CN109492866A - A kind of distribution Running State intelligent evaluation method - Google Patents

A kind of distribution Running State intelligent evaluation method Download PDF

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CN109492866A
CN109492866A CN201811167551.1A CN201811167551A CN109492866A CN 109492866 A CN109492866 A CN 109492866A CN 201811167551 A CN201811167551 A CN 201811167551A CN 109492866 A CN109492866 A CN 109492866A
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running state
distribution
moment
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intelligent evaluation
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安义
李蓓蓓
郑蜀江
郭亮
范瑞祥
朱玉
谭姗姗
唐新宇
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Nanchang Kechen Electric Power Test Research Co ltd
State Grid Corp of China SGCC
Electric Power Research Institute of State Grid Jiangxi Electric Power Co Ltd
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State Grid Corp of China SGCC
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Abstract

A kind of distribution Running State intelligent evaluation method, the method obtains the electrical time series data of distribution transforming node, establish the distribution Running State intelligent evaluation model based on Recognition with Recurrent Neural Network, and it will predict that each node operating status amount is compared with actual motion quantity of state, reflect the operating status of each section of distribution network line, the validity that verifying model is assessed under each node time series data situation of change in real time by difference variable quantity.The present invention considers power distribution network time series data feature, and Recognition with Recurrent Neural Network is applied in distribution Running State intelligent evaluation, and compared with conventional neural networks, Recognition with Recurrent Neural Network can accurately reflect prediction distribution Running State.Distribution Running State intelligent evaluation model proposed by the present invention has stronger practicability, is typical case of the deep learning in terms of distribution Running State assessment, can overhaul for power distribution network O&M and technological transformation project project verification provides foundation.

