CN110427015A - A kind of boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method - Google Patents

A kind of boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method Download PDF

Info

Publication number
CN110427015A
CN110427015A CN201910711426.0A CN201910711426A CN110427015A CN 110427015 A CN110427015 A CN 110427015A CN 201910711426 A CN201910711426 A CN 201910711426A CN 110427015 A CN110427015 A CN 110427015A
Authority
CN
China
Prior art keywords
explosion accident
waste heat
fuzzy
root node
heat boiler
Prior art date
Legal status (The legal status is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the status listed.)
Pending
Application number
CN201910711426.0A
Other languages
Chinese (zh)
Inventor
王北一
Current Assignee (The listed assignees may be inaccurate. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the list.)
Guangdong Vocational and Technical College
Guangdong Institute of Textile Technology
Original Assignee
Guangdong Institute of Textile Technology
Priority date (The priority date is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the date listed.)
Filing date
Publication date
Application filed by Guangdong Institute of Textile Technology filed Critical Guangdong Institute of Textile Technology
Priority to CN201910711426.0A priority Critical patent/CN110427015A/en
Publication of CN110427015A publication Critical patent/CN110427015A/en
Pending legal-status Critical Current

Links

Classifications

    • GPHYSICS
    • G05CONTROLLING; REGULATING
    • G05BCONTROL OR REGULATING SYSTEMS IN GENERAL; FUNCTIONAL ELEMENTS OF SUCH SYSTEMS; MONITORING OR TESTING ARRANGEMENTS FOR SUCH SYSTEMS OR ELEMENTS
    • G05B23/00Testing or monitoring of control systems or parts thereof
    • G05B23/02Electric testing or monitoring
    • G05B23/0205Electric testing or monitoring by means of a monitoring system capable of detecting and responding to faults
    • G05B23/0259Electric testing or monitoring by means of a monitoring system capable of detecting and responding to faults characterized by the response to fault detection
    • G05B23/0262Confirmation of fault detection, e.g. extra checks to confirm that a failure has indeed occurred
    • GPHYSICS
    • G05CONTROLLING; REGULATING
    • G05BCONTROL OR REGULATING SYSTEMS IN GENERAL; FUNCTIONAL ELEMENTS OF SUCH SYSTEMS; MONITORING OR TESTING ARRANGEMENTS FOR SUCH SYSTEMS OR ELEMENTS
    • G05B2219/00Program-control systems
    • G05B2219/20Pc systems
    • G05B2219/24Pc safety
    • G05B2219/24065Real time diagnostics

Landscapes

  • Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • General Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
  • Automation & Control Theory (AREA)
  • Testing And Monitoring For Control Systems (AREA)

Abstract

A kind of boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method, belong to waste heat boiler accident diagnosis analysis field, the present invention provides a kind of diagnosis efficiency height, maintenance cost is low, the generation that can prevent accident, the boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method that can guarantee waste heat boiler safe operation.In the present invention, construct Bayesian network model, obtain the root node prior probability of waste heat boiler fault model, obtain the posterior probability of root node, establish influence factor collection, establish evaluate collection, determine the fuzzy matrix for assessment of list influence factor, determine factorial power sets, calculate the fuzzy comprehensive evoluation matrix of waste heat boiler explosion accident factorial power sets, posterior probability is diagnosed to be by Bayesian network diagnostic method, comprehensive diagnos is carried out in conjunction with Judgement Method, and to its influence factor descending progress sequence, to obtain the sequence of boiler afterheat explosion accident factor.Present invention is mainly used for the diagnosis of boiler afterheat explosion accident.

