CN107944744A - Technological transformation project income evaluation method and device - Google Patents

Technological transformation project income evaluation method and device Download PDF

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CN107944744A
CN107944744A CN201711292086.XA CN201711292086A CN107944744A CN 107944744 A CN107944744 A CN 107944744A CN 201711292086 A CN201711292086 A CN 201711292086A CN 107944744 A CN107944744 A CN 107944744A
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project
income
evaluated
situation
profit
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郭明星
刘海峡
金生祥
储炳南
李前宇
翟艳萍
周向涛
张秉权
王清
刘炜
何奇善
陈振华
李俊
师淳
苏永健
徐义巍
任治民
白德龙
安振源
董罡
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Beijing Inbasis Technology Co Ltd
INNER MONGOLIA DAIHAI ELECTRIC POWER GENERATION Co Ltd
Ningxia Jing Nengningdong Power Generation Corp Ltd
Beijing Energy Refco Group Ltd
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Beijing Inbasis Technology Co Ltd
INNER MONGOLIA DAIHAI ELECTRIC POWER GENERATION Co Ltd
Ningxia Jing Nengningdong Power Generation Corp Ltd
Beijing Energy Refco Group Ltd
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    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
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    • G06Q10/06Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
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Abstract

The present invention provides a kind of technological transformation project income evaluation method and device, the evaluation method includes:Income item involved by after obtaining the project reconstruction to be evaluated according to the project category of project to be evaluated;The situation of Profit of the income item is calculated respectively, and the avail data after obtaining the project reconstruction to be evaluated is calculated according to the situation of Profit;First earnings pattern is established according to the avail data of predetermined period before transformation, the second earnings pattern is established according to the avail data of predetermined period after transformation;The difference between first earnings pattern and second earnings pattern is calculated using newton Leibnitz's formula, obtains the real-time vehicle benefits situation after the project reconstruction to be evaluated;By the vehicle benefits situation in real time compared with predetermined threshold, the income evaluation result of the project to be evaluated is obtained.

Description

Technological transformation project income evaluation method and device
Technical field
The present invention relates to Transformation of Unit field, espespecially a kind of technological transformation project income evaluation method and device.
Background technology
It is to be different from a kind of enterprise investment behavior of grassroot project that project is specialized in technological transformation, and it is in original item that project is specialized in technological transformation On the basis of purpose, the behavior that makes improvements, in particular to enterprise is current and existent technique, work such as employ new technology On the premise of skill level, by introducing the new of other enterprises, research institution, R&D institution, manufacturing enterprise's production, invention and manufacture The equipment and facility that technology, new process, new equipment are original to enterprise, function is gradually degenerated are fixed assets reconstruction and expand Build, help enterprise to improve product quality, further meet the needs of customer, furthermore it is also possible to promote model change frequency, Variation and diversification requirement of the customer with the raising of the level of consumption and to product are complied with, meanwhile, to ecological environment etc. Also favorable influence is produced, on the one hand can save the energy, for the place of existing resource unreasonable distribution, to existing resource And energy resource structure.On the other hand, energy-saving and emission-reduction are may advantageously facilitate, operation and the production cost of enterprise's production product is reduced, promotes The large-scale production of enterprise, realizes large-scale production, to improve and increase enterprise and the economic benefit of society comprehensively as final purpose Enterprise Project investment activity.
Zhou Binwen exists《Project Economy Benefit analysis is specialized in the technological transformation of BGNT companies》In one text analysis discuss analyze it is high-strength Spend oil-temper bearing spring steel wire product Risk characteristics, quantitative analysis has been carried out to its risk, finally to project there may be Risk qualitatively described, and corresponding safeguard procedures are proposed on its basis.Pass through the break even of project Analysis and sensitivity analysis have studied the risk situation of project, and the risk of the results show project is smaller.This article is mainly for project To carry out risk to carry out qualitative and quantitative analysis, lay particular emphasis on the sensitivity analysis of risk, the more quantitative option of qualitative event is less, On-line evaluation ability is not had.
