CN107229806B - A kind of historic building structure remaining life Predicting Reliability method suitable for corrosive environment - Google Patents

A kind of historic building structure remaining life Predicting Reliability method suitable for corrosive environment Download PDF

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CN107229806B
CN107229806B CN201710496909.4A CN201710496909A CN107229806B CN 107229806 B CN107229806 B CN 107229806B CN 201710496909 A CN201710496909 A CN 201710496909A CN 107229806 B CN107229806 B CN 107229806B
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corrosion
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worms
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姜绍飞
李倪蕾
唐伟杰
麻胜兰
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Fuzhou University
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Abstract

The present invention relates to a kind of historic building structure remaining life Predicting Reliability methods suitable for corrosive environment, comprising the following steps: (1) analyzes the material time-varying model under corrosion impact;(2) Load resistance ratio for considering corrosion is established;And realize timber structure bearing capacity life prediction, prediction result is modified using Monte Carlo join probability density function method, realizes the remaining life interval prediction of structure;(3) using finite element simulation obtain consider corrosion deformation when variate, based on Weibull models coupling Monte Carlo method realize malformation value reliability life prediction;(4) decision goes out the earliest time limit that structure is most likely to occur failure.The present invention can provide the range intervals for considering the ancient architecture timber structure ultimate life of corrosion and influence of damaging by worms, to make the decisions such as disaster prevention scheme and strengthening by reparative method;The present invention is in addition to considering that bearing capacity index is realized in material level other than predicting residual useful life, it is also contemplated that influence of the deformation values index on component or even structural level to structural life-time prediction, life prediction criterion are more reasonable.

Description

A kind of historic building structure remaining life Predicting Reliability suitable for corrosive environment Method
Technical field
The present invention relates to a kind of historic building structure remaining life Predicting Reliability methods suitable for corrosive environment, belong to The life-span prediction method in timber structure health monitoring field.
Background technique
Historic building structure is the historical product with traditional culture charm, and due to timber category biomaterial, and active service is ancient It builds timber structure to be destroyed by natural environment for a long time, including temperature and humidity variation and the external environments such as erosion of damaging by worms are destroyed, and are caused more next Different degrees of damage occurs for more timber structures.Currently, the degeneration based on member section intensity caused by corrosion factor, in Gu Building field often uses the time-varying calculation method of Gerhards Modelling of Cumulative Damage, and it is tired to propose timber continuing force from Gerhards Since product damage model, damage criterion is transformed into moment of flexure from intensity value by improving Gerhards model by Li Yu, Qu Weilian etc. Or axle power, the time of structural failure is predicted by establishing drag time-varying model;Wang Yang, Yang Na are random using considering on this basis The Monte Carlo Method of parameter obtains the remaining life with certain reliability, and realization more effectively is to timber structure beam, column component The assessment of bearing capacity.But above-mentioned prediction technique, what is obtained is only the determining point time in service life, the service life under truth Inevitably there is certain discreteness.On the other hand, the security evaluation of existing building, which is not only shown, carries energy to evaluation structure Further include the assessment to malformation ability in power, and the ultimate life in the field research using reach the bearing capacity limit as Failure or failure criteria do not account for timber structure, component reaches the failure standard for deforming extreme value under serviceability limit state Then.
Summary of the invention
In consideration of it, providing one kind it is an object of the invention to the historic building structure for corrosion impact and comprehensively considering The prediction technique in two kinds of limiting condition limit inferior service life, this method more reliably predict the remaining longevity of historic building structure Life.
The present invention to achieve the above object, adopts the following technical scheme that a kind of ancient building wood knot suitable for corrosive environment Structure remaining life Predicting Reliability method, comprising the following steps:
Step S1: according to the material time-varying model under the material analysis corrosion impact of structure in service;
Step S2: bond material time-varying model establishes the Load resistance ratio for considering corrosion;Based on the Gerhards for considering corrosion Model (strength damage Accumulation Model) realizes the life prediction of timber structure bearing capacity, and utilizes Monte Carlo join probability density function Method is modified prediction result, realizes the remaining life interval prediction of structure;
Step S3: influence of the deformation values index to structure is introduced, determines the power function of deformation values, bond material time-varying mould Type, variate when obtaining considering the deformation of corrosion using finite element simulation, combined based on Weibull model (Weibull model) cover it is special The reliability life prediction of Caro method realization malformation value;
Step S4: being judged in conjunction with the failure time limit predicted under two states, and decision goes out structure and is most likely to occur failure The earliest time limit.
