CN108108923A - Based on multi-level power transmission engineering method of post project evaluation - Google Patents

Based on multi-level power transmission engineering method of post project evaluation Download PDF

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CN108108923A
CN108108923A CN201810109096.3A CN201810109096A CN108108923A CN 108108923 A CN108108923 A CN 108108923A CN 201810109096 A CN201810109096 A CN 201810109096A CN 108108923 A CN108108923 A CN 108108923A
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evaluation
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李翠萍
胡达珵
王靖
邢金
叶辛
李军徽
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State Grid Jibei Electric Power Co Ltd
Northeast Electric Power University
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Northeast Dianli University
State Grid Jibei Electric Power Co Ltd
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Abstract

The invention discloses belong to a kind of based on multi-level power transmission engineering method of post project evaluation of wind-powered electricity generation conveying technology field, its main feature is that, it includes defining evaluation points fuzzy set U, establishes Comment gathers V, determines weight sets W, obtaining comprehensive evaluation result B, it can be from key point that is multi-level, multi-faceted, depicting power transmission engineering project performance and benefit with multi-angle, and accurate evaluation is objectively given, for improving, Electricity Investment person improves decision-making and management level is of great significance to.It is reasonable with methodological science, the advantages that strong applicability, accuracy rate is high, and effect is good.