Description

A kind of boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method
Technical field
The invention belongs to waste heat boiler accident diagnosis analysis fields, and in particular to a kind of boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnosis point Analysis method.
Background technique
With the rapid development of economy, people more and more pay attention to the utilization rate and environmental issue of the energy.In this background Under, waste heat boiler is increasingly paid attention to by enterprise as general energy device, to improve the utilization efficiency of the energy.With waste heat pot A large amount of uses of furnace, safety problem are also increasingly paid attention in the industry.Waste heat boiler is useless by what is generated in industrial processes Gas, waste material, waste liquid heat water is heated generate steam or hot water and be supplied to other technical process, system is extremely complex, holds The unexpected release of energy is easily caused greatly to threaten people and equipment belt, especially bursting of boilers problem, influence more very.Cause This, is carried out fault diagnosis to waste heat boiler accident, finds the main factor of accident, the generation again prevented accident with this.With A large amount of uses of waste heat boiler, safety problem are also increasingly paid attention in the industry.In view of pressure-bearing class special equipment belongs to height can By property system, fault rate is often very low, can not obtain a large amount of data, the destructive testing of this kind of more complex system It is with high costs, it obtains a large amount of visual test data and does not also have economic feasibility, Bayesian network is asked for solving uncertainty Topic and data deficiencies problem have great advantage, and are once considered as solving the optimal selection of uncertain problem, therefore by Bayes Network application is into waste heat boiler accident diagnosis.From at present to the research of diagnostic techniques from the point of view of, Most scholars will diagnose problem Core concentrate on diagnosis accuracy on, but we should also consider diagnosis economy problems.
It is therefore desirable to which a kind of diagnosis efficiency is high, maintenance cost is low, the generation that can prevent accident, can guarantee waste heat pot The boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method of furnace safe operation.
Summary of the invention
The present invention is for existing diagnostic analysis method diagnosis efficiency is low, maintenance cost is high, the generation that cannot prevent accident, no The defect that can guarantee waste heat boiler safe operation, provides that a kind of diagnosis efficiency is high, maintenance cost is low, can prevent accident hair Boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method that is raw, can guaranteeing waste heat boiler safe operation.
A kind of technical solution of boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method according to the present invention is as follows:
A kind of boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method according to the present invention, it the following steps are included:
Step 1: building Bayesian network model: according to waste heat boiler explosion accident determine Bayesian network node and Causality;Knowledge base is established, Bayesian network is constructed according to rule-based knowledge base, establishes the Bayes of waste heat boiler explosion accident Network model:
Step 2: obtaining the root node prior probability of waste heat boiler fault model: where the root node prior probability packet It includes root node to break down probability and root node exact probability, for node existing for historical data, take according to historical data Method its fault occurrence frequency, as root section are calculated according to the number that root node breaks down in recent years in historical data Put the probability that breaks down;Or the not root node of historical data incomplete for historical data, linguistic variable is carried out at blurring It manages to get root node exact probability is arrived;
Step 3: obtaining the posterior probability of root node: the Bayesian network uses directed acyclic graph mode, passes through pattra leaves This network reasoning obtains the posterior probability of waste heat boiler explosion accident;
Step 4: establishing influence factor collection: by carrying out fuzzy evaluation to each root node, wherein the influence of root node Factor includes the complexity u of detection method1, detection speed u2, detection accuracy u3With the economy u of detection4, establish shadow Ring set of factors U={ u1,u2,u3,u4};
Step 5: establishing evaluate collection: according to the practical operation situation of afterheat boiler system, obtaining system in the process of running Fault message, PASCAL evaluation PASCAL is carried out to diagnostic result, and 5 level models is divided into, evaluate collection is established, in conjunction with influence factor It determines linguistic variable, the linguistic variable is indicated with membership function;
