CN106097094A - A kind of man-computer cooperation credit evaluation new model towards medium-sized and small enterprises - Google Patents
A kind of man-computer cooperation credit evaluation new model towards medium-sized and small enterprises Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
A kind of man-computer cooperation credit evaluation new model towards medium-sized and small enterprises, the topological structure of neutral net is determined according to the dimension in data set, the weights of BP neutral net and threshold value, data input pretreatment have an input layer, one hidden layer and the feedforward neural network of an output layer, any one nonlinear function can be approached with arbitrary accuracy, draw the classification results of PSO BP algorithm, then fuzzy synthesis Weight algorithm is used to calculate the classification results drawn according to expertise, the result finally using fuzzy synthesis Weight algorithm to draw goes to optimize the result that PSO BP algorithm draws, thus draw final classification results.Machine learning algorithm and traditional mathematical modelling algorithm are combined, the shortcoming having broken away from two kinds of algorithms, there is the unequal problem of classification when classification in machine learning algorithm, traditional mathematics modeling algorithm too relies on the experience level of expert, and new man-computer cooperation model can be good at solving the problem that both the above algorithm exists.
Description
Technical field
The present invention relates to medium-sized and small enterprises credit evaluation technical field, a kind of man-computer cooperation towards medium-sized and small enterprises is believed
Borrow assessment new model.
Background technology
At present, owing to the economic development of country is played very important effect by medium-sized and small enterprises, the development of medium-sized and small enterprises is more
More to be paid attention to by society and country, but, in the face of large-scale listed company of state-owned enterprise, medium-sized and small enterprises difficulty obtains existence from business bank
The loan of fund, also rests on the policy-related loan stage in China for the loan of medium-sized and small enterprises at present, the most real
Existing commercialization operates on a large scale.Until be interconnected net finance upsurge surround today, whether from national policy aspect still from
Bring the biggest opportunity can in social environment the development of medium-sized and small enterprises.
It practice, the research of medium-sized and small enterprises credit evaluation is paid close attention to by Chinese scholars always.Some scholars use quantitatively
Artificial intelligence approaches based on data medium-sized and small enterprises are carried out credit standing assessment, the most useful excellent based on mathematical modeling qualitatively
Change method goes to be estimated medium-sized and small enterprises credit standing.Document 1 " Liu C, Xia X.The Credit Rating of
Small and Medium Enterprises Based on Neural Network[C]//Information
Engineering and Electronic Commerce(IEEC),2010 2nd International Symposium
On.IEEE, 2010. " a kind of particle cluster algorithm optimization neural network evaluation model is proposed, and use matlab to emulate,
Make this model more more efficient accurately than traditional BP neural network model in medium-sized and small enterprises credit evaluation.Document 2 " Wang H
L.Credit Assessment for Listed Companies Based On GA-BP Model[C]
.2010International Conference on E-Health Networking.2010. " connection revised by introducing
The genetic algorithm of weighted value sets up BP neural network model, and chooses 2004 to 2007 80 listed companies as sample,
But also constructing the credit evaluation financial ind ex system of a listed company, it is higher accurate that experiment shows that this model has
Property.Document 3 " S.Zhu, X.Song, Y.Cao.Based on Multi-objective Fuzzy Decision Model to
Study Tech Micro Enterprise Financing Credit Risk Evaluation System[C]//
International Conference on Intelligent Transportation,Big Data and Smart
City.IEEE, 2015. " it is based on Fuzzy Cluster Model, Medium-Small Sized Firms of High Technology is financed credit risk with grade scoring method
Being assessed, according to the index weights of the weighted value obtained by calculating, carry out the analysis of result, it is medium and small according to new and high technology
The feature of enterprise, determines level index, and refines two-level index, finally gives the result of fuzzy evaluation.Document 4 " Hsien-
Chang Kuo,Lie-Huey Wang,Her-Jiun Sheu,et al.Credit Evaluation for Small and
Medium-sized Enterprises by the Examination of Firm-specific Financial Ratios
and Non-financial Variables:Evidence from Taiwan[J].Review of Pacific Basin
Financial Markets&Policies, 2011,06 (01): 122-125. " in, the medium-sized and small enterprises credit to Taiwan is commented
Introduce Non-financial when estimating, change the most single credit evaluation using financial data to carry out medium-sized and small enterprises.Document 5
“Zhang Y,Ji W G,Wang Y N.Modeling the credit risk for China's small and
medium-sized enterprises[C].Emergency Management and Management Sciences
(ICEMMS), 2011 2nd IEEE International Conference on.IEEE, 2011. " point out that new Basel assists
View emphasizes the necessity of loan of small and medium enterprise portfolio credit risk model, finally propose eDplains model solve bank and in
Credit risk problem between small enterprise.Document 6 " Hongli, Junchen.The credit rating of small and
medium-sized enterprises based on the grey hierarchy evaluation model[C]//
Information Science and Engineering(ICISE),20102nd International Conference
On.2010. " think in that medium-sized and small enterprises credit evaluation can only obtain and incomplete has the highest grey information, this be due to
The process of assessment is to be affected by factors such as the knowledge of expert, experience and preferences, and grey AHP assessment model can be for these
Problem well processes, to this end, it is proposed that a kind of man-computer cooperation credit evaluation new model towards medium-sized and small enterprises.
