CN110298551A - A kind of rating model for market-oriented garden energy synthetic operation degree of urgency - Google Patents
A kind of rating model for market-oriented garden energy synthetic operation degree of urgency Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The invention discloses a kind of rating models for market-oriented garden energy synthetic operation degree of urgency, the following steps are included: S1: establishing standard diagrams system, three aspects of degree of urgency and efficient electricity consumption degree of urgency, which are run, using degree of urgency, power transmission and distribution resource coordinating by generation assets collaboration establishes garden integrated energy system synthetic operation degree of urgency standard diagrams system, S2: metrics evaluation standard, link evaluation criterion, power transmission and distribution resource coordinating operation link evaluation criterion and efficient electricity consumption link evaluation criterion, S3: ranking method are utilized including generation assets collaboration.Present invention is generally directed to a kind of rating models for market-oriented garden energy synthetic operation degree of urgency, its ranking method is more scientific and reasonable, it uses analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and weighted mean method for integrated evaluating method, is scored with completing the collaboration of garden generation assets using degree of urgency, power transmission and distribution resource coordinating operation degree of urgency and efficient electricity consumption degree of urgency.
Description
Technical field
It is specially a kind of for market-oriented garden energy the present invention relates to the rating technique field of energy synthetic operation degree of urgency
The rating model of source synthetic operation degree of urgency.
Background technique
Garden generation assets cooperate with use aspects there are the situation of Construction of Industrial Park operation power plant for self-supply, and there is an urgent need for specifications
It guides, the industries huge energy consumption such as coal, electric power, petrochemical industry, metallurgy, machinery, light textile, building materials, medicine assembled in garden makes each production
The industrial park Ye Yu becomes the nucleus of electricity consumption, in order to reduce electric cost, high energy enterprise construction operation in many gardens
Power plant for self-supply, power plant for self-supply are mitigating enterprise with can play certain positive effect, but its in terms of burden, reduction
How preferably energy consumption is high, blowdown is big and the cost issues of the ancillary services such as peak regulation, frequency modulation, spare are not resolved for a long time,
Standard guidance power plant for self-supply health, orderly development, establish and improve fair, orderly, reasonable power market order and environment, become
Major issue urgently to be resolved.
Summary of the invention
The purpose of the present invention is to provide a kind of rating model for market-oriented garden energy synthetic operation degree of urgency, with
Solve the problems mentioned above in the background art.
To achieve the above object, the invention provides the following technical scheme: it is a kind of for market-oriented garden energy synthetic operation
The rating model of degree of urgency, comprising the following steps:
S1: establishing standard diagrams system, urgent using degree of urgency, the operation of power transmission and distribution resource coordinating by generation assets collaboration
Three aspects of degree and efficiently electricity consumption degree of urgency establish garden integrated energy system synthetic operation degree of urgency standard diagrams system;
S2: metrics evaluation standard comprising generation assets collaboration is run using link evaluation criterion, power transmission and distribution resource coordinating
Link evaluation criterion and efficient electricity consumption link evaluation criterion;
S3: ranking method uses analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and weighted mean method for integrated evaluating method, to complete garden power generation money
Source collaboration is scored using degree of urgency, power transmission and distribution resource coordinating operation degree of urgency and efficient electricity consumption degree of urgency.
Preferably, in S1, generation assets collaboration includes garden power supply confession level, power plant for self-supply's construction using degree of urgency
Horizontal and power plant for self-supply and user-association degree.
Preferably, the ability that garden power supply confession horizontal reverse has answered power supply to meet own power demand, power plant for self-supply's construction
Level includes that power plant for self-supply's type, power plant for self-supply's capacity and comprehensive energy utilize class power plant for self-supply capacity accounting, power plant for self-supply
Power plant for self-supply, existing enterprise confession ability has been reacted with user-association degree and planning industrial power plant confesses ability.
Preferably, in S1, power transmission and distribution resource coordinating operation degree of urgency includes garden transmission of electricity resource efficiency, increment distribution
Net construction level, increment distribution pilot load electricity consumption, increment power distribution network Allocation of Equity ratio and increment power distribution network and market master
The body degree of association.
Preferably, transmission of electricity resource efficiency in garden includes transformer maximum load rate and transmission line of electricity maximum load rate, increment
Distribution network construction level includes increment distribution network voltage grade, increment power distribution network scale, increment power distribution network maximum load rate, is increased
Amount distribution pilot load electricity consumption includes increment distribution pilot annual peak load, the estimated growth speed of increment distribution pilot load
The estimated growth rate of degree, increment distribution pilot year electricity consumption and increment distribution pilot year electricity consumption, increment power distribution network Allocation of Equity
Ratio includes equity holding unit and main market players's equity accounting, and increment power distribution network and main market players's degree of association include market
Main body increment power distribution network degree of possessing.
Preferably, in S1, efficient electricity consumption degree of urgency includes that garden user's basic horizontal, power trade mode and electricity consumption are excellent
Favour degree, garden user's basic horizontal include garden year electricity consumption level, user type and emphasis user power consumption accounting, electric energy hands over
Easy mode includes that emphasis user participates in direct dealing electricity accounting, emphasis user entrusts sale of electricity company purchase of electricity accounting, and electricity consumption is excellent
Favour degree includes that emphasis user enjoys preferential policies electricity accounting, electricity consumption preferential tax revenue degree and the preferential degree of electricity consumption electricity price.
Preferably, in S2, it includes that garden power supply confession is horizontal that generation assets, which are cooperateed with using link evaluation criterion, provides electricity for oneself
Factory's construction level and power plant for self-supply and user-association degree, power transmission and distribution resource coordinating operation link evaluation criterion include garden transmission of electricity money
Source efficiency, increment distribution network construction level, increment distribution pilot load electricity consumption and increment power distribution network Allocation of Equity ratio, efficiently
Electricity consumption link evaluation criterion includes garden user's basic horizontal, power trade mode and the preferential degree of electricity consumption.