Step 6: determining the fuzzy matrix for assessment of list influence factor: it gives a mark to the influence factor of each grade, score value It is calculated by hundred-mark system, obtained score substitutes into membership function, after normalized, obtains V1Single influence factor of grade is fuzzy Jdgement matrix;
Remaining grade V2, V3, V4, the fuzzy matrix for assessment table of the influence factor membership function of V5 are obtained according to same method Up to formula;Score is substituted into expression formula to get to single influence factor fuzzy evaluating matrix R of i-th of nodei
Step 7: determining factorial power sets: factorial power sets are influence degree of a certain factor to system jam Set, the flexible strategy of factor are obtained by analytic hierarchy process (AHP);Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is to be compared factor two-by-two, is divided by significance level At 5 grades, respectively 1,3,5,7,9;Through normalized, the factorial power sets expression formula for obtaining i-th of node is Ai
Step 8: calculating the fuzzy comprehensive evoluation matrix of waste heat boiler explosion accident factorial power sets;Bi=Ai·Ri
Step 9: comprehensive diagnos: posterior probability is diagnosed to be by Bayesian network diagnostic method, in conjunction with fuzzy evaluation side Method judges out fuzzy comprehensive evoluation weighted value when each root node considers four factors, is examined by above two method synthesis It is disconnected, determine that comprehensive diagnos formula is Di=di·qi;Obtain when waste heat boiler occur explosion time, and to its influence factor by greatly to Small progress sequence, to obtain the sequence of boiler afterheat explosion accident factor.
Further: the membership function includes Triangle-Profile, normal distribution, trapezoidal profile and the distribution of LR type;In step In rapid five, the membership function handles the linguistic variable of evaluate collection using Triangle-Profile.
Further: in step 6, the fuzzy matrix for assessment of waste heat boiler explosion accident root node is as follows:
……
Further: in step 7, the factorial power sets expression formula of i-th of node are as follows:
Ai=(A1 i A2 i A3 i A4 i);
The weight sets of the waste heat boiler explosion accident influence factor is as follows:
A1=(0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2);
A2=(0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3);
A3=(0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3);
……
A17=(0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4);
A18=(0.3 0.1 0.5 0.1).
Further: in step 8, the fuzzy comprehensive evoluation matrix of the waste heat boiler explosion accident factorial power sets Are as follows:
BiFor X1Fuzzy comprehensive evoluation matrix;
AiFor X1Factorial power sets;
RiFor X1Single factor test fuzzy matrix for assessment;
X2-X18Fuzzy comprehensive evoluation matrix algorithm and X1It is identical, to calculate X1-X18Fuzzy comprehensive evoluation square Battle array;
Further: in step 9, X being diagnosed to be by Bayesian network diagnostic method1Posterior probability q1= 0.1135, X1Fuzzy comprehensive evoluation are as follows:
B1=(0 0 0.36 0.64 0);
The comprehensive diagnos result of waste heat boiler explosion accident is calculated according to comprehensive diagnos formula
In formula, D1For X1Comprehensive diagnos result;
d1For X1Fuzzy comprehensive evoluation weighted value;
N be Comprehensive Evaluation grade, n=1,2,3,4,5;
bn1For X1Belong to the comprehensive evaluation value of n-th each grade;
Obtain X1Comprehensive diagnos result D1=(3 × 0.36+4 × 0.64) × 0.1135=0.4131;
The comprehensive diagnos of each root node is similarly obtained as a result, and sorting to it.
A kind of beneficial effect of boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method according to the present invention is:
A kind of boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method of the present invention using Bayesian network method and obscures Evaluation method combines, and studies waste heat boiler Accident-causing, comprehensively considers the influence such as probability of malfunction, diagnostic method difficulty or ease and accuracy Factor realizes the optimization of fault diagnosis, improves diagnosis efficiency, reduces maintenance cost;It can guarantee that waste heat boiler is safely operated, in advance Accident prevention occurs, and is diagnosed first by Bayesian network method to waste heat boiler explosion accident, obtains each root node and occurs Posterior probability when failure;Then detection method complexity, detection speed, inspection of the Judgement Method to each root node are introduced Accuracy and economy of survey etc. are judged, and the fuzzy comprehensive evoluation of each root node is obtained;Finally according to posterior probability The main reason for fuzzy evaluation with root node obtains comprehensive diagnos, must be out of order is personnel leave post, bourdon tube damages etc., in turn Prevention in time can effectively prevent waste heat boiler and explosion accident occurs.Obtain according to the present invention waste heat boiler explode it is main Reason, and successively solved;Reinforce the management system of enterprise, prevention personnel leave post problem without reason.It is combined by two methods Carrying out diagnosis to waste heat boiler explosion accident can determine, can be to waste heat pot in conjunction with fuzzy evaluation and Bayesian network diagnostic method Furnace explosion accident is comprehensively analyzed, and is sought to optimize diagnostic method, is more met the requirement in real process for diagnosis, make Diagnosis is more effective, has more economy.It takes other failure factors into consideration, such as the material property of pressure-containing member, welding procedure and sets Standby complex working condition etc. is studied, to obtain comprehensive density of infection grade, is then ranked up diagnosis.
