CN111027827B - Method and device for analyzing operation risk of bottom-protecting communication network and computer equipment - Google Patents
Method and device for analyzing operation risk of bottom-protecting communication network and computer equipment Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The invention discloses a method, a device and computer equipment for analyzing the running risk of a bottom protection communication network, wherein the method for analyzing the running risk of the bottom protection communication network is applied to a bottom protection power network communication system, and the bottom protection power network communication system comprises a risk analysis model and comprises the following steps: acquiring appointed external environment data influencing the operation of the bottom-protecting communication network, and cleaning the appointed external environment data to generate effective data; associating the geographical position information of the optical cable section corresponding to the effective data and the external environment data; combining the effective data with the geographic position information, and forming risk early warning information through a risk analysis model; and establishing a risk early warning processing mechanism, and generating an emergency plan according to the risk early warning information. Compared with the prior art, when the disaster affects the normal operation of the bottom protection communication network, operation and maintenance personnel can know the situation at the first time and generate an accurate emergency plan, so that the overhaul efficiency of the bottom protection power network is improved, and the normal operation of the bottom protection communication network is ensured.
Description
Technical Field
The present invention relates to the field of power communication networks, and in particular, to a method, an apparatus, and a computer device for analyzing operation risk of a bottom protection communication network.
Background
The grid bottom protection grid frame is a minimum-scale grid frame for guaranteeing continuous power supply and guaranteeing regional power supply output of central urban areas and important users when a grid is damaged by serious external forces such as natural disasters. The bottom protection communication network is a communication network running on the grid bottom protection net rack. The normal operation of the bottom-protecting communication network is ensured, and the method is an important ring in the operation guarantee of the power grid communication system. In the southern area, external threat factors damaging the bottom-protected communication network mainly include typhoons, ice coating, thunder and lightning, mountain fires, municipal works and the like. In the prior art, operation and maintenance personnel of the bottom protection communication network cannot acquire real-time data of typhoons, ice coating, thunder, mountain fires and municipal works in real time, and predict risks received by the bottom protection communication network according to the real-time data. Therefore, when external force is seriously damaged by natural disasters and the like, operation and maintenance personnel of the power communication network cannot pre-judge the harm and influence of comprehensive environmental factors on the bottom protection communication network, an accurate emergency plan cannot be formed, and the contents of the plan comprise personnel allocation, resource sharing, a rush repair plan and the like, so that the overhaul efficiency of the bottom protection communication network is reduced.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention mainly aims to provide a method for analyzing the operation risk of a bottom-protecting communication network, which aims to solve the technical problems of analyzing the disaster risk of the bottom-protecting communication network and improving the overhaul efficiency of the bottom-protecting communication network.
The invention provides a method for analyzing the running risk of a bottom protection communication network, which is applied to a bottom protection power network communication system, wherein the bottom protection power network communication system comprises a risk analysis model and comprises the following steps:
acquiring appointed external environment data influencing the operation of the bottom-protecting communication network, and cleaning the appointed external environment data to generate effective data;
associating the geographical position information of the optical cable section corresponding to the effective data and the external environment data;
combining the effective data with the geographic position information, and forming risk early warning information through a risk analysis model;
and establishing a risk early warning processing mechanism, and generating an emergency plan according to the risk early warning information.
Preferably, the bottom protection power grid communication system is in communication connection with the cable environment monitoring system, the steps of obtaining specified external environment data influencing the operation of the bottom protection power grid, cleaning the specified external environment data and generating effective data include:
acquiring first external environment data from a cable environment monitoring system;
capturing second external environment data from the internet through a crawler tool;
and cleaning the first external environment data and the second external environment data to generate effective data.
Preferably, the bottom-protecting power grid communication system is in communication connection with the optical cable on-line monitoring system, and the step of forming risk early warning information through a risk analysis model comprises the following steps:
acquiring an alarm grade from the optical cable on-line monitoring system, wherein the alarm grade is alarm information generated by the optical cable on-line monitoring system monitoring bottom protection communication network;
matching the alarm level with a first preset risk level criterion to generate a first risk level;
calculating a risk value according to the effective data;
matching the risk value with a second preset risk level criterion to generate a second risk level;
and comparing the first risk level with the second risk level, and judging the risk level with higher risk as the risk level of the bottom-protected communication network.
Preferably, the step of calculating the risk value based on the validity data includes:
acquiring a current environment data value, a disaster risk design value and an optical cable coefficient, wherein the current environment data value is the current environment data value acquired by a bottom protection power grid communication system, and the disaster risk design value is the historical maximum value of disaster environment data of an area where the bottom protection power grid is located;
and calculating a risk value according to the current environment data value, the disaster risk design value and the optical cable coefficient.
Preferably, the bottom-protecting power grid communication system is in communication connection with the risk emergency system, a risk early warning processing mechanism is established, and an emergency plan is generated according to risk early warning information, comprising the following steps:
judging whether the risk level of the bottom-protecting communication network reaches a preset standard or not;
if yes, the risk early warning information is sent to a risk emergency system;
and receiving an emergency plan returned to the bottom-protected power grid communication system by the risk emergency system, wherein the emergency plan is plan information generated by the risk emergency system according to the risk early warning information.