Description

A kind of distribution Running State intelligent evaluation method
Technical field
The present invention relates to a kind of distribution Running State intelligent evaluation methods, belong to operation of power networks status assessment technical field.
Background technique
Accurate evaluation distribution Running State plays a significant role realization power distribution network safe operation.Power distribution network running environment The defects of complexity, automatization level is lower, ageing equipment, loosening can cause distribution Running State to change, correspondingly Distribution power flow redistribution, can effectively reflect distribution Running State by each node state amount situation of change.
For the problem that distribution network parameters missing and topology are complicated, a kind of distribution Running State of data-driven is proposed Intelligent evaluation method is extended distribution network voltage sensitivity matrix, considers continuous historical metrology data of more periods, establishes Suitable for the Recognition with Recurrent Neural Network temporal model of distribution Running State assessment, by prediction state of electric distribution network amount and virtual condition amount It is compared, and then achievees the purpose that assess distribution Running State.The accuracy and validity of method in Example Verification text.
Summary of the invention
The object of the present invention is to for the prior art to problem existing for assessment distribution Running State, in order to solve to match Operation of power networks status assessment problem, the present invention propose a kind of distribution Running State intelligent evaluation method of data-driven.
The technical solution that the present invention realizes is as follows: a kind of distribution Running State intelligent evaluation method, and the method obtains The electrical time series data of distribution transforming node establishes the distribution Running State intelligent evaluation model based on Recognition with Recurrent Neural Network, and will be pre- It surveys each node operating status amount to be compared with actual motion quantity of state, distribution network line is reflected by difference variable quantity in real time The operating status of each section, the validity that verifying model is assessed under each node time series data situation of change.
A kind of distribution Running State intelligent evaluation method, steps are as follows:
(1) each node operation data of power distribution network, including active and reactive, voltage, electric current are acquired;
(2) otherness of prediction result when analyzing different Recognition with Recurrent Neural Network model trainings;
(3) according to model training as a result, choosing suitable Recognition with Recurrent Neural Network model as state estimator;
(4) predicted value is compared with practical each node voltage variable quantity, difference variable quantity is less than specific threshold, generally Specific threshold takes 0.1Kv, then it is assumed that distribution Running State is normal;If more than specific threshold, then it is assumed that distribution Running State It is abnormal.
The Recognition with Recurrent Neural Network model, can input to each moment and to combine the state of "current" model to provide corresponding defeated Out, by reading the input x at t-1 moment, and a h is exported, the state of "current" model can be transmitted to next from the current t-1 moment Moment t;Therefore, for one group of time series data, the data of different moments are successively passed to the input layer of circulation nerve, output in sequence It can be the prediction to sequence subsequent time, be also possible to the processing result to current time information.
It is assumed that t moment list entries is xt, model state ht-1, output sequence ot, respective formula is as follows:
at=Uxt+Wht-1+ b,
ht=e (at);
ot=Vht+c;
yt=g (ot)
Wherein, b and c is bias vector;U, V, W be respectively be input to it is hiding, be hidden into output and be hidden into hiding company Matrix is connect, error function can be mean square deviation or intersect entropy function;atResult is exported for t moment input layer to hidden layer;htFor t Moment model state exports result;OtResult is exported for t moment hidden layer to output layer;ytFor t moment final output.
The model training parameter is as follows: learning rate 0.001, the number of iterations 1000, and list entries window is 5, often A moment input quantity ties up active and idle data for 66, exports and ties up voltage varieties for 33, and the first the number of hidden nodes is 66, the Two, three layers are LSTM layers, number of nodes 66, the 4th layer of the number of hidden nodes 33, and cost function selects mean square error function.
The invention has the advantages that the problem that the present invention is lacked for distribution network parameters and topology is complicated, proposes one kind The distribution Running State intelligent evaluation method of data-driven.The present invention considers power distribution network time series data feature, by circulation nerve Network application is in distribution Running State intelligent evaluation, and compared with conventional neural networks, Recognition with Recurrent Neural Network can be accurate Reflect prediction distribution Running State.Distribution Running State intelligent evaluation model proposed by the present invention has stronger practical Property, it is typical case of the deep learning in terms of distribution Running State assessment, can is the maintenance of power distribution network O&M and technological transformation item Mesh project verification provides foundation.
Detailed description of the invention
Fig. 1 is distribution Running State intelligent evaluation model flow figure;
Fig. 2 is 33 node connection figure of power distribution network IEEE;
Fig. 3 is Recognition with Recurrent Neural Network structure chart;
Fig. 4 is 31 node voltage variable quantity difference under normal circumstances;
Fig. 5 is 31 node voltage variable quantity differences under abnormal conditions.
Specific embodiment
A specific embodiment of the invention is as shown in Figure 1.
The present invention is embodied as follows so that certain saves power distribution network operation as an example:
(1) data are acquired
Example is IEEE33 node system, and the voltage rating of bus is 12.66kV, there is 33 nodes, 37 branches, wiring Figure as shown in Fig. 2, 33 nodes are active and reactive, voltage data is derived from 33 distribution transforming node operation datas of Jiangxi company line, 30min is divided between data sampling, 7000 normal condition data are used for model training, and 180 normal condition data are used to verify, For predicting, input data is that each node is active and reactive for 820 normal condition data and 820 abnormality data, exports number According to for each node voltage states variable quantity.
(2) Recognition with Recurrent Neural Network model foundation
Traditional neural network can not be using the time serial message in power distribution network monitoring data, in processing dynamic time sequence data When, often due to a lack of dynamic behavior abundant and expression effect is not good enough, and in Recognition with Recurrent Neural Network mining data timing letter Breath is fully utilized, in different time points shared parameter, does not need to distribute a list to each feature as full connection feedforward network Only parameter, enables model to expand to various forms of samples, and Recognition with Recurrent Neural Network model is as shown in Figure 3.
Recognition with Recurrent Neural Network input to each moment and can combine the state of "current" model to provide corresponding output, pass through reading The input x at t-1 moment is taken, and exports a h, the state of "current" model can be transmitted to subsequent time t from the current t-1 moment.Cause This, for one group of time series data, the data of different moments are successively passed to the input layer of circulation nerve in sequence, and output can be pair The prediction of sequence subsequent time is also possible to the processing result to current time information.It is assumed that t moment list entries is xt, mould Type state is ht-1, output sequence ot, respective formula is as follows:
at=Uxt+Wht-1+b (1)
ht=e (at) (2)
ot=Vht+c (3)
yt=g (ot) (4)
Wherein: b and c is bias vector, U, V, W be respectively be input to it is hiding, be hidden into output and be hidden into hiding company Matrix is connect, error function can be mean square deviation or intersect entropy function;atResult is exported for t moment input layer to hidden layer;htFor t Moment model state exports result;OtResult is exported for t moment hidden layer to output layer;ytFor t moment final output.
(3) model training
Distribution transformer is active and reactive, voltage data is derived from 33 distribution transforming node operation datas of Jiangxi company line, number It is 30min according to the sampling interval, 7000 normal condition data are used for model training, and 180 normal condition data are used to verify, For predicting, input data is that each node is active and reactive for 820 normal condition data and 820 abnormality data, exports number According to for each node voltage states variable quantity.
LSTM Recognition with Recurrent Neural Network training parameter is as follows, learning rate 0.001, the number of iterations 1000, list entries window Mouth is 5, and each moment input quantity ties up active and idle data for 66, is exported as 33 dimension voltage varieties, the first the number of hidden nodes It is 66, second and third layer is LSTM layers, number of nodes 66, the 4th layer of the number of hidden nodes 33, and cost function selects mean square error letter Number.
(4) status assessment
By taking 30 nodes to 31 node line sections as an example, when operating status is normal, as shown in figure 4, with 820 time series datas Prediction comparison result can be seen that 30 nodes, voltage prediction assessed value and reality steady to 31 node sectionalized line operating statuses Voltage variety difference is maintained at a constant 0 and nearby fluctuates, and fluctuating range is no more than 0.05kV, is consistent with actual conditions.
When 30 nodes to 31 node line operation by sections abnormal state, as shown in figure 5, voltage prediction assessed value and practical electricity Pressure variable quantity difference curve fluctuates widely, and fluctuating range is more than 0.1kV, illustrates that track section operating status is abnormal, with Practical track section impedance increase etc. is related, needs especially to pay close attention to.