Preferably, in S3, index weights and composite rating are determined, it can be according to hair, defeated, three links of electricity consumption degree of urgency
Scoring event, analysis obtain the degree of urgency of garden whole synthesis energy resource system synthetic operation.
Compared with prior art, the beneficial effects of the present invention are: utilizing degree of urgency, transmission & distribution electric resources by generation assets collaboration
It is urgent that three aspects of synthetic operation degree of urgency and efficient electricity consumption degree of urgency establish experiment garden grade integrated energy system synthetic operation
Rating system is spent, index system is divided into level Four, more comprehensively considers the feelings such as power plant for self-supply, increment distribution network construction and planning
Condition;Secondly according to relevant standard content in country or the related regulation of industry, the practical experience and tool of the operation of Binding experiment garden
Concrete conditions in the establishment of a specific crime is used as according to evaluation criterion is formulated, and is finally selected and is used analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and weighted mean method for integrated evaluating method,
It is commented with completing the collaboration of garden generation assets using degree of urgency, power transmission and distribution resource coordinating operation degree of urgency and efficient electricity consumption degree of urgency
Point, and establish the garden whole synthesis energy resource system synthetic operation based on hair, defeated, three links of electricity consumption degree of urgency scoring event
Degree of urgency constant current journey really.
Detailed description of the invention
Fig. 1 is overall flow block diagram of the invention;
Fig. 2 is the flow diagram for establishing standard diagrams system Yu metrics evaluation standard of the invention;
Fig. 3 is the structural model figure of analytic hierarchy process (AHP) of the invention;
Fig. 4 is garden integrated energy system synthetic operation degree of urgency decision flow chart of the invention;
Fig. 5 is index system figure of the invention;
Fig. 6 is the flow chart of evaluation method of the invention.
Specific embodiment
The technical scheme in the embodiments of the invention will be clearly and completely described below, it is clear that described implementation
Example is only a part of the embodiment of the present invention, instead of all the embodiments.Based on the embodiments of the present invention, this field is common
Technical staff's every other embodiment obtained without making creative work belongs to the model that the present invention protects
It encloses.
Please refer to Fig. 1-4, the present invention provides a kind of technical solution: one kind is urgent for market-oriented garden energy synthetic operation
The rating model of degree, comprising the following steps:
As depicted in figs. 1 and 2, S1: establishing standard diagrams system, utilizes degree of urgency, power transmission and distribution by generation assets collaboration
It is tight that three aspects of resource coordinating operation degree of urgency and efficient electricity consumption degree of urgency establish garden integrated energy system synthetic operation
Compel degree standard diagrams system, emphasis considers the case where power plant for self-supply in garden, increment power distribution network and user are developed, such as table 1
It is shown;
1 index system table of table
(1) generation assets collaboration utilizes degree of urgency
Generation assets collaboration using degree of urgency and garden interior power situation especially power plant for self-supply the case where closely bound up, garden
Area general supply supply level x1Meet the ability of own power demand for all power supplys in reaction garden, garden general supply supplies water
Flat related with power supply type, coal motor group can satisfy steady electricity supply output, and photovoltaic and wind power output situation are unstable, Wu Fabao
Card provides power output in busy hour, and in testing each garden interior power construction, scene power output is smaller, has little influence on garden
General supply supply level, therefore the ratio between all power supply capacities that can stablize power output and peak load demand table in the index garden
Show:
In formula: x1Represent garden general supply supply level;∑Psource-cFor all power supplys that can stablize power output in the garden
The sum of capacity, unit MW;Pload-ymFor garden annual peak load, unit MW;
Power plant for self-supply supply level x2Power plant for self-supply's power supply meets the ability of own power demand in reaction garden, if providing for oneself
Power plant unit capacity can largely meet customer charge demand in area, and garden forms, power plant for self-supply confession larger from donor site risk
The ratio between the installed capacity steadily contributed and peak load demand can be provided to all power plants for self-supply in level garden to be indicated:
In formula: x2Represent garden power plant for self-supply supply level;∑Pself-cFor power output can be stablized in power plant for self-supply in the garden
The sum of all capacity, unit MW;Pload-ymFor garden annual peak load, unit MW;
Power plant for self-supply's type in power plant for self-supply's construction level refers to the type of garden Nei Suojian power plant for self-supply, and fire coal is provided for oneself
Power plant exist to waste heat, overbottom pressure, residual air power plant for self-supply make the transition possibility, the index be qualitative index, the present invention according to garden from
The existing situation and planning situation of the component type of standby power plant score;
The existing capacity x of power plant for self-supply in power plant for self-supply's construction level4: unit MW, existing (2017) are each in garden
The sum of class power plant for self-supply capacity;
x4=∑ Pcoal+∑PMulti
In formula: x4Represent the existing capacity of garden power plant for self-supply, unit MW;∑PcoalElectricity is provided for oneself for fire coal existing in garden
Factory's total capacity, unit MW;∑PMultiFor comprehensive energy existing in garden utilize class power plant for self-supply total capacity, unit MW, from
Standby power plant's planned capacity x5: unit MW plans the sum of (2018-2020) all kinds of power plant for self-supply's capacity in garden, advises in each year
It draws calculation of capacity mode and refers to power plant for self-supply's calculation of capacity mode in 2017, each capacity for planning year shared power in this index
Weight is different, and calculation formula is as follows:
x5=λ1x4-18+λ2x4-19+λ3x4-20
In formula: x5Represent garden power plant for self-supply planned capacity, unit MW;x4-18、x4-19、x4-20Respectively represent each planning
Year power plant for self-supply planning construction capacity, unit MW;λ1、λ2、λ3Respectively represent 2018,2019, the year two thousand twenty is in planning class index
Weight coefficient in calculating, it is also bigger more the time degree of urgency closed on, therefore it is 0.5,0.3,0.2 that the present invention, which is distinguished value,;
Comprehensive energy utilizes the existing capacity accounting of class power plant for self-supply using the comprehensive energy in class power plant for self-supply capacity accounting
