CN114169631A - Oil field power load management and control system based on data analysis - Google Patents

Oil field power load management and control system based on data analysis Download PDF

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CN114169631A
CN114169631A CN202111530994.4A CN202111530994A CN114169631A CN 114169631 A CN114169631 A CN 114169631A CN 202111530994 A CN202111530994 A CN 202111530994A CN 114169631 A CN114169631 A CN 114169631A
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崔巍
杨扬
朱琳飞
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Shanghai Bangding Smart Technology Co ltd
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Abstract

The invention discloses the technical field of oilfield power load prediction, which is used for solving the problems that in the existing mode aiming at oilfield power load prediction, correction analysis on abnormal values in load data is omitted, so that the accuracy and precision of oilfield power load prediction results are difficult to ensure, and the management and control work of load prediction on an oilfield power distribution network is greatly influenced, and particularly discloses an oilfield power load management and control system based on data analysis, which comprises a data acquisition unit, an abnormality recognition unit, a repair modeling unit, a data rating unit, an early warning feedback unit and a display terminal; according to the method, the box-line graph method is selected to complete detection and analysis of the abnormal values of the load sequence data, symbolic calibration, formulaic processing and graph comparison are utilized to complete restoration of the abnormal values, and then fusion analysis is conducted on various data signals, so that the accuracy and precision of prediction of the electric load of the oil field are improved, and management and control of the power distribution network of the oil field are promoted.

Description

Oil field power load management and control system based on data analysis
Technical Field
The invention relates to the technical field of oilfield power load prediction, in particular to an oilfield power load management and control system based on data analysis.
Background
The power load, also called as the power load, is represented as the sum of electric power taken by the power equipment of an electric energy user to a power system at a certain moment, so that the characteristic of power load data of an oil field distribution network is accurately mastered, the accurate prediction of the power load of the oil field is facilitated, and the accurate prediction of the power load is the basis for ensuring the safe operation of the oil field;
however, in the existing mode for predicting the power load of the oil field, the influence of various abnormal values contained in mass load data on the load prediction result is often ignored, so that the accuracy and precision of the power load prediction result of the oil field are difficult to ensure, and the management and control work of the load prediction of the power distribution network of the oil field is greatly influenced; in order to solve the above-mentioned drawbacks, a technical solution is now provided.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention aims to solve the problems that the correction analysis of abnormal values in load data is neglected in the existing mode aiming at the oil field power load prediction, so the accuracy and precision of the oil field power load prediction result are difficult to ensure, and the management and control work of the load prediction of an oil field power distribution network is greatly influenced, the detection analysis of the abnormal values of the oil field power load sequence data is completed by selecting a box line graph method, the recovery of the abnormal values is completed by utilizing symbolic calibration, formulated processing and graph comparison, various data signals are subjected to fusion analysis by adopting the modes of normalization processing, substitution analysis and matrix cross calibration, the accuracy and precision of the oil field power load prediction are improved, the management and control of the oil field power distribution network are promoted, and the economy and safety of the oil field load are improved, and provides an oil field power load management and control system based on data analysis.
The purpose of the invention can be realized by the following technical scheme:
an oil field power load management and control system based on data analysis comprises a data acquisition unit, an abnormality identification unit, a repair modeling unit, a data rating unit, an early warning feedback unit and a display terminal;
the data acquisition unit is used for acquiring power grid data information in the oil field power load in unit time period and sending the power grid data information to the abnormality identification unit;
the data acquisition unit is also used for acquiring multi-index associated data information in the oil field power load in unit time period and sending the multi-index associated data information to the data rating unit;
the abnormal recognition unit analyzes and processes the received power grid data information in unit time period by using box line graph parameters, generates a signal with large abnormal data interference, a signal with basic abnormal data interference and a signal with small abnormal data interference according to the box line graph parameters, sends the signal with basic abnormal data interference to the data rating unit, and sends the signal with large abnormal data interference and the signal with small abnormal data interference to the repair modeling unit;
the restoration modeling unit is used for receiving a signal with large abnormal data interference and a signal with small abnormal data interference, calling an abnormal data sample according to the abnormal data interference to restore the abnormal data sample, generating a prediction feasible signal and a prediction infeasible signal according to the abnormal data sample, and sending the prediction feasible signal and the prediction infeasible signal to the data rating unit;
the data rating unit performs load prediction performance rating analysis processing on the received basic abnormal-free data interference signal, the predicted feasible signal and the predicted infeasible signal, generates a more-accurate-prediction signal, a general-accurate-prediction signal and a fuzzy-prediction signal according to the load prediction performance rating analysis processing, and sends the more-accurate-prediction signal, the general-accurate-prediction signal and the fuzzy-prediction signal to the early warning feedback unit;
the early warning feedback unit is used for carrying out early warning feedback analysis processing on the received prediction accurate signal, the prediction general accurate signal and the prediction fuzzy signal, generating a high-grade prediction signal, a middle-grade prediction signal and a low-grade prediction signal according to the early warning feedback analysis processing, and sending the high-grade prediction signal, the middle-grade prediction signal and the low-grade prediction signal to a display terminal of the oil field control equipment for analysis and explanation.