Claims (5)

1. a kind of distribution Running State intelligent evaluation method, which is characterized in that the method obtains the electrical timing of distribution transforming node Data establish the distribution Running State intelligent evaluation model based on Recognition with Recurrent Neural Network, and will predict each node operating status Amount is compared with actual motion quantity of state, reflects the operation shape of each section of distribution network line in real time by difference variable quantity State, the validity that verifying model is assessed under each node time series data situation of change.
2. a kind of distribution Running State intelligent evaluation method according to claim 1, which is characterized in that the method step It is rapid as follows:
(1) each node operation data of power distribution network, including active and reactive, voltage, electric current are acquired;
(2) otherness of prediction result when analyzing different Recognition with Recurrent Neural Network model trainings;
(3) according to model training as a result, choosing suitable Recognition with Recurrent Neural Network model as state estimator;
(4) predicted value is compared with practical each node voltage variable quantity, difference variable quantity is less than specific threshold, general specific Threshold values takes 0.1Kv, then it is assumed that distribution Running State is normal;If more than specific threshold, then it is assumed that distribution Running State is abnormal.
3. a kind of distribution Running State intelligent evaluation method according to claim 1, which is characterized in that the circulation mind Through network model, input to each moment and the state of "current" model can be combined to provide corresponding output, pass through and read the t-1 moment Input x, and export a h, the state of "current" model can be transmitted to subsequent time t from the current t-1 moment;Therefore, for one Group time series data, the data of different moments are successively passed to the input layer of circulation nerve in sequence, and output can be under sequence one The prediction at moment is also possible to the processing result to current time information;
It is assumed that t moment list entries is xt, model state ht-1, output sequence ot, respective formula is as follows:
at=Uxt+Wht-1+ b,
ht=e (at);
ot=Vht+c;
yt=g (ot)
Wherein, b and c is bias vector;U, V, W be respectively be input to it is hiding, be hidden into output and be hidden into hiding connection square Battle array, error function can be mean square deviation or intersect entropy function;atResult is exported for t moment input layer to hidden layer;htFor t moment Model state exports result;otResult is exported for t moment hidden layer to output layer;ytFor t moment final output.
4. a kind of distribution Running State intelligent evaluation method according to claim 2, which is characterized in that the model instruction It is as follows to practice parameter: learning rate 0.001, the number of iterations 1000, list entries window are 5, and each moment input quantity is 66 dimensions Active and idle data export and tie up voltage varieties for 33, and the first the number of hidden nodes is 66, second and third layer is LSTM layers, node Number is 66, and the 4th layer of the number of hidden nodes 33, cost function selects mean square error function.
5. a kind of distribution Running State intelligent evaluation method according to claim 2, which is characterized in that the operation shape State assessment is as follows:
Voltage prediction assessed value and virtual voltage variable quantity difference are maintained at a constant 0 and nearby fluctuate, and fluctuating range is no more than 0.05kV is consistent with actual conditions;
Voltage prediction assessed value fluctuates widely with virtual voltage variable quantity difference curve, and fluctuating range is more than 0.1kV, says Open-wire line road operation by sections abnormal state, it is related with practical track section impedance increase etc., it needs especially to pay close attention to.
CN201811167551.1A 2018-10-08 2018-10-08 A kind of distribution Running State intelligent evaluation method Pending CN109492866A (en)