x6: all kinds of power plant for self-supply's capacity of (2017) existing in garden account for the ratio of whole power plant for self-supply's capacity, to the comprehensive energy in garden
Source synthetic operation degree of urgency is affected, therefore embodies the importance that comprehensive energy utilizes class power plant for self-supply with the index,
In formula: x6It represents comprehensive energy and utilizes the existing capacity accounting of class power plant for self-supply;
Comprehensive energy utilizes class power plant for self-supply planned capacity accounting x7: in garden plan (2018-2020) it is all kinds of oneself
Standby power plant's capacity accounts for the ratio of whole power plant for self-supply's capacity, and each year planned capacity accounting calculation refers to power plant for self-supply in 2017
Capacity accounting calculation, each capacity for planning year shared weighted, calculation formula in this index are as follows:
x7=λ1x6-18+λ2x6-19+λ3x6-20
In formula: x7It represents comprehensive energy and utilizes class power plant for self-supply planned capacity accounting;x6-18、x6-19、x6-20It respectively represents each
Plan that year comprehensive energy utilizes class power plant for self-supply capacity accounting;
Power plant for self-supply in garden is divided into garden power plant for self-supply and two kinds of industrial power plant: when power plant for self-supply generates power for their own use
When, it can be by carrying out participating in obtaining portion distribution electricity receipts by shares to garden distribution for generated energy power grid enterprises, institute, garden power plant for self-supply
Benefit;And industrial power plant institute generated energy is zero income electricity for power grid enterprises,
Ability x confesses in power plant for self-supply, existing enterprise8, industrial power plant confess ability refer to that industrial power plant (uses
The power plant for self-supply that family is built) generate electricity capacity and enterprise's workload demand situation, if the power generation supply of industrial power plant is greater than load
Demand, then in addition to that can meet in enterprise other than user power utilization demand, can also into garden other enterprise power supplies, it is existing (2017)
Industrial power plant confesses that ability calculation formula is as follows:
In formula: x8Represent power plant for self-supply, existing enterprise confession ability, Pself-i-cPossess enterprise's energy of power plant for self-supply for i-th
Enough unit capacities steadily contributed, unit MW, Pload-i-ymPossess the year electricity consumption of the enterprise of power plant for self-supply, unit for i-th
For hundred million kWh, ηiRespectively to possess weight coefficient shared by the enterprise of power plant for self-supply, value and i-th possess the enterprise of power plant for self-supply
Year electricity consumption and confession ability are related, year electricity consumption and the confession biggish enterprise's weight coefficient of ability it is also larger, planning enterprise is certainly
Ability x confesses in standby power plant9, each corporate planning (2018-2020) power plant for self-supply of planning generates electricity capacity and corporate planning in garden
Workload demand situation, each confession ability calculation for planning year confess capacity calculation with reference to industrial power plant in 2017,
Middle unit capacity and year electricity consumption take predicted value, and each confession ability for planning year shared weighted in this index calculates
Formula is as follows:
x9=λ1x8-18+λ2x8-19+λ3x8-20
In formula: x9It represents planning industrial power plant and confesses ability;x8-18、x8-19、x8-20Respectively represent each planning year enterprise
Ability is confessed by power plant for self-supply;
(2) power transmission and distribution resource coordinating runs degree of urgency
Power transmission and distribution resource coordinating run degree of urgency by grid condition in garden especially increment power distribution network the case where influence determine
It is fixed, mainly matched by garden transmission of electricity resource efficiency, increment distribution network construction level, increment distribution pilot load electricity consumption, increment
Power grid Allocation of Equity ratio and increment power distribution network are determined with main market players's degree of association, under the situation that increment distribution business is decontroled
Garden confession mode is more readily formed;
Garden transmission of electricity resource efficiency include:
Transformer maximum load rate x10, capacity-load ratio held in engineering with public transformer substation main transformer in certain voltage class service area
The year net of the sum of amount and the voltage class service area is indicated for the ratio between peak load, for convenience of subsequent weight determination and is calculated,
Inverse, that is, transformer maximum load the rate for choosing capacity-load ratio measures garden transformer capacity level and workload demand as index
Between relationship, calculation formula is as follows:
In formula: x10Represent the existing transformer maximum load rate in garden;SkRepresent certain voltage class transforming plant main transformer capacity it
With unit MVA, PkmaxCertain net is represented for peak load, unit MW in voltage class year;γkFor the voltage class maximum load
Weight shared by rate situation, value is related with voltage class and the voltage class transformer maximum load rate size cases, works as voltage
When higher grade, maximum load rate is bigger, weight value is bigger;
Consider the estimated maximum load rate x of the transformer of newly-built load11:
Consider that the existing transformer capacity in garden will reach under the load condition (2018-2020) of newly-built user enterprise in garden
The maximum load rate arrived calculates under newly-built load condition of each planning year with reference to the calculation method of existing transformer maximum load rate
The estimated maximum load rate of transformer, the index calculation formula are as follows:
x11=λ1x10-18+λ2x10-19+λ3x10-20
In formula: x11It represents and considers the estimated maximum load rate of the transformer of newly-built load;x10-18、x10-19、x10-20It respectively represents
Each estimated maximum load rate of planning year transformer;
Existing transmission line of electricity maximum load rate x12:
Existing each voltage class transmission line of electricity maximum load rate reflection garden power grid transmission capacity level and load in garden
Relationship between demand, calculating formula are as follows:
In formula: x12Represent the existing transmission line of electricity maximum load rate in garden;DkRepresent certain voltage class power distribution network capacity (route
The sum of the thermostabilization limit), unit MW;PkmaxCertain net is represented for peak load, unit MW in voltage class year;γkFor the voltage
Weight shared by grade route maximum load rate situation, value and voltage class and the voltage class route maximum load rate size feelings
Condition is related, and when voltage class is higher, route maximum load rate is higher, weight value is bigger;
Consider the transmission line of electricity maximum load rate x of newly-built load13:
Consider that existing each voltage class is defeated in garden under the load condition (2018-2020) of newly-built user enterprise in garden
