CN114154684A - 基于数据挖掘和多核支持向量机的短期光伏功率预测方法 - Google Patents
基于数据挖掘和多核支持向量机的短期光伏功率预测方法 Download PDFInfo
- Publication number
- CN114154684A CN114154684A CN202111348117.5A CN202111348117A CN114154684A CN 114154684 A CN114154684 A CN 114154684A CN 202111348117 A CN202111348117 A CN 202111348117A CN 114154684 A CN114154684 A CN 114154684A
- Authority
- CN
- China
- Prior art keywords
- data
- photovoltaic power
- irradiance
- core
- function
- Prior art date
- Legal status (The legal status is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the status listed.)
- Pending
Links
- 238000000034 method Methods 0.000 title claims abstract description 64
- 238000012706 support-vector machine Methods 0.000 title claims abstract description 39
- 238000007418 data mining Methods 0.000 title claims abstract description 13
- 238000010248 power generation Methods 0.000 claims abstract description 33
- 238000007781 pre-processing Methods 0.000 claims abstract description 11
- 230000006870 function Effects 0.000 claims description 110
- 230000002159 abnormal effect Effects 0.000 claims description 18
- 238000012549 training Methods 0.000 claims description 13
- 238000012545 processing Methods 0.000 claims description 12
- 238000004140 cleaning Methods 0.000 claims description 7
- 238000003064 k means clustering Methods 0.000 claims description 7
- 230000014509 gene expression Effects 0.000 claims description 6
- 238000004364 calculation method Methods 0.000 claims description 5
- 238000011156 evaluation Methods 0.000 claims description 4
- 238000012512 characterization method Methods 0.000 claims description 3
- 238000000354 decomposition reaction Methods 0.000 claims description 3
- 239000006185 dispersion Substances 0.000 claims description 3
- 239000000203 mixture Substances 0.000 claims description 3
- 238000005070 sampling Methods 0.000 claims description 3
- 101001095088 Homo sapiens Melanoma antigen preferentially expressed in tumors Proteins 0.000 claims 1
- 102100037020 Melanoma antigen preferentially expressed in tumors Human genes 0.000 claims 1
- 230000008569 process Effects 0.000 abstract description 7
- 238000005516 engineering process Methods 0.000 abstract description 3
- 238000013528 artificial neural network Methods 0.000 description 8
- 229910052799 carbon Inorganic materials 0.000 description 3
- OKTJSMMVPCPJKN-UHFFFAOYSA-N Carbon Chemical compound [C] OKTJSMMVPCPJKN-UHFFFAOYSA-N 0.000 description 2
- 238000004891 communication Methods 0.000 description 2
- 230000007547 defect Effects 0.000 description 2
- 238000001514 detection method Methods 0.000 description 2
- 238000010586 diagram Methods 0.000 description 2
- 230000000694 effects Effects 0.000 description 2
- 230000007613 environmental effect Effects 0.000 description 2
- 230000010355 oscillation Effects 0.000 description 2
- 230000009467 reduction Effects 0.000 description 2
- 230000035945 sensitivity Effects 0.000 description 2
- 230000002411 adverse Effects 0.000 description 1
- 230000002547 anomalous effect Effects 0.000 description 1
- 230000005540 biological transmission Effects 0.000 description 1
- 230000000295 complement effect Effects 0.000 description 1
- 230000001186 cumulative effect Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000013500 data storage Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000006866 deterioration Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000011161 development Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000009499 grossing Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000010801 machine learning Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000012986 modification Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000004048 modification Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000012806 monitoring device Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000006386 neutralization reaction Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000035699 permeability Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000011160 research Methods 0.000 description 1