Summary of the invention
It is an object of the invention to provide a kind of man-computer cooperation credit evaluation new model towards medium-sized and small enterprises, on solving
State the problem proposed in background technology.
For achieving the above object, the present invention provides following technical scheme: a kind of man-computer cooperation credit towards medium-sized and small enterprises
Assessment new model, comprises the following steps:
S1: initialize the inertial factor of PSO algorithm, Studying factors c1, Studying factors c2, population scale, greatest iteration time
Number, the position of particle and the speed of particle;
S2: determine the topological structure of neutral net, the weights of BP neutral net and threshold value according to the dimension in data set
Population maps, and data input pretreatment have an input layer, a hidden layer and the BP Neural Network of an output layer
Network, can approach any one nonlinear function, therefore, the neutral net of one 3-tier architecture of structure with arbitrary accuracy;
S3: use the BP nerve in step S2 once to train, calculate n1The training error E of individual training sample1And n2Individual
Testing error E of test samples2, in PSO-BP algorithm, the weights of BP network and threshold value more new formula is:
Wkj(t+1)=Wkj(t)+αδkHj (1)
In above formula, HjFor the output of hidden layer, WkjT () is the hidden layer node j connection weights to output layer node k, α is for learning
Practise parameter, generally 0.1~0.9, δkFor the error signal of output layer node k, error calculation formula is:
δk=(Tk-Ok)Ok(1-Ok) (2)
TkFor the desired output of output node k, OkFor real output value, OkComputing formula is as follows:
Wherein, s is hidden layer node number, and hidden layer output computing formula is:
Wji(t+1)=Wji(t)+ασjIi (5)
In above formula, WjiFor the connection weights of input layer i to hidden layer node j, IiFor input layer i input
Value, σjFor the error signal of hidden layer node j, error calculation formula is:
θk(t+1)=θk(t)+βδk (7)
In above formula, θkFor the threshold value of output node k, β is learning parameter, generally 0.1~0.9,
θj(t+1)=θj(t)+βσj (8)
In above formula, θjFor the threshold value of hidden layer node j, shown
In above formula, n1And n2It is respectively training sample number and test samples number;WithIt is respectively training sample p1
Network output and desired output,WithIt is respectively test samples p2Network output and desired output;
S4: the weights of network are regarded as the speed of particle in PSO algorithm, and the change of twice weights is considered as the speed of particle in succession
The change of degree, finds out minimum testing error E2Time network weight, namely optimal adaptation value, in PSO algorithm to self speed and
The formula of location updating is:
Wherein, w is Inertia Weight, c1、c2For representing the constant of Studying factors, r1d、r2dFor the random number in [0,1], k is
Iterations;
S5: often trained one time, considered the Joint effect of BP and PSO, will add by BP network weight adjustment formula
The knots modification of weights;
S6: repeat above optimizing operation, the speed of more new particle and position.Stop condition is when reaching maximum appointment
During evolution number of times, now can obtain global optimum's particle position and will be mapped to that weight and the Threshold-training of initial neutral net
Neutral net;
S7: the optimum results drawn in step S6 is assigned to BP, is set the training of number of times, obtains a subseries knot
Really;
