CN106651020B - 一种基于大数据简约的短期电力负荷预测方法 - Google Patents
一种基于大数据简约的短期电力负荷预测方法 Download PDFInfo
- Publication number
- CN106651020B CN106651020B CN201611165569.9A CN201611165569A CN106651020B CN 106651020 B CN106651020 B CN 106651020B CN 201611165569 A CN201611165569 A CN 201611165569A CN 106651020 B CN106651020 B CN 106651020B
- Authority
- CN
- China
- Prior art keywords
- data
- load
- power load
- prediction
- formula
- Prior art date
- Legal status (The legal status is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the status listed.)
- Active
Links
- 238000000034 method Methods 0.000 title claims abstract description 43
- 230000009467 reduction Effects 0.000 title claims abstract description 22
- 239000013598 vector Substances 0.000 claims abstract description 19
- 238000013528 artificial neural network Methods 0.000 claims abstract description 18
- 238000000513 principal component analysis Methods 0.000 claims abstract description 14
- 238000012549 training Methods 0.000 claims abstract description 11
- 238000000605 extraction Methods 0.000 claims abstract description 5
- 230000006870 function Effects 0.000 claims description 16
- 239000011159 matrix material Substances 0.000 claims description 8
- 238000005070 sampling Methods 0.000 claims description 7
- 230000008569 process Effects 0.000 claims description 6
- 238000012546 transfer Methods 0.000 claims description 5
- 238000004422 calculation algorithm Methods 0.000 claims description 4
- 230000008602 contraction Effects 0.000 claims description 4
- 238000011156 evaluation Methods 0.000 claims description 4
- 210000002569 neuron Anatomy 0.000 claims description 4
- 238000004364 calculation method Methods 0.000 claims description 3
- 230000001186 cumulative effect Effects 0.000 claims description 3
- 230000005855 radiation Effects 0.000 claims description 3
- 238000004088 simulation Methods 0.000 claims description 3
- 150000001875 compounds Chemical class 0.000 claims description 2
- 230000007423 decrease Effects 0.000 claims description 2
- 238000012417 linear regression Methods 0.000 claims description 2
- 210000004205 output neuron Anatomy 0.000 claims description 2
- 238000013277 forecasting method Methods 0.000 claims 1
- 238000012545 processing Methods 0.000 description 4
- 230000008901 benefit Effects 0.000 description 3
- 238000010586 diagram Methods 0.000 description 3
- 230000003068 static effect Effects 0.000 description 2
- 230000006835 compression Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000007906 compression Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000007405 data analysis Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000007418 data mining Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000011161 development Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000007613 environmental effect Effects 0.000 description 1
- 230000006386 memory function Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000012986 modification Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000004048 modification Effects 0.000 description 1