- 239000013589 supplement Substances 0.000 description 1
- 230000009466 transformation Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000012795 verification Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000010792 warming Methods 0.000 description 1
Images
Classifications
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/04—Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem"
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06F—ELECTRIC DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING
- G06F16/00—Information retrieval; Database structures therefor; File system structures therefor
- G06F16/20—Information retrieval; Database structures therefor; File system structures therefor of structured data, e.g. relational data
- G06F16/21—Design, administration or maintenance of databases
- G06F16/215—Improving data quality; Data cleansing, e.g. de-duplication, removing invalid entries or correcting typographical errors
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06F—ELECTRIC DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING
- G06F18/00—Pattern recognition
- G06F18/20—Analysing
- G06F18/23—Clustering techniques
- G06F18/232—Non-hierarchical techniques
- G06F18/2321—Non-hierarchical techniques using statistics or function optimisation, e.g. modelling of probability density functions
- G06F18/23213—Non-hierarchical techniques using statistics or function optimisation, e.g. modelling of probability density functions with fixed number of clusters, e.g. K-means clustering
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06N—COMPUTING ARRANGEMENTS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
- G06N20/00—Machine learning
- G06N20/10—Machine learning using kernel methods, e.g. support vector machines [SVM]
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q50/00—Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
- G06Q50/06—Energy or water supply
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06F—ELECTRIC DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING
- G06F2218/00—Aspects of pattern recognition specially adapted for signal processing
- G06F2218/02—Preprocessing
- G06F2218/04—Denoising
- G06F2218/06—Denoising by applying a scale-space analysis, e.g. using wavelet analysis
Landscapes
- Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
- Theoretical Computer Science (AREA)
- Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
- Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
- Data Mining & Analysis (AREA)
- General Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
- Economics (AREA)
- Human Resources & Organizations (AREA)
- Strategic Management (AREA)
- General Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
- Evolutionary Computation (AREA)
- Computer Vision & Pattern Recognition (AREA)
- General Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
- Quality & Reliability (AREA)
- Artificial Intelligence (AREA)
- Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
- Databases & Information Systems (AREA)
- Tourism & Hospitality (AREA)
- Software Systems (AREA)
- Marketing (AREA)
- Evolutionary Biology (AREA)
- General Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
- Primary Health Care (AREA)
- Water Supply & Treatment (AREA)
- Public Health (AREA)
- Bioinformatics & Computational Biology (AREA)
- Bioinformatics & Cheminformatics (AREA)
- Life Sciences & Earth Sciences (AREA)
- Medical Informatics (AREA)
- Probability & Statistics with Applications (AREA)
- Computing Systems (AREA)
- Mathematical Physics (AREA)
- Development Economics (AREA)
- Game Theory and Decision Science (AREA)
- Entrepreneurship & Innovation (AREA)
- Operations Research (AREA)
- Management, Administration, Business Operations System, And Electronic Commerce (AREA)
Abstract
Description
Claims (6)
Priority Applications (1)
Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