Yin Zhijun exists《Method of Projection Risk is measured to be studied with simulation and income Optimized model》One text is to engineering project Investment risk identification, risk factors measurement, capital project risk simulation, investment project informatization, t distribution risk income moulds Type is studied.This paper the main contents include:1. a pair engineering project O.R factor is recognized and evaluated;2. use Net present value (NPV) evaluates Construction Project Risk;Economic risk, duration risk and financial risk are measured, for preferably Demonstration, which invests feasibility and controls risk, provides foundation;3. pass through the simulation of the scheme economic indicator to investment project, simulation Go out the future condition of each scheme economic indicator, be compared, it may be determined that the satisfactory solution of project;4. pair engineering project information pipe The content and principle of reason are illustrated, and reduce to be not good at causing damages because of information management providing thinking for investor;5. propose T distribution Risk of Investment Projection earnings patterns, perfect project risk income theoretical model system.This article is mainly for using just The method of state distribution prejudges project risk income, and this article emphasis is directed to application for developing early period that project is carried out.
Exemplified by above, it is mostly the evaluation to project cost and financial cost in the prior art, has no and item is specialized in technological transformation Purpose carries out online, evaluated off-line from production angle, production process link, it is partial to finance in itself mainly for project management Class is managed, does not consider that adjusting conversion result in simply production process in real time is only the project really root of benefit and evaluation of economic benefit The promptness and reliability of this place, existing evaluation of economic benefit technology and device are poor.
The content of the invention
Present invention aims at providing a kind of technological transformation for lifting performance management to specialize in project evaluation method and apparatus, use Rationally assessed with economic well-being of workers and staff in the Real Time Economic income and evaluation cycle that are produced to project, to influence income it is every because Element carries out quantitative analysis, according to the actual boundary condition for scientifically determining model of project and the major influence factors being considered as, adopts Take and be not fixed the cycle and adjust evaluation in real time, really realize and the verification of project economic earnings target performance and supervision are specialized in technological transformation Management.
In order to achieve the above object, the present invention specifically provides a kind of technological transformation project income evaluation method, the evaluation method includes: Income item involved by after obtaining the project reconstruction to be evaluated according to the project category of project to be evaluated;The receipts are calculated respectively The situation of Profit of beneficial item, the avail data after obtaining the project reconstruction to be evaluated is calculated according to the situation of Profit;According to changing The avail data of predetermined period establishes the first earnings pattern before making, and the second receipts are established according to the avail data of predetermined period after transformation Beneficial model;The difference between first earnings pattern and second earnings pattern is calculated using Newton-Leibniz Formula, Obtain the real-time vehicle benefits situation after the project reconstruction to be evaluated;By the vehicle benefits situation in real time compared with predetermined threshold, obtain The income evaluation result of the project to be evaluated.
In above-mentioned technological transformation project income evaluation method, it is preferred that the project category includes:The special inspection of significant turnaround Repair, the explosion-proof special project of boiler wear resistant is overhauled, Thermal Equipment special project is overhauled, relay protection devices special project is overhauled, ash conveying pipe special project, wind powder pipe Road is special, equipment anticorrosion is special, equipment abrasionproof is special and production building administers special project.
In above-mentioned technological transformation project income evaluation method, it is preferred that the situation of Profit for calculating the income item respectively Comprising:Corresponding income calculation model is obtained in database according to the classification of the income item, according to the income calculation mould Types of variables in type obtains corresponding operation data in the project to be evaluated;According to the operation data and the income Computation model, obtains the situation of Profit of the income item.
In above-mentioned technological transformation project income evaluation method, it is preferred that it is described to be evaluated to calculate acquisition according to the situation of Profit Avail data after valency project reconstruction includes:The income feelings of the project to be evaluated are obtained according to the situation of Profit of the income item Condition;Obtain the improvement cost of the project to be evaluated;According to the situation of Profit of the project to be evaluated and the project to be evaluated Improvement cost, obtain the avail data after the project reconstruction to be evaluated.
In above-mentioned technological transformation project income evaluation method, it is preferred that the evaluation method also includes:When the item to be evaluated When mesh includes multiple project categories, weighted value is assigned to projects classification by analytic hierarchy process (AHP);By the real-time of projects classification Vehicle benefits situation obtains the evaluation of estimate of projects classification compared with predetermined threshold;According to the evaluation of estimate of projects classification and corresponding Weighted value, obtains the evaluation result of the project to be evaluated.
The present invention also provides a kind of technological transformation project income evaluating apparatus, described device includes pretreatment module, data input Module, data computation module and data outputting module;The pretreatment module is used to be obtained according to the project category of project to be evaluated Income item involved after the project reconstruction to be evaluated;The data input module is used to calculate the income item respectively Situation of Profit, the avail data after obtaining the project reconstruction to be evaluated is calculated according to the situation of Profit;The data calculate Module is used to establish the first earnings pattern according to the avail data of predetermined period before transformation, according to the income of predetermined period after transformation Data establish the second earnings pattern;And calculate first earnings pattern and described second using Newton-Leibniz Formula Difference between earnings pattern, obtains the real-time vehicle benefits situation after the project reconstruction to be evaluated;The data outputting module is used In by the vehicle benefits situation in real time with predetermined threshold compared with, the income evaluation result of the acquisition project to be evaluated.
