CN105022893B - Alternating-current charging pile system trouble analysis method - Google Patents

Alternating-current charging pile system trouble analysis method Download PDF

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CN105022893B
CN105022893B CN201510489121.1A CN201510489121A CN105022893B CN 105022893 B CN105022893 B CN 105022893B CN 201510489121 A CN201510489121 A CN 201510489121A CN 105022893 B CN105022893 B CN 105022893B
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charging pile
current charging
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CN105022893A (en
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杜江
王君
邢亮
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Hebei University of Technology
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Abstract

Alternating-current charging pile system trouble analysis method of the present invention, is related to the analysis of electric fault, and step is to establish alternating-current charging pile fault Tree:Top event branch intermediate event branch bottom event again;Determine the logical relation between event in alternating-current charging pile fault Tree;Qualitative and quantitative analysis is carried out to the logical relation between event in alternating-current charging pile fault Tree, tries to achieve the probability of top event T generations;The inventive method is that electric automobile reliably provides guarantee with alternating-current charging pile to charge.

Description

Alternating-current charging pile system trouble analysis method
Technical field
Technical scheme is related to the analysis of electric fault, specifically alternating-current charging pile system trouble analysis side Method.
Background technology
The fuel charger being functionally similar in gas station of alternating-current charging pile, can be fixed on the ground, be installed on public build Build, in public building, market, Public Parking, residential area parking lot or the charging station that specially sets, be mainly supplied to car The electric automobile for carrying charger uses.The input of alternating-current charging pile is directly connected to AC network, and output end is equipped with charging Plug, for for charging electric vehicle.Alternating-current charging pile display screen can show charging modes, charge volume, charging interval and expense Etc. information data, on the man-machine interactive interface that alternating-current charging pile provides, then it can carry out charging modes, charge volume, fill The printing of the information data such as electric time and expense.
Alternating-current charging pile is the conventional auxiliary facility of charging electric vehicle, due to the convenient use of alternating-current charging pile, at present Each state is all in actively development alternating-current charging pile construction.China is also in some flourishing cities, such as Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen at present 13 cities establish the pilot of alternating-current charging pile.As can be seen here, alternating-current charging pile development trend is swift and violent, but in test It was found that faulty generation during the meeting of alternating-current charging pile system.It is right in order to ensure that electric automobile is reliably charged with alternating-current charging pile The research of alternating-current charging pile reliability just seems particularly significant, wherein the accident analysis especially to alternating-current charging pile system.
The content of the invention
The technical problems to be solved by the invention are:Alternating-current charging pile system trouble analysis method is provided, is that one kind is based on The alternating-current charging pile system trouble analysis method of fault tree, establishing " causes alternating-current charging pile system that the event of job failure occurs Fault tree " (below referred to as " alternating-current charging pile fault Tree "), therefrom determine the logical relation between these events, then Qualitative and quantitative analysis is carried out to the logical relation between event, so as to calculate the general of alternating-current charging pile system failure generation Rate.
Technical scheme is used by the present invention solves the technical problem:Alternating-current charging pile system trouble analysis method, it is A kind of alternating-current charging pile system trouble analysis method based on fault tree, step are as follows:
The first step, establish alternating-current charging pile fault Tree:
(1) top event is established:Top event be alternating-current charging pile system there occurs job failure, represent top event with T;
(2) intermediate event is established:Intermediate event is the reason for causing top event to occur event, and intermediate event collection is represented with E Close, intermediate event set E includes three one-level intermediate events:Main circuit failure E1, control circuit failure E2 and man-machine interaction electricity Road failure E3;There are things among four two levels in the reason for wherein causing one-level intermediate event control circuit failure E2 to occur event Part:Switching value failure E21, master control borad fault E22, CAN interface fault E23 and imput output circuit failure E24, cause two There is a three-level intermediate event in the reason for level intermediate event master control borad fault E22 occurs event:Reset failure E221;