Further, the power grid data information is used for representing the power utilization load condition of the power grid in the power load management of the oil field, and the power grid data information comprises an active power load sequence and a reactive power load sequence, wherein the active power load sequence is used for representing electric power sequence data required for keeping normal operation of oilfield equipment, namely electric power sequence data for converting electric energy into other forms of energy, and the reactive power load sequence is used for representing electric power sequence data for establishing and maintaining a magnetic field in the electric equipment in the power grid working at the oil field;
the multi-index associated data information is used for representing various index factor information influencing power load change in an oil field power grid, and comprises an environmental data index and a spatial data index, wherein the environmental data index is used for representing the ratio of abnormal environmental parameters to normal environmental parameters in a unit time period, and the spatial data index is used for representing the utilization rate of the power grid in a planning space in the unit time period.
Further, the specific operation steps of the boxplot parameter analysis processing are as follows:
s1: obtaining useful power and useless power in the power grid data information of a unit time period, respectively and randomly extracting a group of data items of useful power load sequences or a group of data items of useless power load sequences, and calibrating the data items into data items
Figure 743481DEST_PATH_IMAGE001
I = { useful power group, useless power group }, n is expressed as a set of useful power load sequences or a set of useless power load sequences
Figure 719397DEST_PATH_IMAGE001
The total number of (2) is represented by time as abscissa and power data as ordinate, and
Figure 149241DEST_PATH_IMAGE001
converting into a rectangular box body form in the box line graph;
s2: according to the formula
Figure 594129DEST_PATH_IMAGE002
And
Figure 134831DEST_PATH_IMAGE003
respectively find the upper quartile
Figure 778302DEST_PATH_IMAGE004
And lower quartile
Figure 582310DEST_PATH_IMAGE005
Respectively drawing an upper quartile line and a lower quartile line in a box diagram square box body in a straight line drawing mode;
s3: according to the formula
Figure 45653DEST_PATH_IMAGE006
To find the median
Figure 655626DEST_PATH_IMAGE007
Drawing a median line in a box diagram square box body in a straight line drawing mode;
s4: according to the formula
Figure 91286DEST_PATH_IMAGE008
And
Figure 128512DEST_PATH_IMAGE009
respectively find the maximum value
Figure 531681DEST_PATH_IMAGE010
And minimum value
Figure 679765DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
Drawing an upper limit boundary and a lower limit boundary in a boxboard square box body in a straight line drawing mode;
s5: calibrating the data values exceeding the upper limit boundary and the lower limit boundary as abnormal points, displaying the abnormal points in a box chart square box body by red delta, and calibrating the abnormal points as abnormal points
Figure 32249DEST_PATH_IMAGE012
S6: for abnormal points existing in the box line graph
Figure 178060DEST_PATH_IMAGE012
The number of the abnormal points is summed up to generate the numerical value of the abnormal point
Figure 881573DEST_PATH_IMAGE013
And counting the number of abnormal points
Figure 567770DEST_PATH_IMAGE013
To rated threshold value
Figure 978023DEST_PATH_IMAGE014
Performing comparison analysis, and determining the number of abnormal points
Figure 357051DEST_PATH_IMAGE013
Greater than a rated threshold value
Figure 485544DEST_PATH_IMAGE014
When the maximum value is larger than the maximum value, generating a signal with larger abnormal data interference, and when the maximum value is larger than the maximum value, generating a numerical value at an abnormal point
Figure 709852DEST_PATH_IMAGE013
Less than nominal threshold
Figure 302508DEST_PATH_IMAGE014
When the minimum value is less than the predetermined value, generating a substantially abnormal data interference free signal, when the number of abnormal points is less than the predetermined value
Figure 776739DEST_PATH_IMAGE013
At rated threshold
Figure 454845DEST_PATH_IMAGE014
When the abnormal data interference is less than the preset threshold, an abnormal data interference less signal is generated.
Further, the specific operation steps of the abnormal data sample repairing process are as follows:
SS 1: receiving abnormal constantAccording to the signal with larger interference and the signal with smaller abnormal data interference, the abnormal value sample data of the unit time period is called and calibrated as
Figure 686106DEST_PATH_IMAGE015
And performing authenticity constraint processing on the product according to a formula
Figure 867689DEST_PATH_IMAGE016
Determining a loss value of authenticity of the abnormal value sample data
Figure 588520DEST_PATH_IMAGE017
Wherein, in the step (A),
Figure 426026DEST_PATH_IMAGE018
representing the noise vector input data values in the WGAN model,
Figure 992136DEST_PATH_IMAGE019
representing data values generated by a generator in the WGAN model,
Figure 559384DEST_PATH_IMAGE020
the output of the discriminator in the WGAN model for discriminating the generated data is represented;
SS 2: sample data of acquired and abnormal value
Figure 388800DEST_PATH_IMAGE021
Measuring the most similar sample data, and performing context constraint processing on the sample data according to a formula
Figure 775919DEST_PATH_IMAGE022
To find out the similarity loss constraint value
Figure 145720DEST_PATH_IMAGE023
Wherein, in the step (A),
Figure 754425DEST_PATH_IMAGE024
is a multiplication operation of the elements of the matrix,
Figure 817059DEST_PATH_IMAGE021
the sample data that is an abnormal value is,
Figure 629157DEST_PATH_IMAGE025
similar original sample data;
SS 3: generating a final optimization objective according to steps SS1 and SS2
Figure 802649DEST_PATH_IMAGE026
Wherein, in the step (A),
Figure 16593DEST_PATH_IMAGE027
representing the clutter distribution relationship between the real data,
Figure 984549DEST_PATH_IMAGE028
representing the distribution of noise vectors from between the real data, and performing data reconstruction processing according to the formula
Figure 346260DEST_PATH_IMAGE029
Obtaining a final restored and reconstructed data sample, wherein the final restored and reconstructed data sample consists of a part corresponding to an abnormal value in the generated sample and an available part in the original sample item;
SS 4: and comparing and analyzing the final restored and reconstructed data sample image and the initial original data sample image, if the variation trends of the final restored and reconstructed data sample curve and the initial original data sample curve are basically consistent, generating a prediction feasible signal, otherwise, generating a prediction infeasible signal.
