CN107480818A - A kind of method that rapid evaluation human activities of vegetation covering change influences - Google Patents

A kind of method that rapid evaluation human activities of vegetation covering change influences Download PDF

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CN107480818A
CN107480818A CN201710676181.3A CN201710676181A CN107480818A CN 107480818 A CN107480818 A CN 107480818A CN 201710676181 A CN201710676181 A CN 201710676181A CN 107480818 A CN107480818 A CN 107480818A
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罗红霞
戴声佩
刘恩平
谢铮辉
方纪华
李茂芬
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Abstract

The invention discloses a kind of method that rapid evaluation human activities of vegetation covers change influence, using long-term sequence MOD13Q1 NDVI as data source, analyzing and processing is carried out to data using MRT softwares and forms NDVI data sets, using linear regression model (LRM), least square method trend analysis and residual analysis method, assess mankind's activity influences situation to vegetation variation, the present invention can be based on long-term sequence MODIS NDVI data and meteorological data, quickly, accurately, the objective human activities of vegetation covering change for carrying out large scale influences research, the potentiality that remote sensing satellite data carry out big regional scale eco-environmental impact assessment with meteorological data are fully excavated.

Description

Method for rapidly evaluating influence of human activities on vegetation coverage change
Technical Field
The invention belongs to the field of environmental quality evaluation, relates to an environmental quality evaluation method, and particularly relates to a method for evaluating the influence of human activities on vegetation coverage change by applying long-time sequence MODIS satellite remote sensing data and meteorological data.
Background
The vegetation is the main body of the land ecosystem and is an indicator for monitoring the ecological environment. Vegetation coverage changes are driven by both climate and human activity. With the continuous acceleration of the urbanization process, the influence degree of human activities on vegetation coverage change in a local area even exceeds the climate change, the quantification of the influence of the human activities on the vegetation coverage change can pointedly provide data support for the human activities on the evaluation of the quality of the ecological environment, and meanwhile, technical support can be provided for the economic sustainable development of the area and the construction of the ecological environment.
Most of the traditional research methods are field investigation and qualitative evaluation, and the method is time-consuming and labor-consuming, is not suitable for large-area scale evaluation, and cannot visually reflect the influence area of human activities on vegetation coverage change. The continuous development of the remote sensing technology provides possibility for dynamic monitoring qualitative evaluation in a large scale range. The normalized Vegetation Index (NDVI) is one of the most common indicators for monitoring Vegetation coverage change and is also important information for measuring the ecological environment of a region. The MODIS NDVI data has the characteristics of high time and spatial resolution, wide coverage range, easiness in data acquisition and the like, and provides a solid data guarantee for dynamically evaluating the influence of human activities on vegetation coverage change.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention aims to provide a method for rapidly and accurately evaluating the influence of human activities on vegetation coverage change based on long-time sequence MODIS NDVI data and meteorological data through professional software processing and analysis.
