 , on the basis shown in FIG. 7 , the construction module further includes a first determination unit 301 , a second determination unit 302 , a third determination unit 303 and a construction unit 304 .
其中，第一确定单元301，用于根据所述情景要素的属性关系确定推动情景发展规律。The first determining unit 301 is configured to determine the law of promoting the development of the scenario according to the attribute relationship of the scenario elements.
第二确定单元302，用于根据所述推动情景发展规律，获取推动情景发展的关键数据，并根据所述关键数据确定推动情景发展的规则和模型。The second determining unit 302 is configured to acquire key data for promoting the development of the scenario according to the law for promoting the development of the scenario, and determine the rules and models for promoting the development of the scenario according to the key data.
构建单元303，用于根据所述情景要素的属性关系、所述情景要素与所述关键数据以及所述规则和模型之间的关系，构建所述推演图结构。The constructing unit 303 is configured to construct the derivation graph structure according to the attribute relationship of the context element, the relationship between the context element and the key data, and the rule and the model.
需要说明的是，前述对突发事件推演图结构的构建方法的描述，也适用于本示例性实施例的突发事件推演图结构的构建装置实施例，实现原理类似，在此不再赘述。It should be noted that the foregoing description of the method for constructing the emergency derivation graph structure is also applicable to the embodiment of the apparatus for constructing the emergency derivation graph structure of the present exemplary embodiment, and the implementation principles are similar, which will not be repeated here.
综上所述，本示例性实施例中的突发事件推演图结构的构建装置，在关注情景要素之间的关系的抽取上，加入了情景要素的属性以及推动情景发展和转化的关键数据的一系列定量描述，使得推演图结构的情景推演具备更高的参考价值。To sum up, the apparatus for constructing the structure of the emergency derivation graph in this exemplary embodiment focuses on the extraction of the relationship between the scene elements, and adds the attributes of the scene elements and the key data that promotes the development and transformation of the scene. A series of quantitative descriptions make the scenario deduction of the deduction graph structure have a higher reference value.
图9为本申请的另一个示例性实施例中的突发事件推演图结构的构建装置的结构示意图。如图9所示，在如图7所示的基础上，该突发事件推演图结构的构建装置还包括第二获取模块40和生成模块50。FIG. 9 is a schematic structural diagram of an apparatus for constructing an emergency event derivation graph structure in another exemplary embodiment of the present application. As shown in FIG. 9 , on the basis of that shown in FIG. 7 , the apparatus for constructing the structure of the emergency derivation diagram further includes a second acquiring module 40 and a generating module 50 .
其中，第二获取模块40，用于获取每一类突发事件对应的推演图结构。Wherein, the second obtaining module 40 is configured to obtain the deduction graph structure corresponding to each type of emergencies.
生成模块50，用于根据各类突发事件的相关性，建立各个推演图结构的连接关系，生成总推演图结构。The generating module 50 is configured to establish the connection relationship of each deduction graph structure according to the correlation of various emergencies, and generate a general deduction graph structure.
基于以上示例性实施例，应当理解的是，为了对构建的推演图结构的质量进行控制，该突发事件推演图结构的构建装置还可以包括更新模块，更新模块用于在推演图结构构建完成之后，对于推演图结构可能存在的问题，例如：缺漏、错误和陈旧，需要对推演图结构进行缺漏补全、错误纠正和陈旧更新等操作，保证推演图结构的质量。Based on the above exemplary embodiments, it should be understood that, in order to control the quality of the constructed derivation graph structure, the apparatus for constructing the derivation graph structure for emergencies may further include an update module, and the update module is used to complete the construction of the derivation graph structure when the update module is completed. Afterwards, for the possible problems of the deduction graph structure, such as: omissions, errors and outdatedness, it is necessary to perform operations such as omission completion, error correction and outdated update of the deduction graph structure to ensure the quality of the deduction graph structure.