S8: obtain comprehensive weight W according to comentropy and analytic hierarchy process (AHP)jIn information Entropy Method, it is assumed that have n medium-sized and small enterprises
Loan customer, interpretational criteria is C={Ci| i=1,2 ..., n}, then entropy weight can be defined as:
GJ=1-SJ (15)
The comentropy weight summing up each criterion derived above is:
Analytic hierarchy structure is divided into destination layer A, rule layer Bk, solution layer Cn, destination layer only one of which, rule layer has k item
Mesh, solution layer has n item, according to we can obtain the characteristic vector of B layer aboveFirst we first calculate each row element
Product Mi, seek its n th RootThere is a following formula:
WillDo normalization process to obtain:
Then W=[W1 W2...Wn]rIt is exactly required characteristic vector, calculates the maximal eigenvector λ of matrixmaxAnd carry out one
Cause is checked,
In like manner obtaining C layer weight vectors matrix, obtaining AHP weight is:
WAHP=R1W (22)
Comprehensive weight is can get by above (16) formula and (22) formula:
S9: use the fuzzy processing improved, try to achieve the credit value E of each medium-sized and small enterprises, in medium-sized and small enterprises credit evaluation
There is certain fuzzy ambiguity, after the comprehensive weight of above two-level index calculates, tried to achieve by the method for Fuzzy Processing
The credit value of each medium-sized and small enterprises.After fuzzy mathematics thought introduces, after using quantitative Treatment, needs assessment medium-sized and small enterprises provide
Data constitute matrix Rj, replace the expert opinion matrix R in tradition expert judging method, show that computing formula is as follows:
Ej=Rj×Wj (24)
S10: use following Optimality Criteria to carry out the optimization of two times result:
1) if EA>EB, and in PSO-BP, A is bad enterprise, B enterprise preferably, then A has been classified as enterprise the most again;
2) if EA<EB, and A enterprise preferably in PSO-BP, B is bad enterprise, then A is classified as bad enterprise the most again;
S11: draw final optimum results more than comprehensive, provide medium-sized and small enterprises credit standing assessment result.
Compared with prior art, the invention has the beneficial effects as follows: towards the new mould of man-computer cooperation credit evaluation of medium-sized and small enterprises
Type, combines machine learning algorithm and traditional mathematical modelling algorithm, the shortcoming having broken away from two kinds of algorithms, and machine learning is calculated
There is the unequal problem of classification when classification in method, and traditional mathematics modeling algorithm too relies on the experience level of expert, and new people
Machine combination model can be good at solving the problem that both the above algorithm exists.
Accompanying drawing explanation
Fig. 1 is the flow chart of the man-computer cooperation credit evaluation new model towards medium-sized and small enterprises of the present invention;
Fig. 2 is the PSO-BP algorithm fitness curve chart of the present invention.
Detailed description of the invention
Below in conjunction with the accompanying drawing in the embodiment of the present invention, the technical scheme in the embodiment of the present invention is carried out clear, complete
Describe, it is clear that described embodiment is only a part of embodiment of the present invention rather than whole embodiments wholely.Based on
Embodiment in the present invention, it is every other that those of ordinary skill in the art are obtained under not making creative work premise
Embodiment, broadly falls into the scope of protection of the invention.