(3) bottom event is determined:The bottom event is the reason for causing intermediate event to occur event, and causes top event to be sent out The reason for raw most initial event, the set of bottom event is represented with X, the set X of bottom event includes circuit breaker failure X1, intelligence electricity Table failure X2, contactor failure X3, fuse failure X4, surge arrester failure X5, relay failure X6, scram button failure X7, Indicate lamp failure X8, keyboard failure X9, card reader failure X10, liquid crystal display failure X11, mechanical switch amount failure X12, numeral letter Number switching value failure X13,5V power failure X14, MPU failure X15, hand-reset failure X16, the failure that automatically resets X17, with it is upper Position machine interface circuit failure X18 and BMS interface fault X19, acquisition of information circuit failure X20, display circuit failure X21 With system power supply failure X22;
(4) alternating-current charging pile fault Tree is established:AC charging is established by fault tree system analysis computer software Stake fault Tree, the structure of the fault tree are divided into four parts, and Part I is by top event T and its three branch one-levels Between event:Main circuit failure E1, control circuit failure E2, man-machine interaction fault E3 and a bottom event are system power supply event Hinder X22 to form;Part II is by one-level intermediate event main circuit failure E1 and its five branch bottom events:Circuit breaker failure X1, intelligent electric meter failure X2, contactor failure X3, fuse failure X4 and surge arrester failure X5 are formed;Part III is from one-level Start branch at intermediate event control circuit failure E2, three layers of continuous branch, wherein, first layer includes one-level intermediate event control Fault E2 processed four branch two level intermediate events:Switching value failure E21, master control borad fault E22, the event of CAN interface circuit Hinder E23, imput output circuit failure E24 and two branch bottom events:Relay failure X6 and scram button failure X7;The second layer Include two level intermediate event switching value failure E21 two branch bottom events:Mechanical switch amount failure X12 and data signal are opened Pass amount failure X13, a two level intermediate event master control borad fault E22 branch three-level intermediate event reset failure E221 and two Branch bottom event:5V power failures X14 and MPU failures X15, two level intermediate event CAN interface fault E23 two branches Bottom event:With host computer interface circuit failure X18 and with BMS interface fault X19 and two level intermediate event input and output Fault E24 two branch bottom events:Acquisition of information circuit failure X20 and display circuit failure X21;Third layer includes three Level intermediate event resets failure E221 two branch bottom events:The hand-reset failure X16 and failure X17 that automatically resets;4th Partly by one-level intermediate event man-machine interaction fault E3 four branch bottom events:Indicate lamp failure X8, keyboard failure X9, Card reader failure X10 and liquid crystal display failure X11 is formed;
Second step, determine the logical relation between event in alternating-current charging pile fault Tree:
The logical relation that the first step is established in alternating-current charging pile fault Tree between event refers to intermediate event each other Between, between intermediate event and bottom event, logical AND or logic or relation between bottom event, specifically include:Middle thing It is logic or relation between part E1, intermediate event E2, intermediate event E3 and bottom event X22, bottom event X1, bottom event X2, bottom thing It is logic or relation between part X3, bottom event X4, bottom event X5, bottom event X8, bottom event X9, bottom event X10, bottom event X11 Between be logic or relation, intermediate event E21, intermediate event E22, intermediate event E23, intermediate event E24 and bottom event X6, bottom It is logic or relation between event X7, is logic or relation between bottom event X12, bottom event X13, intermediate event E221 and bottom thing It is logic or relation between part X14, bottom event X15, is logic or relation between bottom event X18, bottom event X19, bottom event It is logical AND relation between X20, bottom event X21, is logical AND relation between bottom event X16, bottom event X17;
3rd step, qualitative and quantitative point is carried out to the logical relation between event in alternating-current charging pile fault Tree Analysis, try to achieve the probability of top event T generations:
(1) qualitative analysis is carried out to the logical relation between event in alternating-current charging pile fault Tree:
From above-mentioned second step, alternating-current charging pile system occurs in the fault tree of the event of job failure between event Only comprising OR gate and be all mutual statistical independence with door, all bottom events in logical relation, therefore the fault tree is dull in parallel Fault tree, thus fault tree calculates minimal cut set, and minimal cut set is analyzed, and is to the alternating-current charging pile system failure Logical relation in tree between event carries out qualitative analysis, calculates minimal cut set using descending method, its step is:From top event T Start, step by step with the door event in incoming event permutation table, running into OR gate, then incoming event respectively accounts for a line, runs into and is then inputted with door Event writes same a line, and all intermediate event E are replaced as stopping