Further, in the step S1, the material time-varying model under corrosion impact, when including material under rotten effect Varying model and the material time-varying model under damaging by worms:
It is verified according to existing antiquated timber, variation tendency formula of the Gu Mucai under rotten effect is as follows:
d1=d0(1+t/T0)ξ (1)
In formula, d1For the Correlation of duration;d0For Correlation at this stage;T is the duration, and unit is year; T0For historical time, ξ is the index parameters for considering the development of metamorphic layer thickness, changes with the age, works as T0≤ 400a, ξ=1;400 < T0< 800a, ξ=1.5, a indicate year;
On the basis of Kachanov-Rabotnov research, it is assumed that taken place by newly-built initial stage and damaged by worms, damaged by worms Depth:
In formula, d2For the depth of damaging by worms of duration, D is the undamaged diameter of section of timber.
Further, the step S2, specifically comprises the following steps,
S21: the circular cross-section timber degradation resistance model for considering corrosion impact is established are as follows:
In formula, MuIt (t) is beam resist torque, Nu(t) axle power is resisted for column;Subscript m, c are respectively the code name of beam and column; f0,m、f1,mAnd f2,mRespectively indicate not damaged, rotten and beam section of damaging by worms bending strength, f0,c、f1,cAnd f2,cIt respectively indicates Not damaged, rotten and column section of damaging by worms compression strength value, fI, x=KQf0, x, when for beam, x takes m;When for column, x takes c;i =0,1,2;KQIndicate strength reduction factor, when corrosion-free, KQ=1, when there is corrosion, value is carried out according to corrosion class, See Table 1 for details for value;d1,mAnd d2,mRespectively indicate the rotten of beam section and depth of damaging by worms, d1,cAnd d2,cRespectively indicate the corruption of column section It loses and depth of damaging by worms;D indicates the undamaged diameter of section of component;
Table 1
Corrosion class
Reduction coefficient 0.8~1 0.6~0.8 0.4~0.6 0.2~0.4 0~0.2
S22: in strength damage Accumulation Model Gerhards model, carrying internal force and drag are replaced with into moment of flexure or axle power It is calculated, is obtained:
S indicates moment of flexure effect or axial force effect, R in formulau(t) it indicates resist torque or resists axle power;X1、X2For constant term, It is obtained by continuously being loaded until destroying in the case where not considering that section is degenerated;α is degree of injury, 0≤α≤1, when α=0 When, indicate that component is intact;As α=1, component failure is indicated;T is the duration;
The structural internal force that the timber degradation resistance model for considering corrosion and finite element simulation are obtained substitutes into formula (5), passes through The mode of numerical integration solves degree of injury α, and as degree of injury α=1, corresponding t is the remaining lifetime value T of componentu
S23: by the above-mentioned calculated result T for not considering parameter stochastic propertyuAs sample average, it is assumed that random parameter is obeyed Normal distribution, the substantially time limit to be failed by confidence interval come decision structure, generally selects 0.95 confidence level, calculates to set Believe section:
[L, U]=[Tu-1.96(σ/n1/2), Tu+1.96(σ/n1/2)] (6)
In formula, L and U respectively indicate the upper and lower bound in section, and σ is sample variance, and n is sample size.