Referring to Fig. 1-2, the present invention provides a kind of technical scheme: a kind of man-computer cooperation credit evaluation towards medium-sized and small enterprises
New model, comprises the following steps:
S1: initialize the inertial factor of PSO algorithm, Studying factors c1, Studying factors c2, population scale, greatest iteration time
Number, the position of particle and the speed of particle;
S2: determine the topological structure of neutral net, the weights of BP neutral net and threshold value according to the dimension in data set
Population maps, and data input pretreatment have an input layer, a hidden layer and the BP Neural Network of an output layer
Network, can approach any one nonlinear function, therefore, the neutral net of one 3-tier architecture of structure with arbitrary accuracy;
S3: use the BP nerve in step S2 once to train, calculate n1The training error E of individual training sample1And n2Individual
Testing error E of test samples2, in PSO-BP algorithm, the weights of BP network and threshold value more new formula is:
Wkj(t+1)=Wkj(t)+αδkHj (1)
In above formula, HjFor the output of hidden layer, WkjT () is the hidden layer node j connection weights to output layer node k, α is for learning
Practise parameter, generally 0.1~0.9, δkFor the error signal of output layer node k, error calculation formula is:
δk=(Tk-Ok)Ok(1-Ok) (2)
TkFor the desired output of output node k, OkFor real output value, OkComputing formula is as follows:
Wherein, s is hidden layer node number, and hidden layer output computing formula is:
Wji(t+1)=Wji(t)+ασjIi (5)
In above formula, WjiFor the connection weights of input layer i to hidden layer node j, IiFor input layer i input
Value, σjFor the error signal of hidden layer node j, error calculation formula is:
θk(t+1)=θk(t)+βδk (7)
In above formula, θkFor the threshold value of output node k, β is learning parameter, generally 0.1~0.9,
θj(t+1)=θj(t)+βσj (8)
In above formula, θjFor the threshold value of hidden layer node j, shown
In above formula, n1And n2It is respectively training sample number and test samples number;WithIt is respectively training sample p1
Network output and desired output,WithIt is respectively test samples p2Network output and desired output;
S4: the weights of network are regarded as the speed of particle in PSO algorithm, and the change of twice weights is considered as the speed of particle in succession
The change of degree, finds out minimum testing error E2Time network weight, namely optimal adaptation value, in PSO algorithm to self speed and
The formula of location updating is:
Wherein, w is Inertia Weight, c1、c2For representing the constant of Studying factors, r1d、r2dFor the random number in [0,1], k is
Iterations;
S5: often trained one time, considered the Joint effect of BP and PSO, will add by BP network weight adjustment formula
The knots modification of weights;
S6: repeat above optimizing operation, the speed of more new particle and position.Stop condition is when reaching maximum appointment
During evolution number of times, now can obtain global optimum's particle position and will be mapped to that weight and the Threshold-training of initial neutral net
Neutral net;
S7: the optimum results drawn in step S6 is assigned to BP, is set the training of number of times, obtains a subseries knot
Really;
S8: obtain comprehensive weight W according to comentropy and analytic hierarchy process (AHP)jIn information Entropy Method, it is assumed that have n medium-sized and small enterprises
Loan customer, interpretational criteria is C={Ci| i=1,2 ..., n}, then entropy weight can be defined as:
GJ=1-SJ (15)
The comentropy weight summing up each criterion derived above is:
Analytic hierarchy structure is divided into destination layer A, rule layer Bk, solution layer Cn, destination layer only one of which, rule layer has k item
Mesh, solution layer has n item, according to we can obtain the characteristic vector of B layer aboveFirst we first calculate each row element
Product Mi, seek its n th RootThere is a following formula:
WillDo normalization process to obtain:
Then W=[W1 W2...Wn]rIt is exactly required characteristic vector, calculates the maximal eigenvector λ of matrixmaxAnd carry out one
Cause is checked,
In like manner obtaining C layer weight vectors matrix, obtaining AHP weight is:
WAHP=R1W (22)
Comprehensive weight is can get by above (16) formula and (22) formula:
S9: use the fuzzy processing improved, try to achieve the credit value E of each medium-sized and small enterprises, in medium-sized and small enterprises credit evaluation
There is certain fuzzy ambiguity, after the comprehensive weight of above two-level index calculates, tried to achieve by the method for Fuzzy Processing
The credit value of each medium-sized and small enterprises.After fuzzy mathematics thought introduces, after using quantitative Treatment, needs assessment medium-sized and small enterprises provide
Data constitute matrix Rj, replace the expert opinion matrix R in tradition expert judging method, show that computing formula is as follows:
Ej=Rj×Wj (24)
S10: use following Optimality Criteria to carry out the optimization of two times result:
1) if EA>EB, and in PSO-BP, A is bad enterprise, B enterprise preferably, then A has been classified as enterprise the most again;
2) if EA<EB, and A enterprise preferably in PSO-BP, B is bad enterprise, then A is classified as bad enterprise the most again;
S11: draw final optimum results more than comprehensive, provide medium-sized and small enterprises credit standing assessment result.
