US20130041552A1 - Methods and Apparatus for Estimating Power Usage - Google Patents

Methods and Apparatus for Estimating Power Usage Download PDF

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US20130041552A1
US20130041552A1 US13/207,566 US201113207566A US2013041552A1 US 20130041552 A1 US20130041552 A1 US 20130041552A1 US 201113207566 A US201113207566 A US 201113207566A US 2013041552 A1 US2013041552 A1 US 2013041552A1
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Prior art keywords
network model
road network
road
energy
vehicle
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US13/207,566
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Perry Robinson MacNeille
Edward Andrew Pleet
Mark John Jennings
Oleg Yurievitch Gusikhin
Brian Petersen
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Ford Global Technologies LLC
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Ford Global Technologies LLC
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Priority to US13/207,566 priority Critical patent/US20130041552A1/en
Assigned to FORD GLOBAL TECHNOLOGIES, LLC reassignment FORD GLOBAL TECHNOLOGIES, LLC ASSIGNMENT OF ASSIGNORS INTEREST (SEE DOCUMENT FOR DETAILS). Assignors: PLEET, EDWARD ANDREW, GUSIKHIN, OLEG YURIEVITCH, JENNINGS, MARK JOHN, MACNEILLE, PERRY ROBINSON, PETERSEN, BRIAN
Priority to CN 201210280755 priority patent/CN102955899A/en
Priority to DE201210107309 priority patent/DE102012107309A1/en
Publication of US20130041552A1 publication Critical patent/US20130041552A1/en
Priority to US13/944,470 priority patent/US9459111B2/en
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G01MEASURING; TESTING
    • G01CMEASURING DISTANCES, LEVELS OR BEARINGS; SURVEYING; NAVIGATION; GYROSCOPIC INSTRUMENTS; PHOTOGRAMMETRY OR VIDEOGRAMMETRY
    • G01C21/00Navigation; Navigational instruments not provided for in groups G01C1/00 - G01C19/00
    • G01C21/26Navigation; Navigational instruments not provided for in groups G01C1/00 - G01C19/00 specially adapted for navigation in a road network
    • G01C21/34Route searching; Route guidance
    • G01C21/3453Special cost functions, i.e. other than distance or default speed limit of road segments
    • G01C21/3469Fuel consumption; Energy use; Emission aspects

Definitions

  • the illustrative embodiments generally relate to methods and apparatus for estimating power usage.
  • Evaluating real world fuel consumption of a vehicle is useful in developing algorithms for low cost routing and distance-to-empty. This calculation enables vehicle features that can result in significant fuel and travel time savings. With advances in digital systems, there is an explosion of inputs available to electronic vehicle features that can influence emissions, energy consumption and travel time.
  • Traffic simulation tools help in replicating real life traffic and driver behavior. Different scenarios can be analyzed to understand vehicle behavior under varying conditions.
  • range anxiety is the number one concern for battery electric vehicle (BEV) owners.
  • BEV battery electric vehicle
  • the illustrative embodiments enable vehicle features that can eliminate range anxiety by presenting real-world estimates of distance to empty and also ensure the best fuel economy by presenting low energy routes.
  • a computer-implemented method includes establishing a road network model on which a plurality of simulated vehicles may be run. The illustrative method also includes setting up a plurality of scenarios under which vehicle driving conditions vary to be run on the road network model.
  • the illustrative method includes receiving energy usage related data for a plurality of simulated vehicles run in at least one of the plurality of scenarios on the road network model.
  • the illustrative method further includes calculating a total energy consumption for each of the vehicles.
  • the illustrative method additionally includes repeating the receiving and calculating steps to determine how various elements of the road network model and scenarios effect vehicle energy consumption.
  • a computer implemented method includes breaking a route into a plurality of segments having the same or a similar energy use affecting characteristic. This illustrative method also includes assigning a total energy usage cost to the segment based on one or more energy use affecting characteristics of each segment.
  • this illustrative method includes adding the total energy usage cost of all segments comprising a route to determine a total route energy cost and repeating the adding step for a plurality of routes comprised of varying segments between a current location and a destination.
  • This illustrative method additionally includes presenting a driver with the route having the lowest total route energy cost.
  • a machine readable storage medium stores instructions that, when executed, cause a processor to perform the method including establishing a road network model on which a plurality of simulated vehicles may be run.
  • the exemplary method also includes setting up a plurality of scenarios under which vehicle driving conditions vary to be run on the road network model.
  • the illustrative method includes receiving energy usage related data for a plurality of simulated vehicles run in at least one of the plurality of scenarios on the road network model and calculating a total energy consumption for each of the vehicles. Also, the illustrative method includes repeating the receiving and calculating steps to determine how various elements of the road network model and scenarios effect vehicle energy consumption.
  • FIG. 1 shows an illustrative example of a fuel efficiency testing process
  • FIG. 2 shows an illustrative example of a road network modeling process
  • FIG. 3 shows an illustrative example of a scenario setup process
  • FIG. 4 shows an illustrative example of an energy consumption determination process.
  • Evaluating the real world fuel consumption of a vehicle is one method of developing algorithms for low-cost routing and distance-to-empty. This calculation enables vehicle features that can result in significant fuel and travel time savings. With advances in digital systems, there is an explosion of inputs available to electronic vehicle features that can influence emissions, energy consumption and travel time. Making use of this data will eventually result in cost savings for a consumer.
  • Traffic simulation tools help in replicating real life traffic and driver behavior. Different scenarios can be analyzed to understand the most important influencers on real world fuel economy. The energy consumption under different traffic and road conditions can also be evaluated using traffic simulation.