during bottom event X in table, remove repetition unnecessary in each row Event and repeat go, obtain the cut set of fault tree, all cut sets be compared to each other, remove by comprising cut set, it is remaining to be exactly Whole minimal cut sets of above-mentioned fault tree, including following 20:{X1}、{X2}、{X3}、{X4}、{X5}、{X6}、{X7}、 { X8 }, { X9 }, { X10 }, { X13 }, { X14 }, { X15 }, { X16, X17 }, { X18 }, { X19 }, { X20, X21 } and { X22 }, composition The number of the bottom event of minimal cut set is the exponent number of minimal cut set, then wherein single order minimal cut set 18, second order minimal cut set 2 Individual, single order minimal cut set only has a bottom event, and the bottom event may result in the alternating-current charging pile system failure, therefore be The object paid close attention in fail-safe analysis, also it is the weak link of system, the weakness of above-mentioned alternating-current charging pile system reliability Link is:X1~X15, X18, X19 and X22;
(2) quantitative analysis is carried out to the logical relation between event in alternating-current charging pile fault Tree, tries to achieve top event T Probability of happening be calculate the alternating-current charging pile system failure generation probability:
According to the minimal cut set of above-mentioned determination, the fault tree of the event of alternating-current charging pile system generation job failure is obtained Structure function is defined as:
In formula (1), Y (t) is the state vector of system, i.e., the chance event that bottom event X occurs in t,
When all minimal cut sets of known above-mentioned fault tree, and during the probability of known each bottom event X generations, then all Under conditions of bottom event X is separate, quantitative calculating will be carried out to the fault tree, will be tried to achieve using the addition formula method of probability useful Part T probability of happening Fs(t), process is as follows:
The invalid cost type of each component units of alternating-current charging pile system is exponential distribution, when in known minimal cut set The maximum fault rate λ of each elementary cellxWhen, and by can repair for event calculated, calculation formula is:
In formula (2), Fx(t) the unreliable degree occurred for bottom event X, μxBottom event X repair rate, for simplification, make μx= 0.0001/ year, then calculate top event T probability of happening Fs(t) formula is as follows:
The calculating in quantitative analysis is carried out to the logical relation between event in above-mentioned alternating-current charging pile fault Tree to adopt Completed with computer.
Above-mentioned alternating-current charging pile system trouble analysis method, the alternating-current charging pile system is mainly by power subsystem, main electricity Road unit, control unit, man-machine interaction unit and communication unit composition, are known;The fault tree system analysis computer Software is also known, from CAFTA fault Tree fail-safe analyses V1.3.
The beneficial effects of the invention are as follows:The substantive distinguishing features for the protrusion that the present invention has and marked improvement are that the present invention is A kind of alternating-current charging pile system trouble analysis method based on fault tree, establishes alternating-current charging pile fault Tree, therefrom determines Logical relation between these events, then qualitative and quantitative analysis is carried out to the logical relation between event, so as to calculate The probability that the alternating-current charging pile system failure occurs.Further illustrate is that the present invention is according to the alternating-current charging pile system failure Statistics and analysis, the fault tree of its critical component is constructed, carried out qualitative analysis using descending method, it is determined that each bottom event pair The influence degree of top event, the minimal cut set of alternating-current charging pile system is obtained, exchange is being filled using additive law of probability method Electric stake system has done Quantitative Reliability calculating, has obtained the probability structure importance data of basic component units in minimal cut set, Have found influences the principal element of alternating-current charging pile system reliability, for improve its reliability and service life provide it is important according to According to, for recognize its failure generation rule, predict failure generation, improve system operation reliability lay a good foundation.
Brief description of the drawings
The present invention is further described with reference to the accompanying drawings and examples.
Fig. 1 is the first floor schematic diagram of the alternating-current charging pile fault Tree of the present invention.
Fig. 2 is the fault tree schematic diagram of main circuit failure E1 in Fig. 1.
Fig. 3 is the fault tree schematic diagram of control circuit failure E2 in Fig. 1.
Fig. 4 is the fault tree schematic diagram of man-machine interaction fault E3 in Fig. 1.
Embodiment
Embodiment illustrated in fig. 1 shows that the structure of the first floor of alternating-current charging pile fault Tree of the invention is:Top event T There are three branch one-level intermediate events:Main circuit failure E1, control circuit failure E2, man-machine interaction fault E3 and a bottom Event system power failure X22;It is logic or pass between intermediate event E1, intermediate event E2, intermediate event E3 and bottom event X22 System.