Preferably, the step of establishing a risk early warning processing mechanism and generating an emergency plan according to the risk early warning information includes:
and sending the optical cable state acquisition instruction information to an optical cable on-line monitoring system.
The invention also provides a device for analyzing the operation risk of the bottom-protecting communication network, which comprises:
the acquisition module is used for acquiring appointed external environment data influencing the operation of the bottom-protecting communication network, cleaning the appointed external environment data and generating effective data;
the association module is used for associating the geographical position information of the optical cable section corresponding to the effective data and the external environment data;
the information generation module is used for combining the effective data and the geographic position information to form risk early warning information through a risk analysis model;
and the execution module is used for establishing a risk early warning processing mechanism and generating an emergency plan according to the risk early warning information.
Preferably, the acquisition module includes:
the first acquisition sub-module is used for acquiring first external environment data from the cable environment monitoring system;
the second acquisition submodule is used for capturing second external environment data from the Internet through a crawler tool;
and the cleaning submodule is used for cleaning the first external environment data and the second external environment data and generating effective data.
Preferably, the information generating module includes:
the third acquisition sub-module is used for acquiring an alarm grade from the optical cable on-line monitoring system, wherein the alarm grade is alarm information generated by the optical cable on-line monitoring system monitoring bottom protection communication network;
the first matching sub-module is used for matching the alarm grade with a first preset risk grade criterion to generate a first risk grade;
the calculating sub-module is used for calculating a risk value according to the effective data;
the second matching sub-module is used for matching the risk value with a second preset risk level criterion to generate a second risk level;
the risk judging sub-module is used for comparing the first risk level and the second risk level and judging the risk level with higher risk as the risk level of the bottom-protecting communication network.
The invention also provides a computer device which comprises a processor, a memory and a computer program stored on the memory and capable of running on the processor, wherein the processor executes the computer program to realize the method for analyzing the running risk of the bottom protection communication network.
The invention has the beneficial effects that: when the bottom protection communication network is subjected to disasters, the bottom protection power grid communication system analyzes the influence of the disasters on the bottom protection power grid communication system, and when the disasters influence the normal operation of the bottom protection communication network, operation and maintenance personnel can know the situation at the first time and generate an accurate emergency plan, so that the overhaul efficiency of the bottom protection power grid is improved, and the normal operation of the bottom protection communication network is ensured
Drawings
FIG. 1 is a flowchart of a first embodiment of a method for performing risk analysis in a bottom-protected communication network according to the present invention;
FIG. 2 is a flowchart illustrating a method for performing risk analysis in a bottom-protection communication network according to a second embodiment of the present invention;
FIG. 3 is a flowchart illustrating a third embodiment of a method for performing risk analysis in a bottom-protected communication network according to the present invention;
FIG. 4 is a schematic diagram of a first preset risk level criterion of a method for performing risk analysis in a bottom-protected communication network according to the present invention;
FIG. 5 is a schematic diagram of a second preset risk level criterion of a method for performing risk analysis in a bottom-protected communication network according to the present invention;
FIG. 6 is a flowchart illustrating a method for performing risk analysis in a bottom-protected communication network according to a fourth embodiment of the present invention;
fig. 7 is a schematic structural diagram of a device for analyzing operation risk of a bottom protection communication network according to the present invention;
FIG. 8 is a block diagram illustrating an embodiment of a storage medium according to the present invention;
FIG. 9 is a block diagram illustrating an embodiment of a computer device according to the present invention;
fig. 10 is a schematic diagram of the cooperation of the bottom-protected power grid communication system according to the present invention.
Description of the reference numerals:
1. an acquisition module; 2. an association module; 3. an information generation module; 4. an execution module;
100. a storage medium; 200. a computer program; 300. a computer device; 400. a processor.
The achievement of the objects, functional features and advantages of the present invention will be further described with reference to the accompanying drawings, in conjunction with the embodiments.
Detailed Description
It should be understood that the specific embodiments described herein are for purposes of illustration only and are not intended to limit the scope of the invention.
Referring to fig. 1, the present invention provides a method for risk analysis of operation of a bottom-protected communication network, the method being applied to a bottom-protected power grid communication system, the bottom-protected power grid communication system including a risk analysis model, including:
s1: acquiring appointed external environment data influencing the operation of the bottom-protecting communication network, and cleaning the appointed external environment data to generate effective data;
s2: associating the geographical position information of the optical cable section corresponding to the effective data and the external environment data;
s3: combining the effective data with the geographic position information, and forming risk early warning information through a risk analysis model;
s4: and establishing a risk early warning processing mechanism, and generating an emergency plan according to the risk early warning information.