Further, the step S3, specifically comprises the following steps:
S31: influence of the deformation values index to structure is introduced, determines the power function of deformation values:
Z (t)=[δ]-δ (t) (7)
In formula, [δ] is deformation limit value, can replace with beam deflection limit value or column inclination limit value;δ (t) is deformation, can be replaced with Beam deflection or column inclination, are obtained by finite element simulation, to establish the inclined deformation values power function of beam deflection, column;
S32: by Monte Carlo method, the failure probability P of power function Z (t) < 0 of different years is obtainedf, according to mistake Imitate probability PfReliable guideline is released, the reliable guideline of different years t is finally obtained;
Data fitting is carried out to the reliable guideline of obtained different years t, it may be determined that in Weibull model, that is, formula (8) Parameters value works as structure using the predicting residual useful life for being fitted identified Weibull model realization malformation value index When Failure type is reversible destruction, the reliable guideline of structure is equal to 0;When structure Failure type is irreversible breaking, structure Reliable guideline is equal to 1.5;β (t) the corresponding time is the ultimate life T based on deformation valuesd, Weibull model is as follows:
β (t)=a+bexp (ctd) (8)
In formula, β (t) is reliability index related to time;A, b, c and d are undetermined constant;T is the duration.
Further, in the step S4, judged in conjunction with the failure time limit predicted under two states, by service life T= min{Tu-1.96(σ/n1/2),TdFinal remaining life as structure, decision go out structure be most likely to occur failure most in one's early years Limit.
Compared to the prior art, the invention has the following advantages:
(1) present invention can provide the range intervals in structural limits service life, the i.e. confidence interval of ultimate life, lose to structure Effect provides the respective bins time, can be easier to make the decisions such as disaster prevention and strengthening by reparative method in advance;
(2) present invention considers rotten and influence that is damaging by worms to the wooden component simultaneously;
(3) present invention is other than considering bearing capacity index to the influence of structure residual life, it is also contemplated that deformation values indexs Influence to structural life-time prediction has comprehensively considered two kinds of indexs of bearing capacity value, and relatively comprehensively, life prediction criterion is more To be reasonable, strong applicability.
Detailed description of the invention
Fig. 1 is timber structure ultimate life judgment step of the present invention;
Fig. 2 is the wooden component circular cross-section corrosion depth tendency chart in the embodiment of the present invention;
Fig. 3 is finite element frame model in the embodiment of the present invention;
Fig. 4 is middle section of embodiment of the present invention grid dividing figure;
Fig. 5 is changing damage degree curve figure in the embodiment of the present invention;
Fig. 6 is central sill of embodiment of the present invention bearing capacity service life probability density function figure;
Fig. 7 is columns bearing capacity service life probability density function figure in the embodiment of the present invention;
Fig. 8 is central sill of embodiment of the present invention reliability index and time chart;
Fig. 9 is center pillar of embodiment of the present invention reliability index and time chart.
Specific embodiment
The present invention is described in detail with reference to the accompanying drawing.
As shown in Figure 1, a kind of historic building structure remaining life Predicting Reliability suitable for corrosive environment of the invention Method includes the following steps:
Step S1: according to the material time-varying model under the material analysis corrosion impact of structure in service;Including under rotten effect Material time-varying model and the material time-varying model under damaging by worms:
It is verified according to the antiquated timber for having the suitable age, variation tendency formula of the Gu Mucai under rotten effect is such as Under:
d1=d0(1+t/T0)ξ (1)
In formula, d1For the Correlation of duration;d0For Correlation at this stage;T is duration, unit a (year);T0For historical time, ξ is the index parameters for considering the development of metamorphic layer thickness, changes with the age, works as T0≤ 400a, ξ= 1;400 < T0< 800a, ξ=1.5;T0> 800a, lacks data;
In the present embodiment, when being scaled to the wooden component, it is assumed that it is uniformly rotten from outside to inside, as shown in Fig. 2, when section is When round (other side's tee section of the present invention is equally applicable), not rotten diameter is D-d1, D indicate the undamaged section of component it is straight Diameter.
On the basis of Kachanov-Rabotnov research, it is assumed that taken place by newly-built initial stage and damaged by worms, such as Fig. 2 institute Show, obtain depth of damaging by worms for circular cross-section:
In formula, d2For the depth of damaging by worms of duration.