In view of the consideration to algorithm robustness, use three times of standard deviation methods of inspection to abnormal number in the legacy data obtained
According to effectively rejecting, obtain initial data.Raw data set one has 32 attributes, by refering to document and related data with
And four fiduciary loan index systems of big nationalized bank, use Best first search feature searching algorithm to evaluate letter with CFS
Number finds out optimal feature subset, thus by 32 attributes according to Industry situation, financial risk, non-financial risk and situation of honouring an agreement
Simplify 14 attributes.Consider national policy aspect and the parameter of industry development aspect first.The present invention at PSO-BP and
In genetic-neural algorithm, two parts of data sets being carried out effective contrast verification, a copy of it does not contains country's Industry Policy and industry is sent out
Exhibition trend attribute, the result finally drawn display uses the classification accuracy ratio that the data set experiment containing above two attributes is last
The classification accuracy of the data set not containing above two attributes improves nearly 1%.
Although an embodiment of the present invention has been shown and described, for the ordinary skill in the art, permissible
Understand and these embodiments can be carried out multiple change without departing from the principles and spirit of the present invention, revise, replace
And modification, the scope of the present invention be defined by the appended.
Claims (1)
1. the man-computer cooperation credit evaluation new model towards medium-sized and small enterprises, it is characterised in that: comprise the following steps:
S1: initialize the inertial factor of PSO algorithm, Studying factors c1, Studying factors c2, population scale, maximum iteration time, grain
The position of son and the speed of particle;
S2: determine the topological structure of neutral net, the weights of BP neutral net and the particle of threshold value according to the dimension in data set
Group maps, and data input pretreatment have an input layer, a hidden layer and the feedforward neural network of an output layer, can
To approach any one nonlinear function, therefore, the neutral net of one 3-tier architecture of structure with arbitrary accuracy;
S3: use the BP nerve in step S2 once to train, calculate n1The training error E of individual training sample1And n2Individual inspection
Testing error E of sample2, in PSO-BP algorithm, the weights of BP network and threshold value more new formula is:
Wkj(t+1)=Wkj(t)+αδkHj (1)
In above formula, HjFor the output of hidden layer, WkjT () is the hidden layer node j connection weights to output layer node k, α is study ginseng
Number, generally 0.1~0.9, δkFor the error signal of output layer node k, error calculation formula is:
δk=(Tk-Ok)Ok(1-Ok) (2)
TkFor the desired output of output node k, OkFor real output value, OkComputing formula is as follows:
Wherein, s is hidden layer node number, and hidden layer output computing formula is:
Wji(t+1)=Wji(t)+ασjIi (5)
In above formula, WjiFor the connection weights of input layer i to hidden layer node j, IiFor the value of input layer i input, σjFor
The error signal of hidden layer node j, error calculation formula is:
θk(t+1)=θk(t)+βδk (7)
In above formula, θkFor the threshold value of output node k, β is learning parameter, generally 0.1~0.9,
θj(t+1)=θj(t)+βσj (8)
In above formula, θjFor the threshold value of hidden layer node j, shown
In above formula, n1And n2It is respectively training sample number and test samples number;WithIt is respectively training sample p1Network
Output and desired output,WithIt is respectively test samples p2Network output and desired output;
S4: the weights of network are regarded as the speed of particle in PSO algorithm, and the change of twice weights is considered as the speed of particle in succession
Change, find out minimum testing error E2Time network weight, namely optimal adaptation value, to self speed and position in PSO algorithm
The formula updated is:
Wherein, w is Inertia Weight, c1、c2For representing the constant of Studying factors, r1d、r2dFor the random number in [0,1], k is iteration
Number of times;
S5: often trained one time, considered the Joint effect of BP and PSO, will adjust formula plus weights by BP network weight
Knots modification;
S6: repeat above optimizing operation, the speed of more new particle and position.Stop condition is when reaching maximum appointment evolution