In above-mentioned technological transformation project income evaluating apparatus, it is preferred that the data input module also includes:According to the receipts The classification of beneficial item obtains corresponding income calculation model in database, the types of variables in the income calculation model in Corresponding operation data are obtained in the project to be evaluated;According to the operation data and the income calculation model, institute is obtained State the situation of Profit of income item.
In above-mentioned technological transformation project income evaluating apparatus, it is preferred that the data input module also includes:According to the receipts The situation of Profit of beneficial item obtains the situation of Profit of the project to be evaluated;Obtain the improvement cost of the project to be evaluated;According to The improvement cost of the situation of Profit of the project to be evaluated and the project to be evaluated, after obtaining the project reconstruction to be evaluated Avail data.
In above-mentioned technological transformation project income evaluating apparatus, it is preferred that described device also includes assignment module, the assignment mould Block is used for when the project to be evaluated includes multiple project categories, and weight is assigned to projects classification by analytic hierarchy process (AHP) Value;By the real-time vehicle benefits situation of projects classification compared with predetermined threshold, the evaluation of estimate of projects classification is obtained;According to projects The evaluation of estimate of classification and corresponding weighted value, obtain the evaluation result of the project to be evaluated.
The advantageous effects of the present invention are:By the real time data information of extract real-time transformation project, according to technological transformation Specialize in project construction target and establish and adapt to income evaluation model therewith, using " being based on indefinite time integral Comprehensive Fuzzy Evaluation side Method " carries out quantitative analysis to every factor of influence income, according to the actual boundary condition for scientifically determining model of project and answers The major influence factors of consideration, take being not fixed the cycle and adjust evaluation in real time, really realize and project economic income is specialized in technological transformation Target performance is verified and supervision and management.
Brief description of the drawings
Attached drawing described herein is used for providing a further understanding of the present invention, forms the part of the application, not Form limitation of the invention.In the accompanying drawings:
Fig. 1 is the flow diagram of technological transformation project income evaluation method provided by the present invention;
Fig. 2 is the structure diagram of technological transformation project income evaluating apparatus provided by the present invention.
Embodiment
For the purpose, technical scheme and advantage of the embodiment of the present invention are more clearly understood, with reference to embodiment and attached Figure, is described in further details the present invention.Here, the schematic description and description of the present invention is used to explain the present invention, It is but not as a limitation of the invention.
Shown in please referring to Fig.1, the present invention specifically provides a kind of technological transformation project income evaluation method, the evaluation method bag Contain:S101 is according to income item involved after the project category of the project to be evaluated acquisition project reconstruction to be evaluated;S102 points The situation of Profit of the income item is not calculated, and the income after obtaining the project reconstruction to be evaluated is calculated according to the situation of Profit Data;S103 establishes the first earnings pattern according to the avail data of predetermined period before transformation, according to the receipts of predetermined period after transformation Beneficial data establish the second earnings pattern;S104 calculates first earnings pattern and described the using Newton-Leibniz Formula Difference between two earnings patterns, obtains the real-time vehicle benefits situation after the project reconstruction to be evaluated;S105 is imitated in real time by described Beneficial situation obtains the income evaluation result of the project to be evaluated compared with predetermined threshold.Wherein, the project category includes: The special maintenance of significant turnaround, the explosion-proof special maintenance of boiler wear resistant, the special maintenance of Thermal Equipment, the special maintenance of relay protection devices, defeated ash Pipeline is special, wind powder pipe road is special, equipment anticorrosion is special, equipment abrasionproof is special and production building improvement is special.
In a preferred embodiment of the invention, the situation of Profit of income item is calculated described in the step S102 respectively, Specifically included according to the avail data that the situation of Profit is calculated after obtaining the project reconstruction to be evaluated:According to the income item Classification corresponding income calculation model is obtained in database, the types of variables in the income calculation model is in described Corresponding operation data are obtained in project to be evaluated;According to the operation data and the income calculation model, the receipts are obtained The situation of Profit of beneficial item.The situation of Profit of the project to be evaluated is obtained according to the situation of Profit of the income item;Described in acquisition The improvement cost of project to be evaluated;According to the improvement cost of the situation of Profit of the project to be evaluated and the project to be evaluated, Obtain the avail data after the project reconstruction to be evaluated.In real work, each income item is respectively provided with more or less income Computational methods, staff can use according to selection is actually needed, and hurry to and buy that just no longer concrete restriction herein, as above-mentioned Improvement cost can then include transformation shared fund, underproduction etc. caused by the equipment downtime in itself, and concrete condition can basis It is actually needed and adds, the present invention is no longer described in detail it.