Description

Based on multi-level power transmission engineering method of post project evaluation
Technical field
It is particularly a kind of based on multi-level power transmission engineering post project evaluation side the present invention relates to wind-powered electricity generation conveying technology field Method.
Background technology
With the development of China's science and technology, economic revival and the improvement of people's living standards, using electrical equipment quantity not Breaking is increasing, and power consumption is caused to increase considerably.In order to avoid a large amount of wastes of China's electric power resources in the West and solution east Electric power resource it is serious in short supply, country implements macro adjustments and controls to electric power, and it is big to have carried out transferring electricity from the west to the east, the national network of north and south supply mutually Type power transmission engineering, this will increase the dynamics of investment of power grid architecture construction.The productive power of every profession and trade and the electricity consumption of resident living are born Lotus just increases in Fast Persistence so that existing transmission line structure weak link gradually displays, and transforms or creates and is defeated Electric channel is very urgent.Due to the large scale investment of power transmission engineering project, the extensive of wind-powered electricity generation conveying engineering will necessarily be caused to build If.In order to ensure the promotion of project investment benefit and fully understand the difference of project reality and expected situation, work of transmitting electricity Journey project is badly in need of carry out science and effective Post-assessment Method.
Power transmission engineering post project evaluation usually evaluates project implementation process after projects terminate, Retrospective review is carried out to ambient enviroment and other other influences to the project, so that it is determined that Project Technical, economy, environment and Social indicator finds out difference with index of correlation during project decision, and analyzes reason, summarizes relevant experiences and lessons, and proposes one A little countermeasures and suggestion.
In the prior art, power transmission engineering project is often evaluated using subjective estimate method or objective evaluation, but not By being subjective estimate method or objective evaluation, evaluation accuracy rate is relatively low, it is impossible to science and really reflect power transmission engineering The actual conditions of project, there is electric power resource waste is big, conveying electricity is of high cost, and the deficiencies of be unfavorable for electric power macro adjustments and controls.
The content of the invention
The object of the present invention is to overcome the deficiencies of the prior art and provide a kind of scientific and reasonable, strong applicability, accuracy rate is high, Effect is good based on multi-level power transmission engineering method of post project evaluation.
The purpose of the present invention is what is realized by following technical scheme:It is a kind of based on being commented after multi-level power transmission engineering project Valency method, it is characterized in that, it comprises the following steps:.
1) evaluation points fuzzy set U is defined:
U={ u1,u2,...,un} (1)
In formula, u evaluation points collection, u1,u2,…,unFor from 1 to n evaluation points;
2) Comment gathers V is established:
V={ v1,v2,...,vn} (2)
In formula, v be comment factor set, v1,v2,…,vnFor from 1 to n comment factor, then fuzzy matrix R is evaluation square Battle array, such as formula (3),
In formula, Ri=(ri1,ri2,…,rim), (i=1,2 ..., n), RiIt represents compared with factor of evaluation uiFactor i Unidirectional fuzzy evaluation value, rijFor uiA factor of evaluation is under the jurisdiction of comment vjDegree of membership;
3) weight sets W is determined:
W represents weight set as the fuzzy subset on factor U, primarily to reflect each factor of evaluation significance level or Person is grade, and then represents influence degree of each factor to total effect,
∑Wi=1 (4)
In formula, WiFor factor of evaluation uiWeights;
4) comprehensive evaluation result B is obtained:
The weight vectors W of factor of evaluation with fuzzy evaluating matrix R is multiplied, overall merit knot is obtained after carrying out fuzzy operation The matrix B of fruit,
The present invention's is a kind of based on multi-level power transmission engineering method of post project evaluation, first using multi-level evaluation index System carrys out assessment item content, wherein " multi-level " include project overall evaluation index system and menu link evaluation index body System;Then, employ multilayer fuzzy comprehensive appraisal to evaluate project, form the evaluation criterion of standardization;From multilayer Key point that is secondary, multi-faceted, depicting power transmission engineering project performance and benefit with multi-angle, and objectively give more accurately Evaluation, improve decision-making and management level for improving Electricity Investment person and be of great significance to.It is closed with methodological science The advantages that reason, strong applicability, accuracy rate is high, and effect is good.
Description of the drawings
Fig. 1 is based on multi-level power transmission engineering post project evaluation index system general levels structure diagram;
Fig. 2 is based on multi-level power transmission engineering method of post project evaluation flow chart;
Specific embodiment
Below with drawings and examples to a kind of based on multi-level power transmission engineering method of post project evaluation of the present invention It is described further.