- 230000035772 mutation Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000003062 neural network model Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000008054 signal transmission Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000012360 testing method Methods 0.000 description 1
Images
Classifications
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/04—Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem"
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06N—COMPUTING ARRANGEMENTS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
- G06N3/00—Computing arrangements based on biological models
- G06N3/02—Neural networks
- G06N3/08—Learning methods
- G06N3/084—Backpropagation, e.g. using gradient descent
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q50/00—Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
- G06Q50/06—Energy or water supply
Landscapes
- Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
- Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
- Economics (AREA)
- Theoretical Computer Science (AREA)
- Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
- Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
- Strategic Management (AREA)
- Human Resources & Organizations (AREA)
- General Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
- General Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
- Tourism & Hospitality (AREA)
- Marketing (AREA)
- General Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
- Software Systems (AREA)
- Primary Health Care (AREA)
- Mathematical Physics (AREA)
- Computing Systems (AREA)
- Molecular Biology (AREA)
- Evolutionary Computation (AREA)
- Data Mining & Analysis (AREA)
- Public Health (AREA)
- Water Supply & Treatment (AREA)
- Computational Linguistics (AREA)
- Biophysics (AREA)
- General Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
- Biomedical Technology (AREA)
- Artificial Intelligence (AREA)
- Life Sciences & Earth Sciences (AREA)
- Development Economics (AREA)
- Game Theory and Decision Science (AREA)
- Entrepreneurship & Innovation (AREA)
- Operations Research (AREA)
- Quality & Reliability (AREA)
- Management, Administration, Business Operations System, And Electronic Commerce (AREA)
Abstract
Description
Claims (5)
Priority Applications (1)
Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
---|---|---|---|
CN201611165569.9A CN106651020B (zh) | 2016-12-16 | 2016-12-16 | 一种基于大数据简约的短期电力负荷预测方法 |
Applications Claiming Priority (1)
Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
---|---|---|---|
CN201611165569.9A CN106651020B (zh) | 2016-12-16 | 2016-12-16 | 一种基于大数据简约的短期电力负荷预测方法 |
Publications (2)
Publication Number | Publication Date |
---|---|
CN106651020A CN106651020A (zh) | 2017-05-10 |
CN106651020B true CN106651020B (zh) | 2020-09-11 |
Family
ID=58822801
Family Applications (1)
Application Number | Title | Priority Date | Filing Date |
---|---|---|---|
CN201611165569.9A Active CN106651020B (zh) | 2016-12-16 | 2016-12-16 | 一种基于大数据简约的短期电力负荷预测方法 |
Country Status (1)
Country | Link |
---|---|
CN (1) | CN106651020B (zh) |
Families Citing this family (25)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