Further, the specific operation steps of the load prediction performance rating analysis processing are as follows:
step 1: receiving a basic abnormal data interference-free signal, a prediction feasible signal and a prediction infeasible signal, calling an environmental data index and a spatial data index in multi-index associated data information according to the basic abnormal data interference-free signal, and calibrating the environmental data index into a standard value
Figure 261127DEST_PATH_IMAGE030
Calibrating the space data indexIs composed of
Figure 126315DEST_PATH_IMAGE031
According to the formula
Figure 530751DEST_PATH_IMAGE032
To find out the associated pre-measured value
Figure 566709DEST_PATH_IMAGE033
Wherein, in the step (A),
Figure 82004DEST_PATH_IMAGE034
are respectively environmental data indexes
Figure 67278DEST_PATH_IMAGE035
And spatial data index
Figure 580299DEST_PATH_IMAGE036
A weight factor coefficient of, and
Figure 916602DEST_PATH_IMAGE037
Figure 970009DEST_PATH_IMAGE038
to correct the coefficient, and
Figure 13051DEST_PATH_IMAGE038
the assignment is 1.2613;
step 2: the obtained correlation pre-measurement value
Figure 759290DEST_PATH_IMAGE039
Substituting the corresponding preset threshold value
Figure 520573DEST_PATH_IMAGE040
If the predicted value is correlated
Figure 112091DEST_PATH_IMAGE039
At a preset threshold
Figure 71957DEST_PATH_IMAGE040
When it is within, a load stabilization signal is generated, if a pre-measured value is correlated
Figure 441627DEST_PATH_IMAGE039
At a preset threshold
Figure 221364DEST_PATH_IMAGE040
Otherwise, generating a load fluctuation signal;
step 3: respectively calibrating a basic abnormal data interference-free signal, a prediction feasible signal and a prediction infeasible signal as Z-1, Z-1+ and Z-2, respectively calibrating a load stable signal and a load fluctuation signal as F-1 and F-2, and performing cross analysis on the signals;
step 4: when obtaining
Figure 882153DEST_PATH_IMAGE041
Then generating a more accurate predicted signal, when acquired
Figure 899787DEST_PATH_IMAGE042
Then generating a prediction blur signal, when obtained
Figure 722250DEST_PATH_IMAGE043
Then a predicted generally accurate signal is generated.
Further, the specific operation steps of the early warning feedback analysis processing are as follows:
when a more accurate prediction signal is received, a high-grade prediction signal is generated, a text word is used for 'the basic data is favorable for accurately predicting the condition of the oil field power load', when a general accurate prediction signal is received, a middle-grade prediction signal is generated, a text word is used for 'the basic data is favorable for predicting the accuracy of the condition of the oil field power load', when a fuzzy prediction signal is received, a low-grade prediction signal is generated, and a text word is used for 'the basic data is unfavorable for accurately predicting the condition of the oil field power load'.
Compared with the prior art, the invention has the beneficial effects that:
1. according to the method, the detection and analysis of the abnormal value of the oil field power load sequence data are completed by selecting a box line graph method, and the abnormal value in the power grid data information is further subjected to signal calibration in a data summation and substitution analysis mode, so that the abnormal value condition existing in the power load sequence is determined, a foundation is further laid for the power load prediction accuracy, and the accuracy of the oil field power load result prediction is promoted;
2. according to the method, the abnormal values in the oil field power load sequence data are repaired through symbolic calibration, formula processing and graph comparison, so that the effectiveness and reliability of the load data are further improved while the abnormal values in the power load sequence are repaired;
3. according to the invention, the collected two types of data are subjected to fusion analysis by means of normalization processing, substitution analysis and matrix cross calibration of multi-index associated data information, so that the accuracy and precision of prediction of the power load of the oil field are improved, meanwhile, the management and control of the power distribution network of the oil field are promoted, and the economy and safety of the load of the oil field are improved.
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In order to facilitate understanding for those skilled in the art, the present invention will be further described with reference to the accompanying drawings;
FIG. 1 is a general block diagram of the system of the present invention;
fig. 2 is a box diagram of the present invention.
Detailed Description
The technical solutions of the present invention will be described clearly and completely with reference to the following embodiments, and it should be understood that the described embodiments are only a part of the embodiments of the present invention, and not all of the embodiments. All other embodiments, which can be derived by a person skilled in the art from the embodiments given herein without making any creative effort, shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.