In order to achieve the purpose, the technical scheme of the invention is as follows: the method for rapidly evaluating the influence of human activities on vegetation coverage change is characterized in that a long-time sequence MODIS NDVI is taken as a data source, MRT software is adopted to analyze and process data to obtain a regional time sequence NDVI data set, and a linear regression model, a least square method trend analysis and a residual error analysis method are adopted to evaluate the influence of human activities on vegetation coverage change, and the method comprises the following specific steps:
(1) Downloading and preprocessing NDVI data:
a. downloading MOD13Q1NDVI of a time sequence of a research area, wherein the spatial resolution of data is 250m, the time resolution is 16d, using MRT software to perform mosaic splicing on the data, converting the data into a Geotiff format from HDF, and re-projecting a projection coordinate to a WGS84/Albers coordinate system from Sinusoid;
b. cutting the NDVI data by adopting mask extraction in ArcGIS, and calculating to obtain the annual maximum NDVI value of the research area through a maximum synthesis method to form a NDVI time sequence data set of the research area;
(2) And (3) meteorological data processing of a research area:
a. collecting daily average air temperature and daily precipitation data of all weather stations in a research area, carrying out arithmetic average calculation on the daily average air temperature to obtain annual average air temperature of the weather stations, and summing daily precipitation to obtain annual precipitation of each weather station;
b. performing spatial interpolation on the annual average air temperature and the annual precipitation of each meteorological site in a research area by using a kriging interpolation method in ArcGIS software to generate a time sequence annual average air temperature and annual precipitation grid data set with the spatial resolution of 250m multiplied by 250m, and projecting the time sequence annual average air temperature and annual precipitation grid data set to a WGS84/Albers coordinate system;
(3) Calculating time series predicted NDVI values:
establishing a binary primary regression relation model of the NDVI, the annual average air temperature and the annual precipitation amount, and simulating and calculating the NDVI value on each grid unit by using a formula (1) in ArcGIS; equation (1) is as follows:
NDVI prediction value =β 01 T+β 2 P (1)
In the formula, NDVI Prediction value NDVI value, beta, predicted from annual precipitation and annual mean temperature factors 0 Is a constant term, β 1 、β 2 The undetermined coefficient of the regression equation can be obtained by calculation by adopting a least square method; t and P are respectively the annual average temperature and the annual precipitation;
(4) Calculating the influence of human activities in the study area on vegetation coverage change:
a. subtracting the predicted NDVI value calculated in the step (3) from the annual maximum NDVI value obtained in the step (1), namely the real NDVI value obtained through remote sensing observation to obtain a time sequence NDVI residual error data set, wherein if the residual error is greater than 0, human activities are shown to have a promotion effect on vegetation growth; if the residual error is less than 0, the human activities are not favorable for vegetation growth; if the residual error is equal to 0, the human activities have weak influence on vegetation change;
b. analyzing the change trend of human activities influenced by coverage change by adopting a non-parametric trend degree and Mann-Kendall inspection method, and calculating the residual NDVI change trend of each pixel in ArcGIS by using a formula (2), wherein the non-parametric trend calculation formula (2) is as follows:
in the formula, beta is the change trend of residual NDVI, i and j are time sequences, NDVI i 、NDVI j Respectively, the NDVI values at i and j times, if beta&0, indicating that the residual NDVI is in an ascending trend, namely that the human activities are favorable for vegetation growth; if beta is&0, indicating that the residual NDVI is in a descending trend, namely that the human activities are not beneficial to vegetation growth; if the beta =0, the residual NDVI sequence has no change trend;
the Mann-Kendall is a non-parameter statistical test method and is used for judging the significance of the change trend; suppose a time series (x) 1 ,x 2 ,…,x n ) N independent samples with the same random variable distribution are used, the test statistic is defined as S, and the calculation formula of S is shown as a formula (3):
wherein sig () is a sign function when X i -X j When is less than, equal to or greater than zero, sig (X) i -X j ) Are respectively-1, 0 or 1;
the formula for calculating the Z statistic is shown in equation (4):
at a given significance level α, when | Z | > μ 1-α/2 When the expression is used, the sequence has a remarkable change at the alpha level, and the alpha is generally 0.05.
c. And (4) counting the spatial distribution and the area proportion of each change trend based on the ArcGIS spatial analysis function.
The method for rapidly evaluating the influence of human activities on vegetation coverage change has the following beneficial effects:
1. the method can rapidly, accurately and objectively develop the research on the influence of large-scale human activities on vegetation coverage change based on the long-time sequence MODIS NDVI data and meteorological data, and fully excavate the potential of the remote sensing satellite data and the meteorological data for large-area scale ecological environment influence evaluation.
2. The invention applies computer graphic processing technology and spatial simulation technology, and can quantitatively evaluate the spatial distribution characteristics and the influence degree of the human activities on the vegetation coverage change.
3. The method overcomes the limitation of qualitative research on vegetation cover change of human activities in time and labor consumption of the traditional method, and realizes low-cost, high-efficiency and quantification of large-scale human activities on vegetation cover change.