It is as shown in Figure 1 based on multi-level power transmission engineering post project evaluation index system general levels structure;Based on multilayer Secondary power transmission engineering method of post project evaluation flow is as shown in Figure 2.
Now assessment indicator system is described in detail by taking certain power transmission engineering project as an example.One kind of the present invention is based on multilayer Secondary power transmission engineering method of post project evaluation, including herein below:
.1 evaluation points fuzzy set U) is defined:
U={ u1,u2,...,un} (1)
In formula, u evaluation points collection, u1,u2,…,unFor from 1 to n evaluation points;
It is counted by the degree of membership of expert's index comment, generally determines evaluation by setting five ranks on Comment gathers Standard membership grade sets U:u1=1, u2=0.8, u3=0.6, u4=0.4, u5=0,1 to 5 evaluation points
U={ 1,0.8,0.6,0.4,0 } (1)
In formula, u1、u2、u3、u4、u5To represent to feel quite pleased respectively from 1 to 5 evaluation points, being satisfied with, it is relatively satisfactory, general, no It is satisfied.
Meanwhile Comment gathers V can be obtained by statistics:
V={ v1,v2,v3,v4,v5} (2)
In formula, v1、v2、v3、v4、v5For from 1 to 5 evaluation points;Respectively represent feel quite pleased, be satisfied with, is relatively satisfactory, is general, It is dissatisfied.
Selection has authoritative expert and carries out questionnaire, with reference to Delphi methods and combines comment standard, has expert to each Factor index is evaluated, and based on the investigation questionnaire that expert fills in, each single factor test index degree of membership is carried out using equation below It calculates.
In formula, rijFor factor ui, i.e. vjSubjection degree, mijFor single factor test ui, i.e. vjEffective test paper number, n is effectively total Test paper number.
It is obtained according to formula (3) in indicator layer, the degree of membership of all single indexs, and drawing of the integration project to local economy Exemplified by dynamic, listed items are constructed and implemented, financial benefit, operation of power networks are influenced and to being commented after four aspects of Effects of Regional Economy Valency.
Fuzzy statistics analysis is increased based on regional economy, it is assumed that n target of investication and study, wherein n1A Object Selection is " very full Meaning ", n2A Object Selection " satisfaction ", n3A Object Selection " relatively satisfactory ", n4A Object Selection " general ", n5A object It has selected " to be unsatisfied with ", the degree of membership of 5 evaluation approach of Comment gathers V is followed successively by n1/n、n2/n、n3/n、n4/n、n5/n。
Certain power transmission engineering synthetic evaluation of projects index comment investigation result is as shown in table 1, and the reference of specific data is as follows:
1 expert's comment index degree of membership statistical form of table
Feel quite pleased It is satisfied It is relatively satisfactory Generally It is dissatisfied
Process of Engineering Construction 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0
Engineering impact on environment 0 0.4 0.6 0 0
The internal rate of return (IRR) 0 0.5 0.3 0.2 0
Financial net present value 0 0.5 0.3 0.2 0
Profit-investment ratio 0.1 0.5 0.4 0 0
Investment payback time 0 0.5 0.4 0.1 0
Electric network security 0.2 0.7 0.1 0 0
Power supply capacity 0.1 0.6 0.3 0 0
Quality of voltage 0.2 0.5 0.3 0 0
Power supply reliability 0.2 0.4 0.4 0 0
Line loss per unit 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0
It boosts economic growth 0.2 0.5 0.3 0 0
Promote structural adjustment 0.1 0.5 0.4 0 0
It optimizes allocation of resources 0.1 0.4 0.5 0 0
It improves the investment climate 0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0
Then the fuzzy evaluating matrix of These parameters is:
Respectively data craft to each factor of rule layer with and the opposite criterion value of indicator layer importance investigation, it is definite respectively The weight of index.Using the weight vectors factor of eigenvalue method calculation criterion layer, then parameter layer is for the power of rule layer Weight vector, then with indicator layer weight vectors and corresponding rule layer multiplied by weight, so as to obtain indicator layer to the comprehensive of destination layer Close weight W.
The corresponding weighted value of ten five indices is as shown in table 2:
2 index comprehensive weight table of table
Index Weight
Process of Engineering Construction 0.04653
Engineering impact on environment 0.04248
The internal rate of return (IRR) 0.07435
Financial net present value 0.07436
Profit-investment ratio 0.02469
Investment payback time 0.05243
Electric network security 0.11335
Power supply capacity 0.08721
Quality of voltage 0.05006
Power supply reliability 0.09114
Line loss per unit 0.06757
It boosts economic growth 0.10511
Promote structural adjustment 0.08024
It optimizes allocation of resources 0.05376
It improves the investment climate 0.03671
Finally, the weight vectors of evaluation index and fuzzy evaluating matrix are subjected to fuzzy operation, so as to calculate the transmission of electricity work Journey item purpose comprehensive evaluation result, computational methods are:
B=WR=(0.1081 0.5231 0.3512 0.3296 0) (5)
Calculated with the computational methods obtain the comprehensive evaluation result of the project for (0.1081,0.5231,0.3512,0.3296, 0), it can be seen that:Expert thinks that project comprehensive benefit " feeling quite pleased " only accounts for 10.81%, and " satisfaction " is 52.31%, and And its comprehensive benefit of wherein 35.12% expert opinion is " relatively satisfactory ", and thinking the expert of project comprehensive benefit " general " has 32.96%.Meanwhile do not occur unsatisfied evaluation during overall assessment.
In conclusion present invention pass that is multi-level, multi-faceted, depicting power transmission engineering project performance and benefit with multi-angle Where key, and objectively give accurate evaluation.