Embodiment illustrated in fig. 2 shows that the structure of the main circuit failure E1 fault trees in the present invention is:One-level intermediate event master Fault E1 has five branch bottom events:Circuit breaker failure X1, intelligent electric meter failure X2, contactor failure X3, fuse event Hinder X4 and surge arrester failure X5;Between bottom event X1, bottom event X2, bottom event X3, bottom event X4 and bottom event X5 for logic or Relation.
Embodiment illustrated in fig. 3 shows that the structure of the control circuit failure E2 fault trees in the present invention is:Thing among from one-level Branch is begun with part control circuit failure E2, continuous branch turns into three layers, wherein, first layer controls including one-level intermediate event Fault E2 four branch two level intermediate events:Switching value failure E21, master control borad fault E22, CAN interface fault E23, imput output circuit failure E24 and two branch bottom events:Relay failure X6 and scram button failure X7, intermediate event It is logic or relation between E21, intermediate event E22, intermediate event E23, intermediate event E24, bottom event X6 and bottom event X7; The second layer includes two level intermediate event switching value failure E21 two branch bottom events:Mechanical switch amount failure X12 and numeral Signaling switch amount failure X13, a two level intermediate event master control borad fault E22 branch three-level intermediate event reset failure E221 With two branch bottom events:5V power failures X14 and MPU failures X15, the two of two level intermediate event CAN interface fault E23 Individual branch bottom event:It is with host computer interface circuit failure X18 and defeated with BMS interface fault X19 and two level intermediate event Enter output circuit failure E24 two branch bottom events:Acquisition of information circuit failure X20 and display circuit failure X21;Bottom event Be logic or relation between X12 and bottom event X13, between intermediate event E221, bottom event X14 and bottom event X15 for logic or Relation, it is logic or relation between bottom event X18 and bottom event X19, is closed between bottom event X20 and bottom event X21 for logical AND System;Third layer includes two branch bottom events that three-level intermediate event resets failure E221:Hand-reset failure X16 answers with automatic Position failure X17;It is logical AND relation between bottom event X16 and bottom event X17.
Embodiment illustrated in fig. 4 shows that the structure of man-machine interaction fault E3 fault trees of the invention is:Thing among one-level Part man-machine interaction fault E3 has four branch bottom events:Indicate lamp failure X8, keyboard failure X9, card reader failure X10 and Liquid crystal display failure X11;It is logic or relation between bottom event X8, bottom event X9, bottom event X10 and bottom event X11.
Square in above-mentioned figure represents intermediate event, ellipse representation bottom event.
Embodiment 1
The alternating-current charging pile system trouble analysis method of the present embodiment, it is a kind of alternating-current charging pile system based on fault tree Failure analysis methods, step are as follows:
The first step, establish alternating-current charging pile fault Tree:
(1) top event is established:Top event be alternating-current charging pile system there occurs job failure, represent top event with T;
(2) intermediate event is established:Intermediate event is the reason for causing top event to occur event, and intermediate event collection is represented with E Close, intermediate event set E includes three one-level intermediate events:Main circuit failure E1, control circuit failure E2 and man-machine interaction electricity Road failure E3;There are things among four two levels in the reason for wherein causing one-level intermediate event control circuit failure E2 to occur event Part:Switching value failure E21, master control borad fault E22, CAN interface fault E23 and imput output circuit failure E24, cause two There is a three-level intermediate event in the reason for level intermediate event master control borad fault E22 occurs event:Reset failure E221;
(3) bottom event is determined:The bottom event is the reason for causing intermediate event to occur event, and causes top event to be sent out The reason for raw most initial event, the set of bottom event is represented with X, the set X of bottom event includes circuit breaker failure X1, intelligence electricity Table failure X2, contactor failure X3, fuse failure X4, surge arrester failure X5, relay failure X6, scram button failure X7, Indicate lamp failure X8, keyboard failure X9, card reader failure X10, liquid crystal display failure X11, mechanical switch amount failure X12, numeral letter Number switching value failure X13,5V power failure X14, MPU failure X15, hand-reset failure X16, the failure that automatically resets X17, with it is upper Position machine interface circuit failure X18 and BMS interface fault X19, acquisition of information circuit failure X20, display circuit failure X21 With system power supply failure X22;
