CN111598328A - 一种计及疫情事件的电力负荷预测方法 - Google Patents
一种计及疫情事件的电力负荷预测方法 Download PDFInfo
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- 238000000034 method Methods 0.000 title claims abstract description 58
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Abstract
Description
序号 | 字段 | 含义 |
1 | Date | 日期 |
2 | T<sub>max</sub> | 日最高温度 |
3 | T<sub>min</sub> | 日最低温度 |
4 | H<sub>max</sub> | 日最大湿度 |
5 | Rain | 日降水量 |
6 | UPQ | 日负荷 |
7 | T<sub>Con</sub> | 累计确诊(Tota Confirmed) |
8 | T<sub>Cur</sub> | 累计治愈(Total Cured) |
9 | T<sub>Dea</sub> | 累计死亡(Total Death) |
10 | E<sub>Con</sub> | 现有确诊(Existing Confirmed) |
11 | C<sub>Tod</sub> | 当日确诊(Confirmed Today) |
12 | Cur<sub>tod</sub> | 当日治愈(Cured Today) |
Date | T_max | T_min | H_max | Rain | T_con | T_cur | T_dea | E_con | C_tod | Cur_tod | UPQ |
01-15 | -0.1 | -9.9 | 93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 563553287 |
01-16 | 1 | -6.3 | 92 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 538499679 |
01-17 | 0.4 | -6.5 | 95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 532355165 |
01-18 | 1.6 | -4.6 | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 517944573 |
01-19 | 6.6 | -7.2 | 91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 493263858 |
01-20 | 6.3 | -5.7 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 476153108 |
01-21 | 4.8 | -5.2 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 471193803 |
01-22 | 5.1 | -5.7 | 91 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 459789375 |
01-23 | 5.8 | -5.6 | 93 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 451316804 |
Con_avg | Cur_avg | Con_cum | Cur_cum | C_td | C_te | C_de | C_toddiff_1 | C_toddiff_2 | C_toddiff_3 |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Claims (10)
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Cited By (3)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
CN112652403A (zh) * | 2020-12-25 | 2021-04-13 | 中国科学技术大学 | 疫情预测方法及装置 |
CN113822467A (zh) * | 2021-08-24 | 2021-12-21 | 华南理工大学 | 一种电力区域负荷的图神经网络预测方法 |
CN114155038A (zh) * | 2021-12-09 | 2022-03-08 | 国网河北省电力有限公司营销服务中心 | 受疫情影响用户识别方法 |
Citations (4)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
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CN106779129A (zh) * | 2015-11-19 | 2017-05-31 | 华北电力大学(保定) | 一种考虑气象因素的短期电力负荷预测方法 |
CN108932557A (zh) * | 2018-04-28 | 2018-12-04 | 云南电网有限责任公司临沧供电局 | 一种基于气温累积效应和灰色关联度的短期负荷预测模型 |
US20190384879A1 (en) * | 2018-06-13 | 2019-12-19 | State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co., Ltd. | Meteorology sensitive load power estimation method and apparatus |
CN110993118A (zh) * | 2020-02-29 | 2020-04-10 | 同盾控股有限公司 | 基于集成学习模型的疫情预测方法、装置、设备及介质 |
-
2020
- 2020-05-14 CN CN202010399975.1A patent/CN111598328A/zh active Pending
Patent Citations (4)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
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CN106779129A (zh) * | 2015-11-19 | 2017-05-31 | 华北电力大学(保定) | 一种考虑气象因素的短期电力负荷预测方法 |
CN108932557A (zh) * | 2018-04-28 | 2018-12-04 | 云南电网有限责任公司临沧供电局 | 一种基于气温累积效应和灰色关联度的短期负荷预测模型 |
US20190384879A1 (en) * | 2018-06-13 | 2019-12-19 | State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co., Ltd. | Meteorology sensitive load power estimation method and apparatus |
CN110993118A (zh) * | 2020-02-29 | 2020-04-10 | 同盾控股有限公司 | 基于集成学习模型的疫情预测方法、装置、设备及介质 |
Non-Patent Citations (2)
Title |
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苏宜靖等: "考虑气象因子的区域电网梅雨期负荷预测", 《浙江电力》 * |
董靓媛等: "新冠肺炎疫情对电网运行的影响分析", 《河北电力技术》 * |
Cited By (5)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
CN112652403A (zh) * | 2020-12-25 | 2021-04-13 | 中国科学技术大学 | 疫情预测方法及装置 |
CN112652403B (zh) * | 2020-12-25 | 2023-07-14 | 中国科学技术大学 | 疫情预测方法及装置 |
CN113822467A (zh) * | 2021-08-24 | 2021-12-21 | 华南理工大学 | 一种电力区域负荷的图神经网络预测方法 |
CN114155038A (zh) * | 2021-12-09 | 2022-03-08 | 国网河北省电力有限公司营销服务中心 | 受疫情影响用户识别方法 |
CN114155038B (zh) * | 2021-12-09 | 2024-05-31 | 国网河北省电力有限公司营销服务中心 | 受疫情影响用户识别方法 |
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