In a preferred embodiment of the invention, the evaluation method also includes:When the project to be evaluated is comprising multiple During project category, weighted value is assigned to projects classification by analytic hierarchy process (AHP);By the real-time vehicle benefits situation of projects classification with Predetermined threshold compares, and obtains the evaluation of estimate of projects classification;According to the evaluation of estimate of projects classification and corresponding weighted value, obtain The evaluation result of the project to be evaluated.With this, using real time data information in production management process system, production process is referred to Mark carries out adjusting evaluation in real time, using Comprehensive Fuzzy Evaluation method, according to each bottom evaluation index, that is, projects classification Degree of membership and each bottom indicator combination weight number calculated, project investment benefit can be calculated using weigthed sums approach Comprehensive income.Linear weighted function it is legal primary concern is that each evaluation index status residing in evaluation or role not to the utmost It is identical, comprehensive evaluation value be each index individual event value linear weighted function and, obtain comprehensive income;It can ensure skill by this way Change and specialize in project real-time period and a complete evaluation cycle can supervise technological transformation comprehensively and specialize in the setting of project application for developing Economic well-being of workers and staff target whether reach, how technological transformation specializes in economic well-being of workers and staff effect, really realizes that income class technological transformation specializes in project and exists Evaluated in line and evaluation cycle after supervision.
For clearer explanation above-described embodiment, explanation is further explained with instantiation below:
Project pretreatment is carried out first, when obtaining a project to be evaluated, first according to the item of project application for developing setting Target label and construction object carry out acquisition project category, carry out economic well-being of workers and staff project pretreatment, its specialized overhauling project according to Project equipment classification situation can be divided into:(1) the special maintenance of significant turnaround;(2) the explosion-proof special maintenance of boiler wear resistant;(3) thermal technology, after Protect the special maintenance of equipment;(4) defeated ash, wind powder pipe road and equipment anticorrosion, abrasionproof are special;(5) production building is administered special;(6) Other.(need staff to intervene and carry out manual sort)
Its specialized overhauling project (1) can establish online examination mode input variable, directly obtain real-time item operation Data, obtain the benefit calculation formula to prestore in database, establish economic well-being of workers and staff online verification and check and accept model.Its specialized is examined Repair project (2), (3), (4), (5), (6), if can not provide it is online check and accept mode input variable i.e. real time data when, can tie Comprehensive Fuzzy Evaluation method is closed, project verification is carried out to realize by offline mode, such as the assignment method in above-described embodiment.
In above-mentioned project category, transformation link can be divided mainly into:(1) energy-saving and emission-reduction are transformed, process system output increase-volume, main Machine and Important Auxiliary equipment are raising reliability, service life or the eliminate safe hidden trouble body (important component) carried out, power supply, guarantor Protection unit etc. is transformed;(2) electric, thermal technology's specialty control system is due to ageing equipment upgrading;(3) production management level is lifted Deng information reform;(4) production equipment functional rehabilitation is transformed, carry out production strictly in line with rules and regulations for promotion transformation, ash or coal yard are extended and other Building class is transformed;(5) other.It is true according to project concrete condition during by group's production management portion relevant speciality examination & verification reply project It is fixed whether to need to establish model.Wherein project (1) and (5) are specialized in technological transformation can establish online examination mode input variable, directly Real-time item operation data are obtained, the benefit calculation formula to prestore is obtained in database, economic well-being of workers and staff online verification is established and tests Receive model.Wherein project (2), (3), (4) are specialized in technological transformation, if online examination mode input variable can not be provided, with reference to comprehensive Fuzzy Evaluation Method is closed, carry out project verifies that for example above-mentioned assignment method of specific method, is no longer stated in detail herein to realize.