The load factor that electric line is up to calculates each newly-built load of planning year consideration with reference to the calculation method of transmission line of electricity maximum load rate
Transmission line of electricity maximum load rate, the index calculation formula is as follows:
x13=λ1x12-18+λ2x12-19+λ3x12-20
In formula: x13Represent the transmission line of electricity maximum load rate for considering newly-built load;x12-18、x12-19、x12-20It respectively represents each
Plan year transmission line of electricity maximum load rate;
Increment distribution network construction level includes:
Increment distribution network voltage grade, increment power distribution network refer to 110 kilovolts and following voltage class power grid and 220 in principle
(330) local power nets such as kilovolt and following voltage class industrial park (economic development zone);The increasing of high voltage grade in garden
Amount power distribution network means to be formed larger from the risk of donor site customer power supply even to outside garden;
Existing increment distribution network voltage grade x14: the voltage class of existing increment power distribution network is constituted in garden;
Plan increment distribution network voltage grade x15: plan that the voltage class of increment power distribution network is constituted in garden;
Above-mentioned two index is qualitative index, and the present invention is according to increment power distribution network existing in garden and planning voltage class
The case where score;
Existing increment power distribution network scale x16: unit MVA, the increment power distribution network transformer of existing each voltage class in garden
Capacity,
In formula: x16Represent the existing increment power distribution network scale in garden;IkRepresent certain voltage level increment power distribution network transformer appearance
The sum of amount, unit MW;μkFor weight shared by the voltage level increment power distribution network transformer capacity, value and voltage class and this
Voltage level increment power distribution network transformer capacity situation is related, when voltage class is higher, increment power distribution network transformer capacity is bigger
When, weight value is bigger;
Plan increment power distribution network scale x17: unit MVA plans the increasing of (2018-2020) each voltage class in garden
Power distribution network transformer capacity is measured, calculation formula is as follows:
x17=λ1x16-18+λ2x16-19+λ3x16-20
In formula: x17Represent planning increment power distribution network scale;x16-18、x16-19、x16-20Respectively represent each planning annual increment distribution
Network planning mould;
Existing increment power distribution network maximum load rate x18, the maximum of existing each voltage level increment power distribution network transformer in garden
Load factor, calculating formula are as follows:
In formula: x18Represent the existing increment power distribution network maximum load rate in garden;IkCertain voltage level increment is represented with transformer
The sum of capacity, unit MVA;PIkmaxCertain voltage level increment is represented with annual peak load, unit MW;γkFor the voltage etc.
Grade increment matches route with voltage class and the voltage level increment with weight shared by route maximum load rate situation, value and increment
Maximum load rate size cases are related, and when higher, increment is higher with route maximum load rate with voltage class for increment, weight is taken
It is worth bigger;
Plan the estimated maximum load rate x of increment power distribution network19, (2018-2020) each voltage level increment is planned in garden
The estimated maximum load rate reached of power distribution network, calculation formula are as follows:
x19=λ1x18-18+λ2x18-19+λ3x18-20
In formula: x19Represent the estimated maximum load rate of planning increment power distribution network;x18-18、x18-19、x18-20Respectively represent each planning
Annual increment power distribution network maximum load rate;
Increment distribution pilot load electricity consumption includes:
Increment distribution pilot annual peak load x20: unit MW, the annual peak load (2017 of garden increment distribution pilot
Year);
The estimated growth rate x of increment distribution pilot load21: it is expected that increment distribution pilot annual peak load (2016-2020
Year) period average growth rate per annum;
Increment distribution pilot year electricity consumption x22: unit is hundred million kWh, the year electricity consumption (2017 of garden increment distribution pilot
Year);
The estimated growth rate x of increment distribution pilot year electricity consumption23: it is expected that increment distribution pilot year electricity consumption (2016-2020
Year) period average growth rate per annum,
Increment power distribution network Allocation of Equity ratio includes:
Equity holding unit x24, the share-holding unit of increment power distribution network is different in different gardens, which is qualitative finger
Mark, the present invention score according to equity holding unit situation;
Main market players equity accounting x25: main market players in garden (including electricity power enterprise, with sale of electricity company and user etc.) institute
The increment power distribution network share held,
In formula: x25Represent main market players's equity accounting;KiFor main market players's holding of shares of i-th of increment distribution pilot;
δiFor the weight of main market players's holding of shares of i-th of increment distribution pilot, value and increment are with the voltage etc. for trying electric pilot
Grade, capacity and main market players's holding shares are related, and increment distribution network voltage higher grade, capacity is bigger, main market players is held
Share is higher, and weight value is bigger;
Increment power distribution network includes: with main market players's degree of association
Main market players increment power distribution network degree of possessing x26: main market players, which accounts for a strand capacity for increment power distribution network and accounts for garden total increment, matches
Electrical network capacity accounting,
In formula: x26Represent main market players's increment power distribution network degree of possessing;IkFor garden voltage level increment power distribution network transformation
Device capacity, unit MVA;IukThe voltage level increment power distribution network transformer capacity of stock, unit are accounted for for main market players in garden
For MVA;γkFor the weight of the voltage class main market players increment power distribution network accounting situation, value and increment match voltage class
Related with main market players's increment power distribution network accounting situation, increment distribution network voltage higher grade, main market players's increment power distribution network accounts for
Than bigger, weight value is bigger;
(3) efficient electricity consumption degree of urgency
Shadow of the efficient electricity consumption degree of urgency by the electricity consumption situation of garden user, user's power trade mode and the preferential degree of electricity consumption
It rings;
Garden user's basic horizontal includes:
Garden year electricity consumption level, the garden horizontal x of year electricity consumption27: hundred million kWh of unit, year total electricity consumption (2017 in garden
Year);