---|---|---|---|
CN202111348117.5A CN114154684A (zh) | 2021-11-15 | 2021-11-15 | 基于数据挖掘和多核支持向量机的短期光伏功率预测方法 |
Applications Claiming Priority (1)
Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
---|---|---|---|
CN202111348117.5A CN114154684A (zh) | 2021-11-15 | 2021-11-15 | 基于数据挖掘和多核支持向量机的短期光伏功率预测方法 |
Publications (1)
Publication Number | Publication Date |
---|---|
CN114154684A true CN114154684A (zh) | 2022-03-08 |
Family
ID=80459925
Family Applications (1)
Application Number | Title | Priority Date | Filing Date |
---|---|---|---|
CN202111348117.5A Pending CN114154684A (zh) | 2021-11-15 | 2021-11-15 | 基于数据挖掘和多核支持向量机的短期光伏功率预测方法 |
Country Status (1)
Country | Link |
---|---|
CN (1) | CN114154684A (zh) |
Cited By (2)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
CN115001147A (zh) * | 2022-08-02 | 2022-09-02 | 广东邦盛新能源科技发展有限公司 | 一种光伏发电数据采集方法、***及云平台 |
CN115859775A (zh) * | 2022-11-07 | 2023-03-28 | 国网江苏省电力有限公司镇江供电分公司 | 一种面向光储虚拟电厂划分的典型日场景提取方法及装置 |
-
2021
- 2021-11-15 CN CN202111348117.5A patent/CN114154684A/zh active Pending
Cited By (3)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
CN115001147A (zh) * | 2022-08-02 | 2022-09-02 | 广东邦盛新能源科技发展有限公司 | 一种光伏发电数据采集方法、***及云平台 |
CN115001147B (zh) * | 2022-08-02 | 2022-11-08 | 广东邦盛新能源科技发展有限公司 | 一种光伏发电数据采集方法、***及云平台 |
CN115859775A (zh) * | 2022-11-07 | 2023-03-28 | 国网江苏省电力有限公司镇江供电分公司 | 一种面向光储虚拟电厂划分的典型日场景提取方法及装置 |
Similar Documents
Publication | Publication Date | Title |
---|---|---|
Cali et al. | Short-term wind power forecasting using long-short term memory based recurrent neural network model and variable selection | |
CN110909919A (zh) | 融合注意力机制的深度神经网络模型的光伏功率预测方法 | |
CN107194495B (zh) | 一种基于历史数据挖掘的光伏功率纵向预测方法 | |
CN114792156B (zh) | 基于曲线特征指标聚类的光伏输出功率预测方法和*** | |
CN110059891B (zh) | 一种基于vmd-svm-wsa-gm组合模型的光伏电站输出功率预测方法 | |
CN110929953A (zh) | 基于聚类分析的光伏电站超短期出力预测方法 | |
Xiong et al. | A short-term wind power forecast method via xgboost hyper-parameters optimization | |
CN114154684A (zh) | 基于数据挖掘和多核支持向量机的短期光伏功率预测方法 | |
CN113822418A (zh) | 一种风电场功率预测方法、***、设备和存储介质 | |
CN113177366A (zh) | 一种综合能源***规划方法、装置和终端设备 | |
Mayer et al. | Probabilistic modeling of future electricity systems with high renewable energy penetration using machine learning | |
CN112348287A (zh) | 基于lstm分位数回归的电力***短期负荷概率密度预测方法 | |
CN115660232A (zh) | 风电功率的超短期预测方法、装置及*** | |
CN117744916A (zh) | 储能容量的预测方法、装置、计算机设备及可读存储介质 | |
CN115860190A (zh) | 负荷检测模型的训练、用电负荷的检测方法及相关装置 | |
Luo et al. | A multi-step prediction method for wind power based on improved TCN to correct cumulative error | |
CN113505909B (zh) | 一种面向短期风电功率趋势预测的误差补偿方法 | |
CN114676622A (zh) | 基于自编码器深度学习模型的短期光伏功率预测方法 | |
CN117592615A (zh) | 一种基于iceemdan和集成lstm-tcn模型的短期电力负荷预测方法 | |
Li et al. | Deep learning model for short-term photovoltaic power forecasting based on variational mode decomposition and similar day clustering | |
Yang et al. | Day‐ahead wind power combination forecasting based on corrected numerical weather prediction and entropy method | |
Wang et al. | Multiscale prediction of wind speed and output power for the wind farm | |
Dehghan et al. | Photovoltaic Power Forecasting With an Ensemble Multi-Input Deep Learning Approach | |
CN116128211A (zh) | 基于风光不确定性预报场景的风光水联合短期优化调度方法 | |
CN113779861B (zh) | 光伏功率的预测方法及终端设备 |
Legal Events
Date | Code | Title | Description |
---|---|---|---|
PB01 | Publication | ||
PB01 | Publication | ||
SE01 | Entry into force of request for substantive examination | ||
SE01 | Entry into force of request for substantive examination | ||
CB03 | Change of inventor or designer information | ||
CB03 | Change of inventor or designer information |
Inventor after: Sun Fengjie Inventor after: Ao Ao Yang Inventor after: Zhou Shengqi Inventor after: Liu Hongbo Inventor after: Zhang Zijin Inventor after: Dong Wenyan Inventor before: Sun Fengjie Inventor before: Ao Ao Yang Inventor before: Zhou Shengqi Inventor before: Liu Hongbo Inventor before: Zhang Ziguan Inventor before: Dong Wenyan |