After examination model, that is, benefit calculation formula is obtained, you can progress data signal acquisition process, variable needed for acquisition, Input signal, computation model, output signal should at least be included in wherein described benefit calculation formula, can be that work is specialized in technological transformation Objective and accurate data basis is provided, realizes that technological transformation overhaul is checked and accepted in line computation.Input signal is the reality related with computation model When input signal, data should be the existing authentic data from DCS, PLC, or by increase measuring point can be used as mode input believe Number, to ensure the accuracy of on-line evaluation and reasonability;Output signal be can truly reflect technological transformation major repair project safety, The specific quantizating index of energy-saving and environmental protection etc., including at least real-time income and accumulated earnings two, and requires storage of history data P One evaluation cycle;The benefit calculation formula should meet《Thermal power plant technical-economic index computational methods》(DL/T904- 2004) regulation of power industry relevant criterion such as, computation model should substantially can be in thread test process, and data can be carried out and existed Line adds up.Under defined same boundary conditions, error should be able to meet the requirement of evaluation.
The avail data after obtaining project reconstruction to be evaluated is calculated according to above-mentioned formula and data;It is all according to making a reservation for before transformation The avail data of phase establishes the first earnings pattern, and the second earnings pattern is established according to the avail data of predetermined period after transformation;Profit The difference between first earnings pattern and second earnings pattern is calculated with Newton-Leibniz Formula, described in acquisition Real-time vehicle benefits situation after project reconstruction to be evaluated;By the vehicle benefits situation in real time compared with predetermined threshold, obtain described to be evaluated The income evaluation result of valency project.Wherein circular is by taking the transformation of following unit glueballs as an example:No.1 unit glueballs is transformed Afterwards, first, unit operation back pressure reduces, and steam turbine acting ability enhancing, unit generation coal consumption reduces;Second, Condenser Titanium Tube Inner wall cleannes are improved and can maintained for a long time, and water circulating pump can be run in a manner of optimum organization, it is contemplated that following pump power consumption reduces;The Three, before rubber ball system transformation, condenser is often run to be needed to carry out a high pressure water cleaning, while condensing by outer committee's unit for 6 months The unilateral operation of device causes the reduction of unit generation amount, after transformation this work can cancel, save developing fee use, increase unit generation Amount.Primary income is three for more than after rubber ball system transformation.
Since the improved situation of Profit of rubber ball system can be influenced be subject to variation of ambient temperature, while in view of interval 6 A month difference having whether high pressure washing, and the extraction of a large amount of historical datas is needed, to improve the accuracy of income calculation, Evaluation cycle is set to unit operation 10-12 months relatively rationally.
1st, calculation of backpressure formula is as follows:
P=(P1+P2)/2+PAir
In formula:P- unit back pressuces, kPa.P1- high-pressure side condenser vacuum, KPa.P2- low-pressure side condenser vacuum, KPa. PAir- locality atmospheric pressure, KPa.
2nd, a phase unit back pressuce and the relation of unit heat consumption are as follows:
Displacement is fitted under 1000t/h by the relation between unit back pressuce and heat consumption, the relation of back pressure and heat consumption is bent Line, the following formula is obtained according to the relation curve:
Y=-0.118P3+0.2999P2-1.3226P+0.9892:
In formula:Y- heat consumption change rates %.
By the back pressure P before transformationqWith improved back pressure Ph, above formula is substituted into, draws yqAnd yh
3rd, the variable quantity of heat consumption calculates:
HR '=yh*HR-yq*HR
In formula:The variable quantity of HR '-heat consumption, KJ/kWh.HR- unit heat consumptions, KJ/kWh, (using thermal test data reporting as It is accurate).
4th, amount of saving coal model:
In formula:B- saves mark coal amount, ton.t1The unit operation time in-evaluation cycle, 1 year.α-constant, 25.8.(I am public Taking charge of a phase unit heat consumption often reduces 25.8kJ/kwh, and net coal consumption rate reduces 1g/kwh.)
Economize on coal earnings pattern:
PEconomize on coal=PCoal price*B
5th, economize on electricity earnings pattern:
PEconomize on electricity=(Eq-Eh) * PElectricity price
In formula:EQThe power consumption of measurement period internal circulation water pump, kWh before the transformation of-glueballs.EhMeasurement period after the transformation of-glueballs The power consumption of internal circulation water pump, kWh.
6th, earnings pattern is safeguarded:
In an evaluation cycle, unit generation load is influenced since condenser fouling heat exchange efficiency declines, needs to carry out Condenser chemical cleaning and high pressure water washing, expense composition include 560,000 yuan of condenser chemical cleaning, high pressure water washing 12 Wan Yuan.Also high pressure water washing and influence the generation load of unit.
Consider, the computation model of maintenance cost saving income is:
In formula:Q1Actual power generation in-flushing cycle, MW.Q2Load during-high pressure water washing, is denoted as 300MW.T1- high The blow wash time, be denoted as 144 it is small when.