  • the illustrative embodiment reflect development of software modules for embedded and cloud-based applications that receives inputs such as driver characteristics, road topology, vehicle characteristics, weather, traffic, etc. and output energy consumption for route optimization and distance to empty computations. This can also enable applications on embedded platforms such as SYNC, mobile platforms such as smart phones and in web-based applications in the cloud.
  • the illustrative embodiments enable vehicle features that can eliminate range anxiety by presenting real-world estimates of distance to empty and also ensure the best fuel economy by presenting low energy routes.
  • the illustrative embodiments include a laboratory method of computing real-world fuel consumption from external data available in digital formats.
  • the external data available in digital formats is used as an input into a traffic simulator called VISSIM2, which can generate realistic drive cycles.
  • Drive cycles are then input into a powertrain simulation to compute energy along a specific route for a specific vehicle.
  • the energies for the entire set of vehicles are statistically analyzed for average energy consumption and the expectation interval energy consumption along the route.
  • a method of computing energy from drive cycles called modeFrontier is introduced and makes the energy consumption analysis much simpler and more suitable for embedded processors and cloud-based applications.
  • Four dimensional energy tables are populated with energy values using CVSP, with the dimensions being vehicle weight, speed, road gradient and accessory loads.
  • Actual road gradient and vehicle acceleration from the VISSIM drive cycle are combined into a singled variable for use in the tables.
  • the table was divided into sub-tables for each accessory load and vehicle weight.
  • a cubic spline surface was created in the speed and road gradient dimensions for each sub-table to more accurately estimate the fuel consumption.
  • sCVSP was also used to compute the maximum acceleration the vehicle is capable of at a specific weight, road gradient and speed. This was passed into VISSIM manually as an acceleration-velocity curve. If this curve was incorrect the accelerations would be either too large for the vehicle to achieve or never large enough to represent maximum vehicle acceleration.
  • VISSIM is a simulation package that can analyze private and public transport operations under constraints such as lane configuration, traffic composition, traffic signals, public transportation stops, etc., thus making it a useful tool for the evaluation of various alternatives based on transportation engineering and planning measures of effectiveness.
  • VISSIM can be applied as a useful tool in a variety of transportation problem settings.
  • the following list provides a selective overview of previous applications of VISSIM:
  • VISSIM can answer route choice dependent questions such as the impacts of variable message signs or the potential for traffic diversion into neighborhoods for networks up to the size of medium sized cities.
  • VISSIM can also simulate and visualize the interactions between road traffic and pedestrians.
  • the traffic simulator is a microscopic traffic flow simulation model including the car following and lane change logic.
  • the signal state generator is a signal control software pooling detector information from the traffic simulator on a discrete time step basis (down to 1/10 of a second). It then determines the signal status for the following time step and returns this information to the traffic simulator.
  • VISSIM uses a psycho-physical driver behavior model.
  • the basic concept of this model is that the driver of a faster moving vehicle starts to decelerate as he reaches his individual perception threshold when approaching a slower moving vehicle. Since he cannot precisely determine the speed of the other vehicle, his speed will fall below that vehicle's speed until he starts to slightly accelerate again after reaching another perception threshold. This results in an iterative process of acceleration and deceleration.
  • VISSIM's traffic simulator not only allows drivers on multiple lane roadways to react to preceding vehicles (4 by default), but also neighboring vehicles on the adjacent travel lanes are taken into account. The alertness of drivers approaching a traffic signal is increased within 100 meters of a stop line.
  • VISSIM model inputs are listed below:
  • the ability of the simulator to depict real life traffic scenarios and driving behavior is extremely useful in understanding the different road or traffic or driver characteristics that affect the energy consumption of a battery electric vehicle.
  • sCVSP is the corporate standard tool for vehicle performance and fuel economy modeling and simulation. Among its main features are:
  • Model architecture and subsystem interfaces allow interchange subsystem and component models based on vehicle hardware.
  • a global bus enables the communication between the vehicle system control (VSC) and vehicle components.
  • VSC vehicle system control
  • New models can be added to existing libraries b.
  • New libraries with new models can be added
  • sCVSP energy usage results are computed in advance and recorded in a table as shown below.
  • Each entry in the table is the work needed for locomotion in Wh/mile for a given speed, acceleration, ground grade, accessory load and vehicle weight.
  • the vehicle weight was simplified and parameterized by the number of passengers in the vehicle assuming 150 lbs for a passenger.
  • the work is provided at the battery terminals as well as at the wheels
  • the former value includes parasitic losses in the powertrain but not parasitic losses in the battery.
  • the large table is reduced to separate 2-dimensional sub-tables for a specific accLoad and number of passengers.
  • the sub-tables have two variables remaining, % grade and VehSpeed, that are the only variables that change during a single drive cycle.
  • the sub-tables are further reduced to a cubic spline surface dimensioned by % grade and vehicle speed.
  • the values computed by sCVSP become the corner nodes for each value in the table. These cubic-spline surfaces are then used to estimate the power from the drive cycle, with vehicle acceleration and actual road grade combined into the single % grade value.
  • sCVSP was also used to compute the maximum acceleration verses time as an input into VISSIM.
  • sCVSP simulations of the three EPA cycles demonstrate the extremes of maximum accelerations imposed by the sCVSP model of the vehicle. It is necessary that VISSIM and sCVSP have the same acceleration limits or VISSIM will generate accelerations that can not be achieved by the vehicle.
  • the lower bound of acceleration (maximum deceleration) was ⁇ 0.85 at zero mph, varying linearly to ⁇ 0.75 at 80 mph; theoretically it may be possible to have greater decelerations.
  • FIG. 1 shows an illustrative example of a fuel efficiency testing process.
  • a road network model is first established 201.
  • the model is established in a VISSIM environment.