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CN110457770A (en) * 2019-07-18 2019-11-15 中国电力科学研究院有限公司 A kind of distribution transformer heavy-overload judgment method towards time scale
CN110501585A (en) * 2019-07-12 2019-11-26 武汉大学 A kind of Diagnosis Method of Transformer Faults based on Bi-LSTM and dissolved gas analysis
CN112001295A (en) * 2020-08-19 2020-11-27 北京航天飞行控制中心 Performance evaluation method and device for high-speed rotor shafting, storage medium and processor
CN112819373A (en) * 2021-02-25 2021-05-18 云南电网有限责任公司电力科学研究院 Distribution network voltage abnormal data detection method and device
CN113393102A (en) * 2021-06-02 2021-09-14 重庆大学 Distribution transformer operation state trend prediction method based on data driving
CN113762716A (en) * 2021-07-30 2021-12-07 国网山东省电力公司营销服务中心(计量中心) Method and system for evaluating running state of transformer area based on deep learning and attention

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CN110333697A (en) * 2019-03-20 2019-10-15 广西壮族自治区机械工业研究院 A kind of internet of things data acquisition analysis system applied to high-pressure wash machine people
CN110501585A (en) * 2019-07-12 2019-11-26 武汉大学 A kind of Diagnosis Method of Transformer Faults based on Bi-LSTM and dissolved gas analysis
CN110457770A (en) * 2019-07-18 2019-11-15 中国电力科学研究院有限公司 A kind of distribution transformer heavy-overload judgment method towards time scale
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CN112001295A (en) * 2020-08-19 2020-11-27 北京航天飞行控制中心 Performance evaluation method and device for high-speed rotor shafting, storage medium and processor
CN112001295B (en) * 2020-08-19 2023-12-08 北京航天飞行控制中心 Performance evaluation method and device of high-speed rotor shaft system, storage medium and processor
CN112819373A (en) * 2021-02-25 2021-05-18 云南电网有限责任公司电力科学研究院 Distribution network voltage abnormal data detection method and device
CN113393102A (en) * 2021-06-02 2021-09-14 重庆大学 Distribution transformer operation state trend prediction method based on data driving
CN113393102B (en) * 2021-06-02 2022-08-12 重庆大学 Distribution transformer operation state trend prediction method based on data driving
CN113762716A (en) * 2021-07-30 2021-12-07 国网山东省电力公司营销服务中心(计量中心) Method and system for evaluating running state of transformer area based on deep learning and attention

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Application publication date: 20190319