The first embodiment is as follows:
as shown in fig. 1, an oil field power load management and control system based on data analysis includes a data acquisition unit, an anomaly identification unit, a repair modeling unit, a data rating unit, an early warning feedback unit, and a display terminal;
the data acquisition unit is used for acquiring power grid data information in the oil field power load in a unit time period and sending the power grid data information to the abnormality identification unit, wherein the power grid data information is used for representing the power utilization load condition of a power grid in the oil field power load management, and the power grid data information comprises an active power load sequence and a reactive power load sequence, the active power load sequence is used for representing electric power sequence data required for keeping normal operation of oil field equipment, namely converting electric energy into electric power sequence data of other forms of energy, the reactive power load sequence is used for representing the exchange of an electric field and a magnetic field in the power grid working in the oil field, and is used for establishing and maintaining the electric power sequence data of the magnetic field in the electric equipment;
the data acquisition unit is further used for acquiring multi-index associated data information in the oil field power load in the unit time period and sending the multi-index associated data information to the data rating unit, wherein the multi-index associated data information is used for representing various index factor information influencing the power load change in an oil field power grid, and the multi-index associated data information comprises an environmental data index and a spatial data index, the environmental data index is used for representing the ratio of abnormal environmental parameters to normal environmental parameters in the unit time period, and it needs to be described that the larger the expression value of the environmental data index is, the smaller the factor influencing the power load change is, and the smaller the interference on the power load prediction analysis is represented;
the space data index is used for representing the utilization rate of the power grid occupying the planning space in a unit time period, and it needs to be explained that the larger the expression value of the space data index is, the smaller the factors influencing the power load change are, and the more optimized the setting of the power grid point is represented;
the abnormal recognition unit analyzes and processes the received power grid data information in unit time period by using box line graph parameters, generates a signal with large abnormal data interference, a signal with basic abnormal data interference and a signal with small abnormal data interference according to the box line graph parameters, sends the signal with basic abnormal data interference to the data rating unit, and sends the signal with large abnormal data interference and the signal with small abnormal data interference to the repair modeling unit;
the restoration modeling unit is used for receiving a signal with large abnormal data interference and a signal with small abnormal data interference, calling an abnormal data sample according to the abnormal data interference to restore the abnormal data sample, generating a prediction feasible signal and a prediction infeasible signal according to the abnormal data sample, and sending the prediction feasible signal and the prediction infeasible signal to the data rating unit;
the data rating unit carries out load prediction performance rating analysis processing on the received basic abnormal-free data interference signal, the prediction feasible signal and the prediction infeasible signal, generates a prediction accurate signal, a prediction general accurate signal and a prediction fuzzy signal according to the load prediction performance rating analysis processing, and sends the prediction accurate signal, the prediction general accurate signal and the prediction fuzzy signal to the early warning feedback unit;
the early warning feedback unit is used for carrying out early warning feedback analysis processing on the received prediction accurate signal, the prediction general accurate signal and the prediction fuzzy signal, generating a high-grade prediction signal, a middle-grade prediction signal and a low-grade prediction signal according to the early warning feedback analysis processing, and sending the high-grade prediction signal, the middle-grade prediction signal and the low-grade prediction signal to a display terminal of the oil field control equipment for analysis and explanation.
Example two:
as shown in fig. 1 and fig. 2, when the anomaly identification unit receives the grid data information of a unit time period, and performs the box diagram parameter analysis processing according to the grid data information, the specific operation steps are as follows:
s1: obtaining useful power and useless power in the power grid data information of a unit time period, respectively and randomly extracting a group of data items of useful power load sequences or a group of data items of useless power load sequences, and calibrating the data items into data items
Figure 254862DEST_PATH_IMAGE044
I = { useful power group, useless power group }, n is expressed as a set of useful power load sequences or a set of useless power load sequences
Figure 657025DEST_PATH_IMAGE044
The total number of (2) is represented by a time interval with time as abscissa and 24 hours as abscissa, a power interval with power data as ordinate and 10 power as ordinate, and
Figure 325904DEST_PATH_IMAGE044
converting into a rectangular box body form in the box line graph;
s2: according to the formula
Figure 584847DEST_PATH_IMAGE045
Respectively find the upper quartile
Figure 542438DEST_PATH_IMAGE046
And lower quartile
Figure 279450DEST_PATH_IMAGE047
Respectively drawing an upper quartile line and a lower quartile line in a box diagram square box body in a straight line drawing mode;
s3: according to the formula
Figure 68415DEST_PATH_IMAGE048
To find the median
Figure 942000DEST_PATH_IMAGE049
Drawing a median line in a box diagram square box body in a straight line drawing mode;
s4: according to the formula
Figure 449205DEST_PATH_IMAGE050
Respectively find the maximum value
Figure 927590DEST_PATH_IMAGE051
And minimum value
Figure 571061DEST_PATH_IMAGE052
Drawing the upper limit boundary and the lower limit boundary in a box diagram square box body in a straight line drawing mode, wherein the maximum value is
Figure 171807DEST_PATH_IMAGE051
Indicating the maximum upper limit value, the minimum value in the non-abnormal range
Figure 103991DEST_PATH_IMAGE052
A minimum lower limit value in a non-abnormal range;
s5: calibrating the data values exceeding the upper limit boundary and the lower limit boundary as abnormal points, displaying the abnormal points in a box chart square box body by red delta, and calibrating the abnormal points as abnormal points
Figure 182805DEST_PATH_IMAGE053
S6: for abnormal points existing in the box line graph
Figure 946362DEST_PATH_IMAGE053
The number of the abnormal points is summed up to generate the numerical value of the abnormal point
Figure 921271DEST_PATH_IMAGE054
And counting the number of abnormal points
Figure 871910DEST_PATH_IMAGE054
To rated threshold value
Figure 19994DEST_PATH_IMAGE055
Performing comparison analysis, and determining the number of abnormal points
Figure 825008DEST_PATH_IMAGE054
Greater than a rated threshold value
Figure 767556DEST_PATH_IMAGE055
When the maximum value is larger than the maximum value, generating a signal with larger abnormal data interference, and when the maximum value is larger than the maximum value, generating a numerical value at an abnormal point
Figure 471070DEST_PATH_IMAGE054
Less than nominal threshold
Figure 94949DEST_PATH_IMAGE055
When the minimum value is less than the predetermined value, generating a substantially abnormal data interference free signal, when the number of abnormal points is less than the predetermined value
Figure 567519DEST_PATH_IMAGE054
At rated threshold
Figure 946548DEST_PATH_IMAGE055
If so, generating a signal with less abnormal data interference;
sending a signal basically free from abnormal data interference to a data rating unit, and sending a signal with large abnormal data interference and a signal with small abnormal data interference to a repair modeling unit;
it should be noted that, as shown in fig. 2, a rectangular box represents a range of data, upper and lower vertical lines represent an upper limit of the data and a lower limit of the data, Q1 is a lower quartile, Q3 is an upper quartile, IQR is a median, a maximum value is a value greater than 1.5 times the difference of the upper quartile, a minimum value is a value less than 1.5 times the difference of the lower quartile, and an abnormal point is defined as a value less than the lower limit or greater than the upper limit;
it should be noted that, the boxplot judges the abnormal process of the data, completely depends on the actual data, does not need to assume a data distribution form, truly reflects the original change trend of the data, and the judgment standard is based on the quartile and the quartile distance, so that the abnormal value does not influence the standard, and the identification result is more accurate;
the position and the range of data distribution are reflected through the box line graph, the identification and the processing of abnormal data are realized, a foundation is provided for the prediction of the power load, and the accuracy and the authenticity of the power load prediction are promoted.