  • a plurality of scenarios are setup under which testing conditions can be performed on the road model 203 .
  • Multiple replications of the scenarios are run to establish baseline results 204 , providing aggregate data with a high degree of accuracy.
  • the process can advance to a next scenario 211 .
  • FIG. 2 shows an illustrative example of a road network modeling process.
  • the road network under consideration is set-up in the traffic simulator.
  • the geometry 301 and length of the road 303 , number of lanes 305 , vehicle flows 307 , vehicle compositions 309 , desired speeds 311 , traffic signal data 313 , the driver model 315 , etc. are some of the inputs that may need to be set-up before running the simulation. Additional inputs may be added to the simulator as desired, and not all of the previously mentioned inputs need to be used.
  • FIG. 3 shows an illustrative example of a scenario setup process.
  • a particular scenario is selected for initialization 401 .
  • Road characteristics may be input 403 if desired. For example, without limitation, gradient 405 and/or number of lanes 407 may be adjusted.
  • traffic characteristics 409 may be input for the scenario. This may include, but are not limited to, a vehicle flow rate 411 and a vehicle mix 413 .
  • driver characteristics may be input 415 to represent certain driving behaviors. These characteristics may include, but are not limited to, driver speeds 417 and cruise control usage data 419 .
  • weather data may be input for the scenario 421 .
  • This data may include, but is not limited to, visibility adjustments 423 and temperature adjustments 425 .
  • FIG. 4 shows an illustrative example of an energy consumption determination process.
  • the parameters used to calculate the energy consumed by a particular battery electric vehicle during a simulation run may include: speed 503 , acceleration 505 , distance travelled 507 , accessory loads and number of passengers.
  • VISSIM can output the speed, acceleration and distance travelled by all the vehicles in the simulation at every instant (every second in this case).
  • the number of passengers is fixed at one and the accessory loads are assumed to remain fixed throughout the simulation run. It should be noted that the accessory loads affect only the eventual energy consumption and not the drive cycle.
  • the outputs from VISSIM are processed in MATLAB (or C-code on board the vehicle) 509 to get the energy consumption by the battery electric vehicles in a given scenario 511 .
  • the acceleration/deceleration values from VISSIM are mapped into corresponding gradient values and thereby taking into account the regenerative ability of a battery electric vehicle during braking 513 .
  • a MATLAB/C code calculates the energy consumed at each and every time instant for each electric vehicle and sums them to give the total energy consumption 515 . Regenerative capability of a battery electric vehicle is considered in the energy tables.
  • the models used by the traffic simulator are stochastic in nature. Hence, for a given scenario and a particular simulation run, each of the battery electric vehicles will have a different drive cycle and therefore different energy usage.
  • a characteristic of a particular simulation is the statistical variance of the energy utilization of large samples of vehicle. The sample size can be determined by plotting the variance (or standard deviation) verses sample size and observing the point at which the variance approaches a steady state. Based this analysis 120 vehicles was selected as a reasonable sample size.
  • a confidence interval is a range of numbers relevant to the parameter of interest. For example, a 95% confidence interval means that if we repeatedly draw samples of a given size N from a certain population and we construct a confidence interval for each sample, then 95% of these intervals on average will contain the true value of the unknown parameter as an interior point. It is incorrect to interpret a 95% confidence interval to mean that there is a 95% chance that the interval contains the true value of the unknown parameter as an interior point. This is because there is one value of the unknown parameter, and the confidence interval either contains this value or does not contain it.
  • confidence intervals should not be interpreted as probabilities but should rather be interpreted in the context of repeated sampling.
  • speed of the vehicles has a big impact on the energy consumption.
  • a vehicle travelling at around 100 km/hr will consume about 30% more energy than a vehicle travelling at around 80 km/hr.
  • the number of lanes on the freeway doesn't seem to have an effect on the overall energy consumption.
  • the vehicles travelling in cruise control use significantly lower energy than the vehicles travelling without cruise.
  • the fluctuations in acceleration/deceleration and hence the speed results in higher energy consumption for vehicles which are not using cruise control.
  • the drop in energy consumption with increase in flow values is directly related to the drop in speeds as the flow conditions become congested.
  • the energy consumption and its variation remains fixed across different flow values when the cruise control is set to 80 km/hr.
  • accessory loads are comparable to the effect of flow conditions.
  • a vehicle travelling in a congested road 6000 vehicles per hour
  • a hot weather 2000 W accessory load
  • uses almost the same energy as that used by a vehicle travelling in free flow 2000 vehicles per hour
  • a cold weather 800 W accessory load
  • the energy usage is the lowest for a residential road and highest for a freeway, mainly because of low speeds and stop-go nature of traffic on a residential road.
  • the energy usage per mile with 400 W accessory load is more than halved from a freeway to a residential road.
  • the travel time on a residential road is almost four times that on a freeway. This shows a trade-off between travel times and energy usage.
  • Increase in the accessory loads has very little impact on the energy usage on a freeway where high speed is the primary driver of energy consumed.
  • the accessory loads drastically affect the energy usage on a residential road to such an extent that, the energy used per mile with 2000 W accessory load is almost the same as that on an urban road.
  • the energy consumption results from various scenarios across different road types have been analyzed to understand the various factors that affect energy consumption of a battery electric vehicle.
  • the results show that road gradient has a very significant effect on the energy usage across all the three road types—freeway, urban roads and residential roads. Accessory loads have a strong effect across different road types.
  • the results show that at very high accessory loads the energy usage on a residential road is equal to the energy used on an urban road, although there is a difference in the desired speeds on these road types.
  • the speed of the vehicles also has a prominent effect on the energy usage.
  • Cruise control on freeways helps in reducing the energy cost.