7th, comprehensive income is evaluated
Rubber ball system retrofit work is carried out, it is possible there are three kinds of incomes, that is, safeguard income, economize on electricity income and energy saving profit, Comprehensive income subtracts cost of investment for the sum of three incomes, and computation model is:
PIt is energy saving=PEconomize on coal+PEconomize on electricity+PSafeguard-PInvestment
8th, real-time benefit evaluation is
Rubber ball system transformation is passed through rear the second earnings patterns of benefit function f (x) i.e. in real time, rubber ball system before transformation after transformation The first earnings pattern of real-time cost function g (x) i.e. is transformed, then by economic well-being of workers and staff before and after Newton-Leibniz Formula calculating transformation Difference mathematical sense for f (x)-g (x) in closed interval a, the upper curls of b trapezoidal area=∫ [f (x)-g (x)] dx;Throwing can be calculated Enter improved real-time benefit.Thereafter, the evaluation of its income then by the real-time benefit and predetermined expection threshold value comparison can be obtained As a result.
For relevant technical staff in the field knowable to, above-described embodiment is only that help understands technological transformation project provided by the present invention Income evaluation method, does not form limitation of the invention further.
Shown in please referring to Fig.2, the present invention also provides a kind of technological transformation project income evaluating apparatus, described device includes pretreatment Module, data input module, data computation module and data outputting module;The pretreatment module is used for according to project to be evaluated Project category obtain involved income item after the project reconstruction to be evaluated;The data input module is used to calculate respectively The situation of Profit of the income item, the avail data after obtaining the project reconstruction to be evaluated is calculated according to the situation of Profit; The data computation module is used to establish the first earnings pattern according to the avail data of predetermined period before transformation, according to pre- after transformation The avail data of fixed cycle establishes the second earnings pattern;And calculate the first income mould using Newton-Leibniz Formula Difference between type and second earnings pattern, obtains the real-time vehicle benefits situation after the project reconstruction to be evaluated;The number It is used for the income evaluation knot that the vehicle benefits situation in real time compared with predetermined threshold, is obtained to the project to be evaluated according to output module Fruit.
In the above-described embodiments, the data input module also includes:According to the classification of the income item in database Corresponding income calculation model is obtained, the types of variables in the income calculation model obtains in the project to be evaluated Corresponding operation data;According to the situation of Profit run data and the income calculation model, obtain the income item.With And the situation of Profit of the project to be evaluated is obtained according to the situation of Profit of the income item;Obtain the project to be evaluated Improvement cost;According to the improvement cost of the situation of Profit of the project to be evaluated and the project to be evaluated, obtain described to be evaluated Avail data after valency project reconstruction.
In a preferred embodiment of the invention, described device also includes assignment module, and the assignment module is used in institute When stating project to be evaluated and including multiple project categories, weighted value is assigned to projects classification by analytic hierarchy process (AHP);By projects The real-time vehicle benefits situation of classification obtains the evaluation of estimate of projects classification compared with predetermined threshold;According to the evaluation of projects classification Value and corresponding weighted value, obtain the evaluation result of the project to be evaluated.
In real work, technological transformation project income evaluating apparatus provided by the present invention is mainly pre- by specializing in project to technological transformation Handle, gather suitable input signal, calculated by the data in evaluation cycle, export evaluation result and appraisal report, can Work is specialized in for technological transformation objective and accurate economic well-being of workers and staff evaluation is provided, realize that technological transformation is specialized in online and offline objective check and accept and calculated. Wherein, project pretreatment module, the economic effect be expected construction object according to the project and reached first classify project, Data acquisition and Calculating model of the selection with project appraisal object matching.Data input module, according to the data acquisition matched And the real-time data collection signal of Calculating model selecting system, these real time data measuring points from data acquisition end DCS, PLC, Existing reliable real time data in ECMS, flue gas analyzer, chromatograph, with ensure the accuracy of on-line evaluation with rationally Property.Data computation module foundation《Thermal power plant technical-economic index computational methods》(DL/T904-2004) the power industry phase such as What pass standard was established, computation model can be in thread test process, and can carry out the online score accumulation of transient data.Defined Under same boundary conditions, calculation error disclosure satisfy that the requirement of evaluation.Computing module is carried out to contrasting real-time data point before transformation Processing, using fixed average value, is fitted to single argument, the data mining analysis method such as function of bivariate, realizes boundary condition Dynamic management, so that it is guaranteed that evaluation economic well-being of workers and staff effect accuracy.It is big that data outputting module output signal directly generates technological transformation Repair the specific of project economic income and quantify the report of metrics evaluation result of calculation, including it is Real Time Economic income, accumulation economic well-being of workers and staff, comprehensive Close fuzzy evaluation score three.