Example three:
as shown in fig. 1, when the repair modeling unit receives a signal with large abnormal data interference and a signal with small abnormal data interference, and calls an abnormal data sample to perform abnormal data sample repair processing according to the signal, the specific operation steps are as follows:
SS 1: receiving the signal with larger abnormal data interference and the signal with smaller abnormal data interference, calling the abnormal value sample data of unit time period according to the abnormal value sample data, and calibrating the abnormal value sample data into the abnormal value sample data
Figure 75041DEST_PATH_IMAGE056
And to itPerforming reality constraint processing according to formula
Figure 564928DEST_PATH_IMAGE057
Determining a loss value of authenticity of the abnormal value sample data
Figure 626425DEST_PATH_IMAGE058
Wherein, in the step (A),
Figure 114038DEST_PATH_IMAGE059
representing the noise vector input data values in the WGAN model,
Figure 792144DEST_PATH_IMAGE060
representing data values generated by a generator in the WGAN model,
Figure 272673DEST_PATH_IMAGE061
the output of the discriminator in the WGAN model for discriminating the generated data is represented;
SS 2: sample data of acquired and abnormal value
Figure 719835DEST_PATH_IMAGE062
Measuring the most similar sample data, and performing context constraint processing on the sample data according to a formula
Figure 909508DEST_PATH_IMAGE063
To find out the similarity loss constraint value
Figure 12593DEST_PATH_IMAGE064
Wherein, in the step (A),
Figure 844283DEST_PATH_IMAGE065
is a multiplication operation of the elements of the matrix,
Figure 349213DEST_PATH_IMAGE066
the sample data that is an abnormal value is,
Figure 975367DEST_PATH_IMAGE067
similar to the original sample data, it should be noted thatThe line context constraint processing is to ensure that the verification model can continuously optimize the input z, so that the abnormal value sample data has a consistent context relationship, thereby realizing the accuracy and effectiveness of repairing the abnormal value sample data and ensuring that the repaired data has the characteristic of consistency with the original authentic data;
SS 3: generating a final optimization objective according to steps SS1 and SS2
Figure 565748DEST_PATH_IMAGE068
Wherein, in the step (A),
Figure 201129DEST_PATH_IMAGE069
representing the clutter distribution relationship between the real data,
Figure 91724DEST_PATH_IMAGE070
representing a noise vector
Figure 341309DEST_PATH_IMAGE071
From the distribution between the real data, and performing data reconstruction processing according to the formula
Figure 215724DEST_PATH_IMAGE072
Obtaining a final restored and reconstructed data sample, wherein the final restored and reconstructed data sample consists of a part corresponding to an abnormal value in the generated sample and an available part in the original sample item;
SS 4: and comparing and analyzing the final restored and reconstructed data sample image and the initial original data sample image, if the variation trends of the final restored and reconstructed data sample curve and the initial original data sample curve are basically consistent, generating a prediction feasible signal, otherwise, generating a prediction infeasible signal, and sending both the prediction feasible signal and the prediction infeasible signal to a data rating unit.