  • significant energy gains are possible in stop-go traffic scenarios because of regenerative braking in a battery electric vehicle.
  • urban roads with traffic signals and residential roads are likely to be preferred over freeways to achieve lower energy consumption. But, it should be noted that there is a trade-off here, between energy consumed and travel times.
  • the results can be used to develop cost functions that can evaluate the total energy consumed along various possible routes between an origin and destination and finally give the customer the minimum energy route.
  • One way of using the results in the cost function is through the use of energy look-up tables and polynomial curve fitting. For example, any route can be broken up into segments which have the same characteristic, (either road type or gradient or speed limits etc) and each segment can be assigned a cost which is equal to the energy consumed by the vehicle to travel that segment. Adding up the costs across all the segments will give the overall cost to travel that particular route. This can be done for all possible routes between two locations and the final output could be the route which uses the lowest amount of energy.
  • Energys on different segments can be calculated by fitting a polynomial curve to available data.
  • Accessory loads can be related to the weather and temperature conditions. Hence, overall, accessory loads will have a significant effect in deciding which road type to choose while making a certain trip.

Abstract

A computer-implemented method includes establishing a road network model on which a plurality of simulated vehicles may be run. The method also includes setting up a plurality of scenarios under which vehicle driving conditions vary to be run on the road network model. The illustrative method includes receiving energy usage related data for a plurality of simulated vehicles run in at least one of the plurality of scenarios on the road network model. The method further includes calculating a total energy consumption for each of the vehicles. The method additionally includes repeating the receiving and calculating steps to determine how various elements of the road network model and scenarios effect vehicle energy consumption.

Description

    TECHNICAL FIELD
  • The illustrative embodiments generally relate to methods and apparatus for estimating power usage.
  • BACKGROUND
  • Evaluating real world fuel consumption of a vehicle is useful in developing algorithms for low cost routing and distance-to-empty. This calculation enables vehicle features that can result in significant fuel and travel time savings. With advances in digital systems, there is an explosion of inputs available to electronic vehicle features that can influence emissions, energy consumption and travel time.
  • Traffic simulation tools help in replicating real life traffic and driver behavior. Different scenarios can be analyzed to understand vehicle behavior under varying conditions.
  • Marketing studies have revealed that range anxiety is the number one concern for battery electric vehicle (BEV) owners. The illustrative embodiments enable vehicle features that can eliminate range anxiety by presenting real-world estimates of distance to empty and also ensure the best fuel economy by presenting low energy routes.
  • SUMMARY
  • In a first illustrative embodiment, a computer-implemented method includes establishing a road network model on which a plurality of simulated vehicles may be run. The illustrative method also includes setting up a plurality of scenarios under which vehicle driving conditions vary to be run on the road network model.
  • Also, the illustrative method includes receiving energy usage related data for a plurality of simulated vehicles run in at least one of the plurality of scenarios on the road network model. The illustrative method further includes calculating a total energy consumption for each of the vehicles.
  • The illustrative method additionally includes repeating the receiving and calculating steps to determine how various elements of the road network model and scenarios effect vehicle energy consumption.
  • In a second illustrative embodiment, a computer implemented method includes breaking a route into a plurality of segments having the same or a similar energy use affecting characteristic. This illustrative method also includes assigning a total energy usage cost to the segment based on one or more energy use affecting characteristics of each segment.
  • Further, this illustrative method includes adding the total energy usage cost of all segments comprising a route to determine a total route energy cost and repeating the adding step for a plurality of routes comprised of varying segments between a current location and a destination. This illustrative method additionally includes presenting a driver with the route having the lowest total route energy cost.
  • In a third illustrative embodiment, a machine readable storage medium stores instructions that, when executed, cause a processor to perform the method including establishing a road network model on which a plurality of simulated vehicles may be run. The exemplary method also includes setting up a plurality of scenarios under which vehicle driving conditions vary to be run on the road network model.
  • Further, the illustrative method includes receiving energy usage related data for a plurality of simulated vehicles run in at least one of the plurality of scenarios on the road network model and calculating a total energy consumption for each of the vehicles. Also, the illustrative method includes repeating the receiving and calculating steps to determine how various elements of the road network model and scenarios effect vehicle energy consumption.
  • BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS
  • FIG. 1 shows an illustrative example of a fuel efficiency testing process;
  • FIG. 2 shows an illustrative example of a road network modeling process;
  • FIG. 3 shows an illustrative example of a scenario setup process; and
  • FIG. 4 shows an illustrative example of an energy consumption determination process.
  • DETAILED DESCRIPTION
  • As required, detailed embodiments of the present invention are disclosed herein; however, it is to be understood that the disclosed embodiments are merely exemplary of the invention that may be embodied in various and alternative forms. The figures are not necessarily to scale; some features may be exaggerated or minimized to show details of particular components. Therefore, specific structural and functional details disclosed herein are not to be interpreted as limiting, but merely as a representative basis for teaching one skilled in the art to variously employ the present invention.
  • Evaluating the real world fuel consumption of a vehicle is one method of developing algorithms for low-cost routing and distance-to-empty. This calculation enables vehicle features that can result in significant fuel and travel time savings. With advances in digital systems, there is an explosion of inputs available to electronic vehicle features that can influence emissions, energy consumption and travel time. Making use of this data will eventually result in cost savings for a consumer.
  • Traffic simulation tools help in replicating real life traffic and driver behavior. Different scenarios can be analyzed to understand the most important influencers on real world fuel economy. The energy consumption under different traffic and road conditions can also be evaluated using traffic simulation.
  • The illustrative embodiment reflect development of software modules for embedded and cloud-based applications that receives inputs such as driver characteristics, road topology, vehicle characteristics, weather, traffic, etc. and output energy consumption for route optimization and distance to empty computations. This can also enable applications on embedded platforms such as SYNC, mobile platforms such as smart phones and in web-based applications in the cloud.