下述为本申请的突发事件的推演装置实施例，可以被配置为执行本申请突发事件的推演方法实施例。对于本申请突发事件的推演装置实施例中未披露的细节，请参照本申请突发事件的推演方法实施例。The following embodiments of the apparatus for deducing emergencies of the present application may be configured to perform the embodiments of the deducing methods for deducing emergencies of the present application. For details not disclosed in the embodiments of the apparatus for deducing emergencies of the present application, please refer to the embodiments of the method for deducing emergencies in the present application.
图10为本申请的又一个示例性实施例中的突发事件的推演装置的结构示意图。如图10所示，该突发时间的推演装置可以包括搭建模块60和推演模块70。FIG. 10 is a schematic structural diagram of an emergency event deduction apparatus in yet another exemplary embodiment of the present application. As shown in FIG. 10 , the apparatus for deducing the burst time may include a building module 60 and a deduction module 70 .
其中，搭建模块60，用于获取当前突发事件的相关信息，并根据构建当前突发事件的初始情景。Among them, the building module 60 is used to obtain the relevant information of the current emergency and construct the initial scene of the current emergency according to the construction.
在具体实施过程中，相关信息可以包括所获取的当前突发事件的所有历史信息，该历史信息可以是当前突发事件从开始发生到当前的所有信息，通过对该历史信息的分析，可得到当前突发事件用于推演的初始情景。In the specific implementation process, the relevant information may include all the acquired historical information of the current emergency, and the historical information may be all the information from the occurrence of the current emergency to the present. By analyzing the historical information, we can obtain The current emergency is used as the initial scenario for the game.
推演模块70，用于选取初始情景中至少一个必要的情景要素，通过推演图结构进行情景推演直至情景推演完成。The deduction module 70 is configured to select at least one necessary scenario element in the initial scenario, and perform scenario deduction through the deduction graph structure until the scenario deduction is completed.
综上所述，本示例性实施例中的突发事件的推演装置，能够实现对情景推演过程的分析评估，可以对事故进行决策分析，为真实的事故处置提供有力的参考。To sum up, the emergency event deduction device in this exemplary embodiment can realize the analysis and evaluation of the scenario deduction process, and can make decision analysis on the accident, so as to provide a powerful reference for the actual accident handling.
图11为本申请的再一个示例性实施例中的突发事件的推演装置的结构示意图。如图11所示，在图10所示的基础之上，该突发事件的推演装置还可以包括：FIG. 11 is a schematic structural diagram of an emergency event deduction apparatus in still another exemplary embodiment of the present application. As shown in FIG. 11 , on the basis shown in FIG. 10 , the deduction device for the emergency event may further include:
分析模块80，用于对情景推演的过程进行分析评估，将评估结果发送至目标设备。The analysis module 80 is configured to analyze and evaluate the process of scenario deduction, and send the evaluation result to the target device.
在具体实施过程中，目标设备可以包括手机、电脑等。In a specific implementation process, the target device may include a mobile phone, a computer, and the like.
本领域技术人员在考虑说明书及实践这里公开的发明后，将容易想到本申请的其它实施方案。本申请旨在涵盖本申请的任何变型、用途或者适应性变化，这些变型、用途或者适应性变化遵循本申请的一般性原理并包括本申请未公开的本技术领域中的公知常识或惯用技术手段。说明书和实施例仅被视为示例性的，本申请的真正范围和精神由下面的权利要求指出。Other embodiments of the present application will readily occur to those skilled in the art upon consideration of the specification and practice of the invention disclosed herein. This application is intended to cover any variations, uses or adaptations of this application that follow the general principles of this application and include common knowledge or conventional techniques in the technical field not disclosed in this application . The specification and examples are to be regarded as exemplary only, with the true scope and spirit of the application being indicated by the following claims.