(4) alternating-current charging pile fault Tree is established:Establish and exchange by fault tree system analysis computer software-FTAS Charging pile system fault tree, the structure of the fault tree are divided into four parts, and Part I is by top event T and its three branches one Level intermediate event:Main circuit failure E1, control circuit failure E2, man-machine interaction fault E3 and a bottom event are system electricity Source failure X22 is formed;Part II is by one-level intermediate event main circuit failure E1 and its five branch bottom events:Breaker event Hinder X1, intelligent electric meter failure X2, contactor failure X3, fuse failure X4 and surge arrester failure X5 to form;Part III is from one Level intermediate event control circuit failure E2 place's beginning branches, three layers of continuous branch, wherein, first layer includes one-level intermediate event Control circuit failure E2 four branch two level intermediate events:Switching value failure E21, master control borad fault E22, CAN interface circuit Failure E23, imput output circuit failure E24 and two branch bottom events:Relay failure X6 and scram button failure X7;Second Layer includes two level intermediate event switching value failure E21 two branch bottom events:Mechanical switch amount failure X12 and data signal Switching value failure X13, a two level intermediate event master control borad fault E22 branch three-level intermediate event reset failure E221 and two Individual branch bottom event:5V power failures X14 and MPU failures X15, two points of two level intermediate event CAN interface fault E23 Branch bottom event:It is with host computer interface circuit failure X18 and defeated with BMS interface fault X19 and the input of two level intermediate event Go out fault E24 two branch bottom events:Acquisition of information circuit failure X20 and display circuit failure X21;Third layer includes Three-level intermediate event resets failure E221 two branch bottom events:The hand-reset failure X16 and failure X17 that automatically resets;The Four parts by one-level intermediate event man-machine interaction fault E3 four branch bottom events:Indicate lamp failure X8, keyboard failure X9, card reader failure X10 and liquid crystal display failure X11 are formed;
Second step, determine the logical relation between event in alternating-current charging pile fault Tree:
The logical relation that the first step is established in alternating-current charging pile fault Tree between event refers to intermediate event each other Between, between intermediate event and bottom event, logical AND or logic or relation between bottom event, specifically include:Middle thing It is logic or relation between part E1, intermediate event E2, intermediate event E3 and bottom event X22, bottom event X1, bottom event X2, bottom thing It is logic or relation between part X3, bottom event X4, bottom event X5, bottom event X8, bottom event X9, bottom event X10, bottom event X11 Between be logic or relation, intermediate event E21, intermediate event E22, intermediate event E23, intermediate event E24 and bottom event X6, bottom It is logic or relation between event X7, is logic or relation between bottom event X12, bottom event X13, intermediate event E221 and bottom thing It is logic or relation between part X14, bottom event X15, is logic or relation between bottom event X18, bottom event X19, bottom event It is logical AND relation between X20, bottom event X21, is logical AND relation between bottom event X16, bottom event X17;
3rd step, qualitative and quantitative point is carried out to the logical relation between event in alternating-current charging pile fault Tree Analysis, try to achieve the probability of top event T generations:
(1) qualitative analysis is carried out to the logical relation between event in alternating-current charging pile fault Tree:
From above-mentioned second step, alternating-current charging pile system occurs in the fault tree of the event of job failure between event Only comprising OR gate and be all mutual statistical independence with door, all bottom events in logical relation, therefore the fault tree is dull in parallel Fault tree, thus fault tree calculates minimal cut set, and minimal cut set is analyzed, and is to the alternating-current charging pile system failure Logical relation in tree between event carries out qualitative analysis, calculates minimal cut set using descending method, its step is:From top event T Start, step by step with the door event in incoming event permutation table, running into OR gate, then incoming event respectively accounts for a line, runs into and is then inputted with door Event writes same a line, and all intermediate event E are replaced as stopping during bottom event X in table, remove repetition unnecessary in each row Event and repeat go, obtain the cut set of fault tree, all cut sets be compared to each other, remove by comprising cut set, it is remaining to be exactly Whole minimal cut sets of above-mentioned fault tree, including following 20:{X1}、{X2}、{X3}、{X4}、{X5}、{X6}、{X7}、 { X8 }, { X9 }, { X10 }, { X13 }, { X14 }, { X15 }, { X16, X17 }, { X18 }, { X19 }, { X20, X21 } and { X22 }, composition The number of the bottom event of minimal cut set is the exponent number of minimal cut set, then wherein single order minimal cut set 18, second order minimal cut set 2 Individual, single order minimal cut set only has a bottom event, and the bottom event may result in the alternating-current charging pile system failure, therefore be The object paid close attention in fail-safe analysis, also it is the weak link of system, the weakness of above-mentioned alternating-current charging pile system reliability Link is:X1~X15, X18, X19 and X22;
It is above-mentioned to ask the process of the Minimizing Cut Sets of Fault Trees as shown in table 1 using descending hair method.