In the embodiment of the invention, the bottom protection power grid communication system is a software system and comprises a risk analysis model. The bottom-protected grid communication system obtains specified external environment data from outside (e.g., an electric department system), wherein the specified external environment data includes, but is not limited to, typhoon data, icing data, lightning data, forest fire data, and municipal engineering data. And the bottom-protecting power grid communication system cleans the appointed external environment data, generates effective data and associates the effective data with the geographic position information of the optical cable section corresponding to the external environment data. And the bottom-protecting power grid communication system combines the effective data and the geographic position information, and forms risk early warning information through a risk analysis model, wherein the risk early warning information comprises disaster range, risk grade and cause analysis. And the bottom protection power grid communication system establishes a risk early warning processing mechanism, and when the risk influences the normal operation of the bottom protection communication network, an accurate emergency plan is generated according to the risk early warning information to guide operation and maintenance personnel to guarantee the bottom protection communication network. Specifically, taking a typhoon disaster of the bottom protection communication network as an example, the bottom protection power network communication system acquires typhoon grid data from an electric department system, and correlates the typhoon grid data with the position information of the optical cable section. And the bottom-protection power grid communication system combines the grid data and the position information of the optical cable section, and generates risk early warning information such as disaster range, risk grade and cause analysis of the bottom-protection communication network through a risk analysis model. When the risk level is greater than a preset standard, the bottom-protection power grid communication system triggers a risk processing early warning mechanism, an emergency plan is generated according to the risk early warning information, the emergency plan content comprises personnel allocation, resource sharing, a rush repair plan and the like, the emergency plan is pushed to a front page of the bottom-protection power grid communication system in a list form for display, and meanwhile, corresponding communication operation and maintenance personnel are notified in a short message and mail form. Through the arrangement, when the bottom protection communication network is subjected to disasters, the bottom protection power grid communication system analyzes the influence of the disasters on the bottom protection power grid communication system, and when the disasters influence the normal operation of the bottom protection communication network, operation and maintenance personnel can know the situation at the first time and generate an accurate emergency plan, so that the overhaul efficiency of the bottom protection power grid is improved, and the normal operation of the bottom protection communication network is ensured.
Referring to fig. 2, the bottom-protection power network communication system is in communication connection with the cable environment monitoring system, and the step S1 of obtaining specified external environment data affecting the operation of the bottom-protection power network, and cleaning the specified external environment data to generate valid data includes:
s11: acquiring first external environment data from a cable environment monitoring system;
s12: capturing second external environment data from the internet through a crawler tool;
s13: and cleaning the first external environment data and the second external environment data to generate effective data.
In the embodiment of the invention, the cable environment monitoring system is a system for detecting cable environment data in an electric department, and the monitoring content comprises: typhoon data, icing data, lightning data and forest fire data. And the bottom-protecting power grid communication system acquires typhoon data, icing data, lightning data and forest fire data from the cable environment monitoring system through the Webservice interface. After the data is acquired, intelligent analysis is carried out, fuzzy data are screened out, data duplication removal and conversion are carried out, and meteorological data are associated with the geographic position of the disaster-affected optical cable section through longitude and latitude. In addition, the bottom-protecting power grid communication system uses the internet visual crawler technology to crawl municipal engineering information (including information such as construction type, engineering name, construction range, construction period, construction state and the like) of a specified local city from a website, and sets timing tasks to update data in an increment mode. Because the data crawled from the web contains many duplicates and garbage and is relatively messy, further data deduplication, data cleansing, and data correlation are required. And judging the cleaned external environment data as effective data, and importing the effective data into a database of the bottom protection power grid communication system for use by the bottom protection power grid communication system. Through the arrangement, the disaster to the bottom protection communication network is divided into natural disasters and artificial disasters, and corresponding data are collected, so that the bottom protection power network communication system can respond to various disasters in time, and the application range of the bottom protection power network communication system is improved.
Referring to fig. 3 to 5, the bottom-protection power grid communication system is in communication connection with the optical cable on-line monitoring system, and a step S3 of forming risk early warning information through a risk analysis model includes:
s31, acquiring an alarm grade from an optical cable online monitoring system, wherein the alarm grade is alarm information generated by monitoring a bottom-protecting communication network by the optical cable online monitoring system;
s32, matching the alarm level with a first preset risk level criterion to generate a first risk level;
s33, calculating a risk value according to the effective data;
s34, matching the risk value with a second preset risk level criterion to generate a second risk level;
and S35, comparing the first risk level with the second risk level, and judging the risk level with higher risk as the risk level of the bottom-protected communication network.