应当理解的是，本申请并不局限于上面已经描述并在附图中示出的精确结构，并且可以在不脱离其范围进行各种修改和改变。本申请的范围仅由所附的权利要求来限制。It is to be understood that the present application is not limited to the precise structures described above and shown in the accompanying drawings and that various modifications and changes may be made without departing from the scope thereof. The scope of the application is limited only by the appended claims.

Claims (12)

  1. 一种突发事件推演图结构的构建方法，其特征在于，包括以下步骤：A method for constructing an emergency deduction graph structure, comprising the following steps:
    获取突发事件案例，并根据预设分类类别获取所述突发事件案例的多个关键过程事件；Acquire an emergency case, and acquire a plurality of key process events of the emergency case according to a preset classification category;
    提取所述多个关键过程事件的情景要素；extracting contextual elements of the plurality of key process events;
    获取所述情景要素的属性关系，根据所述情景要素和所述情景要素的属性关系构建推演图结构。The attribute relationship of the scenario elements is acquired, and a derivation graph structure is constructed according to the scenario elements and the attribute relationships of the scenario elements.
  2. 根据权利要求1所述的突发事件推演图结构的构建方法，其特征在于，所述预设分类类别包括但不限于发生事件、承载载体、应急管理和孕灾环境中的多种。The method for constructing a derivation graph structure for emergencies according to claim 1, wherein the preset classification categories include, but are not limited to, occurrence events, bearers, emergency management, and disaster-pregnancy environments.
  3. 根据权利要求1所述的突发事件推演图结构的构建方法，其特征在于，所述获取所述情景要素的属性关系，根据所述情景要素和所述情景要素的属性关系构建推演图结构，包括：The method for constructing a derivation graph structure for emergencies according to claim 1, wherein the obtaining the attribute relationship of the scenario elements, and constructing the derivation graph structure according to the scenario elements and the attribute relationships of the scenario elements, include:
    根据所述情景要素的属性关系确定推动情景发展规律；Determine the law of promoting the development of the scenario according to the attribute relationship of the scenario elements;
    根据所述推动情景发展规律，获取推动情景发展的关键数据，并根据所述关键数据确定推动情景发展的规则和模型；According to the law for promoting the development of the scenario, obtain key data for promoting the development of the scenario, and determine the rules and models for promoting the development of the scenario according to the key data;
    根据所述情景要素的属性关系、所述情景要素与所述关键数据以及所述规则和模型之间的关系，构建所述推演图结构。The derivation graph structure is constructed according to the attribute relationship of the context elements, the relationship between the context elements and the key data, and the rules and models.
  4. 根据权利要求1所述的突发事件推演图结构的构建方法，其特征在于，还包括：The method for constructing an emergency deduction graph structure according to claim 1, further comprising:
    获取每一类突发事件对应的推演图结构；Obtain the deduction map structure corresponding to each type of emergencies;
    根据各类突发事件的相关性，建立各个推演图结构的连接关系，生成总推演图结构。According to the correlation of various emergencies, the connection relationship of each deduction graph structure is established, and the overall deduction graph structure is generated.
  5. 一种突发事件的推演方法，其特征在于，应用权利要求1-4任意一项所述的推演图结构，包括以下步骤：A deduction method for emergencies, characterized in that, applying the deduction diagram structure described in any one of claims 1-4, comprising the following steps:
    获取当前突发事件的相关信息，并根据所述相关信息构建所述当前突发事件的初始情景；Acquiring relevant information of the current emergency, and constructing an initial scenario of the current emergency according to the relevant information;
    选取所述初始情景中至少一个必要的情景要素，通过所述推演图结构进行情景推演直至情景推演完成。At least one necessary scenario element in the initial scenario is selected, and scenario deduction is performed through the deduction graph structure until the scenario deduction is completed.
  6. 根据权利要求5所述的突发事件的推演方法，其特征在于，还包括：The derivation method for emergencies according to claim 5, characterized in that, further comprising:
    对所述情景推演的过程进行分析评估，将评估结果发送至目标设备。The process of the scenario deduction is analyzed and evaluated, and the evaluation result is sent to the target device.