During number of times, now can obtain global optimum's particle position and will be mapped to that the weight of initial neutral net and Threshold-training are neural
Network;
S7: the optimum results drawn in step S6 is assigned to BP, is set the training of number of times, obtains a classification results;
S8: obtain comprehensive weight W according to comentropy and analytic hierarchy process (AHP)jIn information Entropy Method, it is assumed that have n loan of small and medium enterprise
Client, interpretational criteria is C={Ci| i=1,2 ..., n}, then entropy weight can be defined as:
GJ=1-SJ (15)
The comentropy weight summing up each criterion derived above is:
Analytic hierarchy structure is divided into destination layer A, rule layer Bk, solution layer Cn, destination layer only one of which, rule layer has k project,
Solution layer has n item, according to we can obtain the characteristic vector of B layer aboveFirst we first calculate each row element
Product Mi, seek its n th RootThere is a following formula:
WillDo normalization process to obtain:
Then W=[W1 W2 ... Wn]rIt is exactly required characteristic vector, calculates the maximal eigenvector λ of matrixmaxAnd carry out consistent
Property inspection,
In like manner obtaining C layer weight vectors matrix, obtaining AHP weight is:
WAHP=R1W (22)
Comprehensive weight is can get by above (16) formula and (22) formula:
S9: use the fuzzy processing improved, try to achieve the credit value E of each medium-sized and small enterprises, exists in medium-sized and small enterprises credit evaluation
Certain fuzzy ambiguity, after the comprehensive weight of above two-level index calculates, tries to achieve each by the method for Fuzzy Processing
The credit value of medium-sized and small enterprises.After fuzzy mathematics thought introduces, after using quantitative Treatment, the data that needs assessment medium-sized and small enterprises provide
Constitute matrix Rj, replace the expert opinion matrix R in tradition expert judging method, show that computing formula is as follows:
Ej=Rj×Wj (24)
S10: use following Optimality Criteria to carry out the optimization of two times result:
1) if EA>EB, and in PSO-BP, A is bad enterprise, B enterprise preferably, then A has been classified as enterprise the most again;
2) if EA<EB, and A enterprise preferably in PSO-BP, B is bad enterprise, then A is classified as bad enterprise the most again;
S11: draw final optimum results more than comprehensive, provide medium-sized and small enterprises credit standing assessment result.
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Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
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CN107256426A (en) * | 2017-06-19 | 2017-10-17 | 湖北省食品药品监督检验研究院 | A kind of drug safety confidence index system and construction method based on intelligent algorithm |
CN107886425A (en) * | 2017-10-25 | 2018-04-06 | 上海壹账通金融科技有限公司 | Credit evaluation method, apparatus, equipment and computer-readable recording medium |
CN108765137A (en) * | 2018-05-30 | 2018-11-06 | 中智诚征信有限公司 | A kind of credit demand prediction technique and system, storage medium |
CN110704478A (en) * | 2019-10-14 | 2020-01-17 | 南京我爱我家信息科技有限公司 | Method for checking existence of sensitive data in data |
CN113743817A (en) * | 2021-09-14 | 2021-12-03 | 福建三钢闽光股份有限公司 | Enterprise credit rating evaluation method based on cloud platform |
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2016
- 2016-06-12 CN CN201610405266.3A patent/CN106097094A/en active Pending
Cited By (6)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
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CN107256426A (en) * | 2017-06-19 | 2017-10-17 | 湖北省食品药品监督检验研究院 | A kind of drug safety confidence index system and construction method based on intelligent algorithm |
CN107256426B (en) * | 2017-06-19 | 2020-09-29 | 湖北省食品药品监督检验研究院 | Medicine safety confidence index system based on intelligent algorithm and construction method |
CN107886425A (en) * | 2017-10-25 | 2018-04-06 | 上海壹账通金融科技有限公司 | Credit evaluation method, apparatus, equipment and computer-readable recording medium |
CN108765137A (en) * | 2018-05-30 | 2018-11-06 | 中智诚征信有限公司 | A kind of credit demand prediction technique and system, storage medium |
CN110704478A (en) * | 2019-10-14 | 2020-01-17 | 南京我爱我家信息科技有限公司 | Method for checking existence of sensitive data in data |
CN113743817A (en) * | 2021-09-14 | 2021-12-03 | 福建三钢闽光股份有限公司 | Enterprise credit rating evaluation method based on cloud platform |
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