In the embodiment of the invention, the optical cable on-line monitoring system is mainly used for monitoring the real-time operation state of the optical cable and carrying out the optical cable. The risk information sources of the fault alarm bottom-protection communication network are two, namely an optical cable on-line monitoring system monitors the optical cable running state of the bottom-protection communication network and generates various types of alarms, the bottom-protection power network communication system acquires external environment data, and the risk level of the bottom-protection communication network is generated through a risk analysis model, wherein the alarm types comprise port optical power alarms, optical cable interruption alarms, injection alarms, full-course attenuation alarms, attenuation point alarms, reflectivity alarms and abnormal network element communication. The optical cable on-line monitoring system evaluates various types of alarms and generates corresponding alarm levels. The bottom-protection power grid communication system acquires an alarm grade from the optical cable on-line monitoring system, and matches the alarm grade with a first preset risk grade criterion to generate a first risk grade. If the bottom-protection power grid communication system acquires the port optical power alarm from the optical cable on-line monitoring system, the alarm level of the alarm is four, and referring to fig. 4, the port optical power alarm is matched according to a first preset risk level criterion, the bottom-protection power grid communication system generates a first risk level, and the level value of the first risk level is three. In addition, referring to fig. 3, the bottom-protected power grid communication system calculates a risk value according to the effective data, and generates a second risk level according to a second preset risk level criterion. If the risk value calculated by the bottom protection power grid communication system is 10, the risk level of the bottom protection communication network is one level, wherein the risk level of the bottom protection and the communication network is from low to high, and the risk level comprises three levels (attention), two levels (early warning) and one level (disposal); three levels (concerns) indicate that the risk value of the optical cable has reached a certain height, and the concerns of communication operators are required to be triggered, so that the on-line monitoring frequency of the optical cable is enhanced; the second level (early warning) shows that the risk value is higher, the risk value is very likely to be converted into the first level risk, communication operators are required to be in an alert state, and meanwhile, the on-line monitoring frequency of the optical cable is also required to be adjusted upwards and is higher than that of the third level; the first level (disposal) indicates an emergency event which damages the operation stability of the bottom-protecting communication network, such as optical cable interruption or impending optical cable interruption, and communication operation and maintenance personnel need to carry out emergency treatment immediately, and the monitoring frequency of the optical cable on-line monitoring system is also set to be highest in the highest standby state. And the bottom-protection power grid communication system judges the first risk level and the second risk level, and judges the risk level with higher risk as the risk level of the bottom-protection communication network. If the first risk level is three-level and the second risk level is one-level, the risk level of the bottom-protecting communication network is one-level. Through the arrangement, the bottom protection power grid communication system can analyze the operation risk of the bottom protection communication network according to the environmental data, and can acquire the operation risk information of the bottom protection communication network from the optical cable on-line monitoring system to supplement the operation risk information, so that the bottom protection power grid communication system can analyze the operation risk of the bottom protection communication network more accurately.
Further, step S33 of calculating a risk value according to the valid data includes:
s331: acquiring a current environment data value, a disaster risk design value and an optical cable coefficient, wherein the current environment data value is the current environment data value acquired by a bottom protection power grid communication system, and the disaster risk design value is the historical maximum value of disaster environment data of an area where the bottom protection power grid is located;
s332: and calculating the risk value according to the current environment data value, the disaster risk design value and the optical cable coefficient.
In the embodiment of the invention, formulas for calculating the risk value of different types of environment data are different.
For example, the typhoon risk value calculation formula is:
k- (current wind speed-design wind speed)/design wind speed-equation 1
The data obtained from the electric department system is grid data of wind speed, the grid data is correlated with the position information of the optical cable section, and the highest value of the grid data is the current wind speed in the formula 1 in the embodiment when typhoons pass through. In addition, the design wind speed in equation 1 is the maximum value of typhoon wind speed experienced by the area over the years, and K is an internally defined cable coefficient (cable types include duct cable, OPGW, ADSS, which varies according to the extent to which the cable is affected by typhoons).
For example, the risk value calculation formula of icing is:
k1. (current icing thickness-design icing thickness)/design icing thickness-equation 2
And acquiring an icing value from the electric department system and performing position correlation with the optical cable, wherein the icing value is used as the current icing thickness in the formula of the embodiment. In the formula 2, K1 is an ice coating coefficient defined internally, and is different according to whether or not the ice melting device is additionally installed on the cable.
For example, the calculation formula of thunder, mountain fire and municipal engineering:
M.K2-equation 3
Acquiring the center point and coverage range of thunder and lightning and mountain fire from an electric department system, judging the optical cable section affected by the thunder and lightning and mountain fire according to the distance, and calculating the distance M1 of the optical cable section from the center point of thunder and lightning/mountain fire; after municipal construction information crawled from a website is processed, a construction area is delineated on a map, and the vertical distance M2 from the optical cable section to the construction section is calculated. K2 is an internal definition coefficient, different values are obtained according to different types of thunder and lightning/mountain fire/municipal works, and corresponding M and K2 are substituted into a formula 3 when risk values of thunder and lightning, mountain fire and municipal works are calculated.
Through the arrangement, the bottom protection power grid communication system calculates corresponding risk grades according to different types of external environment data, and accuracy of bottom protection communication network risk analysis is improved.
Referring to fig. 6 and 10, the bottom-protected power grid communication system is in communication connection with the risk emergency system, a risk early warning processing mechanism is established, and a step S4 of generating an emergency plan according to risk early warning information includes:
s41: judging whether the risk level of the bottom-protecting communication network reaches a preset standard or not;
s42: if yes, the risk early warning information is sent to a risk emergency system;
s43: and receiving an emergency plan returned to the bottom-protected power grid communication system by the risk emergency system, wherein the emergency plan is plan information generated by the risk emergency system according to the risk early warning information.