  • The illustrative embodiments enable vehicle features that can eliminate range anxiety by presenting real-world estimates of distance to empty and also ensure the best fuel economy by presenting low energy routes.
  • The illustrative embodiments include a laboratory method of computing real-world fuel consumption from external data available in digital formats. The external data available in digital formats is used as an input into a traffic simulator called VISSIM2, which can generate realistic drive cycles. Drive cycles are then input into a powertrain simulation to compute energy along a specific route for a specific vehicle. The energies for the entire set of vehicles are statistically analyzed for average energy consumption and the expectation interval energy consumption along the route.
  • A method of computing energy from drive cycles called modeFrontier is introduced and makes the energy consumption analysis much simpler and more suitable for embedded processors and cloud-based applications. Four dimensional energy tables are populated with energy values using CVSP, with the dimensions being vehicle weight, speed, road gradient and accessory loads. Actual road gradient and vehicle acceleration from the VISSIM drive cycle are combined into a singled variable for use in the tables. Throughout any simulated drive only the speed and vehicle acceleration vary, so the table was divided into sub-tables for each accessory load and vehicle weight. A cubic spline surface was created in the speed and road gradient dimensions for each sub-table to more accurately estimate the fuel consumption.
  • sCVSP was also used to compute the maximum acceleration the vehicle is capable of at a specific weight, road gradient and speed. This was passed into VISSIM manually as an acceleration-velocity curve. If this curve was incorrect the accelerations would be either too large for the vehicle to achieve or never large enough to represent maximum vehicle acceleration.
  • VISSIM is a simulation package that can analyze private and public transport operations under constraints such as lane configuration, traffic composition, traffic signals, public transportation stops, etc., thus making it a useful tool for the evaluation of various alternatives based on transportation engineering and planning measures of effectiveness.
  • VISSIM can be applied as a useful tool in a variety of transportation problem settings. The following list provides a selective overview of previous applications of VISSIM:
  • Development, evaluation and fine-tuning of signal priority logic
  • Evaluation and optimization of traffic operations in a combined network of coordinated and actuated traffic signals.
  • Feasibility and traffic impact studies of integrating light rail into urban street networks.
  • Analysis of slow speed weaving and merging areas.
  • Easy comparison of design alternatives including signalized and stop sign controlled intersections, roundabouts and grade separated interchanges.
  • Capacity and operations analysis of complex station layouts for light rail and bus systems.
  • With its built-in Dynamic Assignment model, VISSIM can answer route choice dependent questions such as the impacts of variable message signs or the potential for traffic diversion into neighborhoods for networks up to the size of medium sized cities.
  • Modeling and simulating flows of pedestrians—in streets and buildings—allow for a wide range of new applications. VISSIM can also simulate and visualize the interactions between road traffic and pedestrians.
  • The traffic simulator is a microscopic traffic flow simulation model including the car following and lane change logic. The signal state generator is a signal control software pooling detector information from the traffic simulator on a discrete time step basis (down to 1/10 of a second). It then determines the signal status for the following time step and returns this information to the traffic simulator.
  • The accuracy of a traffic simulation model is mainly dependent on the quality of the vehicle modeling, e.g. the methodology of moving vehicles through the network. In contrast to less complex models using constant speeds and deterministic car following logic, VISSIM uses a psycho-physical driver behavior model. The basic concept of this model is that the driver of a faster moving vehicle starts to decelerate as he reaches his individual perception threshold when approaching a slower moving vehicle. Since he cannot precisely determine the speed of the other vehicle, his speed will fall below that vehicle's speed until he starts to slightly accelerate again after reaching another perception threshold. This results in an iterative process of acceleration and deceleration.
  • Stochastic distributions of speed and spacing thresholds replicate individual driver behavior characteristics. VISSIM's traffic simulator not only allows drivers on multiple lane roadways to react to preceding vehicles (4 by default), but also neighboring vehicles on the adjacent travel lanes are taken into account. The alertness of drivers approaching a traffic signal is increased within 100 meters of a stop line.
  • Some of the VISSIM model inputs are listed below:
  • Behavior of the driver-vehicle-unit
  • Psycho-physical sensitivity thresholds
  • a. Ability to estimate distance
    b. Aggressiveness
    c. Memory of the driver
  • Actual acceleration/deceleration based on current speed and desired speed and
  • aggressiveness
  • Accessory usage based on weather, daylight and driver preferences
  • Interdependence of driver-vehicle units
  • Rules to define relationships between leading and following vehicles
  • Rules to define the relationship between vehicles in adjacent travel lanes
  • Rules to define behavior at intersections and traffic signals
  • Actual speed and acceleration
  • Behavior of driver-vehicle units with respect to the road
  • Speed limits
  • Number of lanes
  • Behavior of driver-vehicle units with respect to traffic
  • Road model with speed limits, lanes, and gradient
  • Volume of vehicles in the road model
  • Distribution of vehicle lengths, top speeds and maximum acceleration
  • Traffic control devices, timing etc.
  • The ability of the simulator to depict real life traffic scenarios and driving behavior is extremely useful in understanding the different road or traffic or driver characteristics that affect the energy consumption of a battery electric vehicle.
  • sCVSP is the corporate standard tool for vehicle performance and fuel economy modeling and simulation. Among its main features are:
  • Used on Ford vehicle programs to set Performance & Fuel Economy targets.
  • Model architecture and subsystem interfaces allow interchange subsystem and component models based on vehicle hardware. A global bus enables the communication between the vehicle system control (VSC) and vehicle components.