Step S2: bond material time-varying model establishes the Load resistance ratio for considering corrosion;Based on the Gerhards for considering corrosion Model realization timber structure bearing capacity life prediction, and prediction result is carried out using Monte Carlo join probability density function method Amendment, realizes the remaining life interval prediction of structure;Specific step is as follows:
S21: the circular cross-section timber degradation resistance model for considering corrosion impact is established are as follows:
In formula, MuIt (t) is beam resist torque, Nu(t) axle power is resisted for column;Subscript m, c are respectively the code name of beam and column; f0,m、f1,mAnd f2,mRespectively indicate not damaged, rotten and beam section of damaging by worms bending strength, f0,c、f1,cAnd f2,cIt respectively indicates Not damaged, rotten and column section of damaging by worms compression strength value, fI, x=KQf0, x, when for beam, x takes m;When for column, x takes c;i =0,1,2;KQIndicate strength reduction factor, when corrosion-free, KQ=1, when there is corrosion, value is carried out according to corrosion class, See Table 1 for details for value;d1,mAnd d2,mRespectively indicate the rotten of beam section and depth of damaging by worms, d1,cAnd d2,cRespectively indicate the corruption of column section It loses and depth of damaging by worms;D indicates the undamaged diameter of section of component;
Table 1
Corrosion class
Reduction coefficient 0.8~1 0.6~0.8 0.4~0.6 0.2~0.4 0~0.2
S22: in Gerhards model, carrying internal force is replaced with into moment of flexure with drag or axle power calculates, is obtained:
S indicates moment of flexure effect or axial force effect, R in formulau(t) it indicates resist torque or resists axle power;X1、X2For constant term, It is obtained by continuously being loaded until destroying in the case where not considering that section is degenerated;α is degree of injury, 0≤α≤1, when α=0 When, indicate that component is intact;As α=1, component failure is indicated;T is the duration;
The structural internal force that the timber degradation resistance model for considering corrosion and finite element simulation are obtained substitutes into formula (5), passes through The mode of numerical integration solves degree of injury α, and as degree of injury α=1, corresponding t is the remaining lifetime value T of componentu。 For ease of description, the present invention uses historical time T0=0, similarly hereinafter;
S23: by the above-mentioned calculated result T for not considering parameter stochastic propertyuAs sample average, it is assumed that random parameter is obeyed Normal distribution, the substantially time limit to be failed by confidence interval come decision structure, generally selecting confidence level is 0.95, calculates to set Believe section:
[L, U]=[Tu-1.96(σ/n1/2), Tu+1.96(σ/n1/2)] (6)
In formula, L and U respectively indicate the upper and lower bound in section, and σ is sample variance, and n is sample size.
Step S3: influence of the deformation values index to structure is introduced, determines the power function of deformation values, bond material time-varying mould Type, using finite element simulation obtain consider corrosion deformation when variate, based on Weibull models coupling Monte Carlo method realize The reliability life prediction of malformation value;Specifically comprise the following steps:
S31: influence of the deformation values index to structure is introduced, determines the power function of deformation values:
Z (t)=[δ]-δ (t) (7)
In formula, [δ] is deformation limit value, beam deflection limit value or column inclination limit value can be replaced with, by consulting specification GB/ 50165-1992 " Technical code for maintenance and strengthing of ancient timber buildings " is obtained;δ (t) is deformation, can replace with beam deflection or column Inclination, is obtained by finite element simulation, to establish the inclined deformation values power function of beam deflection, column;
S32: by Monte Carlo method, the failure probability P of power function Z (t) < 0 of different years is obtainedf, according to mistake Imitate probability PfReliable guideline is released, the reliable guideline of different years t is finally obtained;
Data fitting is carried out to the reliable guideline of obtained different years t, it may be determined that in Weibull model, that is, formula (8) Parameters value works as structure using the predicting residual useful life for being fitted identified Weibull model realization malformation value index When Failure type is reversible destruction, the reliable guideline of structure is equal to 0;When structure Failure type is irreversible breaking, structure Reliable guideline is equal to 1.5;β (t) the corresponding time is the ultimate life T based on deformation valuesd, Weibull model is as follows:
β (t)=a+bexp (ctd) (8)
In formula, β (t) is reliability index related to time;A, b, c and d are undetermined constant;T is the duration.