Detailed description of the invention
Fig. 1 is a kind of flow chart of boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method;
Fig. 2 is the Bayesian network model of waste heat boiler explosion accident;
Fig. 3 is Triangle-Profile figure.
Specific embodiment
Below with reference to embodiment, the following further describes the technical solution of the present invention, and however, it is not limited to this, all right Technical solution of the present invention is modified or replaced equivalently, and without departing from the spirit and scope of the technical solution of the present invention, should all be contained Lid is within the protection scope of the present invention.
Embodiment 1
Illustrate the present embodiment in conjunction with Fig. 1, Fig. 2 and Fig. 3, in the present embodiment, a kind of boiler residual involved in the present embodiment Thermal explosion Analysis on Fault Diagnosis method, it the following steps are included:
Step 1: building Bayesian network model: the foundation of waste heat boiler hazard model relies primarily on data collection, searches Document and expert opinion;Data collection is the current check data preservation according to afterheat boiler system in actual moving process, And the historical summary of failure occurred;Searching document is the Study on Fault according to scientific research personnel to afterheat boiler system, is determined The node and causality of Bayesian network;Expert opinion method mainly uses causality questionnaire, then by knowledge engineering The knowledge base of Shi Jianli expert system finally constructs Bayesian network according to rule-based knowledge base;Establish waste heat boiler explosion accident Bayesian network model each nodename is as shown in table 1 in Fig. 1 as shown in Figure 1::
1 each nodename of waste heat boiler explosion accident of table
Step 2: obtaining the root node prior probability of waste heat boiler fault model: the priori of waste heat boiler fault model is general Rate obtains, for there are the node of historical data, taking the method according to historical data, according to root in recent years in historical data The number of nodes break down, calculates its fault occurrence frequency, and as root node breaks down probability;For historical data incompleteness Or the root node of historical data, the method for taking expertise are not provided according to expertise mainly, and the language of expert is become Amount carries out Fuzzy processing, obtains exact probability;
Waste heat boiler explosion condition probability represents the logical relation between node, similar with accident tree logic gate, item Part probability tables are as shown in table 3, and the present embodiment only provides the conditional probability table of node M 1, other nodes are similar therewith.
The conditional probability table of 3 M1 of table
Step 3: obtaining the posterior probability of root node: Bayesian network uses directed acyclic graph mode, intuitive expression joint Probability distribution and its conditional independence substantially reduce reckoning difficulty for diagnostic reasoning, and variable number is more, and effect is more significant;It is logical Bayesian Network Inference is crossed, the posterior probability for obtaining waste heat boiler explosion accident is as shown in table 4:
The posterior probability of 4 waste heat boiler explosion accident of table
By Bayesian network fault diagnosis as a result, it is available when waste heat boiler occur explosion time, it is influenced by Small sequencing is arrived greatly are as follows: { X2, X4, X3, X7, X5, X6, X1, X12, X13, X8, X16, X11, X14, X18, X15, X10, X17, X9}。
Root node fuzzy evaluation: fuzzy evaluation is complexity, the detection speed, inspection to the detection method of each root node The assessment of the accuracy of survey and the economy of detection etc..By carrying out fuzzy evaluation to root node, change diagnose in the past during Probability of malfunction is unique influence factor, improves and diagnoses comprehensive and economy.
Step 4: establishing influence factor collection: influence factor collection U={ u1,u2,u3,u4, (detection method complexity u1, inspection Degree of testing the speed u2, the accuracy u of detection3With the economy u of detection4)。
Step 5: establishing evaluate collection: according to the practical operation situation of afterheat boiler system, obtaining system in the process of running Fault message, PASCAL evaluation PASCAL is carried out to diagnostic result, and is divided into 5 level models, establishes evaluation set, linguistic variable by The influence of domain expert's combination failure provides, and linguistic variable is indicated with membership function, membership function includes Triangle-Profile, normal state Distribution, trapezoidal profile and the distribution of LR type etc., referring to the advantage of Triangle-Profile, processing problem is easy and convenient, therefore uses triangle It is distributed to handle the linguistic variable of evaluate collection.