The advantageous effects of the present invention are:By the real time data information of extract real-time transformation project, according to technological transformation Specialize in project construction target and establish and adapt to income evaluation model therewith, using " being based on indefinite time integral Comprehensive Fuzzy Evaluation side Method " carries out quantitative analysis to every factor of influence income, according to the actual boundary condition for scientifically determining model of project and answers The major influence factors of consideration, take being not fixed the cycle and adjust evaluation in real time, really realize and project economic income is specialized in technological transformation Target performance is verified and supervision and management.
It should be understood by those skilled in the art that, the embodiment of the present invention can be provided as method, system or computer program Product.Therefore, the present invention can use the reality in terms of complete hardware embodiment, complete software embodiment or combination software and hardware Apply the form of example.Moreover, the present invention can use the computer for wherein including computer usable program code in one or more The computer program production that usable storage medium is implemented on (including but not limited to magnetic disk storage, CD-ROM, optical memory etc.) The form of product.
The present invention be with reference to according to the method for the embodiment of the present invention, the flow of equipment (system) and computer program product Figure and/or block diagram describe.It should be understood that it can be realized by computer program instructions every first-class in flowchart and/or the block diagram The combination of flow and/or square frame in journey and/or square frame and flowchart and/or the block diagram.These computer programs can be provided The processors of all-purpose computer, special purpose computer, Embedded Processor or other programmable data processing devices is instructed to produce A raw machine so that the instruction performed by computer or the processor of other programmable data processing devices, which produces, to be used in fact The device for the function of being specified in present one flow of flow chart or one square frame of multiple flows and/or block diagram or multiple square frames.
These computer program instructions, which may also be stored in, can guide computer or other programmable data processing devices with spy Determine in the computer-readable memory that mode works so that the instruction being stored in the computer-readable memory, which produces, to be included referring to Make the manufacture of device, the command device realize in one flow of flow chart or multiple flows and/or one square frame of block diagram or The function of being specified in multiple square frames.
These computer program instructions can be also loaded into computer or other programmable data processing devices so that counted Series of operation steps is performed on calculation machine or other programmable devices to produce computer implemented processing, thus in computer or The instruction performed on other programmable devices is provided and is used for realization in one flow of flow chart or multiple flows and/or block diagram one The step of function of being specified in a square frame or multiple square frames.
Particular embodiments described above, has carried out the purpose of the present invention, technical solution and beneficial effect further in detail Describe in detail it is bright, it should be understood that the foregoing is merely the present invention specific embodiment, the guarantor being not intended to limit the present invention Scope is protected, within the spirit and principles of the invention, any modification, equivalent substitution, improvement and etc. done, should be included in this Within the protection domain of invention.

Claims (10)

1. a kind of technological transformation project income evaluation method, it is characterised in that the evaluation method includes:
Income item involved by after obtaining the project reconstruction to be evaluated according to the project category of project to be evaluated;
The situation of Profit of the income item is calculated respectively, is calculated according to the situation of Profit after obtaining the project reconstruction to be evaluated Avail data;
First earnings pattern is established according to the avail data of predetermined period before transformation, according to the avail data of predetermined period after transformation Establish the second earnings pattern;
The difference between first earnings pattern and second earnings pattern is calculated using Newton-Leibniz Formula, is obtained Obtain the real-time vehicle benefits situation after the project reconstruction to be evaluated;
By the vehicle benefits situation in real time compared with predetermined threshold, the income evaluation result of the project to be evaluated is obtained.
2. technological transformation project income evaluation method according to claim 1, it is characterised in that the project category includes:Weight Special project of making a connection is overhauled, the explosion-proof special project of boiler wear resistant is overhauled, Thermal Equipment special project is overhauled, relay protection devices special project is overhauled, ash pipeline Road is special, wind powder pipe road is special, equipment anticorrosion is special, equipment abrasionproof is special and production building improvement is special.
3. technological transformation project income evaluation method according to claim 1, it is characterised in that described to calculate the income respectively The situation of Profit of item includes:Corresponding income calculation model is obtained in database according to the classification of the income item, according to institute The types of variables stated in income calculation model obtains corresponding operation data in the project to be evaluated;According to the operation number According to the income calculation model, obtain the situation of Profit of the income item.