Step S4: being judged in conjunction with the failure time limit predicted under two states, by service life T=min { Tu-1.96(σ/n1 /2), TdFinal remaining life as structure, decision goes out the earliest time limit that structure is most likely to occur failure.
In the present embodiment, divided using single Pin frame in an in-service practical building of ancient architecture timber structure as example Analysis, thus the validity of verification method.Finite element frame model is as shown in figure 3, model material parameter is shown in Table 2.
Table 2
In simulation process, it is as shown in Figure 4 that different zones are divided to beam section and column section.In modeling process, pass through piecemeal Section is divided into three bulks by mode (VSBV), including rotten, healthy and damage by worms;Apply the intensity value of each module respectively (EMODIFY);Three big modules are synthesized into an entirety eventually by fit mode (NUMMRG).It is obtained based on above-mentioned modeling procedure Single Pin frame finite element model, and be further applied load, obtain corresponding structural internal force and deformation values.
(1) structure for first obtaining the circular cross-section timber degradation resistance model and finite element simulation that consider corrosion impact In the Gerhards model that internal force substitution moment of flexure or axle power indicate.It obtains considering the accumulative damage of Gerhards that corrosion time-varying influences Wound model.
Degree of injury α is solved by way of numerical integration, it may be assumed that
In formula, MuIt (t) is beam resist torque, Nu(t) axle power is resisted for column;I expression node serial number number (i=1,2 ... k), Using Δ t as time interval, the reference standard based on the old timber of existing literature: for opposite pillar, X1=7.79, X2=15;Phase The X for beam1=7.29, X2=0.55.Work as αk≥1≥αk-1When, remaining operating limit T can be solvedu=k Δ t.Accordingly Changing damage degree α curve as shown in figure 5, extract degree of injury be 1 when obtain as a result, only consider corrosion condition when, wood Beam its service life mean value T under ultimate limit statesu,mFor 825a, the service life mean value T of pinu,cFor 1292a.
Using Monte Carlo method, the random parameters such as the size, intensity and load of material are made a variation using Matlab software Coefficient substitutes into the random value generated in model and substitutes into formula (11) and formula (12) progress cycle calculations, and sample size n is 1000 groups.It is logical It crosses and obtains the degree of injury curve α (t) that each sample obtains, choose bearing capacity service life t corresponding to every curve α (t)=1, The histogram of the mode settling time of equal part time interval is as shown in Figure 6 and Figure 7.
By aforementioned remaining ultimate life TuAnd the standard deviation sigma of sample obtained above, sample size n substitute into confidence interval Expression formula (6), acquires structural bearing capacity service life confidence interval are as follows: wooden frame [819,831], pin [1284,1300], unit are Year.
(2) beam mid-span deflection is defined according to GB/50165-1992 " Technical code for maintenance and strengthing of ancient timber buildings " No more than beam length l11/180, i.e. amount of deflection threshold value ω=16.67mm;Pin horizontal tilt amount is not more than the l of column length21/120, That is θ=12.5mm, table 3, table 4 are respectively the Correlation of different years wooden frame, pin, and table 5, table 6 are respectively different years wood The depth of damaging by worms of beam, pin,
Table 3
t(a) d1(m) t(a) d1(m) t(a) d1(m) t(a) d1(m) t(a) d1(m) t(a) d1(m)
0 0.01200 70 0.01527 140 0.01854 210 0.02181 400 0.03068 750 0.04702
10 0.01247 80 0.01574 150 0.01900 220 0.02227 450 0.03301 800 0.04935
20 0.01293 90 0.01620 160 0.01947 230 0.02274 500 0.03535 850 0.05169
30 0.01340 100 0.01667 170 0.01994 240 0.02321 550 0.03768
40 0.01387 110 0.01714 180 0.02041 250 0.02367 600 0.04002
50 0.01434 120 0.01760 190 0.02087 300 0.02601 650 0.04235
60 0.01480 130 0.01807 200 0.02134 350 0.02834 700 0.04469