The descending method of table 1 seeks Minimizing Cut Sets of Fault Trees
In table, step 5 is all minimal cut sets for the alternating-current charging pile system that descending method obtains, totally 20.And form most The number of the bottom event of small cut set is the exponent number of minimal cut set, then wherein single order minimal cut set 18, second order minimal cut set 2. Single order minimal cut set only has a bottom event, and the bottom event may result in the system failure, therefore be in fail-safe analysis The object paid close attention to, also it is the weak link of system.
(2) quantitative analysis is carried out to the logical relation between event in alternating-current charging pile fault Tree, tries to achieve top event T Probability of happening be calculate the alternating-current charging pile system failure generation probability:
Understand that the successful criterion of system is by the qualitative analysis of fault tree:It is as long as there is a minimal cut set, then useful Part necessarily occurs.The state of system can be so represented with the structure function of minimal cut set.According to the minimal cut set of above-mentioned determination, The structure function for obtaining the fault tree of the event of alternating-current charging pile system generation job failure is defined as:
In formula (1), Y (t) is the state vector of system, i.e., the chance event that bottom event X occurs in t,
When all minimal cut sets of known above-mentioned fault tree, and during the probability of known each bottom event X generations, then all Under conditions of bottom event X is separate, quantitative calculating can be carried out to the fault tree, is tried to achieve using the addition formula method of probability useful Part T probability of happening Fs(t), process is as follows:
The invalid cost type of each component units of alternating-current charging pile system is exponential distribution, when in known minimal cut set The maximum fault rate λ of each elementary cellxWhen, and by can repair for event calculated, calculation formula is:
In formula (2), Fx(t) the unreliable degree occurred for bottom event X, μxFor bottom event X repair rate, for simplification, μ is madex= 0.0001/ year, then calculate top event T probability of happening Fs(t) formula is as follows:
The maximum fault rate λ of each elementary cell in minimal cut set in estimation formula (2)xAs shown in table 2,
The maximum fault rate λ of each elementary cell in the minimal cut set of table 2.x
The structure function and aforesaid equation (3) of the fault tree of the event of job failure occur by alternating-current charging pile system The analysis for carrying out system reliability calculates, and ultimately forming fail-safe analysis result as shown in table 3, (it is 1 to make the working time Year).
The probabilistic compct of elementary cell in the minimal cut set of table 3.
The calculating in quantitative analysis is carried out to the logical relation between event in alternating-current charging pile fault Tree using meter Calculation machine is completed.
In above-described embodiment, the alternating-current charging pile system is mainly by power subsystem, main circuit unit, control unit, people Machine interactive unit and communication unit composition, are known;The fault tree system analysis computer software is also known, is come from CAFTA fault Tree fail-safe analyses V1.3.