4. technological transformation project income evaluation method according to claim 1, it is characterised in that calculated according to the situation of Profit The avail data after the project reconstruction to be evaluated is obtained to include:Obtained according to the situation of Profit of the income item described to be evaluated The situation of Profit of project;Obtain the improvement cost of the project to be evaluated;According to the situation of Profit of the project to be evaluated and institute The improvement cost of project to be evaluated is stated, obtains the avail data after the project reconstruction to be evaluated.
5. technological transformation project income evaluation method according to claim 1, it is characterised in that the evaluation method also includes: When the project to be evaluated includes multiple project categories, weighted value is assigned to projects classification by analytic hierarchy process (AHP);Will be each The real-time vehicle benefits situation of project category obtains the evaluation of estimate of projects classification compared with predetermined threshold;According to projects classification Evaluation of estimate and corresponding weighted value, obtain the evaluation result of the project to be evaluated.
6. a kind of technological transformation project income evaluating apparatus, it is characterised in that described device includes pretreatment module, data input mould Block, data computation module and data outputting module;
The pretreatment module is used for involved by after obtaining the project reconstruction to be evaluated according to the project category of project to be evaluated Income item;
The data input module is used for the situation of Profit for calculating the income item respectively, is calculated and obtained according to the situation of Profit Avail data after the project reconstruction to be evaluated;
The data computation module is used to establish the first earnings pattern according to the avail data of predetermined period before transformation, according to transformation The avail data of predetermined period establishes the second earnings pattern afterwards;And calculate described first using Newton-Leibniz Formula and receive Difference between beneficial model and second earnings pattern, obtains the real-time vehicle benefits situation after the project reconstruction to be evaluated;
The data outputting module is used for the vehicle benefits situation in real time compared with predetermined threshold, obtains the project to be evaluated Income evaluation result.
7. technological transformation project income evaluating apparatus according to claim 6, it is characterised in that the project category includes:Weight Special project of making a connection is overhauled, the explosion-proof special project of boiler wear resistant is overhauled, Thermal Equipment special project is overhauled, relay protection devices special project is overhauled, ash pipeline Road is special, wind powder pipe road is special, equipment anticorrosion is special, equipment abrasionproof is special and production building improvement is special.
8. technological transformation project income evaluating apparatus according to claim 6, it is characterised in that the data input module also wraps Contain:Corresponding income calculation model is obtained in database according to the classification of the income item, according to the income calculation model In types of variables corresponding operation data are obtained in the project to be evaluated;According to the operation data and the income meter Model is calculated, obtains the situation of Profit of the income item.
9. technological transformation project income evaluating apparatus according to claim 6, it is characterised in that the data input module also wraps Contain:The situation of Profit of the project to be evaluated is obtained according to the situation of Profit of the income item;Obtain the project to be evaluated Improvement cost;According to the improvement cost of the situation of Profit of the project to be evaluated and the project to be evaluated, obtain described to be evaluated Avail data after valency project reconstruction.
10. technological transformation project income evaluating apparatus according to claim 6, it is characterised in that described device also includes assignment Module, the assignment module is used for when the project to be evaluated includes multiple project categories, by analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to items Mesh classification assigns weighted value;By the real-time vehicle benefits situation of projects classification compared with predetermined threshold, commenting for projects classification is obtained Value;According to the evaluation of estimate of projects classification and corresponding weighted value, the evaluation result of the acquisition project to be evaluated.
CN201711292086.XA 2017-12-08 2017-12-08 Technological transformation project income evaluation method and device Pending CN107944744A (en)

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Cited By (2)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN109359865A (en) * 2018-10-17 2019-02-19 深圳壹账通智能科技有限公司 Product evaluation method, apparatus, computer equipment and storage medium
CN114485258A (en) * 2022-03-16 2022-05-13 西安热工研究院有限公司 Coal-electricity air cooling flushing system commissioning method and device and storage medium

Cited By (3)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN109359865A (en) * 2018-10-17 2019-02-19 深圳壹账通智能科技有限公司 Product evaluation method, apparatus, computer equipment and storage medium
CN114485258A (en) * 2022-03-16 2022-05-13 西安热工研究院有限公司 Coal-electricity air cooling flushing system commissioning method and device and storage medium
CN114485258B (en) * 2022-03-16 2024-02-09 西安热工研究院有限公司 Operation method and device of coal-electricity air cooling flushing system and storage medium

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