Example four:
as shown in fig. 1, when the data rating unit receives a substantially abnormal-free data interference signal, a predicted feasible signal and a predicted infeasible signal, and performs load prediction performance rating analysis processing according to the received signals, the specific operation steps are as follows:
step 1: receiving a basic abnormal data interference-free signal, a prediction feasible signal and a prediction infeasible signal, calling an environmental data index and a spatial data index in multi-index associated data information according to the basic abnormal data interference-free signal, and calibrating the environmental data index into a standard value
Figure 592479DEST_PATH_IMAGE073
Demarcating the spatial data index as
Figure 603160DEST_PATH_IMAGE074
According to the formula
Figure 836695DEST_PATH_IMAGE075
To find out the associated pre-measured value
Figure 136090DEST_PATH_IMAGE076
Wherein, in the step (A),
Figure 847694DEST_PATH_IMAGE077
are respectively environmental data indexes
Figure 978461DEST_PATH_IMAGE078
And spatial data index
Figure 320580DEST_PATH_IMAGE079
A weight factor coefficient of, and
Figure 904008DEST_PATH_IMAGE080
Figure 419303DEST_PATH_IMAGE081
to correct the coefficient, and
Figure 860037DEST_PATH_IMAGE081
the assignment is 1.2613;
step 2: the obtained correlation pre-measurement value
Figure 435374DEST_PATH_IMAGE082
Substituting the corresponding preset threshold value
Figure 709361DEST_PATH_IMAGE083
If the predicted value is correlated
Figure 762768DEST_PATH_IMAGE082
At a preset threshold
Figure 868127DEST_PATH_IMAGE083
When it is within, a load stabilization signal is generated, if a pre-measured value is correlated
Figure 552049DEST_PATH_IMAGE082
At a preset threshold
Figure 844490DEST_PATH_IMAGE083
Otherwise, generating a load fluctuation signal;
step 3: respectively calibrating a basic abnormal data interference-free signal, a prediction feasible signal and a prediction infeasible signal as Z-1, Z-1+ and Z-2, respectively calibrating a load stable signal and a load fluctuation signal as F-1 and F-2, and performing cross analysis on the signals;
step 4: when obtaining
Figure 967167DEST_PATH_IMAGE084
Or
Figure 864716DEST_PATH_IMAGE085
Then generating a more accurate predicted signal, when acquired
Figure 781856DEST_PATH_IMAGE086
Then generating a prediction blur signal, when obtained
Figure 827173DEST_PATH_IMAGE087
Generating a general accurate prediction signal, and sending a more accurate prediction signal, a general accurate prediction signal and a fuzzy prediction signal to an early warning feedback unit;
when the early warning feedback unit receives the prediction accurate signal, the general prediction accurate signal and the prediction fuzzy signal, and performs early warning feedback analysis processing according to the received prediction accurate signal, the specific operation steps are as follows:
when a more accurate prediction signal is received, generating a high-grade prediction signal, and accurately predicting the condition of the oil field power load by using a text word ' the basic data is favorable for accurate prediction of the condition of the oil field power load ', when a general accurate prediction signal is received, generating a medium-grade prediction signal, and accurately predicting the condition of the oil field power load by using the text word ' the basic data is general ', and when a fuzzy prediction signal is received, generating a low-grade prediction signal, and accurately predicting the condition of the oil field power load by using the text word ' the basic data is unfavorable for accurate prediction;
and the high-grade prediction signal, the middle-grade prediction signal and the low-grade prediction signal are all sent to a display terminal of the oilfield control equipment for analysis and explanation.
The formulas are obtained by acquiring a large amount of data and performing software simulation, and the coefficients in the formulas are set by the technicians in the field according to actual conditions;
such as the formula:
Figure 674912DEST_PATH_IMAGE088
collecting multiple groups of sample data and setting corresponding weight factor coefficient for each group of sample data by the technicians in the field; substituting the set weight factor coefficient and the collected sample data into a formula, forming a linear equation set by any two formulas, screening the calculated coefficients and taking the mean value to obtain the coefficient
Figure 489284DEST_PATH_IMAGE089
Values of 1.0121 and 0.2492, respectively;
the size of the coefficient is a specific numerical value obtained by quantizing each parameter, so that the subsequent comparison is convenient, and the size of the coefficient depends on the number of sample data and a corresponding weight factor coefficient is preliminarily set for each group of sample data by a person skilled in the art; as long as the proportional relationship between the parameters and the quantized values is not affected.
When the method is used, the power grid data information in the power load of the oil field is collected, the box line graph method is selected to complete the detection and analysis of the abnormal value of the power load sequence data of the oil field, and the abnormal value in the power grid data information is further subjected to signal calibration in a data summation and substitution analysis mode, so that the abnormal value condition existing in the power load sequence is determined, meanwhile, a foundation is further laid for the power load prediction accuracy, and the accuracy of the oil field power load result prediction is promoted;
load sequence data is called according to the content of signal calibration, abnormal data sample repair is carried out on the load sequence data, and a judgment signal for judging whether power load prediction is carried out or not is output through symbolic calibration, formulaic processing and comparison of a curve graph, so that the effectiveness and reliability of the load data are further improved while the repair of abnormal values in the power load sequence is realized;
according to the judgment signal of the power load prediction, multi-index associated data information influencing the power load of the oil field is called, and the collected two types of data are subjected to fusion analysis by means of normalization processing, substitution analysis and matrix cross calibration, so that the accuracy and precision of the power load prediction of the oil field are improved, meanwhile, the management and control of an oil field power distribution network are promoted, and the economy and safety of the oil field load are improved.
The preferred embodiments of the invention disclosed above are intended to be illustrative only. The preferred embodiments are not intended to be exhaustive or to limit the invention to the precise forms disclosed. Obviously, many modifications and variations are possible in light of the above teaching. The embodiments were chosen and described in order to best explain the principles of the invention and the practical application, to thereby enable others skilled in the art to best utilize the invention. The invention is limited only by the claims and their full scope and equivalents.