5 factor grade classification table of table
Step 6: determining the fuzzy matrix for assessment of list influence factor: giving a mark to each influence factor, score value presses percentage System calculates, and obtained score substitutes into Triangle-Profile, after normalized, obtains the Fuzzy Influence square of each influence factor Battle array;Triangle-Profile is as shown in Figure 3:
Membership function v1Expression formula are as follows:
According to the available membership function V of same method2, V3, V4, V5Expression formula.According to score, substitute into expression formula, Obtain the fuzzy evaluating matrix R of single influence factor of i-th of componenti.Fuzzy the commenting of waste heat boiler explosion accident root node It is as follows to sentence matrix:
……
Step 7: determining factorial power sets: factorial power sets are influence degree of a certain factor to system jam Set, the flexible strategy of factor are obtained by analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and analytic hierarchy process (AHP) can effectively reduce the influence of expert's subjective factor.
Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is to be compared factor two-by-two, and of equal importance is 1, and slightly important is 3, hence it is evident that important is 5, by force It is strong it is important be 7, absolutely essential is 9.Through normalized, respective weights collection A is obtainedi.The factorial power sets table of i-th of component Up to formula are as follows:
Ai=(A1 i A2 i A3 i A4 i)
Waste heat boiler explosion accident factorial power sets are as follows:
A1=(0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2);
A2=(0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3);
A3=(0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3);
……
A17=(0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4);
A18=(0.3 0.1 0.5 0.1).
Step 8: calculating the fuzzy comprehensive evoluation matrix of waste heat boiler explosion accident factorial power sets;With alarm failure X1For, calculate its fuzzy comprehensive evoluation matrix:
BiFor X1Fuzzy comprehensive evoluation;
AiFor X1Factorial power sets;
RiFor X1Single factor judgment matrix.
X2-X18Fuzzy comprehensive assessment and X1It is identical, it repeats no more.
Step 9: comprehensive diagnos: comprehensive diagnos is to be diagnosed to be posterior probability by Bayesian network diagnostic method, in conjunction with mould Paste evaluation method judges out each root node and considers detection method complexity, detection speed, the accuracy of detection and detection Weight when four factors of economy, the diagnosis that two methods comprehensively consider.
This method not only has the advantage of Bayesian network processing uncertain problem, but also combines multifactor impact Comprehensive Evaluation, so that the more scientific, reasonability using Bayesian network fault diagnosis.With X1For, pass through Bayesian network Diagnostic method is diagnosed to be X1Posterior probability q1=0.1135, X1Fuzzy comprehensive evoluation are as follows:
B1=(0 0 0.36 0.64 0);
According to formula
In formula, D1For X1Comprehensive diagnos result;
d1For X1Fuzzy comprehensive evoluation weighted value;
N be Comprehensive Evaluation grade, n=1,2,3,4,5;
bn1For X1Belong to the comprehensive evaluation value of n-th each grade;
Obtain X1Comprehensive diagnos result D1=(3 × 0.36+4 × 0.64) × 0.1135=0.4131;
The comprehensive diagnos for similarly obtaining each root node the results are shown in Table shown in 6:
Each root node comprehensive diagnos D of table 6i
By Bayesian network method and Judgement Method in conjunction with progress comprehensive diagnos as a result, available work as waste heat When boiler explosion, descending sequencing is influenced on it are as follows: { X5, X4, X3, X2, X6, X7, X13, X1, X12, X16, X14, X18, X15, X10, X17, X8, X11, X9}。
According to the sequence of above-mentioned influence factor, it can be derived that the sequence of boiler afterheat explosion accident factor, utilize Bayes When network diagnoses waste heat boiler explosion, bourdon tube damage X is obtained4It is the main reason for waste heat boiler explodes, needs It to be solved at first;And Bayesian network method combination Judgement Method carries out comprehensive diagnos, when considering detection method When the problems such as complexity, detection speed, the economy of the accuracy of detection and detection, personnel leave post X5It is waste heat boiler The main reason for explosion accident, it should reinforce the management system of enterprise, prevention personnel leave post problem without reason.Pass through two methods pair Waste heat boiler explosion accident carries out diagnosis comparison, can define, can be to remaining in conjunction with fuzzy evaluation and Bayesian network diagnostic method Heat boiler explosion accident is comprehensively analyzed, and is sought to optimize diagnostic method, is more met in real process and diagnosis is wanted It asks, makes that diagnosis is more effective, more economy.