In the embodiment of the invention, if the risk level of the bottom-protecting communication network reaches the preset standard, the risk early warning information is sent to the risk emergency system. The bottom-protected grid communication system receives an emergency plan transmitted back to the bottom-protected grid communication system by the risk emergency system. For example, when the risk level of the bottom protection communication network is two or more, the bottom protection power network communication system sends risk early warning information to the risk emergency system, the risk emergency system performs risk analysis and judgment according to an internal mechanism and generates an emergency plan, and the risk emergency system returns the information of the risk point, personnel and material arrangement, fault processing arrangement and the like to the bottom protection power network communication system in a document mode of the emergency plan. In other embodiments of the present invention, the bottom-protected grid communication system does not generate an emergency plan when the risk level of the bottom-protected communication network does not meet a preset standard. Through the arrangement, the bottom protection power grid communication system only generates an emergency plan when the risk of the bottom protection communication network influences the normal operation of the bottom protection communication network, and the emergency plan is not generated as soon as the risk exists, so that the resource allocation is reasonable, and unnecessary manpower and resource loss are reduced.
Further, after step S4 of establishing a risk early warning processing mechanism and generating an emergency plan according to the risk early warning information, the method includes:
s5: and sending the optical cable state acquisition instruction information to an optical cable on-line monitoring system.
In the embodiment of the invention, after the bottom-protection power grid communication system generates an emergency plan, the optical cable state acquisition instruction information is sent to the optical cable on-line monitoring system. The optical cable on-line monitoring system acquires real-time state information of the optical cable so as to confirm the actual running state of the optical cable, so that the bottom-protection power grid communication system acquires the running state of the optical cable in real time, and the operation is matched with an emergency plan, so that the running safety and stability of the bottom-protection communication network are ensured.
Referring to fig. 7, the present invention provides an apparatus for analyzing running risk of a guaranteed-bottom communication network, including:
the acquisition module 1 is used for acquiring appointed external environment data influencing the operation of the bottom-protecting communication network, cleaning the appointed external environment data and generating effective data;
the association module 2 is used for associating the geographical position information of the optical cable section corresponding to the effective data and the external environment data;
the information generation module 3 is used for combining the effective data and the geographic position information to form risk early warning information through a risk analysis model;
and the execution module 4 is used for establishing a risk early warning processing mechanism and generating an emergency plan according to the risk early warning information.
In the embodiment of the invention, the bottom protection power grid communication system is a software system and comprises a risk analysis model. The bottom-protected grid communication system obtains specified external environment data from outside (e.g., an electric department system), wherein the specified external environment data includes, but is not limited to, typhoon data, icing data, lightning data, forest fire data, and municipal engineering data. And the bottom-protecting power grid communication system cleans the appointed external environment data, generates effective data and associates the effective data with the geographic position information of the optical cable section corresponding to the external environment data. And the bottom-protecting power grid communication system combines the effective data and the geographic position information, and forms risk early warning information through a risk analysis model, wherein the risk early warning information comprises disaster range, risk grade and cause analysis. And the bottom protection power grid communication system establishes a risk early warning processing mechanism, and when the risk influences the normal operation of the bottom protection communication network, an accurate emergency plan is generated according to the risk early warning information to guide operation and maintenance personnel to guarantee the bottom protection communication network. Specifically, taking a typhoon disaster of the bottom protection communication network as an example, the bottom protection power network communication system acquires typhoon grid data from an electric department system, and correlates the typhoon grid data with the position information of the optical cable section. And the bottom-protection power grid communication system combines the grid data and the position information of the optical cable section, and generates risk early warning information such as disaster range, risk grade and cause analysis of the bottom-protection communication network through a risk analysis model. When the risk level is greater than a preset standard, the bottom-protection power grid communication system triggers a risk processing early warning mechanism, an emergency plan is generated according to the risk early warning information, the emergency plan content comprises personnel allocation, resource sharing, a rush repair plan and the like, the emergency plan is pushed to a front page of the bottom-protection power grid communication system in a list form for display, and meanwhile, corresponding communication operation and maintenance personnel are notified in a short message and mail form. Through the arrangement, when the bottom protection communication network is subjected to disasters, the bottom protection power grid communication system analyzes the influence of the disasters on the bottom protection power grid communication system, and when the disasters influence the normal operation of the bottom protection communication network, operation and maintenance personnel can know the situation at the first time and generate an accurate emergency plan, so that the overhaul efficiency of the bottom protection power grid is improved, and the normal operation of the bottom protection communication network is ensured.
Further, the acquisition module 1 includes:
the first acquisition sub-module is used for acquiring first external environment data from the cable environment monitoring system;
the second acquisition submodule is used for capturing second external environment data from the Internet through a crawler tool;
and the cleaning submodule is used for cleaning the first external environment data and the second external environment data and generating effective data.
In the embodiment of the invention, the cable environment monitoring system is a system for detecting cable environment data in an electric department, and the monitoring content comprises: typhoon data, icing data, lightning data and forest fire data. And the bottom-protecting power grid communication system acquires typhoon data, icing data, lightning data and forest fire data from the cable environment monitoring system through the Webservice interface. After the data is acquired, intelligent analysis is carried out, fuzzy data are screened out, data duplication removal and conversion are carried out, and meteorological data are associated with the geographic position of the disaster-affected optical cable section through longitude and latitude. In addition, the bottom-protecting power grid communication system uses the internet visual crawler technology to crawl municipal engineering information (including information such as construction type, engineering name, construction range, construction period, construction state and the like) of a specified local city from a website, and sets timing tasks to update data in an increment mode. Because the data crawled from the web contains many duplicates and garbage and is relatively messy, further data deduplication, data cleansing, and data correlation are required. And judging the cleaned external environment data as effective data, and importing the effective data into a database of the bottom protection power grid communication system for use by the bottom protection power grid communication system. Through the arrangement, the disaster to the bottom protection communication network is divided into natural disasters and artificial disasters, and corresponding data are collected, so that the bottom protection power network communication system can respond to various disasters in time, and the application range of the bottom protection power network communication system is improved.