Claims (6)

1. An oil field power load management and control system based on data analysis is characterized by comprising a data acquisition unit, an abnormality recognition unit, a repair modeling unit, a data rating unit, an early warning feedback unit and a display terminal;
the data acquisition unit is used for acquiring power grid data information in the oil field power load in unit time period and sending the power grid data information to the abnormality identification unit;
the data acquisition unit is also used for acquiring multi-index associated data information in the oil field power load in unit time period and sending the multi-index associated data information to the data rating unit;
the abnormal recognition unit analyzes and processes the received power grid data information in unit time period by using box line graph parameters, generates a signal with large abnormal data interference, a signal with basic abnormal data interference and a signal with small abnormal data interference according to the box line graph parameters, sends the signal with basic abnormal data interference to the data rating unit, and sends the signal with large abnormal data interference and the signal with small abnormal data interference to the repair modeling unit;
the restoration modeling unit is used for receiving a signal with large abnormal data interference and a signal with small abnormal data interference, calling an abnormal data sample according to the abnormal data interference to restore the abnormal data sample, generating a prediction feasible signal and a prediction infeasible signal according to the abnormal data sample, and sending the prediction feasible signal and the prediction infeasible signal to the data rating unit;
the data rating unit performs load prediction performance rating analysis processing on the received basic abnormal-free data interference signal, the predicted feasible signal and the predicted infeasible signal, generates a more-accurate-prediction signal, a general-accurate-prediction signal and a fuzzy-prediction signal according to the load prediction performance rating analysis processing, and sends the more-accurate-prediction signal, the general-accurate-prediction signal and the fuzzy-prediction signal to the early warning feedback unit;
the early warning feedback unit is used for carrying out early warning feedback analysis processing on the received prediction accurate signal, the prediction general accurate signal and the prediction fuzzy signal, generating a high-grade prediction signal, a middle-grade prediction signal and a low-grade prediction signal according to the early warning feedback analysis processing, and sending the high-grade prediction signal, the middle-grade prediction signal and the low-grade prediction signal to a display terminal of the oil field control equipment for analysis and explanation.
2. The oilfield power load management and control system based on data analysis according to claim 1, wherein the grid data information is used for representing the power load situation of the power grid in oilfield power load management, and the grid data information includes an active power load sequence and a reactive power load sequence, wherein the active power load sequence is used for representing electric power sequence data required for keeping normal operation of oilfield equipment, namely converting electric energy into electric power sequence data of other forms of energy, and the reactive power load sequence is used for representing the exchange of electric fields and magnetic fields in circuits in the power grid in oilfield operation and is used for establishing and maintaining the electric power sequence data of the magnetic fields in the electric equipment;
the multi-index associated data information is used for representing various index factor information influencing power load change in an oil field power grid, and comprises an environmental data index and a spatial data index, wherein the environmental data index is used for representing the ratio of abnormal environmental parameters to normal environmental parameters in a unit time period, and the spatial data index is used for representing the utilization rate of the power grid in a planning space in the unit time period.
3. The oil field power load management and control system based on data analysis according to claim 1, wherein the specific operation steps of the boxplot parameter analysis processing are as follows:
s1: obtaining useful power and useless power in the power grid data information of a unit time period, respectively and randomly extracting a group of data items of useful power load sequences or a group of data items of useless power load sequences, and calibrating the data items into data items
Figure 100016DEST_PATH_IMAGE001
I = { useful power group, useless power group }, n is expressed as a set of useful power load sequences or a set of useless power load sequences
Figure 632628DEST_PATH_IMAGE001
The total number of (2) is represented by time as abscissa and power data as ordinate, and
Figure 34791DEST_PATH_IMAGE001
is converted into a boxThe form of a rectangular box in the line drawing;
s2: according to the formula
Figure 703669DEST_PATH_IMAGE002
Respectively find the upper quartile
Figure 962612DEST_PATH_IMAGE003
And lower quartile
Figure 169472DEST_PATH_IMAGE004
Respectively drawing an upper quartile line and a lower quartile line in a box diagram square box body in a straight line drawing mode;
s3: according to the formula
Figure 172063DEST_PATH_IMAGE005
To find the median
Figure 898710DEST_PATH_IMAGE006
Drawing a median line in a box diagram square box body in a straight line drawing mode;
s4: according to the formula
Figure 328555DEST_PATH_IMAGE007
Respectively find the maximum value
Figure 570180DEST_PATH_IMAGE008
And minimum value
Figure 314145DEST_PATH_IMAGE009
Drawing an upper limit boundary and a lower limit boundary in a boxboard square box body in a straight line drawing mode;
s5: calibrating the data values exceeding the upper limit boundary and the lower limit boundary as abnormal points, displaying the abnormal points in a box chart square box body by red delta, and calibrating the abnormal points as abnormal points
Figure 223195DEST_PATH_IMAGE010
S6: for abnormal points existing in the box line graph
Figure 761624DEST_PATH_IMAGE010
The number of the abnormal points is summed up to generate the numerical value of the abnormal point
Figure 490546DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
And counting the number of abnormal points
Figure 834939DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
To rated threshold value
Figure 785447DEST_PATH_IMAGE012
Performing comparison analysis, and determining the number of abnormal points
Figure 291514DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
Greater than a rated threshold value
Figure 773311DEST_PATH_IMAGE012
When the maximum value is larger than the maximum value, generating a signal with larger abnormal data interference, and when the maximum value is larger than the maximum value, generating a numerical value at an abnormal point
Figure 859079DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
Less than nominal threshold
Figure 477142DEST_PATH_IMAGE012
When the minimum value is less than the predetermined value, generating a substantially abnormal data interference free signal, when the number of abnormal points is less than the predetermined value
Figure 419690DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
At rated threshold
Figure 60887DEST_PATH_IMAGE012
When the abnormal data interference is less than the preset threshold, an abnormal data interference less signal is generated.