Garden year electricity consumption growth rate x28: it is expected that average growth rate per annum during garden electricity consumption (2016-2020);
The horizontal x of garden annual peak load29: unit MW, annual peak load (2017) in area;
Garden annual peak load growth rate x30: it is expected that average annual during garden annual peak load (2016-2020) increase
Rate;
It is expected that each year electricity consumption x in garden31: unit is hundred million kWh, it is contemplated that the total electricity consumption of each year (2018-2020) in garden
Amount;
x31=λ1x27-18+λ2x27-19+λ3x27-20
In formula: x31Represent each year index on power consumption in estimated garden;x27-18、x27-19、x27-20Respectively represent each planning year electricity consumption
Amount is horizontal, and unit is hundred million kWh;
It is expected that the garden horizontal x of each annual peak load32: unit MW, it is contemplated that each year (2018-2020) is maximum in garden
Load level;
x32=λ1x29-18+λ2x29-19+λ3x29-20
In formula: x32Represent each annual peak load index in estimated garden;x29-18、x29-19、x29-20Respectively represent each planning year most
Big load, unit MW;
User type x33, the user in garden is classified according to different load characters, is broadly divided into big industrial user, work
Commercial user, residential building user, agricultural production user etc., this appraisement system pays close attention to big industrial user and industry and commerce is used
Family is defined as emphasis user, which is qualitative index, and the present invention forms situation according to garden user type and scores;
Emphasis user power consumption accounting x34, big industrial user and industry and commerce user year electricity consumption, which account for, in garden uses in garden total year
The ratio of electricity;
In formula: x34Represent emphasis user power consumption accounting;The sum of each emphasis user year electricity consumption is represented, unit is
Hundred million kWh;
Power trade mode includes:
Emphasis user participates in direct dealing electricity accounting x35: the electricity that emphasis user participates in direct dealing within the year accounts for emphasis
The ratio of total electricity consumption in user year;
In formula: x35It represents emphasis user and participates in direct dealing electricity accounting;It represents and is participated in directly in each emphasis user year
The sum of transaction electricity is connect, unit is hundred million kWh,
Emphasis user entrusts sale of electricity company purchase of electricity accounting x36: emphasis user entrusts the electricity of sale of electricity company power purchase within the year
Account for the ratio of total electricity consumption in emphasis user year;
In formula: x36It represents emphasis user and entrusts sale of electricity company purchase of electricity accounting;Represent commission in each emphasis user year
The sum of sale of electricity company purchase of electricity, unit are hundred million kWh;
The preferential degree of electricity consumption includes:
Emphasis user enjoys preferential policies electricity accounting x37, the electricity that emphasis user enjoys preferential policies within the year accounts for emphasis
The ratio of user's year electricity consumption, under certain preferential policy background, user's electricity ratio that enjoys preferential policies is bigger, electricity consumption at
A possibility that this decline is more, and electricity consumption is caused to increase are bigger;
In formula: x37Emphasis user is represented to enjoy preferential policies electricity accounting;It is excellent to represent enjoyment in each emphasis user year
The sum of the electricity that benevolent administration's plan is bought, unit are hundred million kWh;
Electricity consumption preferential tax revenue degree x38, propose that the VAT rate adjustment of release power industry and power grid enterprises are stayed in country
Under the background for disposably returning to the electricity price space vacateed to refund, the electricity consumption preferential tax revenue situation that user is enjoyed in garden,
The index is qualitative index, and the electricity consumption preferential tax revenue degree that the present invention is enjoyed according to garden user scores;
The preferential degree x of electricity consumption electricity price39, under the background of general commerce electricity price price reduction, user is enjoyed in garden
The preferential degree of electricity price, the index are qualitative index, and the present invention scores according to the preferential degree of electricity price that garden user is enjoyed;
As depicted in figs. 1 and 2, S2: metrics evaluation standard includes that generation assets collaboration utilizes link evaluation criterion, power transmission and distribution
Resource coordinating runs link evaluation criterion and efficient electricity consumption link evaluation criterion, garden integrated energy system synthetic operation degree of urgency
In standard diagrams system, qualitative index includes that power plant for self-supply's type, increment distribution network voltage grade, equity occupy unit, user
Type, electricity consumption preferential tax revenue degree and the preferential degree of electricity consumption electricity price etc., the present invention is directed to power plant for self-supply's class of each garden when scoring
Type is constituted, increment distribution network voltage grade and equity occupy unit situation, user type composition situation and the preferential journey of user power utilization
Degree situation obtains corresponding hundred-mark system score, remaining index is quantitative target, and the present invention is according to country or the related regulation of industry
In relevant standard content, Binding experiment garden operation practical experience and actual conditions be used as according to formulate evaluation criterion, choosing
It is more in index all to refer to for profit evaluation model with the broken line type nondimensionalization processing method that generally uses when being directed to multiple attribute synthetical evaluation
Mark, i.e., the index quantity is bigger, and higher to reserved portion, garden integrated energy system synthetic operation degree of urgency is higher, can be under
Formula carries out nondimensionalization processing, and corresponding hundred-mark system score is calculated;
In formula:It is quantitative target x to reserved portion, xmaxAnd xminIt respectively represents the index score and reaches upper and lower bound
When corresponding index value;
(1) generation assets collaboration utilizes link evaluation criterion
Generation assets collaboration using link evaluation criterion include garden power supply confession is horizontal, power plant for self-supply's construction level with from
Standby power plant and user-association degree;
Power supply confession in garden is horizontal:
Garden general supply supply level score
Power plant for self-supply's supply level score
Power plant for self-supply's construction level:
Power plant for self-supply's type scoresThe index is qualitative index, and the present invention is according to the component type of garden power plant for self-supply
Existing situation and planning situation score, due to waste heat, overbottom pressure, residual air power plant for self-supply carry out deduction and exemption alternative subsidy political affairs