CN107730044A (zh) * | 2017-10-20 | 2018-02-23 | 燕山大学 | 一种可再生能源发电和负荷的混合预测方法 |
CN107665385A (zh) * | 2017-10-30 | 2018-02-06 | 上海电气集团股份有限公司 | 一种微电网***用的基于支持向量机的短期负荷预测方法 |
CN108320046A (zh) * | 2017-12-27 | 2018-07-24 | 安徽机电职业技术学院 | 短期电力负荷预测建模方法 |
CN108280545A (zh) * | 2018-01-19 | 2018-07-13 | 上海电力学院 | 一种基于k均值聚类神经网络的光伏功率预测方法 |
CN108199928B (zh) * | 2018-02-01 | 2023-09-26 | 国网湖北省电力公司信息通信公司 | 一种多维电力通信网流量预测方法及*** |
CN108416466A (zh) * | 2018-02-02 | 2018-08-17 | 西安电子科技大学 | 复杂特性影响的电力负荷预测方法、计算机信息处理*** |
CN108334988A (zh) * | 2018-02-08 | 2018-07-27 | 吕欣 | 一种基于svm的短期电网负荷预测方法 |
CN109522093A (zh) * | 2018-11-16 | 2019-03-26 | 国家电网有限公司 | 电力云虚拟机负载预测方法 |
CN109634715A (zh) * | 2018-11-16 | 2019-04-16 | 国家电网有限公司 | 虚拟机资源运行数据智能预测方法 |
CN109271975B (zh) * | 2018-11-19 | 2020-08-21 | 燕山大学 | 一种基于大数据多特征提取协同分类的电能质量扰动识别方法 |
CN109685265A (zh) * | 2018-12-21 | 2019-04-26 | 积成电子股份有限公司 | 一种电力***短期电力负荷的预测方法 |
CN110266002A (zh) * | 2019-06-20 | 2019-09-20 | 北京百度网讯科技有限公司 | 用于预测电力负荷的方法和装置 |
CN110728401B (zh) * | 2019-10-10 | 2020-11-24 | 郑州轻工业学院 | 基于松鼠杂草混合算法的神经网络短期电力负荷预测方法 |
CN111027772B (zh) * | 2019-12-10 | 2024-02-27 | 长沙理工大学 | 基于pca-dbilstm的多因素短期负荷预测方法 |
CN111191854A (zh) * | 2020-01-10 | 2020-05-22 | 上海积成能源科技有限公司 | 一种基于线性回归及神经网络的光伏发电预测模型和方法 |
CN111428926B (zh) * | 2020-03-23 | 2021-08-31 | 国网江苏省电力有限公司镇江供电分公司 | 一种考虑气象因素的区域电力负荷预测方法 |
CN111950696A (zh) * | 2020-06-29 | 2020-11-17 | 燕山大学 | 一种基于降维和改进神经网络的短期电力负荷预测方法 |
CN111980856B (zh) * | 2020-08-17 | 2021-05-18 | 燕山大学 | 基于负荷预测的储能式液压型风力发电机组调频控制方法 |
CN112200383B (zh) * | 2020-10-28 | 2024-05-17 | 宁波立新科技股份有限公司 | 一种基于改进型Elman神经网络的电力负荷预测方法 |
CN112686495A (zh) * | 2020-12-03 | 2021-04-20 | 中广核工程有限公司 | 核电厂操作员工作负荷评估方法、***、介质及电子设备 |
CN112686447B (zh) * | 2020-12-30 | 2024-05-31 | 中国海洋石油集团有限公司 | 海上油气田开发多能流耦合负荷预测方法 |
CN112696728B (zh) * | 2021-01-22 | 2021-09-17 | 北京嘉洁能科技股份有限公司 | 一种平衡用电负荷减少电力增容控制*** |
CN113719283B (zh) * | 2021-09-07 | 2023-01-17 | 武汉理工大学 | 一种矿山凿岩装备作业工时预测方法及装置 |
CN114429172A (zh) * | 2021-12-07 | 2022-05-03 | 国网北京市电力公司 | 基于变电站用户构成的负荷聚类方法、装置、设备及介质 |
CN117416243B (zh) * | 2023-12-19 | 2024-02-27 | 国网山东省电力公司日照供电公司 | 一种基于数据处理的低谷慢速充电桩及其充电方法 |
Citations (5)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
JP4059014B2 (ja) * | 2001-06-19 | 2008-03-12 | 富士電機システムズ株式会社 | プラントの最適運用方法及びプラントの最適設計方法 |
CN103294601A (zh) * | 2013-07-03 | 2013-09-11 | 中国石油大学(华东) | 一种基于选择性动态权重神经网络集成的软件可靠性预测方法 |
CN104008164A (zh) * | 2014-05-29 | 2014-08-27 | 华东师范大学 | 基于广义回归神经网络的短期腹泻病多步预测方法 |
CN105303262A (zh) * | 2015-11-12 | 2016-02-03 | 河海大学 | 一种基于核主成分分析和随机森林的短期负荷预测方法 |
CN105913175A (zh) * | 2016-04-07 | 2016-08-31 | 哈尔滨理工大学 | 基于改进神经网络算法的智能电网短期负荷预测方法 |
-
2016
- 2016-12-16 CN CN201611165569.9A patent/CN106651020B/zh active Active
Patent Citations (5)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
JP4059014B2 (ja) * | 2001-06-19 | 2008-03-12 | 富士電機システムズ株式会社 | プラントの最適運用方法及びプラントの最適設計方法 |
CN103294601A (zh) * | 2013-07-03 | 2013-09-11 | 中国石油大学(华东) | 一种基于选择性动态权重神经网络集成的软件可靠性预测方法 |
CN104008164A (zh) * | 2014-05-29 | 2014-08-27 | 华东师范大学 | 基于广义回归神经网络的短期腹泻病多步预测方法 |
CN105303262A (zh) * | 2015-11-12 | 2016-02-03 | 河海大学 | 一种基于核主成分分析和随机森林的短期负荷预测方法 |