Drawings
FIG. 1 is a spatial distribution diagram of NDVI predicted in Hainan island 2001-2015;
FIG. 2 is a NDVI residual spatial distribution plot from 2001-2015;
FIG. 3 is a graph of NDVI residual variation trend in Hainan island 2001-2015;
FIG. 4 is a chart of significance test of Mann-Kendall residual variation trend of NDVI in Hainan island;
Detailed Description
The present invention will be described in detail with reference to the embodiments and the accompanying drawings.
The Hainan island is an important ecological conserving functional area in China, and the good ecological environment is a prominent advantage for the construction of the international tourist island. With the promotion of international travel island construction, the novel industrialization and urbanization construction pace accelerates the speed increase, human activities have great influence on the change of the ecological environment of the Hainan island, and the accurate and objective analysis of the influence of the human activities on the vegetation coverage change of the Hainan island can provide scientific data support for the reasonable planning and layout of relevant departments and the sustainable development of the Hainan island.
The method for rapidly evaluating the influence of human activities on the vegetation coverage change of the Hainan island comprises the following steps:
(1) Downloading and preprocessing NDVI data:
a. MOD13Q1NDVI data are downloaded from NASA website of the national aerospace agency of China, and the research regions are numbered as h28v06 and h28v07 in the global sinusoidal projection, and the time span is 15 years from 2001 to 2015, which totals 690 scene data. Using MRT software to perform mosaic splicing on data, converting the data from HDF into Geotiff format, and projecting coordinates from Sinussoidal to WGS84/Albers coordinate system;
b. cutting MODIS NDVI data based on a research area vector file by adopting a mask extraction function in ArcGIS, and calculating to obtain a annual maximum NDVI value of a research area through a maximum synthesis method to form a Hainan island annual NDVI time sequence dataset;
(2) And (3) meteorological data processing of a research area:
a. downloading the daily average air temperature and daily precipitation data of all weather sites in the Hainan island in a China weather data sharing service network, carrying out arithmetic average calculation on the daily average air temperature to obtain the annual average air temperature of the weather sites, and summing the daily precipitation to obtain the annual precipitation of each weather site;
b. performing spatial interpolation on the annual average air temperature and the annual precipitation of each meteorological site in a research area by using a kriging interpolation method in ArcGIS software to generate a time sequence annual average air temperature and annual precipitation grid data set with the spatial resolution of 250m multiplied by 250m, and projecting the time sequence annual average air temperature and annual precipitation grid data set to a WGS84/Albers coordinate system;
(3) Calculating time series predicted NDVI values:
establishing a binary primary regression relation model of NDVI, the annual average air temperature and the annual precipitation, and simulating and calculating the NDVI value on each grid unit to form a 2001-2015 year time sequence prediction NDVI data set. FIG. 1 is a spatial distribution diagram of NDVI predicted in Hainan island 2001-2015;
(4) Calculating the effect of human activity in the study area on vegetation coverage change:
a. subtracting the predicted NDVI value calculated in the step (3) from the maximum NDVI value obtained in the step (1), namely the real NDVI value obtained through remote sensing observation to obtain a time sequence NDVI residual error data set, wherein if the residual error is greater than 0, the human activity is shown to have a promotion effect on vegetation growth; if the residual error is less than 0, the human activities are not favorable for vegetation growth; if the residual equals 0, it indicates that human activities have a weak impact on vegetation change. FIG. 2 is a NDVI residual spatial distribution plot from 2001-2015;
b. analyzing the variation trend of the influence of the human activities on the coverage variation by adopting unparameterized trend, and dividing the variation trend into 7 stages: beta is less than-0.036 and is divided into serious vegetation inhibition, beta is between-0.036 and-0.015 and is divided into moderate vegetation inhibition, beta is between-0.015 and-0.001 and is divided into mild vegetation inhibition, beta is between-0.001 and is divided into regions which are kept unchanged, beta is between 0.001 and 0.015 and is divided into mild vegetation promotion, beta is between 0.015 and-0.036 and is divided into moderate vegetation promotion, and beta is more than 0.036 and is divided into obvious vegetation promotion. FIG. 3 is a graph showing the spatial distribution of the NDVI residual variation trend in Hainan island 2001-2015. Based on the ArcGIS spatial analysis function, the spatial distribution and the area ratio of each variation trend are counted, as shown in Table 1.