Plan, development prospect is preferable, so if power plant for self-supply's type with comprehensive energy using based on class power plant for self-supply, get over by scoring in garden
Height,
Power plant for self-supply's capacity score, the existing capacity score of power plant for self-supply
Power plant for self-supply's planned capacity score
Comprehensive energy utilizes the existing capacity accounting score of class power plant for self-supply
Comprehensive energy utilizes class power plant for self-supply planned capacity accounting score
Power plant for self-supply and user-association degree:
Ability score is confessed by power plant for self-supply, existing enterprise
Plan that industrial power plant confesses ability score
(2) power transmission and distribution resource coordinating runs link evaluation criterion
Power transmission and distribution resource coordinating operation link evaluation criterion includes garden transmission of electricity resource efficiency, increment distribution network construction water
Flat, increment distribution pilot load electricity consumption and increment power distribution network Allocation of Equity ratio;
Garden transmission of electricity resource efficiency:
Transformer maximum load rate, existing transformer maximum load rate score
Consider the estimated maximum load rate score of the transformer of newly-built load
Transmission line of electricity maximum load rate, existing transmission line of electricity maximum load rate score
Consider the transmission line of electricity maximum load rate score of newly-built load
Increment distribution network construction is horizontal:
Increment distribution network voltage grade, existing increment distribution network voltage ranking scoreThe index is qualitative index, this hair
It is bright according to scoring the case where the existing voltage class of increment power distribution network in garden, voltage class is higher, and gained scoring is higher;
Plan increment distribution network voltage ranking scoreThe index is qualitative index, and the present invention is according to the rule of increment power distribution network in garden
The case where drawing voltage class is scored, and voltage class is higher, and gained scoring is higher;
Increment power distribution network scale
Existing increment power distribution network scale score
Plan increment power distribution network scale score
Increment power distribution network maximum load rate, existing increment power distribution network maximum load rate score
Plan the estimated maximum load rate score of increment power distribution network
Increment distribution pilot load electricity consumption:
Increment distribution pilot annual peak load score
The estimated growth rate score of increment distribution pilot load
Increment distribution pilot year electricity consumption score
The estimated growth rate score of increment distribution pilot year electricity consumption
Increment power distribution network Allocation of Equity ratio:
Equity holding unit scoreThe index is qualitative index, and the present invention is commented according to equity holding unit situation
Point, if user in area, electricity power enterprise, with main market players' stock options such as sale of electricity companies, then the scoring of this index is higher;
Main market players's equity accounting score
Increment power distribution network and main market players's degree of association:
Main market players's increment power distribution network degree of possessing score
(3) efficient electricity consumption link evaluation criterion
Efficient electricity consumption link evaluation criterion include garden user's basic horizontal, power trade mode, the preferential degree of electricity consumption with
The preferential degree of electricity consumption;
Garden user's basic horizontal:
Garden year electricity consumption level, the horizontal score of garden year electricity consumption
Garden year electricity consumption growth rate score
The horizontal score of garden annual peak load
Garden annual peak load growth rate score
It is expected that each year electricity consumption score in garden
It is expected that the horizontal score of each annual peak load in garden
User type scoreThe index is qualitative index, and the present invention forms situation according to garden user type and comments
Point, the scoring of this index is higher if based on big industrial user, industry and commerce user;
Emphasis user power consumption accounting score
Power trade mode:
Emphasis user participates in direct dealing electricity accounting score
Emphasis user entrusts sale of electricity company purchase of electricity accounting score
The preferential degree of electricity consumption:
Emphasis user enjoys preferential policies electricity accounting score
Electricity consumption preferential tax revenue degree scoreThe index is qualitative index, the use that the present invention is enjoyed according to garden user
Electric preferential tax revenue degree scores;
2 electricity consumption preferential tax revenue degree standards of grading table of table
The preferential degree score of electricity consumption electricity priceThe index is qualitative index, the electricity that the present invention is enjoyed according to garden user
The preferential degree of valence scores;
By taking the garden user of northwest China province enjoys electricity price preferential policy situation as an example, to meet national industrial policies,
Trial zone industrial pattern, it is up to standard to reach industry advanced technology standard, energy consumption environmental-friendly, 20,000,000 yuan of the prior year output value or more and electricity consumption
The emerging strong industry enterprise of 3,000,000 kilowatt hours or more is measured, productive power subsidizes 5 points/kilowatt hour;To the national new and high technology of acquirement
The enterprise of identification, cloud computing, big data enterprise, 3,000,000 kilowatt hour of prior year electricity consumption or more, productive power subsidy 6 points/thousand
Watt-hour;The present invention is 90 points of the garden marking that clear user enjoys the subsidy of 5 points/kilowatt hour, enjoys 6 points/kilowatt for clear user
When the garden subsidized give a mark 95 points;
The preferential degree standards of grading table of 3 electricity consumption electricity price of table
As depicted in figs. 1 and 2, S3: ranking method uses analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and weighted mean method for integrated evaluating method,
It is commented with completing the collaboration of garden generation assets using degree of urgency, power transmission and distribution resource coordinating operation degree of urgency and efficient electricity consumption degree of urgency
Point, under the premise of establishing indicator evaluation system and evaluation criterion, garden generation assets are obtained using calculated with weighted average method
Collaboration using degree of urgency, power transmission and distribution resource coordinating operation degree of urgency and efficient electricity consumption degree of urgency score, resettle based on hair, it is defeated,
The garden whole synthesis energy resource system synthetic operation degree of urgency of the degree of urgency scoring event of three links of electricity consumption constant current journey really;
(1) analytic hierarchy process (AHP) determines index weights
Present invention selection carries out tax power to same layer index using analytic hierarchy process (AHP), determines the weight of above-mentioned each evaluation index,