Claims (1)

1. it is a kind of based on multi-level power transmission engineering method of post project evaluation, it is characterized in that, it comprises the following steps:
1) evaluation points fuzzy set U is defined:
U={ u1,u2,...,un} (1)
In formula, u evaluation points collection, u1,u2,…,unFor from 1 to n evaluation points;
2) Comment gathers V is established:
V={ v1,v2,...,vn} (2)
In formula, v be comment factor set, v1,v2,…,v nFor from 1 to n comment factor, then fuzzy matrix R is evaluations matrix, such as Formula (3),
<mrow> <mi>R</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mfenced open = "[" close = "]"> <mtable> <mtr> <mtd> <msub> <mi>R</mi> <mn>1</mn> </msub> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <msub> <mi>R</mi> <mn>2</mn> </msub> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <mo>...</mo> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <msub> <mi>R</mi> <mi>n</mi> </msub> </mtd> </mtr> </mtable> </mfenced> <mo>=</mo> <mfenced open = "[" close = "]"> <mtable> <mtr> <mtd> <msub> <mi>r</mi> <mn>11</mn> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>r</mi> <mn>12</mn> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <mo>...</mo> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>r</mi> <mrow> <mn>1</mn> <mi>m</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <msub> <mi>r</mi> <mn>21</mn> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>r</mi> <mn>22</mn> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <mo>...</mo> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>r</mi> <mrow> <mn>2</mn> <mi>m</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <mo>...</mo> </mtd> <mtd> <mo>...</mo> </mtd> <mtd> <mo>...</mo> </mtd> <mtd> <mo>...</mo> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <msub> <mi>r</mi> <mrow> <mi>n</mi> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>r</mi> <mrow> <mi>n</mi> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <mo>...</mo> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>r</mi> <mrow> <mi>n</mi> <mi>m</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mtd> </mtr> </mtable> </mfenced> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>3</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>
In formula, Ri=(ri1,ri2,…,rim), (i=1,2 ..., n), RiIt represents compared with factor of evaluation uiFactor i it is unidirectional Fuzzy evaluation value, rijFor uiA factor of evaluation is under the jurisdiction of comment vjDegree of membership;
3) weight sets W is determined:
W represents weight set as the fuzzy subset on factor U, primarily to reflecting the significance level of each factor of evaluation either Grade, and then influence degree of each factor to total effect is represented,
∑Wi=1 (4)
In formula, WiFor factor of evaluation uiWeights;
4) comprehensive evaluation result B is obtained:
The weight vectors W of factor of evaluation with fuzzy evaluating matrix R is multiplied, comprehensive evaluation result is obtained after carrying out fuzzy operation Matrix B,
<mrow> <mi>B</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mfenced open = "(" close = ")"> <mtable> <mtr> <mtd> <msub> <mi>b</mi> <mn>1</mn> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>b</mi> <mn>2</mn> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <mo>...</mo> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>b</mi> <mi>n</mi> </msub> </mtd> </mtr> </mtable> </mfenced> <mo>=</mo> <mi>W</mi> <mo>&amp;CenterDot;</mo> <mi>R</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mo>&amp;lsqb;</mo> <mtable> <mtr> <mtd> <msub> <mi>w</mi> <mn>1</mn> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>w</mi> <mn>2</mn> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <mo>...</mo> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>w</mi> <mi>n</mi> </msub> </mtd> </mtr> </mtable> <mo>&amp;rsqb;</mo> <mfenced open = "[" close = "]"> <mtable> <mtr> <mtd> <msub> <mi>r</mi> <mn>11</mn> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>r</mi> <mn>12</mn> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <mo>...</mo> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>r</mi> <mrow> <mn>1</mn> <mi>m</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <msub> <mi>r</mi> <mn>21</mn> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>r</mi> <mn>22</mn> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <mo>...</mo> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>r</mi> <mrow> <mn>2</mn> <mi>m</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <mo>...</mo> </mtd> <mtd> <mo>...</mo> </mtd> <mtd> <mo>...</mo> </mtd> <mtd> <mo>...</mo> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <msub> <mi>r</mi> <mrow> <mi>n</mi> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>r</mi> <mrow> <mi>n</mi> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <mo>...</mo> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>r</mi> <mrow> <mi>n</mi> <mi>m</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mtd> </mtr> </mtable> </mfenced> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>5</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>.</mo> </mrow>
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