TABLE 1 statistical analysis of area occupied by NDVI residual variation trend in Hainan island
The significance of the NDVI residual variation trend is analyzed by adopting a Mann-Kendall test method, the result of the significance test of the Mann-Kendall test on a confidence level of 0.05 is divided into significant variation (| Z | < + > 1.96) and insignificant variation (-1.96 is less than or equal to Z and less than or equal to 1.96), and a graph 4 is a Mann-Kendall significance test graph of the NDVI residual variation trend. Z < -1.96 shows that human activities have significant inhibition effect on vegetation growth change, and Z > 1.96 shows that human activities have significant promotion effect on vegetation growth change.
The above disclosure is only for the purpose of illustrating the preferred embodiments of the present invention and is not to be construed as limiting the scope of the present invention, therefore, the present invention is not limited by the appended claims.

Claims (1)

1. A method for rapidly assessing the effect of human activity on vegetation coverage change, comprising the steps of:
(1) Downloading and preprocessing NDVI data:
a. the method comprises the steps of downloading MOD13Q1NDVI of a time sequence of a research area, enabling the spatial resolution of data to be 250m and the time resolution to be 16d, carrying out mosaic splicing on the data by using MRT software, converting the data into a Geotiff format from HDF, and re-projecting a projection coordinate to a WGS84/Albers coordinate system from Sinusoidal;
b. cutting the NDVI data by adopting mask extraction in ArcGIS, and calculating to obtain the annual maximum NDVI value of the research area through a maximum synthesis method to form a NDVI time sequence data set of the research area;
(2) And (3) meteorological data processing of a research area:
a. collecting daily average air temperature and daily precipitation data of all weather sites in a research area, carrying out arithmetic average calculation on the daily average air temperature to obtain annual average air temperature of the weather sites, and summing the daily precipitation to obtain annual precipitation of each weather site;
b. carrying out spatial interpolation on the annual average air temperature and the annual precipitation of each meteorological site in a research area by using a kriging interpolation method in ArcGIS software to generate a time series annual average air temperature and annual precipitation grid data set with the spatial resolution of 250m multiplied by 250m, and projecting the time series annual average air temperature and annual precipitation grid data set to a WGS84/Albers coordinate system;
(3) Calculating time series predicted NDVI values:
establishing a binary primary regression relation model of the NDVI, the annual average air temperature and the annual precipitation amount, and simulating and calculating the NDVI value on each grid unit by using a formula (1) in ArcGIS; equation (1) is as follows:
NDVI prediction value =β 01 T+β 2 P (1)
In the formula, NDVI Prediction value NDVI value, beta, predicted from annual precipitation and annual average air temperature 0 Is a constant term, β 1 、β 2 The undetermined coefficient of the regression equation can be obtained by calculation by adopting a least square method; t and P are respectively the annual average temperature and the annual precipitation;
(4) Calculating the influence of human activities in the study area on vegetation coverage change:
a. subtracting the predicted NDVI value calculated in the step (3) from the annual maximum NDVI value obtained in the step (1), namely the real NDVI value obtained through remote sensing observation to obtain a time sequence NDVI residual error data set, wherein if the residual error is greater than 0, human activities are shown to have a promotion effect on vegetation growth; if the residual error is less than 0, the human activities are not favorable for vegetation growth; if the residual error is equal to 0, the human activities have weak influence on vegetation change;
b. analyzing the change trend of human activities influenced by coverage change by adopting a non-parametric trend degree and Mann-Kendall inspection method, and calculating the residual NDVI change trend of each pixel in ArcGIS by using a formula (2), wherein the non-parametric trend calculation formula (2) is as follows:
in the formula, beta is the change trend of residual NDVI, i and j are time sequences, NDVI i 、NDVI j Respectively, the NDVI values at i and j times, if beta&0, indicating that the residual NDVI is in an ascending trend, namely that the human activities are favorable for vegetation growth; if beta is&0, indicating that the residual NDVI is in a descending trend, namely that the human activities are not beneficial to vegetation growth; if the beta =0, the residual NDVI sequence has no change trend;
the Mann-Kendall is a nonparametric statistical test method and is used for judging the significance of the change trend; suppose a time series (x) 1 ,x 2 ,…,x n ) N independent samples with the same random variable distribution are used, the test statistic is defined as S, and the calculation formula of S is shown as a formula (3):
wherein sign () is a sign function when X i -X j When the value is less than, equal to or greater than zero, sign (X) i -X j ) Are respectively-1, 0 or 1;
the formula for calculating the Z statistic is shown in equation (4):
at a given significance level α, when | Z | > μ 1-α/2 It indicates that there is a significant change in the sequence at the α level, which is typically 0.05.