Claims (6)

1. a kind of boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method, which is characterized in that it the following steps are included:
Step 1: building Bayesian network model: determining the node and cause and effect of Bayesian network according to waste heat boiler explosion accident Relationship;Knowledge base is established, Bayesian network is constructed according to rule-based knowledge base, establishes the Bayesian network of waste heat boiler explosion accident Model:
Step 2: obtaining the root node prior probability of waste heat boiler fault model: where the root node prior probability includes root Nodes break down probability and root node exact probability take the side according to historical data for node existing for historical data Method calculates its fault occurrence frequency according to the number that root node breaks down in recent years in historical data, and as root node is sent out Raw probability of malfunction;Or the not root node of historical data incomplete for historical data, carries out Fuzzy processing for linguistic variable, i.e., Obtain root node exact probability;
Step 3: obtaining the posterior probability of root node: the Bayesian network uses directed acyclic graph mode, passes through Bayesian network Network reasoning obtains the posterior probability of waste heat boiler explosion accident;
Step 4: establishing influence factor collection: by carrying out fuzzy evaluation to each root node, wherein the influence factor of root node Complexity u including detection method1, detection speed u2, detection accuracy u3With the economy u of detection4, establish influence because Element collection U={ u1,u2,u3,u4};
Step 5: establishing evaluate collection: according to the practical operation situation of afterheat boiler system, obtaining the event of system in the process of running Hinder information, PASCAL evaluation PASCAL is carried out to diagnostic result, and be divided into 5 level models, establish evaluate collection, determined in conjunction with influence factor Linguistic variable indicates the linguistic variable with membership function;
Step 6: determining the fuzzy matrix for assessment of list influence factor: giving a mark to the influence factor of each grade, score value presses hundred System is divided to calculate, obtained score substitutes into membership function, after normalized, obtains V1Single influence factor fuzzy evaluation of grade Matrix;
Remaining grade v2, v3, v4, the fuzzy matrix for assessment expression of the influence factor membership function of v5 are obtained according to same method Formula;Score is substituted into expression formula to get to single influence factor fuzzy evaluating matrix R of i-th of nodei
Step 7: determining factorial power sets: factorial power sets are set of a certain factor to the influence degree of system jam, The flexible strategy of factor are obtained by analytic hierarchy process (AHP);Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is to be compared factor two-by-two, is divided into 5 by significance level Grade, respectively 1,3,5,7,9;Through normalized, the factorial power sets expression formula for obtaining i-th of node is Ai
Step 8: calculating the fuzzy comprehensive evoluation matrix of waste heat boiler explosion accident factorial power sets;Bi=Ai·Ri
Step 9: comprehensive diagnos: being diagnosed to be posterior probability by Bayesian network diagnostic method, in conjunction with Judgement Method, comment Sentence fuzzy comprehensive evoluation weighted value when each root node out considers four factors, by above two method comprehensive diagnos, really Determining comprehensive diagnos formula is Di=di·qi;It obtains that explosion time occurs when waste heat boiler, and to the descending progress of its influence factor Sequentially.
2. a kind of boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method according to claim 1, which is characterized in that described to be subordinate to Function includes Triangle-Profile, normal distribution, trapezoidal profile and the distribution of LR type;In step 5, the membership function uses three It is angular to be distributed to handle the linguistic variable of evaluate collection.
3. a kind of boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method according to claim 1, which is characterized in that in step 6 In, the fuzzy matrix for assessment of waste heat boiler explosion accident root node is as follows:
……
4. a kind of boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method according to claim 1, which is characterized in that in step 7 In, the factorial power sets expression formula of i-th of node are as follows:
Ai=(A1 i A2 i A3 i A4 i);
The weight sets of the waste heat boiler explosion accident influence factor is as follows:
A1=(0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2);
A2=(0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3);
A3=(0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3);
……
A17=(0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4);
A18=(0.3 0.1 0.5 0.1).
5. a kind of boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method according to claim 1, which is characterized in that in step 8 In, the fuzzy comprehensive evoluation matrix of the waste heat boiler explosion accident factorial power sets are as follows:
BiFor X1Fuzzy comprehensive evoluation matrix;
AiFor X1Factorial power sets;
RiFor X1Single factor test fuzzy matrix for assessment;
X2-X18Fuzzy comprehensive evoluation matrix algorithm and X1It is identical, to calculate X1-X18Fuzzy comprehensive evoluation matrix.
6. a kind of boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method according to claim 1, which is characterized in that in step 9 In, X is diagnosed to be by Bayesian network diagnostic method1Posterior probability q1=0.1135, X1Fuzzy comprehensive evoluation are as follows:
B1=(0 0 0.36 0.64 0);
The comprehensive diagnos result of waste heat boiler explosion accident is calculated according to comprehensive diagnos formula
In formula, D1For X1Comprehensive diagnos result;
d1For X1Fuzzy comprehensive evoluation weighted value;
N be Comprehensive Evaluation grade, n=1,2,3,4,5;
bn1For X1Belong to the comprehensive evaluation value of n-th each grade;
Obtain X1Comprehensive diagnos result D1=(3 × 0.36+4 × 0.64) × 0.1135=0.4131;
The comprehensive diagnos of each root node is similarly obtained as a result, and sorting to it.
CN201910711426.0A 2019-08-02 2019-08-02 A kind of boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method Pending CN110427015A (en)