4. The oil field power load management and control system based on data analysis according to claim 1, wherein the specific operation steps of the abnormal data sample restoration processing are as follows:
SS 1: receiving a signal with large abnormal data interference and a signal with small abnormal data interference, calling abnormal value sample data of a unit time period according to the abnormal value sample data, calibrating the abnormal value sample data into the abnormal value sample data, performing authenticity constraint processing on the abnormal value sample data, and performing authenticity constraint processing according to a formula
Figure 747083DEST_PATH_IMAGE013
Determining a loss value of authenticity of the abnormal value sample data
Figure 219653DEST_PATH_IMAGE014
Wherein, in the step (A),
Figure 270786DEST_PATH_IMAGE015
representing the noise vector input data values in the WGAN model,
Figure 461596DEST_PATH_IMAGE016
representing data values generated by a generator in the WGAN model,
Figure 153082DEST_PATH_IMAGE017
the output of the discriminator in the WGAN model for discriminating the generated data is represented;
SS 2: sample data of acquired and abnormal value
Figure 745737DEST_PATH_IMAGE018
Measuring the most similar sample data, and performing context constraint processing on the sample data according to a formula
Figure 233350DEST_PATH_IMAGE019
To find out the similarity loss constraint value
Figure 911456DEST_PATH_IMAGE020
Wherein, in the step (A),
Figure 877138DEST_PATH_IMAGE021
is a multiplication operation of the elements of the matrix,
Figure 58721DEST_PATH_IMAGE022
the sample data that is an abnormal value is,
Figure 779552DEST_PATH_IMAGE023
similar original sample data;
SS 3: generating a final optimization objective according to steps SS1 and SS2
Figure 882638DEST_PATH_IMAGE024
Wherein, in the step (A),
Figure 714327DEST_PATH_IMAGE025
representing the clutter distribution relationship between the real data,
Figure 202946DEST_PATH_IMAGE026
representing a noise vector
Figure 829100DEST_PATH_IMAGE027
From the distribution between the real data, and performing data reconstruction processing according to the formula
Figure 481798DEST_PATH_IMAGE028
Obtaining a final restored and reconstructed data sample, wherein the final restored and reconstructed data sample consists of a part corresponding to an abnormal value in the generated sample and an available part in the original sample item;
SS 4: and comparing and analyzing the final restored and reconstructed data sample image and the initial original data sample image, if the variation trends of the final restored and reconstructed data sample curve and the initial original data sample curve are basically consistent, generating a prediction feasible signal, otherwise, generating a prediction infeasible signal.
5. The oil field power load management and control system based on data analysis according to claim 1, wherein the specific operation steps of the load prediction performance rating analysis processing are as follows:
step 1: receiving a basic abnormal data interference-free signal, a prediction feasible signal and a prediction infeasible signal, calling an environmental data index and a spatial data index in multi-index associated data information according to the basic abnormal data interference-free signal, and calibrating the environmental data index into a standard value
Figure 789283DEST_PATH_IMAGE029
Demarcating the spatial data index as
Figure 211037DEST_PATH_IMAGE030
According to the formula
Figure 211354DEST_PATH_IMAGE031
To find out the associated pre-measured value
Figure 820190DEST_PATH_IMAGE032
Wherein, in the step (A),
Figure 259261DEST_PATH_IMAGE033
are respectively environmental data indexes
Figure 473205DEST_PATH_IMAGE034
And spatial data index
Figure 706740DEST_PATH_IMAGE035
A weight factor coefficient of, and
Figure 802872DEST_PATH_IMAGE036
Figure 701427DEST_PATH_IMAGE037
to correct the coefficient, and
Figure 97773DEST_PATH_IMAGE037
the assignment is 1.2613;
step 2: the obtained correlation pre-measurement value
Figure 439893DEST_PATH_IMAGE038
Substituting the corresponding preset threshold value
Figure 23321DEST_PATH_IMAGE039
If the predicted value is correlated
Figure 538616DEST_PATH_IMAGE038
At a preset threshold
Figure 727152DEST_PATH_IMAGE039
When it is within, a load stabilization signal is generated, if a pre-measured value is correlated
Figure 302489DEST_PATH_IMAGE038
At a preset threshold
Figure 576476DEST_PATH_IMAGE039
Otherwise, generating a load fluctuation signal;
step 3: respectively calibrating a basic abnormal data interference-free signal, a prediction feasible signal and a prediction infeasible signal as Z-1, Z-1+ and Z-2, respectively calibrating a load stable signal and a load fluctuation signal as F-1 and F-2, and performing cross analysis on the signals;
step 4: when obtaining
Figure 629883DEST_PATH_IMAGE040
Then generating a more accurate predicted signal, when acquired
Figure 735242DEST_PATH_IMAGE041
Then generating a prediction blur signal, when obtained
Figure 668432DEST_PATH_IMAGE042
Then a predicted generally accurate signal is generated.
6. The oil field power load management and control system based on data analysis according to claim 1, wherein the specific operation steps of the early warning feedback analysis processing are as follows:
when a more accurate prediction signal is received, a high-grade prediction signal is generated, a text word is used for 'the basic data is favorable for accurately predicting the condition of the oil field power load', when a general accurate prediction signal is received, a middle-grade prediction signal is generated, a text word is used for 'the basic data is favorable for predicting the accuracy of the condition of the oil field power load', when a fuzzy prediction signal is received, a low-grade prediction signal is generated, and a text word is used for 'the basic data is unfavorable for accurately predicting the condition of the oil field power load'.
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Patentee before: Shandong Institute of petroleum and chemical engineering