Claims (1)

1. alternating-current charging pile system trouble analysis method, it is characterised in that:It is a kind of alternating-current charging pile system based on fault tree Failure analysis methods, step are as follows:
The first step, establish alternating-current charging pile fault Tree:
(1) top event is established:Top event be alternating-current charging pile system there occurs job failure, represent top event with T;
(2) intermediate event is established:Intermediate event is the reason for causing top event to occur event, and intermediate event set is represented with E, in Between event sets E include three one-level intermediate events:Main circuit failure E1, control circuit failure E2 and man-machine interaction fault E3;Wherein cause one-level intermediate event control circuit failure E2 occur the reason for event in have four two level intermediate events:Switch Failure E21, master control borad fault E22, CAN interface fault E23 and imput output circuit failure E24 are measured, is caused among two level There is a three-level intermediate event in the reason for event master control borad fault E22 occurs event:Reset failure E221;
(3) bottom event is determined:The bottom event is the reason for causing intermediate event to occur event, and causes what top event occurred The reason for most initial event, represent the set of bottom event with X, the set X of bottom event include circuit breaker failure X1, intelligent electric meter therefore Hinder X2, contactor failure X3, fuse failure X4, surge arrester failure X5, relay failure X6, scram button failure X7, instruction Lamp failure X8, keyboard failure X9, card reader failure X10, liquid crystal display failure X11, mechanical switch amount failure X12, data signal are opened Pass amount failure X13,5V power failure X14, MPU failure X15, hand-reset failure X16, the failure that automatically resets X17 and host computer Interface circuit failure X18, with BMS interface fault X19, acquisition of information circuit failure X20, display circuit failure X21 and being Unite power failure X22;
(4) alternating-current charging pile fault Tree is established:Alternating-current charging pile system is established by fault tree system analysis computer software System fault tree, the structure of the fault tree are divided into four parts, and Part I is by thing among top event T and its three branch one-levels Part:Main circuit failure E1, control circuit failure E2, man-machine interaction fault E3 and a bottom event are system power supply failure X22 is formed;Part II is by one-level intermediate event main circuit failure E1 and its five branch bottom events:Circuit breaker failure X1, Intelligent electric meter failure X2, contactor failure X3, fuse failure X4 and surge arrester failure X5 are formed;Part III is among one-level Start branch at event control fault E2, three layers of continuous branch, wherein, first layer includes one-level intermediate event control electricity Road failure E2 four branch two level intermediate events:Switching value failure E21, master control borad fault E22, CAN interface fault E23, imput output circuit failure E24 and two branch bottom events:Relay failure X6 and scram button failure X7;In the second layer Include two level intermediate event switching value failure E21 two branch bottom events:Mechanical switch amount failure X12 and digital signaling switch Measure failure X13, a two level intermediate event master control borad fault E22 branch three-level intermediate event resets failure E221 and two points Branch bottom event:5V power failures X14 and MPU failures X15, two level intermediate event CAN interface fault E23 two branch bottoms Event:It is with host computer interface circuit failure X18 and electric with BMS interface fault X19 and the input and output of two level intermediate event Road failure E24 two branch bottom events:Acquisition of information circuit failure X20 and display circuit failure X21;Third layer includes three-level Intermediate event resets failure E221 two branch bottom events:The hand-reset failure X16 and failure X17 that automatically resets;4th Divide four branch bottom events by one-level intermediate event man-machine interaction fault E3:Indicate lamp failure X8, keyboard failure X9, read Card device failure X10 and liquid crystal display failure X11 is formed;
Second step, determine the logical relation between event in alternating-current charging pile fault Tree:
Between the logical relation that the first step is established in alternating-current charging pile fault Tree between event refers to intermediate event, Between intermediate event and bottom event, logical AND or logic or relation between bottom event, specifically include:Intermediate event E1, Be logic or relation between intermediate event E2, intermediate event E3 and bottom event X22, bottom event X1, bottom event X2, bottom event X3, It is logic or relation between bottom event X4, bottom event X5, is between bottom event X8, bottom event X9, bottom event X10, bottom event X11 Logic or relation, intermediate event E21, intermediate event E22, intermediate event E23, intermediate event E24 and bottom event X6, bottom event X7 Between be logic or relation, be logic or relation between bottom event X12, bottom event X13, intermediate event E221 and bottom event X14, It is logic or relation between bottom event X15, is logic or relation between bottom event X18, bottom event X19, bottom event X20, bottom thing It is logical AND relation between part X21, is logical AND relation between bottom event X16, bottom event X17;