CN105913175A (zh) * | 2016-04-07 | 2016-08-31 | 哈尔滨理工大学 | 基于改进神经网络算法的智能电网短期负荷预测方法 |
Non-Patent Citations (4)
Title |
---|
PCA_RBF网络在电力负荷预测中的应用研究;吴建龙等;《计算机仿真》;20101130;第27卷(第11期);第270-273页 * |
基于改进型Elman神经网络的短期电力负荷预测;余向前等;《ELECTRIC POWER ICT》;20141231;第12卷(第2期);第39-42页 * |
电力负荷预测神经网络模型的设计;孙文革;《科技视界》;20151231(第17期);第82-83页 * |
神经网络在电力负荷预测中的应用研究;杜莉等;《计算机仿真》;20111031;第28卷(第10期);第297-300页 * |
Also Published As
Publication number | Publication date |
---|---|
CN106651020A (zh) | 2017-05-10 |
Similar Documents
Publication | Publication Date | Title |
---|---|---|
CN106651020B (zh) | 一种基于大数据简约的短期电力负荷预测方法 | |
CN110414788B (zh) | 一种基于相似日和改进lstm的电能质量预测方法 | |
CN109063911B (zh) | 一种基于门控循环单元网络的负荷聚合体分组预测方法 | |
CN111027772B (zh) | 基于pca-dbilstm的多因素短期负荷预测方法 | |
Abrahamsen et al. | Machine learning in python for weather forecast based on freely available weather data | |
Hafeez et al. | A hybrid approach for energy consumption forecasting with a new feature engineering and optimization framework in smart grid | |
CN103793887B (zh) | 基于自适应增强算法的短期电力负荷在线预测方法 | |
CN111460001B (zh) | 一种配电网理论线损率评估方法及*** | |
Lin et al. | Temporal convolutional attention neural networks for time series forecasting | |
Sundararajan et al. | Regression and generalized additive model to enhance the performance of photovoltaic power ensemble predictors | |
CN111784061B (zh) | 一种电网工程造价预测模型的训练方法、装置和设备 | |
CN113011680A (zh) | 一种电力负荷预测方法及*** | |
CN115169746A (zh) | 基于融合模型的电力负荷短期预测方法、装置及相关介质 | |
CN110738363B (zh) | 一种光伏发电功率预测方法 | |
CN115358437A (zh) | 基于卷积神经网络的供电负荷预测方法 | |
CN114117852B (zh) | 一种基于有限差分工作域划分的区域热负荷滚动预测方法 | |
Wang et al. | Big data analytics for price forecasting in smart grids | |
CN116169670A (zh) | 一种基于改进神经网络的短期非居民负荷预测方法及*** | |
CN114676622A (zh) | 基于自编码器深度学习模型的短期光伏功率预测方法 | |
CN114254828B (zh) | 一种基于混合卷积特征提取器和gru的电力负荷预测方法 | |
CN116307746A (zh) | 基于分时体感温度相关性的lstm配变负荷预测实现方法 | |
Kumar et al. | A Comparative Analysis of Time Series and Machine Learning Models for Wind Speed Prediction | |
Wu et al. | Optimizing CNN-LSTM model for short-term PV power prediction using northern goshawk optimization | |
Yun et al. | Accurate Short-term Forecasting for Photovoltaic Power Method Using RBM Combined LSTM-RNN Structure with Weather Factors Quantification | |
Xu et al. | Water Level Prediction Based on SSA-LSTM Model |
Legal Events
Date | Code | Title | Description |
---|---|---|---|
PB01 | Publication | ||
PB01 | Publication | ||
SE01 | Entry into force of request for substantive examination | ||
SE01 | Entry into force of request for substantive examination | ||
CB03 | Change of inventor or designer information | ||
CB03 | Change of inventor or designer information |
Inventor after: Zhang Shuqing Inventor after: Yang Zhenning Inventor after: Zhang Hangfei Inventor after: Ma Can Inventor after: Li Pan Inventor after: Su Xinshuang Inventor after: Li Junfeng Inventor before: Zhang Shuqing Inventor before: Zhang Hangfei Inventor before: Ma Can Inventor before: Li Pan Inventor before: Su Xinshuang Inventor before: Li Junfeng |
|
GR01 | Patent grant | ||
GR01 | Patent grant |