Further, the information generating module 3 includes:
the third acquisition sub-module is used for acquiring an alarm grade from the optical cable on-line monitoring system, wherein the alarm grade is alarm information generated by the optical cable on-line monitoring system monitoring bottom protection communication network;
the first matching sub-module is used for matching the alarm grade with a first preset risk grade criterion to generate a first risk grade;
the calculating sub-module is used for calculating a risk value according to the effective data;
the second matching sub-module is used for matching the risk value with a second preset risk level criterion to generate a second risk level;
the risk judging sub-module is used for comparing the first risk level and the second risk level and judging the risk level with higher risk as the risk level of the bottom-protecting communication network.
In the embodiment of the invention, the optical cable on-line monitoring system is mainly used for monitoring the real-time operation state of the optical cable and carrying out the optical cable. The risk information sources of the fault alarm bottom-protection communication network are two, namely an optical cable on-line monitoring system monitors the optical cable running state of the bottom-protection communication network and generates various types of alarms, the bottom-protection power network communication system acquires external environment data, and the risk level of the bottom-protection communication network is generated through a risk analysis model, wherein the alarm types comprise port optical power alarms, optical cable interruption alarms, injection alarms, full-course attenuation alarms, attenuation point alarms, reflectivity alarms and abnormal network element communication. The optical cable on-line monitoring system evaluates various types of alarms and generates corresponding alarm levels. The bottom-protection power grid communication system acquires an alarm grade from the optical cable on-line monitoring system, and matches the alarm grade with a first preset risk grade criterion to generate a first risk grade. If the bottom-protection power grid communication system acquires the port optical power alarm from the optical cable on-line monitoring system, the alarm level of the alarm is four, and referring to fig. 4, the port optical power alarm is matched according to a first preset risk level criterion, the bottom-protection power grid communication system generates a first risk level, and the level value of the first risk level is three. In addition, referring to fig. 3, the bottom-protected power grid communication system calculates a risk value according to the effective data, and generates a second risk level according to a second preset risk level criterion. If the risk value calculated by the bottom protection power grid communication system is 10, the risk level of the bottom protection communication network is one level, wherein the risk level of the bottom protection and the communication network is from low to high, and the risk level comprises three levels (attention), two levels (early warning) and one level (disposal); three levels (concerns) indicate that the risk value of the optical cable has reached a certain height, and the concerns of communication operators are required to be triggered, so that the on-line monitoring frequency of the optical cable is enhanced; the second level (early warning) shows that the risk value is higher, the risk value is very likely to be converted into the first level risk, communication operators are required to be in an alert state, and meanwhile, the on-line monitoring frequency of the optical cable is also required to be adjusted upwards and is higher than that of the third level; the first level (disposal) indicates an emergency event which damages the operation stability of the bottom-protecting communication network, such as optical cable interruption or impending optical cable interruption, and communication operation and maintenance personnel need to carry out emergency treatment immediately, and the monitoring frequency of the optical cable on-line monitoring system is also set to be highest in the highest standby state. And the bottom-protection power grid communication system judges the first risk level and the second risk level, and judges the risk level with higher risk as the risk level of the bottom-protection communication network. If the first risk level is three-level and the second risk level is one-level, the risk level of the bottom-protecting communication network is one-level. Through the arrangement, the bottom protection power grid communication system can analyze the operation risk of the bottom protection communication network according to the environmental data, and can acquire the operation risk information of the bottom protection communication network from the optical cable on-line monitoring system to supplement the operation risk information, so that the bottom protection power grid communication system can analyze the operation risk of the bottom protection communication network more accurately.
Further, the computing submodule includes:
the system comprises an acquisition unit, a control unit and a control unit, wherein the acquisition unit is used for acquiring a current environment data value, a disaster risk design value and an optical cable coefficient, the current environment data value is the current environment data value acquired by a bottom protection power grid communication system, and the disaster risk design value is the historical maximum value of disaster environment data of an area where the bottom protection power grid is located;
the calculating unit is used for calculating the risk value according to the current environment data value, the disaster risk design value and the optical cable coefficient.
In the embodiment of the invention, formulas for calculating the risk value of different types of environment data are different.
For example, the typhoon risk value calculation formula is:
k- (current wind speed-design wind speed)/design wind speed-equation 1
The data obtained from the electric department system is grid data of wind speed, the grid data is correlated with the position information of the optical cable section, and the highest value of the grid data is the current wind speed in the formula 1 in the embodiment when typhoons pass through. In addition, the design wind speed in equation 1 is the maximum value of typhoon wind speed experienced by the area over the years, and K is an internally defined cable coefficient (cable types include duct cable, OPGW, ADSS, which varies according to the extent to which the cable is affected by typhoons).