The step of determining index weights with analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is as follows:
Tectonic remnant basin analyzes structure, and application level analytic approach problem analysis first has to a problem methodization, stratification, structure
The model for producing an analytic hierarchy structure, needing the clear decision of policymaker target to be achieved is what, what target was included
It is arranged side by side or subordinate relation which and each influence factor influence factor (i.e. rule layer element), which have between: coordination
Factor is in same level;The factor of subordinate relation is listed in adjacent level, typical AHP Model structure;
As shown in figure 3, line designates existing connection between upper and lower level element, top is destination layer, general to only have
One element is rule layer below destination layer, i.e., the set of the factor composition of influence target, usual rule layer can have multilayer,
That is it can establish subhierarchy between rule layer level, subhierarchy is subordinated to some element in main layer time, solution layer
It is generally placed upon the bottom of hierarchical structure, the element in solution layer is exactly the object that we judge, sort, select;
Judgement Matricies, people provide judgement to factor relative importance each in each level, these judgements are by drawing
Enter suitable scale to be showed with numerical value, is write as judgment matrix;Judgment matrix indicate be directed to upper level factor, this level with
The comparison in relation to relative importance between factor;For n element, obtain two-by-two multilevel iudge Matrix C=
(Cij)n×n;
Judgement Matricies take following form:
In formula: CijImportance scale value of the expression factor i and factor j relative to target,
Judgment matrix component CijThe size of value generallys use 1~9 Scale Method and provides,
4 judgment matrix scale of table and its meaning table
Judgment matrix C has the property that
By matrix theory it is found that matrix (Cij)n×nIt is positive inverse matrix, in real work, it is only necessary to write out (Cij)n×nIt is upper
Triangle or lower triangular form, if positive inverse matrix (Cij)n×nThere is C for arbitrary i, j, kij·Cjk=Cik, claim the square at this time
Battle array is Consistent Matrix;In real work, to guarantee that judgment matrix is with uniformity, need to carry out consistency check;
The consistency check of judgment matrix keeps sentencing in order to which the conclusion for guaranteeing that application level analytic approach is analyzed is reasonable
The consistency of disconnected thinking, it is also necessary to consistency check be carried out to the judgment matrix of construction, introduced in analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and judge square
The negative average value of remaining characteristic root other than battle array Maximum characteristic root deviates the index of consistency as measurement judgment matrix, that is, uses
The value of CI is bigger, shows that the degree of judgment matrix deviation crash consistency is bigger;CI value is smaller (close to 0), table
The consistency of bright judgment matrix is better;
Requirement of the judgment matrix of same order to CI value be not different, introduces the Aver-age Random Consistency Index RI of judgment matrix
Value, for 1~9 rank judgment matrix;
The average coincident indicator value table immediately of 5 judgment matrix of table
When random consistency ratio
Think that judgment matrix has satisfied consistency, otherwise just needs to adjust judgment matrix, with satisfied
Consistency;
Using root method parameter weight:
Calculate each row element C of judgment matrixijRootObtain vectorWherein,
By vectorNormalization, obtains weight Wi s, the single level weight of as i-th index;
Calculate sub- index final weight W at different levelsi,
Wi=Wi fWi s
Wherein, Wi fFor the weight of the upper layer index of i-th of index, Wi sFor the single level weight of i-th of index;
(1) composite rating method
It chooses weighted mean method and completes the collaboration of garden generation assets using degree of urgency, power transmission and distribution resource coordinating operation degree of urgency
It grades with efficient electricity consumption degree of urgency, weighted mean method is the basic skills of index comprehensive, and Computing Principle is simple and clear, is suitable for work
Cheng Shiji, and determine by analytic hierarchy process (AHP) the single level weight of each index, upper layer index, which can be obtained, with calculated with weighted average method comments
Point, and so on can be calculated garden generation assets collaboration using degree of urgency, power transmission and distribution resource coordinating operation degree of urgency and
Efficient electricity consumption degree of urgency score, according to hair, defeated, three links of electricity consumption degree of urgency scoring event, it is integrally comprehensive that analysis obtains garden
Close the degree of urgency of energy resource system synthetic operation;
It is scored at 40 points and the following are safety level, score is early warning grade in 40-60/(including 60 points), and score exists
(including 80 points) are urgent grade between 60-80, and score is high-risk grade between 80-100 (including 100 points),
According to the data investigation and analysis to each typical garden, if it is considered herein that test garden hair, it is defeated, in each link
There is a certain link to reach high-risk grade (80 points or more), then garden whole synthesis energy resource system synthetic operation degree of urgency reaches high-risk
Grade, in the case where each link does not have high-risk grade score: two or more link reaches urgent grade if it exists and score is 70
Point or more, then evaluating garden whole synthesis energy resource system synthetic operation degree of urgency is also high-risk grade, if there is a certain link to reach tight
Compel grade, then garden whole synthesis energy resource system synthetic operation degree of urgency reaches urgent grade, does not have high-risk grade and urgent in each link
In the case where grade score: two or more link reaches early warning grade if it exists and score is at equal 50 points or more, then it is whole to evaluate garden
Body integrated energy system synthetic operation degree of urgency is also urgent grade, if there is a certain link to reach early warning grade, garden whole synthesis
Energy resource system synthetic operation degree of urgency belongs to early warning grade, if all links are safety level (40 points or less), garden is integrally comprehensive
It closes energy resource system synthetic operation degree of urgency and is in sensitivity level range, each link degree of urgency grading and integrated energy system synthetic operation
The relationship garden of degree of urgency grading;
As shown in figure 4, the collaboration of input generation assets utilizes degree of urgency, power transmission and distribution resource coordinating operation degree of urgency and effective
The respective score y of three links of electric degree of urgency1, y2, y3, garden integrated energy system synthetic operation degree of urgency decision flow chart takes
y1, y2, y3Middle maximum value L=max { y1,y2,y3, minimum value S=min { y1,y2,y3, median M, according in flow chart
Sequence judges garden whole synthesis energy resource system synthetic operation degree of urgency.