Priority Applications (1)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
CN201910711426.0A CN110427015A (en) 2019-08-02 2019-08-02 A kind of boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method

Applications Claiming Priority (1)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
CN201910711426.0A CN110427015A (en) 2019-08-02 2019-08-02 A kind of boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method

Publications (1)

Publication Number Publication Date
CN110427015A true CN110427015A (en) 2019-11-08

Family

ID=68413840

Family Applications (1)

Application Number Title Priority Date Filing Date
CN201910711426.0A Pending CN110427015A (en) 2019-08-02 2019-08-02 A kind of boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method

Country Status (1)

Country Link
CN (1) CN110427015A (en)

Cited By (6)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN111553590A (en) * 2020-04-27 2020-08-18 中国电子科技集团公司第十四研究所 Radar embedded health management system
CN112507290A (en) * 2020-12-07 2021-03-16 国电南瑞科技股份有限公司 Distribution equipment fault probability prejudging method and device and storage medium
CN113537695A (en) * 2021-05-28 2021-10-22 东莞理工学院 Quantitative evaluation method for excessive emission risk of flue gas pollutants of waste incineration power plant
CN114118760A (en) * 2021-11-19 2022-03-01 西南交通大学 RAMS demand analysis method for key parts of high-speed train
CN115169506A (en) * 2022-09-06 2022-10-11 中铁第四勘察设计院集团有限公司 Method and system for rapidly diagnosing faults of power supply and transformation key equipment
CN117150879A (en) * 2023-07-14 2023-12-01 华能国际电力股份有限公司上海石洞口第二电厂 Super-heater overtemperature early warning method and device based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model

Citations (2)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN106846155A (en) * 2017-03-29 2017-06-13 哈尔滨理工大学 Submarine pipeline leakage accident methods of risk assessment based on fuzzy Bayesian network
CN110059963A (en) * 2019-04-20 2019-07-26 北京交通大学 A kind of tunnel risk evaluating method based on fuzzy polymorphism Bayesian network

Patent Citations (2)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN106846155A (en) * 2017-03-29 2017-06-13 哈尔滨理工大学 Submarine pipeline leakage accident methods of risk assessment based on fuzzy Bayesian network
CN110059963A (en) * 2019-04-20 2019-07-26 北京交通大学 A kind of tunnel risk evaluating method based on fuzzy polymorphism Bayesian network

Non-Patent Citations (1)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Title
马德仲等: "贝叶斯网络和模糊评判结合的滚动轴承故障诊断", 《哈尔滨理工大学学报》 *

