CN101826258B - 高速公路简约事故预测方法 - Google Patents
高速公路简约事故预测方法 Download PDFInfo
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- CN101826258B CN101826258B CN2010101458112A CN201010145811A CN101826258B CN 101826258 B CN101826258 B CN 101826258B CN 2010101458112 A CN2010101458112 A CN 2010101458112A CN 201010145811 A CN201010145811 A CN 201010145811A CN 101826258 B CN101826258 B CN 101826258B
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高速公路 | 路段长度(km) | 交通量(辆/日) | 大车比例(%) | 预测持续时间(年) | 预测交通事故 | 实际交通事故 |
罗富(K40+791~K41+390) | 1 | 4300 | 46.2% | 1 | 5 | 5 |
罗富(k38+318~K40+39) | 1.720 | 4300 | 46.2% | 1 | 8 | 7 |
成渝(k8+500~K9+764) | 1.264 | 12473 | 48% | 2 | 7 | 6 |
成渝(k2+100~K3+456) | 1.56 | 17506 | 48% | 2 | 4 | 4 |
长万(K152+327~K154+772) | 2.444 | 2310 | 32% | 2 | 8 | 9 |
长万(K182+108~K183+507) | 1.398 | 1500 | 32% | 2 | 10 | 11 |
上界(K26+870~K27+900) | 1.03 | 10748 | 15.7% | 2 | 17 | 15 |
上界(K24+789~K26+930) | 2.414 | 30380 | 25.7% | 2 | 29 | 25 |
京津塘(K6~K8) | 2 | 18169 | 27.44% | 4 | 66 | 64 |
京津塘(K49~K56) | 7 | 19400 | 43.11% | 4 | 25 | 20 |
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CN101826258A CN101826258A (zh) | 2010-09-08 |
CN101826258B true CN101826258B (zh) | 2011-12-07 |
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Families Citing this family (11)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
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CN102103715A (zh) * | 2010-11-18 | 2011-06-22 | 上海海事大学 | 基于负二项回归的水上交通事故调查分析和预测方法 |
CN105096586B (zh) * | 2014-05-15 | 2018-06-05 | 交通运输部公路科学研究所 | 基于交通流特征参数的平原区高速公路事故预测方法 |
CN105701579A (zh) * | 2016-03-08 | 2016-06-22 | 北京工业大学 | 高原双车道二级公路基本路段交通事故预测方法 |
CN105608902B (zh) * | 2016-03-28 | 2017-10-03 | 辽宁省交通科学研究院 | 一种高速公路事故多发点鉴别***及方法 |
CN106530720B (zh) * | 2016-12-28 | 2018-12-14 | 吉林大学 | 一种高速公路道路交通安全黑点路段识别与预警方法 |
CN107403053A (zh) * | 2017-08-07 | 2017-11-28 | 中建隧道建设有限公司 | 用于盾构施工的测量数据处理方法及装置 |
CN108320514A (zh) * | 2018-04-04 | 2018-07-24 | 哈尔滨工业大学 | 基于Tobit回归的高速公路线形指标对事故率影响的分析方法 |
CN110264724B (zh) * | 2019-07-09 | 2020-08-25 | 哈尔滨工业大学 | 一种交互式高速公路交通事故预测方法 |
CN112419719B (zh) * | 2020-11-18 | 2022-06-07 | 济南北方交通工程咨询监理有限公司 | 高速公路交通运营安全评价方法及*** |
CN114627643B (zh) * | 2022-02-28 | 2023-07-14 | 青岛海信网络科技股份有限公司 | 一种高速公路事故风险预测方法、装置、设备及介质 |
CN116959248B (zh) * | 2023-07-22 | 2024-04-05 | 同济大学 | 一种基于交互式自解释模型的高速公路事故风险优化方法 |
Citations (1)
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CN101016052A (zh) * | 2007-01-25 | 2007-08-15 | 吉林大学 | 高等级公路上车辆防车道偏离预警方法和*** |
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JP2004094444A (ja) * | 2002-08-30 | 2004-03-25 | Tokio Marine Research Institute | 交通事故防止のための情報処理方法 |
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CN101016052A (zh) * | 2007-01-25 | 2007-08-15 | 吉林大学 | 高等级公路上车辆防车道偏离预警方法和*** |
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Inventor after: He Yulong Inventor after: Zhong Liande Inventor after: Sun Xiaoduan Inventor after: Chen Yongsheng Inventor after: Liu Xiaoming Inventor after: Zhang Jie Inventor after: Sun Mingling Inventor after: Xu Ting Inventor after: Lian Jia Inventor before: He Yulong Inventor before: Wang Yidai Inventor before: Lian Jia Inventor before: Wang Chao Inventor before: Zhong Liande Inventor before: Sun Xiaoduan Inventor before: Chen Yongsheng Inventor before: Bao Xingjian Inventor before: Xu Ting Inventor before: Zhang Jie Inventor before: Hou Shuzhan Inventor before: Wang Huarong |
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Free format text: CORRECT: INVENTOR; FROM: HE YULONG ZHONG LIANDE SUN XIAODUAN CHEN YONGSHENG BAO XINGJIAN XU TING ZHANG JIE HOU SHUZHAN WANG HUARONG WANG YIYI LIAN JIA WANG CHAO TO: HE YULONG ZHONG LIANDE SUN XIAODUAN CHEN YONGSHENG LIU XIAOMING ZHANG JIE SUN MINGLING XU TING LIAN JIA |
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Granted publication date: 20111207 Termination date: 20130409 |