c. And (4) counting the spatial distribution and the area proportion of each change trend based on the ArcGIS spatial analysis function.
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CN108509527A (en) * 2018-03-14 2018-09-07 中国科学院海洋研究所 A kind of ice concentration variation tendency towards IDL language seeks calculation algorithm
CN109190810B (en) * 2018-08-16 2021-05-04 天津大学 TDNN-based prediction method for NDVI (normalized difference vegetation index) of northern grassland area of China
CN109190810A (en) * 2018-08-16 2019-01-11 天津大学 The prediction technique of grassland in northern China area NDVI based on TDNN
CN109272144A (en) * 2018-08-16 2019-01-25 天津大学 The prediction technique of grassland in northern China area NDVI based on BPNN
CN109272144B (en) * 2018-08-16 2021-05-04 天津大学 BPNN-based prediction method for NDVI (normalized difference of variance) in northern grassland area of China
CN109615215A (en) * 2018-12-06 2019-04-12 西安理工大学 A kind of characteristic analysis method that regional vegetation restores
CN109615215B (en) * 2018-12-06 2022-11-29 西安理工大学 Feature analysis method for regional vegetation recovery
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CN111582688A (en) * 2020-04-28 2020-08-25 中国环境科学研究院 Vegetation historical change automatic analysis system
CN111754096B (en) * 2020-06-17 2022-09-20 河南大学 Method for acquiring human influence degree of ecological space
CN111754096A (en) * 2020-06-17 2020-10-09 河南大学 Method for acquiring human influence degree of ecological space
CN112464167A (en) * 2020-11-26 2021-03-09 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 Method for analyzing influence of oil and gas field development on vegetation coverage and landscape pattern
CN112613347A (en) * 2020-12-03 2021-04-06 应急管理部国家自然灾害防治研究院 Automatic recognition method for fire passing range and burning degree of forest fire
CN112613347B (en) * 2020-12-03 2021-07-27 应急管理部国家自然灾害防治研究院 Automatic recognition method for fire passing range and burning degree of forest fire
CN112907113A (en) * 2021-03-18 2021-06-04 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 Vegetation change cause identification method considering spatial correlation
CN113269464A (en) * 2021-06-10 2021-08-17 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 Ecological restoration evaluation method and ecological restoration evaluation device
CN113269464B (en) * 2021-06-10 2024-04-23 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 Ecological restoration assessment method and ecological restoration assessment device
CN114545528A (en) * 2022-03-09 2022-05-27 北京墨迹风云科技股份有限公司 Meteorological numerical model element forecasting and post-correcting method and device based on machine learning
CN114545528B (en) * 2022-03-09 2024-02-06 北京墨迹风云科技股份有限公司 Machine learning-based correction method and device after meteorological numerical mode element forecast
CN114677020A (en) * 2022-03-30 2022-06-28 河北省科学院地理科学研究所 Quantitative evaluation method for regional scale soil wind erosion change driving mechanism
CN114677020B (en) * 2022-03-30 2023-09-08 河北省科学院地理科学研究所 Quantitative evaluation method for regional scale soil wind erosion change driving mechanism

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Application publication date: 20171215