For example, the risk value calculation formula of icing is:
k1. (current icing thickness-design icing thickness)/design icing thickness-equation 2
And acquiring an icing value from the electric department system and performing position correlation with the optical cable, wherein the icing value is used as the current icing thickness in the formula of the embodiment. In the formula 2, K1 is an ice coating coefficient defined internally, and is different according to whether or not the ice melting device is additionally installed on the cable.
For example, the calculation formula of thunder, mountain fire and municipal engineering:
M.K2-equation 3
Acquiring the center point and coverage range of thunder and lightning and mountain fire from an electric department system, judging the optical cable section affected by the thunder and lightning and mountain fire according to the distance, and calculating the distance M1 of the optical cable section from the center point of thunder and lightning/mountain fire; after municipal construction information crawled from a website is processed, a construction area is delineated on a map, and the vertical distance M2 from the optical cable section to the construction section is calculated. K2 is an internal definition coefficient, different values are obtained according to different types of thunder and lightning/mountain fire/municipal works, and corresponding M and K2 are substituted into a formula 3 when risk values of thunder and lightning, mountain fire and municipal works are calculated.
Through the arrangement, the bottom protection power grid communication system calculates corresponding risk grades according to different types of external environment data, and accuracy of bottom protection communication network risk analysis is improved.
Further, the execution module 4 includes:
the judging sub-module is used for judging whether the risk level of the bottom-protecting communication network reaches a preset standard or not;
the sending sub-module is used for sending the risk early warning information to the risk emergency system if yes;
and the receiving sub-module is used for receiving an emergency plan returned to the bottom-protection power grid communication system by the risk emergency system, wherein the emergency plan is plan information generated by the risk emergency system according to the risk early warning information.
In the embodiment of the invention, if the risk level of the bottom-protecting communication network reaches the preset standard, the risk early warning information is sent to the risk emergency system. The bottom-protected grid communication system receives an emergency plan transmitted back to the bottom-protected grid communication system by the risk emergency system. For example, when the risk level of the bottom protection communication network is two or more, the bottom protection power network communication system sends risk early warning information to the risk emergency system, the risk emergency system performs risk analysis and judgment according to an internal mechanism and generates an emergency plan, and the risk emergency system returns the information of the risk point, personnel and material arrangement, fault processing arrangement and the like to the bottom protection power network communication system in a document mode of the emergency plan. In other embodiments of the present invention, the bottom-protected grid communication system does not generate an emergency plan when the risk level of the bottom-protected communication network does not meet a preset standard. Through the arrangement, the bottom protection power grid communication system only generates an emergency plan when the risk of the bottom protection communication network influences the normal operation of the bottom protection communication network, and the emergency plan is not generated as soon as the risk exists, so that the resource allocation is reasonable, and unnecessary manpower and resource loss are reduced.
Further, the apparatus for analyzing the operation risk of the bottom protection communication network further comprises:
and the sending module is used for sending the optical cable state acquisition instruction information to the optical cable on-line monitoring system.
In the embodiment of the invention, after the bottom-protection power grid communication system generates an emergency plan, the optical cable state acquisition instruction information is sent to the optical cable on-line monitoring system. The optical cable on-line monitoring system acquires real-time state information of the optical cable so as to confirm the actual running state of the optical cable, so that the bottom-protection power grid communication system acquires the running state of the optical cable in real time, and the operation is matched with an emergency plan, so that the running safety and stability of the bottom-protection communication network are ensured.
Referring to fig. 8, the present application further provides a storage medium 100, in which a computer program 200 is stored which, when run on a computer, causes the computer to perform the method of performing risk analysis of a baozu communication network as described in the above embodiments.
Referring to fig. 9, the present application also provides a computer device 300 containing instructions that, when run on the computer device 300, cause the computer device 300 to perform the method of performing risk analysis of the operation of the baozu communications network described in the above embodiments through a processor 400 provided therein.
Those skilled in the art will appreciate that the method of performing risk analysis for a guaranteed communications network according to the present invention and the apparatus referred to above for performing one or more of the methods described herein. These devices may be specially designed and constructed for the required purposes, or may comprise known devices in general purpose computers. These devices have computer programs or applications stored therein that are selectively activated or reconfigured. Such a computer program may be stored in a device (e.g., a computer) readable medium or any type of medium suitable for storing electronic instructions and respectively coupled to a bus, including, but not limited to, any type of disk (including floppy disks, hard disks, optical disks, CD-ROMs, and magneto-optical disks), ROMs (Read-Only memories), RAMs (Random Access Memory, random access memories), EPROMs (Erasable Programmable Read-Only memories), EEPROMs (Electrically Erasable Programmable Read-Only memories), flash memories, magnetic cards, or optical cards. That is, a readable medium includes any medium that stores or transmits information in a form readable by a device (e.g., a computer).
The foregoing description is only of the preferred embodiments of the present invention and is not intended to limit the scope of the invention, and all equivalent structures or equivalent processes using the descriptions and drawings of the present invention or directly or indirectly applied to other related technical fields are included in the scope of the invention.