  • Includes extensive set of component models that have been developed over the years and are validated with test data.
  • Includes extensive vehicle and component parameter database. These parameters can be calibrated and optimized to improve vehicle performance.
  • Supported by company-wide processes to generate vehicle and component parameter data for new programs.
  • Includes standard test management and report generating capabilities that allow design engineers understand the behavior of components, subsystems and the vehicle.
  • Features and capabilities can be extended by users
  • a. New models can be added to existing libraries
    b. New libraries with new models can be added
  • In order to have a on-line capability to predict the distance to empty in BEVs, sCVSP energy usage results are computed in advance and recorded in a table as shown below. Each entry in the table is the work needed for locomotion in Wh/mile for a given speed, acceleration, ground grade, accessory load and vehicle weight. The vehicle weight was simplified and parameterized by the number of passengers in the vehicle assuming 150 lbs for a passenger. The work is provided at the battery terminals as well as at the wheels The former value includes parasitic losses in the powertrain but not parasitic losses in the battery.
  • In the calculation the large table is reduced to separate 2-dimensional sub-tables for a specific accLoad and number of passengers. The sub-tables have two variables remaining, % grade and VehSpeed, that are the only variables that change during a single drive cycle. The sub-tables are further reduced to a cubic spline surface dimensioned by % grade and vehicle speed. The values computed by sCVSP become the corner nodes for each value in the table. These cubic-spline surfaces are then used to estimate the power from the drive cycle, with vehicle acceleration and actual road grade combined into the single % grade value.
  • Figure US20130041552A1-20130214-P00001
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    Figure US20130041552A1-20130214-P00001
     grade
    Figure US20130041552A1-20130214-P00001
     speed
    Figure US20130041552A1-20130214-P00002
     batt
    Figure US20130041552A1-20130214-P00002
     batt
    Figure US20130041552A1-20130214-P00002
     batt
    Figure US20130041552A1-20130214-P00002
     batt
    Figure US20130041552A1-20130214-P00002
     whl
    Figure US20130041552A1-20130214-P00002
     whl
    Figure US20130041552A1-20130214-P00002
     whl
    Figure US20130041552A1-20130214-P00002
     whl
    load_Watt perc kph whr . . . whr . . . whr . . . whr . . . whr . . . whr . . . whr . . . whr . . .
    400.000 −6.00 10.0 −212.72 −225.22 −237.70 −250.20 −376.63 −392.66 −408.67 −424.70
    400.000 −6.00 30.0 −288.43 −302.73 −317.01 −331.31 −354.00 −369.90 −385.78 −401.68
    400.000 −6.00 50.0 −273.35 −287.92 −302.46 −317.01 −318.89 −334.68 −350.45 −366.23
    400.000 −6.00 70.0 −234.25 −248.99 −263.60 −278.22 −270.65 −286.35 −302.01 −317.68
    400.000 −6.00 90.0 −177.01 −191.77 −206.49 −221.23 −208.58 −224.18 −239.75 −255.34
    400.000 −6.00 110.0 −104.60 −119.24 −133.85 −148.47 −133.27 −148.79 −164.27 −179.77
    400.000 −6.00 130.0 −19.74 −34.20 −48.60 −63.02 −44.44 −59.90 −75.31 −90.74
    400.000 −4.00 10.0 −96.92 −104.94 −112.94 −120.95 −229.18 −239.28 −249.35 −259.44
    400.000 −4.00 30.0 −154.64 −163.76 −172.86 −181.97 −206.56 −216.53 −226.47 −236.44
    400.000 −4.00 50.0 −136.31 −145.50 −154.66 −163.83 −171.46 −181.32 −191.15 −200.99
    400.000 −4.00 70.0 −95.61 −104.78 −113.93 −123.09 −123.23 −132.99 −142.71 −152.46
    400.000 −4.00 90.0 −37.60 −46.74 −55.85 −64.97 −61.17 −70.84 −80.47 −90.12
    400.000 −4.00 110.0 36.10 25.94 16.41 7.38 14.14 4.55 −5.00 −14.56
    400.000 −4.00 130.0 131.83 121.66 111.53 101.38 102.95 93.43 83.95 74.46
    400.000 −2.00 10.0 20.48 17.19 13.92 10.63 −81.38 −85.52 −89.64 −93.78
    400.000 −2.00 30.0 −19.47 −23.15 −26.80 −30.47 −58.77 −62.78 −66.78 −70.79
  • sCVSP was also used to compute the maximum acceleration verses time as an input into VISSIM. sCVSP simulations of the three EPA cycles demonstrate the extremes of maximum accelerations imposed by the sCVSP model of the vehicle. It is necessary that VISSIM and sCVSP have the same acceleration limits or VISSIM will generate accelerations that can not be achieved by the vehicle. The lower bound of acceleration (maximum deceleration) was −0.85 at zero mph, varying linearly to −0.75 at 80 mph; theoretically it may be possible to have greater decelerations.
  • FIG. 1 shows an illustrative example of a fuel efficiency testing process. In this illustrative embodiment, a road network model is first established 201. In at least one example, the model is established in a VISSIM environment.
  • Next, a plurality of scenarios are setup under which testing conditions can be performed on the road model 203. Multiple replications of the scenarios are run to establish baseline results 204, providing aggregate data with a high degree of accuracy.
  • For each relevant virtual vehicle in a given scenario, speed, acceleration, distance traveled, etc. are obtained 205, and this data is fed into calculation software 207. Fuel consumption for that vehicle is then calculated based on the inputs 208. From this data, total energy consumption can then be determined 209.
  • After a given scenario is completed, the process can advance to a next scenario 211.