Present invention is generally directed to a kind of rating models for market-oriented garden energy synthetic operation degree of urgency, are provided by power generation
Source collaboration establishes experiment garden using three degree of urgency, power transmission and distribution resource coordinating operation degree of urgency and efficient electricity consumption degree of urgency aspects
Grade integrated energy system synthetic operation degree of urgency rating system, index system are divided into level Four, more comprehensively consider and provide electricity for oneself
Factory, increment distribution network construction and planning situations such as, secondly according to country or the related regulation of industry in relevant standard content, in conjunction with
The practical experience and actual conditions for testing garden operation are used as according to evaluation criterion is formulated, finally select using analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and
Weighted mean method is integrated evaluating method, is run with completing the collaboration of garden generation assets using degree of urgency, power transmission and distribution resource coordinating
Degree of urgency and the scoring of efficient electricity consumption degree of urgency, and establish the garden based on hair, defeated, three links of electricity consumption degree of urgency scoring event
Whole synthesis energy resource system synthetic operation degree of urgency constant current journey really.
It although an embodiment of the present invention has been shown and described, for the ordinary skill in the art, can be with
A variety of variations, modification, replacement can be carried out to these embodiments without departing from the principles and spirit of the present invention by understanding
And modification, the scope of the present invention is defined by the appended.
Claims (8)
1. a kind of rating model for market-oriented garden energy synthetic operation degree of urgency, which comprises the following steps:
S1: establishing standard diagrams system, by generation assets collaboration using degree of urgency, power transmission and distribution resource coordinating run degree of urgency with
And efficiently three aspects of electricity consumption degree of urgency establish garden integrated energy system synthetic operation degree of urgency standard diagrams system;
S2: metrics evaluation standard comprising generation assets collaboration runs link using link evaluation criterion, power transmission and distribution resource coordinating
Evaluation criterion and efficient electricity consumption link evaluation criterion;
S3: ranking method uses analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and weighted mean method for integrated evaluating method, to complete garden generation assets association
It scores with using degree of urgency, power transmission and distribution resource coordinating operation degree of urgency and efficient electricity consumption degree of urgency.
2. a kind of rating model for market-oriented garden energy synthetic operation degree of urgency according to claim 1, feature exist
In: in S1, generation assets collaboration includes horizontal garden power supply confession, power plant for self-supply's construction level using degree of urgency and provides electricity for oneself
Factory and user-association degree.
3. a kind of rating model for market-oriented garden energy synthetic operation degree of urgency according to claim 2, feature exist
In: the ability that power supply confession horizontal reverse in garden has answered power supply to meet own power demand, power plant for self-supply's construction level includes certainly
Standby power plant's type, power plant for self-supply's capacity and comprehensive energy utilize class power plant for self-supply capacity accounting, power plant for self-supply and user-association degree
It has reacted power plant for self-supply, existing enterprise confession ability and planning industrial power plant confesses ability.
4. a kind of rating model for market-oriented garden energy synthetic operation degree of urgency according to claim 1, feature exist
In: in S1, power transmission and distribution resource coordinating operation degree of urgency include garden transmission of electricity resource efficiency, increment distribution network construction it is horizontal,
Increment distribution pilot load electricity consumption, increment power distribution network Allocation of Equity ratio and increment power distribution network and main market players's degree of association.
5. a kind of rating model for market-oriented garden energy synthetic operation degree of urgency according to claim 4, feature exist
In: garden transmission of electricity resource efficiency includes transformer maximum load rate and transmission line of electricity maximum load rate, increment distribution network construction water
Flat includes increment distribution network voltage grade, increment power distribution network scale, increment power distribution network maximum load rate, and increment distribution pilot is negative
Lotus electricity consumption includes increment distribution pilot annual peak load, the estimated growth rate of increment distribution pilot load, the examination of increment distribution
Point year electricity consumption and the estimated growth rate of increment distribution pilot year electricity consumption, increment power distribution network Allocation of Equity ratio includes equity
Hold unit and main market players's equity accounting, increment power distribution network and main market players's degree of association include main market players's increment power distribution network
Degree of possessing.
6. a kind of rating model for market-oriented garden energy synthetic operation degree of urgency according to claim 1, feature exist
In: in S1, efficient electricity consumption degree of urgency includes garden user's basic horizontal, power trade mode and the preferential degree of electricity consumption, garden
User's basic horizontal include garden year electricity consumption level, user type and emphasis user power consumption accounting, power trade mode include
Emphasis user participates in direct dealing electricity accounting, emphasis user entrusts sale of electricity company purchase of electricity accounting, and the preferential degree of electricity consumption includes
Emphasis user enjoys preferential policies electricity accounting, electricity consumption preferential tax revenue degree and the preferential degree of electricity consumption electricity price.
7. a kind of rating model for market-oriented garden energy synthetic operation degree of urgency according to claim 1, feature exist
In: in S2, generation assets collaboration using link evaluation criterion include garden power supply confession is horizontal, power plant for self-supply's construction level with
Power plant for self-supply and user-association degree, power transmission and distribution resource coordinating operation link evaluation criterion include garden transmission of electricity resource efficiency, increment
Distribution network construction level, increment distribution pilot load electricity consumption and increment power distribution network Allocation of Equity ratio, efficient electricity consumption link are commented
Price card standard includes garden user's basic horizontal, power trade mode and the preferential degree of electricity consumption.
8. a kind of rating model for market-oriented garden energy synthetic operation degree of urgency according to claim 1, feature exist
In: it in S3, determines index weights and composite rating, can be divided according to hair, defeated, three links of electricity consumption degree of urgency scoring event
Analysis obtains the degree of urgency of garden whole synthesis energy resource system synthetic operation.
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