  7. 一种突发事件推演图结构的构建装置，其特征在于，包括：A device for constructing an emergency deduction graph structure, characterized in that it includes:
    第一获取模块，用于获取突发事件案例，并根据预设分类类别获取所述突发事件案例的多个关键过程事件；a first acquisition module, configured to acquire an emergency case, and acquire a plurality of key process events of the emergency case according to a preset classification category;
    提取模块，用于提取所述多个关键过程事件的情景要素；an extraction module for extracting the scenario elements of the plurality of key process events;
    构建模块，用于获取所述情景要素的属性关系，根据所述情景要素和所述情景要素的属性关系构建推演图结构。The building module is used for acquiring the attribute relationship of the scenario elements, and constructing a derivation graph structure according to the scenario elements and the attribute relationship of the scenario elements.
  8. 根据权利要求7所述的突发事件推演图结构的构建装置，其特征在于，所述预设分类类别包括但不限于发生事件、承载载体、应急管理和孕灾环境中的多种。The device for constructing a derivation graph structure for emergencies according to claim 7, wherein the preset classification categories include but are not limited to occurrence events, bearers, emergency management and disaster-pregnancy environments.
  9. 根据权利要求7所述的突发事件推演图结构的构建装置，其特征在于，所述构建模块还包括：The device for constructing an emergency deduction graph structure according to claim 7, wherein the construction module further comprises:
    第一确定单元，用于根据所述情景要素的属性关系确定推动情景发展规律；a first determining unit, configured to determine the law of promoting the development of the scenario according to the attribute relationship of the scenario elements;
    第二确定单元，用于根据所述推动情景发展规律，获取推动情景发展的关键数据，并根据所述关键数据确定推动情景发展的规则和模型；a second determining unit, configured to acquire key data for promoting the development of the scenario according to the law for promoting the development of the scenario, and determine the rules and models for promoting the development of the scenario according to the key data;
    构建单元，用于根据所述情景要素的属性关系、所述情景要素与所述关键数据以及所述规则和模型之间的关系，构建所述推演图结构。A construction unit, configured to construct the derivation graph structure according to the attribute relationship of the scenario element, the relationship between the scenario element and the key data, and the rule and the model.
  10. 根据权利要求7所述的突发事件推演图结构的构建装置，其特征在于，还包括：The device for constructing an emergency deduction graph structure according to claim 7, further comprising:
    第二获取模块，用于获取每一类突发事件对应的推演图结构；The second obtaining module is used to obtain the deduction map structure corresponding to each type of emergencies;
    生成模块，用于根据各类突发事件的相关性，建立各个推演图结构的连接关系，生成总推演图结构。The generation module is used to establish the connection relationship of each deduction graph structure according to the correlation of various emergencies, and generate the overall deduction graph structure.
  11. 一种突发事件的推演装置，其特征在于，包括：A deduction device for emergencies, comprising:
    搭建模块，用于获取当前突发事件的相关信息，并根据所述相关信息构建所述当前突发事件的初始情景；Building a module for acquiring relevant information of the current emergency, and constructing the initial scene of the current emergency according to the relevant information;
    推演模块，用于选取所述初始情景中至少一个必要的情景要素，通过所述推演图结构进行情景推演直至情景推演完成。The deduction module is used for selecting at least one necessary scene element in the initial scene, and performing the scene deduction through the deduction graph structure until the scene deduction is completed.
  12. 根据权利要求11所述的突发事件的推演装置，其特征在于，还包括：The deduction device for emergencies according to claim 11, further comprising:
    分析模块，用于对所述情景推演的过程进行分析评估，将评估结果发送至目标设备。The analysis module is used to analyze and evaluate the process of the scenario deduction, and send the evaluation result to the target device.
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