  • FIG. 2 shows an illustrative example of a road network modeling process. The road network under consideration is set-up in the traffic simulator. The geometry 301 and length of the road 303, number of lanes 305, vehicle flows 307, vehicle compositions 309, desired speeds 311, traffic signal data 313, the driver model 315, etc. are some of the inputs that may need to be set-up before running the simulation. Additional inputs may be added to the simulator as desired, and not all of the previously mentioned inputs need to be used.
  • FIG. 3 shows an illustrative example of a scenario setup process. In this illustrative example, a particular scenario is selected for initialization 401. Road characteristics may be input 403 if desired. For example, without limitation, gradient 405 and/or number of lanes 407 may be adjusted.
  • Also, in this embodiment, traffic characteristics 409 may be input for the scenario. This may include, but are not limited to, a vehicle flow rate 411 and a vehicle mix 413.
  • Further, in this illustrative embodiment, driver characteristics may be input 415 to represent certain driving behaviors. These characteristics may include, but are not limited to, driver speeds 417 and cruise control usage data 419.
  • Also, in this example, weather data may be input for the scenario 421. This data may include, but is not limited to, visibility adjustments 423 and temperature adjustments 425.
  • FIG. 4 shows an illustrative example of an energy consumption determination process.
  • The parameters used to calculate the energy consumed by a particular battery electric vehicle during a simulation run may include: speed 503, acceleration 505, distance travelled 507, accessory loads and number of passengers. VISSIM can output the speed, acceleration and distance travelled by all the vehicles in the simulation at every instant (every second in this case). The number of passengers is fixed at one and the accessory loads are assumed to remain fixed throughout the simulation run. It should be noted that the accessory loads affect only the eventual energy consumption and not the drive cycle.
  • Using the energy tables from sCVSP the outputs from VISSIM are processed in MATLAB (or C-code on board the vehicle) 509 to get the energy consumption by the battery electric vehicles in a given scenario 511. The acceleration/deceleration values from VISSIM are mapped into corresponding gradient values and thereby taking into account the regenerative ability of a battery electric vehicle during braking 513. A MATLAB/C code calculates the energy consumed at each and every time instant for each electric vehicle and sums them to give the total energy consumption 515. Regenerative capability of a battery electric vehicle is considered in the energy tables.
  • The models used by the traffic simulator are stochastic in nature. Hence, for a given scenario and a particular simulation run, each of the battery electric vehicles will have a different drive cycle and therefore different energy usage. A characteristic of a particular simulation is the statistical variance of the energy utilization of large samples of vehicle. The sample size can be determined by plotting the variance (or standard deviation) verses sample size and observing the point at which the variance approaches a steady state. Based this analysis 120 vehicles was selected as a reasonable sample size.
  • It was observed that, in this example, variation in standard deviation is negligible once the sample size is more than 120. Hence, averaging the energy values of 120 vehicles for each scenario would provide good statistics. In order to get a sample size of at least 120 vehicles, the simulation needs to be run multiple times depending on the scenario being tested. For example, assuming the flow to be 2000 vehicle per hour with 2% battery electric vehicles and a simulation time of one hour, at least 4 simulation runs need to be performed to get a good sample of 120 vehicles. It should be noted that in a particular run, only those vehicles are chosen which traverse the whole road length. Vehicles which are unable to complete the whole trip are excluded from the energy calculations.
  • Presenting the mean energy consumed in a given scenario is not enough. It is important to know the variation in the values. Hence, the mean energy values are associated with a ‘confidence interval’. A confidence interval is a range of numbers relevant to the parameter of interest. For example, a 95% confidence interval means that if we repeatedly draw samples of a given size N from a certain population and we construct a confidence interval for each sample, then 95% of these intervals on average will contain the true value of the unknown parameter as an interior point. It is incorrect to interpret a 95% confidence interval to mean that there is a 95% chance that the interval contains the true value of the unknown parameter as an interior point. This is because there is one value of the unknown parameter, and the confidence interval either contains this value or does not contain it.
  • Thus, confidence intervals should not be interpreted as probabilities but should rather be interpreted in the context of repeated sampling.
  • Through testing, it can be seen that gradient has a prominent effect on the energy consumption of a battery electric vehicle. There is a rapid increase in the energy values as we move from a gradient of −4% to 4%. This is because, the vehicle needs more energy to climb uphill (positive gradient) and it can gain energy through regenerative braking while going downhill (negative gradient). Relatively, congestion doesn't seem to have a big effect on the energy usage.
  • There is a slight reduction in energy as the flow conditions approach a congested scenario. This effect is directly related to the decrease in the speeds for congested flows.
  • Also, speed of the vehicles has a big impact on the energy consumption. A vehicle travelling at around 100 km/hr will consume about 30% more energy than a vehicle travelling at around 80 km/hr. Also, the number of lanes on the freeway doesn't seem to have an effect on the overall energy consumption.
  • It can be seen that the vehicles travelling in cruise control use significantly lower energy than the vehicles travelling without cruise. The fluctuations in acceleration/deceleration and hence the speed results in higher energy consumption for vehicles which are not using cruise control. The drop in energy consumption with increase in flow values is directly related to the drop in speeds as the flow conditions become congested. It should also be noted that the energy consumption and its variation remains fixed across different flow values when the cruise control is set to 80 km/hr. But, in the case of cruise control at 100 km/hr, there is a larger statistical variance in energy usage (dotted lines diverge) as the flow values increase. This is because at high flows, the vehicles are unable to maintain a cruise speed of 100 km/hr due to the increase in flow density. But, the vehicles seem to maintain a cruise speed of 80 km/hr even when the traffic flow increases.
  • The effect of accessory loads is comparable to the effect of flow conditions. For example, a vehicle travelling in a congested road (6000 vehicles per hour) and a hot weather (2000 W accessory load) uses almost the same energy as that used by a vehicle travelling in free flow (2000 vehicles per hour) and a cold weather (800 W accessory load).