Cited By (11)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN111553590A (en) * 2020-04-27 2020-08-18 中国电子科技集团公司第十四研究所 Radar embedded health management system
CN111553590B (en) * 2020-04-27 2021-09-24 中国电子科技集团公司第十四研究所 Radar embedded health management system
CN112507290A (en) * 2020-12-07 2021-03-16 国电南瑞科技股份有限公司 Distribution equipment fault probability prejudging method and device and storage medium
CN112507290B (en) * 2020-12-07 2024-04-30 国电南瑞科技股份有限公司 Power distribution equipment fault probability pre-judging method, device and storage medium
CN113537695A (en) * 2021-05-28 2021-10-22 东莞理工学院 Quantitative evaluation method for excessive emission risk of flue gas pollutants of waste incineration power plant
CN113537695B (en) * 2021-05-28 2023-11-21 东莞理工学院 Quantitative evaluation method for risk of excessive emission of flue gas pollutants in garbage incineration power plant
CN114118760A (en) * 2021-11-19 2022-03-01 西南交通大学 RAMS demand analysis method for key parts of high-speed train
CN114118760B (en) * 2021-11-19 2023-04-07 西南交通大学 RAMS demand analysis method for key parts of high-speed train
CN115169506A (en) * 2022-09-06 2022-10-11 中铁第四勘察设计院集团有限公司 Method and system for rapidly diagnosing faults of power supply and transformation key equipment
CN117150879A (en) * 2023-07-14 2023-12-01 华能国际电力股份有限公司上海石洞口第二电厂 Super-heater overtemperature early warning method and device based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model
CN117150879B (en) * 2023-07-14 2024-04-09 华能国际电力股份有限公司上海石洞口第二电厂 Super-heater overtemperature early warning method and device based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model

Similar Documents

Publication Publication Date Title
CN110427015A (en) A kind of boiler afterheat explosion accident diagnostic analysis method
Kushwaha et al. Risk analysis of cutting system under intuitionistic fuzzy environment
Li et al. Risk assessment of mine ignition sources using fuzzy Bayesian network
Guo et al. Criticality evaluation of petrochemical equipment based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and a BP neural network
Li et al. Fuzzy logic-based approach for identifying the risk importance of human error
Mayadevi A Review on Expert System Applications in Power Plants
Lau et al. A fuzzy-based decision support model for engineering asset condition monitoring–A case study of examination of water pipelines
CN103218689A (en) Analyzing method and analyzing device for operator state assessment reliability
CN112464565B (en) Equipment fault early warning method integrating intelligent modeling and fuzzy rules
Papakonstantinou et al. Simulation based machine learning for fault detection in complex systems using the functional failure identification and propagation framework
Shojaee et al. Applying SVSSI sampling scheme to np-chart to decrease the time of detecting shifts using Markov chain approach and Monte Carlo simulation
Ishak et al. Implementation statistical quality control (sqc) and fuzzy failure mode and effect analysis (fmea): a systematic review
Ikonomopoulos et al. A hybrid neural network---fuzzy logic approach to nuclear power plant transient identification
Bera et al. A multiple-criteria decision analysis for criticality of boiler tube failures in interval type-2 fuzzy environment
Zainol et al. Failure Prediction for High Voltage Induction Motor using Artificial Neural Network (ANN)
Yu et al. Study on a comprehensive indicator and online classification of early warning of low frequency oscillation in power system
Bogatenkov et al. ENERGYSAVINGWITH THE HELP OF INFORMATION AND MEASURING SYSTEMS: SECURITY SYSTEM MODELING
Yu et al. An online fault diagnosis method for nuclear power plant based on combined artificial neural network
CN107544024A (en) A kind of generator brush slip ring burn fault degree diagnostic method
Singh et al. An Overview of Reliability, Availability, Maintainability, and Safety Strategies for Complex Systems in Various Process Industries
Sultanov et al. Analysis of assessment of the technical condition of equipment of generating systems
Abdul-Wahab et al. Troubleshooting the brine heater of the MSF plant fuzzy logic-based expert system
Gong et al. Risk transmission evaluation for parallel construction of warships based on IFCM and the cloud model
Sun et al. Research on Fault Diagnosis of Reactor Coolant Accident in Nuclear Power Plant Based on Radial Basis Function and Fuzzy Neural Network
Zheng et al. Domestic and international human reliability research field development tracking

Legal Events

Date Code Title Description
PB01 Publication
PB01 Publication
SE01 Entry into force of request for substantive examination
SE01 Entry into force of request for substantive examination
RJ01 Rejection of invention patent application after publication

Application publication date: 20191108

RJ01 Rejection of invention patent application after publication