Table 4
t(a) d1(m) t(a) d1(m) t(a) d1(m) t(a) d1(m) t(a) d1(m)
1800 0.1441 2000 0.1581 2200 0.1721 2400 0.1861 2600 0.2000
1850 0.1476 2050 0.1616 2250 0.1756 2450 0.1895
1900 0.1511 2100 0.1651 2300 0.1791 2500 0.1931
1950 0.1546 2150 0.1686 2350 0.1826 2550 0.1966
Table 5
t(a) d2(m) t(a) d2(m) t(a) d2(m) t(a) d2(m) t(a) d2(m) t(a) d2(m)
0 0.00481 70 0.00543 140 0.00598 210 0.00648 400 0.00769 750 0.00952
10 0.00490 80 0.00551 150 0.00605 220 0.00655 450 0.00798 800 0.00975
20 0.00500 90 0.00559 160 0.00613 230 0.00662 500 0.00825 850 0.00998
30 0.00508 100 0.00567 170 0.00620 240 0.00669 550 0.00852
40 0.00517 110 0.00575 180 0.00627 250 0.00675 600 0.00878
50 0.00526 120 0.00583 190 0.00634 300 0.00708 650 0.00904
60 0.00534 130 0.00590 200 0.00641 350 0.00739 700 0.00928
Table 6
t(a) d2(m) t(a) d2(m) t(a) d2(m) t(a) d2(m) t(a) d2(m)
1800 0.01633 2000 0.01710 2200 0.01785 2400 0.01856 2600 0.01924
1850 0.01653 2050 0.01729 2250 0.01803 2450 0.01873
1900 0.01672 2100 0.01748 2300 0.01820 2500 0.01890
1950 0.01691 2150 0.01766 2350 0.01838 2550 0.01907
It is substituted into finite element model using the corrosion depth of different years shown in table 3 to table 6, carries out finite element simulation and obtain To the wooden frame mid-span deflection ω (t) and pin top horizontal tilting value θ (t) of the corresponding time limit.Above-mentioned deformation threshold value and structure are become Shape value substitutes into power function formula (7), can obtain:
Z (t)=16.67- ω (t) (13)
Z (t)=12.5- θ (t) (14)
By Monte Carlo method, considers random parameter shown in table 2, obtain power function Z (t) < 0 of different years Failure probability Pf, reliable guideline can be released by the way that formula (15) is counter, the reliable guideline of different years t be finally obtained, such as table 7 It is shown the corrosion wooden frame deformation limit reliability of different years, the corrosion pin deformation limit that table 8 show different years can By degree.
β=- Φ-1(Pf) (15)
Table 7
t(a) β t(a) β t(a) β t(a) β t(a) β t(a) β
0 3.3894 70 2.9744 140 2.6961 210 2.4251 400 2.0065 750 1.3306
10 3.3175 80 2.9173 150 2.6600 220 2.3765 450 1.8153 800 1.2575
20 3.2669 90 2.8519 160 2.6414 230 2.3655 500 1.7642 850 1.1811
30 3.1984 100 2.8192 170 2.6245 240 2.3552 550 1.6856
40 3.1110 110 2.7854 180 2.5769 250 2.3450 600 1.5900
50 3.0742 120 2.7400 190 2.5459 300 2.1717 650 1.5651
60 3.0152 130 2.7178 200 2.4635 350 2.0563 700 1.4601
Table 8
t(a) β t(a) β t(a) β t(a) β t(a) β
1800 2.8867 2000 2.4659 2200 2.1814 2400 1.7107 2600 1.344
1850 2.8073 2050 2.4280 2250 2.0337 2450 1.6192
1900 2.6564 2100 2.3296 2300 1.9549 2500 1.4784
1950 2.5301 2150 2.2310 2350 1.8583 2550 1.3804
RELIABILITY INDEX in table 7 and table 8 is fitted using the Weibull prediction model that formula (8) indicate, is obtained reliable The function expression of degree and time.It for the validity for verifying prediction model, is described in detail, is had using wooden frame RELIABILITY INDEX Steps are as follows for body:
The data of 250a are fitted before selection wooden frame first, and wherein the analogue data of extraction in theoretical value every 10 years, obtains To coefficient value a1=0.166667, b1=3.236394, c1=-0.004437, d1=0.816749, reliability index can be solved Prediction model:
β (t)=0.166667+3.236394exp (- 0.004437t0.816749) (16)
The Weibull curve that fitting obtains is compared with rear 600 years analogue datas, rear 600 years analogue datas are every It extracts within 50 years once, t is the corrosion time limit (a), 0≤t≤850;
According to the reliability index regulation for the structure serviceability limit state that table 9 provides, the deformation values of structure belong to normally Structural life-time prediction index under ultimate service state, for serviceability limit state, reliability index generally should be according to knot The degree of reversibility of structure component action effect is chosen.Since the timber structure deformation values under corrosion impact are irreversible, therefore selecting can It is 1.5 boundary as power function failure by index, it is as shown in Figure 8 that the wooden frame service life can be acquired.