  • For a given accessory load the energy usage is the lowest for a residential road and highest for a freeway, mainly because of low speeds and stop-go nature of traffic on a residential road.
  • In fact, the energy usage per mile with 400 W accessory load is more than halved from a freeway to a residential road. But, the travel time on a residential road is almost four times that on a freeway. This shows a trade-off between travel times and energy usage. Increase in the accessory loads has very little impact on the energy usage on a freeway where high speed is the primary driver of energy consumed. On the other hand, the accessory loads drastically affect the energy usage on a residential road to such an extent that, the energy used per mile with 2000 W accessory load is almost the same as that on an urban road.
  • The energy consumption results from various scenarios across different road types have been analyzed to understand the various factors that affect energy consumption of a battery electric vehicle. The results show that road gradient has a very significant effect on the energy usage across all the three road types—freeway, urban roads and residential roads. Accessory loads have a strong effect across different road types. The results show that at very high accessory loads the energy usage on a residential road is equal to the energy used on an urban road, although there is a difference in the desired speeds on these road types.
  • The speed of the vehicles also has a prominent effect on the energy usage. Cruise control on freeways helps in reducing the energy cost. Also, significant energy gains are possible in stop-go traffic scenarios because of regenerative braking in a battery electric vehicle. Hence, urban roads with traffic signals and residential roads are likely to be preferred over freeways to achieve lower energy consumption. But, it should be noted that there is a trade-off here, between energy consumed and travel times.
  • The results can be used to develop cost functions that can evaluate the total energy consumed along various possible routes between an origin and destination and finally give the customer the minimum energy route. One way of using the results in the cost function is through the use of energy look-up tables and polynomial curve fitting. For example, any route can be broken up into segments which have the same characteristic, (either road type or gradient or speed limits etc) and each segment can be assigned a cost which is equal to the energy consumed by the vehicle to travel that segment. Adding up the costs across all the segments will give the overall cost to travel that particular route. This can be done for all possible routes between two locations and the final output could be the route which uses the lowest amount of energy. Energies on different segments can be calculated by fitting a polynomial curve to available data.
  • Accessory loads can be related to the weather and temperature conditions. Hence, overall, accessory loads will have a significant effect in deciding which road type to choose while making a certain trip.
  • There is hardly any change in the energy consumption of a battery electric vehicle when the % of heavy goods vehicles is increase from 4% to 10%. A significant change in energy consumption ‘might’ occur when the % of heavy goods vehicles is increased to an even higher value.
  • While exemplary embodiments are described above, it is not intended that these embodiments describe all possible forms of the invention. Rather, the words used in the specification are words of description rather than limitation, and it is understood that various changes may be made without departing from the spirit and scope of the invention. Additionally, the features of various implementing embodiments may be combined to form further embodiments of the invention.

Claims (19)

1. A computer-implemented method comprising:
establishing a road network model on which a plurality of simulated vehicles may be run;
setting up a plurality of scenarios under which vehicle driving conditions vary to be run on the road network model;
receiving energy usage related data for a plurality of simulated vehicles run in at least one of the plurality of scenarios on the road network model; and
calculating a total energy consumption for each of the vehicles.
2. The method of claim 1, wherein the road network model includes a geometry of a road.
3. The method of claim 1, wherein the road network model includes a length of a road.
4. The method of claim 1, wherein the road network model includes a number of lanes of a road.
5. The method of claim 1, wherein the road network model includes a vehicle flow for a road.
6. The method of claim 5, wherein the road network model includes a vehicle composition of the flow.
7. The method of claim 1, wherein the road network model includes desired speeds for a road.
8. The method of claim 1, wherein the road network model includes traffic signal data for a road.
9. The method of claim 1, wherein the road network model includes at least weather data affecting travel on the road.
10. The method of claim 9, wherein the weather data includes at least visibility data.
11. The method of claim 9, wherein the weather data includes at least temperature data.
12. The method of claim 1, wherein each of the plurality of scenarios provides different variables to a road network model to adjust elements of the road network model such that the impact of changes in a particular element on energy consumption can be observed.
13. The method of claim 1, further including repeating the receiving and calculating steps to determine how various elements of the road network model and scenarios effect vehicle energy consumption.
14. A computer implemented method comprising:
breaking a route into a plurality of segments having the same or a similar energy use affecting characteristic;
based on one or more energy use affecting characteristics of each segment, assigning a total energy usage cost to the segment;
adding the total energy usage cost of all segments comprising a route to determine a total route energy cost;
repeating the adding step for a plurality of routes comprised of varying segments between a current location and a destination; and
presenting a driver with the route having the lowest total route energy cost.
15. The method of claim 14, wherein the energy use affecting characteristics include a road type.
16. The method of claim 14, wherein the energy use affecting characteristics include a speed limit.
17. The method of claim 14, wherein the energy use affecting characteristics include a gradient.
18. A machine readable storage medium storing instructions that, when executed, cause a processor to perform the method comprising:
establishing a road network model on which a plurality of simulated vehicles may be run;
setting up a plurality of scenarios under which vehicle driving conditions vary to be run on the road network model;
receiving energy usage related data for a plurality of simulated vehicles run in at least one of the plurality of scenarios on the road network model;
calculating a total energy consumption for each of the vehicles; and
repeating the receiving and calculating steps to determine how various elements of the road network model and scenarios effect vehicle energy consumption.
19. The machine readable storage medium of claim 18, wherein each of the plurality of scenarios provides different variables to a road network model to adjust elements of the road network model such that the impact of changes in a particular element on energy consumption can be observed.
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