3rd step, qualitative and quantitative analysis is carried out to the logical relation between event in alternating-current charging pile fault Tree, is asked Obtain the probability that top event T occurs:
(1) qualitative analysis is carried out to the logical relation between event in alternating-current charging pile fault Tree:
From above-mentioned second step, the logic between event in the fault tree of the event of job failure occurs for alternating-current charging pile system Only comprising OR gate and be all mutual statistical independence with door, all bottom events in relation, therefore the fault tree is dull parallel failure Tree, thus fault tree calculates minimal cut set, and minimal cut set is analyzed, and is in alternating-current charging pile fault Tree Logical relation between event carries out qualitative analysis, calculates minimal cut set using descending method, its step is:Since top event T, The door event in incoming event permutation table is used step by step, and running into OR gate, then incoming event respectively accounts for a line, runs into and door then incoming event Same a line is write, all intermediate event E are replaced as stopping during bottom event X in table, remove repeated events unnecessary in each row With repeat go, obtain the cut set of fault tree, all cut sets be compared to each other, remove by comprising cut set, remaining is exactly above-mentioned Whole minimal cut sets of fault tree, including following 20:{X1}、{X2}、{X3}、{X4}、{X5}、{X6}、{X7}、{X8}、 { X9 }, { X10 }, { X13 }, { X14 }, { X15 }, { X16, X17 }, { X18 }, { X19 }, { X20, X21 } and { X22 }, composition are minimum The number of the bottom event of cut set is the exponent number of minimal cut set, then wherein single order minimal cut set 18, second order minimal cut set 2, one Rank minimal cut set only has a bottom event, and the bottom event may result in the alternating-current charging pile system failure, therefore be reliable Property analysis in the object paid close attention to, be also system weak link, the weak link of above-mentioned alternating-current charging pile system reliability For:X1~X15, X18, X19 and X22;
(2) quantitative analysis is carried out to the logical relation between event in alternating-current charging pile fault Tree, tries to achieve top event T hair Raw probability is the probability for calculating the generation of the alternating-current charging pile system failure:
According to the minimal cut set of above-mentioned determination, the structure of the fault tree of the event of alternating-current charging pile system generation job failure is obtained Function is defined as:
In formula (1), Y (t) is the state vector of system, i.e., the chance event that bottom event X occurs in t,
When all minimal cut sets of known above-mentioned fault tree, and during the probability of known each bottom event X generations, then in all bottom things Under conditions of part X is separate, quantitative calculating will be carried out to the fault tree, top event T is tried to achieve using the addition formula method of probability Probability of happening Fs(t), process is as follows:
The invalid cost type of each component units of alternating-current charging pile system is exponential distribution, when each base in known minimal cut set The maximum fault rate λ of this unitxWhen, and by can repair for event calculated, calculation formula is:
<mrow> <msub> <mi>F</mi> <mi>x</mi> </msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>t</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>=</mo> <mfrac> <msub> <mi>&amp;lambda;</mi> <mi>x</mi> </msub> <mrow> <msub> <mi>&amp;lambda;</mi> <mi>x</mi> </msub> <mo>+</mo> <msub> <mi>&amp;mu;</mi> <mi>x</mi> </msub> </mrow> </mfrac> <mo>&amp;lsqb;</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>-</mo> <msup> <mi>e</mi> <mrow> <mo>-</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msub> <mi>&amp;lambda;</mi> <mi>x</mi> </msub> <mo>-</mo> <msub> <mi>&amp;mu;</mi> <mi>x</mi> </msub> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </msup> <mo>&amp;rsqb;</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>,</mo> </mrow>
In formula (2), Fx(t) the unreliable degree occurred for bottom event X, μxBottom event X repair rate, for simplification, make μx= 0.0001/ year, then calculate top event T probability of happening Fs(t) formula is as follows:
<mrow> <msub> <mi>F</mi> <mi>s</mi> </msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>t</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>=</mo> <mi>P</mi> <mo>{</mo> <mi>&amp;phi;</mi> <mo>&amp;lsqb;</mo> <mi>Y</mi> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>t</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>&amp;rsqb;</mo> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>}</mo> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>-</mo> <munderover> <mo>&amp;Pi;</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mn>20</mn> </munderover> <mo>&amp;lsqb;</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>-</mo> <munder> <mo>&amp;Pi;</mo> <mrow> <mi>x</mi> <mo>&amp;Element;</mo> <msub> <mi>C</mi> <mi>i</mi> </msub> </mrow> </munder> <msub> <mi>F</mi> <mi>x</mi> </msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mi>t</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>&amp;rsqb;</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>3</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>.</mo> </mrow>
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