Table 9
It is fitted using structure reliability index of the Weibull model to preceding 250a, the calculating knot in matched curve and later period Fruit is compared, and obtained reliability index deviation is 0.03956, it can be seen that it is proposed in this paper that two kinds of results essentially coincide explanation Time-dependent ability be it is reasonable and effective, beam deformation values service life T may finally be obtainedd,mFor 656a.
The coefficient value a of pin fitting2=-4571.567461;b2=4580.872815;c2=-0.000015;d2= 0.601806,1800≤t≤2600.β (t) is reliability corresponding to the different corrosion time limits, column life prediction result such as Fig. 9 institute Show.
As can be seen that pillar takes into consideration only the horizontal-shift occurred in the case of wind load in Fig. 9, obtained prediction result Td,cFor 2511a.
(3) by the remaining life of the single Pin frame example obtained above by consideration bearing capacity value Two indices, in advance It surveys result and carries out final decision, judgement.Decision judgment formula T=min { T is utilized to beam, column component respectivelyu-1.96(σ/n1 /2), TdJudging the remaining life of beam, column component, i.e. the remaining life of beam is Tm=min { 819,656 }=656a, column The remaining life of component is Tc=min { 1284,2511 }=1284a.Based on this, it is certain reliable to obtain having for list Pin frame The remaining life of degree provides data supporting to repair work.
Although the invention has been described by way of example and in terms of the preferred embodiments, but it is not for limiting the present invention, any this field Technical staff without departing from the spirit and scope of the present invention, may be by the methods and technical content of the disclosure above to this hair Bright technical solution makes possible variation and modification, therefore, anything that does not depart from the technical scheme of the invention, and according to the present invention Technical spirit any simple modifications, equivalents, and modifications made to the above embodiment, belong to technical solution of the present invention Protection scope.The foregoing is merely presently preferred embodiments of the present invention, all impartial changes done according to scope of the present invention patent Change and modify, is all covered by the present invention.

Claims (2)

1. a kind of historic building structure remaining life Predicting Reliability method suitable for corrosive environment, which is characterized in that including Following steps:
Step S1: according to the material time-varying model under the material analysis corrosion impact of structure in service;
Material time-varying model under corrosion impact, the material time-varying mould including the material time-varying model under rotten effect and under damaging by worms Type:
It is verified according to existing antiquated timber, variation tendency formula of the Gu Mucai under rotten effect is as follows:
d1=d0(1+t/T0)ξ (1)
In formula, d1For the Correlation of duration;d0For Correlation at this stage;T is the duration, and unit is year;T0For Historical time, ξ are the index parameters for considering the development of metamorphic layer thickness, change with the age, work as T0≤ 400a, ξ=1;400 < T0 < 800a, ξ=1.5, a indicate year;
On the basis of Kachanov-Rabotnov research, it is assumed that taken place by newly-built initial stage and damaged by worms, obtain depth of damaging by worms Degree:
In formula, d2For the depth of damaging by worms of duration, D is the undamaged diameter of section of timber, need to be obtained by instrument field measurement It arrives;
Step S2: bond material time-varying model establishes the Load resistance ratio for considering corrosion;Based on the Gerhards model for considering corrosion It realizes the life prediction of timber structure bearing capacity, and prediction result is repaired using Monte Carlo join probability density function method Just, the remaining life interval prediction for realizing structure, specifically comprises the following steps,
S21: the circular cross-section timber degradation resistance model for considering corrosion impact is established are as follows:
In formula, MuIt (t) is beam resist torque, Nu(t) axle power is resisted for column;Subscript m, c are respectively the code name of beam and column;f0,m、f1,m And f2,mRespectively indicate not damaged, rotten and beam section of damaging by worms bending strength, f0,c、f1,cAnd f2,cRespectively indicate it is not damaged, Rotten and column section of damaging by worms compression strength value, fI, x=KQf0, x, when for beam, x takes m;When for column, x takes c;I=0,1,2; KQIndicate strength reduction factor, when corrosion-free, KQ=1, when there is corrosion, value is carried out according to corrosion class;d1,mAnd d2,mPoint Not Biao Shi beam section rotten and depth of damaging by worms, d1,cAnd d2,cRespectively indicate the corrosion of column section and depth of damaging by worms;D indicates component Undamaged diameter of section;
S22: in Gerhards model, carrying internal force is replaced with into moment of flexure with drag or axle power calculates, is obtained:
S indicates moment of flexure effect or axial force effect, R in formulau(t) it indicates resist torque or resists axle power;X1、X2For constant term, pass through In the case where not considering that section is degenerated, continuously load obtains until destroying;α is degree of injury, 0≤α≤1, as α=0, table Show that component is intact;As α=1, component failure is indicated;T is the duration;
The structural internal force that the timber degradation resistance model for considering corrosion and finite element simulation are obtained substitutes into formula (5), passes through numerical value The mode of integral solves degree of injury α, and as degree of injury α=1, corresponding t is the remaining lifetime value T of componentu
S23: by the remaining lifetime value T of above-mentioned componentuAs sample average, it is assumed that the equal Normal Distribution of random parameter, by setting The substantially time limit of decision structure failure is carried out in letter section, selects 0.95 confidence level, calculates to obtain confidence interval:
[L, U]=[Tu-1.96(σ/n1/2), Tu+1.96(σ/n1/2)] (6)
In formula, L and U respectively indicate the upper and lower bound in section, and σ is sample variance, and n is sample size
Step S3: introducing influence of the deformation values index to structure, determines the power function of deformation values, bond material time-varying model, Using finite element simulation obtain consider corrosion deformation when variate, based on Weibull models coupling Monte Carlo method realize knot The reliability life prediction of structure deformation values;Specifically comprise the following steps:
S31: influence of the deformation values index to structure is introduced, determines the power function of deformation values:
Z (t)=[δ]-δ (t) (7)
In formula, [δ] is deformation limit value, can replace with beam deflection limit value or column inclination limit value;δ (t) is deformation, can replace with beam and scratch Degree or column inclination, are obtained by finite element simulation, to establish the inclined deformation values power function of beam deflection, column;
S32: by Monte Carlo method, the failure probability P of power function Z (t) < 0 of different years is obtainedf, general according to failure Rate PfReliable guideline is released, the reliable guideline of various durations t is finally obtained;
Data fitting is carried out to the reliable guideline of obtained various durations t, is determined each in Weibull model i.e. formula (8) A parameter value, using the predicting residual useful life for being fitted identified Weibull model realization malformation value index, when structure is broken When bad type is reversible destruction, the reliable guideline of structure is equal to 0;When structure Failure type be irreversible breaking when, structure can It is equal to 1.5 by index β;β (t) the corresponding time is the ultimate life T based on deformation valuesd, Weibull model is as follows:
β (t)=a+bexp (ctd) (8)
In formula, β (t) is reliability index related to time;A, b, c and d are undetermined constant;T is the duration;
Step S4: being judged in conjunction with the failure time limit predicted under two states, and decision goes out structure and is most likely to occur failure most The early time limit.
2. a kind of historic building structure remaining life Predicting Reliability side suitable for corrosive environment according to claim 1 Method, which is characterized in that in the step S4, judged in conjunction with the failure time limit predicted under two states, by service life T=min {Tu-1.96(σ/n1/2), TdFinal remaining life as structure, decision goes out the earliest time limit that structure is most likely to occur failure.
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