Claims (5)
1. A method for running risk analysis of a bottom protection communication network, the method being applied to a bottom protection power network communication system, the bottom protection power network communication system being in communication connection with a cable environment monitoring system and an optical cable on-line monitoring system, the bottom protection power network communication system including a risk analysis model, the method comprising:
acquiring first external environment data from the cable environment monitoring system, wherein the first external environment data comprises typhoon data, icing data, lightning data and forest fire data;
capturing second external environment data from the internet by a crawler tool, the second external environment data including municipal engineering information of a designated district;
cleaning the first external environment data and the second external environment data to generate effective data;
associating the valid data with geographical location information of the cable segment affected by the external environment data;
combining the effective data with the geographic position information, and forming risk early warning information through the risk analysis model;
establishing a risk early warning processing mechanism, and generating an emergency plan according to the risk early warning information;
the step of forming risk early warning information through the risk analysis model comprises the following steps:
acquiring an alarm grade from the optical cable on-line monitoring system, wherein the alarm grade is alarm information generated by the optical cable on-line monitoring system monitoring the bottom protection communication network;
matching the alarm level with a first preset risk level criterion to generate a first risk level;
calculating a risk value according to the effective data;
matching the risk value with a second preset risk level criterion to generate a second risk level;
comparing the first risk level with the second risk level, and judging the risk level with higher risk as the risk level of the bottom-protecting communication network;
the step of calculating a risk value according to the effective data comprises the following steps:
acquiring a current environment data value, a disaster risk design value and an optical cable coefficient, wherein the current environment data value is the current environment data value acquired by the bottom protection power grid communication system, and the disaster risk design value is the historical maximum value of disaster environment data of the area where the bottom protection communication network is located;
and calculating the risk value according to the current environment data value, the disaster risk design value and the optical cable coefficient.
2. The method for analyzing running risk of a bottom-protection communication network according to claim 1, wherein the bottom-protection communication network is further in communication connection with a risk emergency system, the step of establishing a risk early-warning processing mechanism and generating an emergency plan according to the risk early-warning information comprises the following steps:
judging whether the risk level of the bottom-protecting communication network reaches a preset standard or not;
if yes, the risk early warning information is sent to the risk emergency system;
and receiving the emergency plan returned to the bottom protection power grid communication system by the risk emergency system, wherein the emergency plan is plan information generated by the risk emergency system according to the risk early warning information.
3. The method for analyzing the operation risk of the bottom-protected communication network according to claim 1, wherein after the step of creating the emergency plan according to the risk early-warning information by establishing a risk early-warning processing mechanism, the method comprises:
and sending the optical cable state acquisition instruction information to the optical cable on-line monitoring system.
4. The utility model provides a device of bottom protection communication network operation risk analysis, its characterized in that, the device is applied to bottom protection electric wire netting communication system, bottom protection electric wire netting communication system and cable environment monitoring system and optical cable on-line monitoring system communication connection, bottom protection electric wire netting communication system includes risk analysis model, the device includes:
the acquisition module is used for acquiring appointed external environment data influencing the operation of the bottom-protecting communication network, cleaning the appointed external environment data and generating effective data;
the acquisition module comprises a first acquisition sub-module and a second acquisition sub-module, wherein the first acquisition sub-module is used for acquiring first external environment data from the cable environment monitoring system, and the first external environment data comprise typhoon data, icing data, lightning data and forest fire data;
the second acquisition submodule is used for capturing second external environment data from the Internet through a crawler tool, wherein the second external environment data comprise municipal engineering information of a designated city;
the cleaning sub-module is used for cleaning the first external environment data and the second external environment data and generating the effective data;
the association module is used for associating the effective data with the geographical position information of the optical cable section affected by the external environment data;
the information generation module is used for combining the effective data with the geographic position information to form risk early warning information through the risk analysis model;
the execution module is used for establishing a risk early warning processing mechanism and generating an emergency plan according to the risk early warning information;
the information generation module includes:
the third acquisition sub-module is used for acquiring an alarm grade from the optical cable online monitoring system, wherein the alarm grade is alarm information generated by the optical cable online monitoring system monitoring the bottom protection communication network;
the first matching sub-module is used for matching the alarm grade with a first preset risk grade criterion to generate a first risk grade;
the calculating sub-module is used for calculating a risk value according to the effective data;
the second matching sub-module is used for matching the risk value with a second preset risk level criterion to generate a second risk level;
the risk judging sub-module is used for comparing the first risk level with the second risk level and judging the risk level with higher risk as the risk level of the bottom-protecting communication network;
the computation submodule includes:
the system comprises an acquisition unit, a control unit and a control unit, wherein the acquisition unit is used for acquiring a current environment data value, a disaster risk design value and an optical cable coefficient, the current environment data value is the current environment data value acquired by the bottom protection power grid communication system, and the disaster risk design value is the historical maximum value of disaster environment data of the area where the bottom protection communication network is located;
and the calculating unit is used for calculating the risk value according to the current environment data value, the disaster risk design value and the optical cable coefficient.
5. A computer device comprising a processor, a memory and a computer program stored on the memory and running on the processor, the processor implementing a method of running risk analysis of a guaranteed communications network according to any one of claims 1 to 3 when the computer program is executed by the processor.
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